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Monthly hydrometeorological ensemble prediction of streamflow droughts and corresponding drought indices

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Academic year: 2017

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Fig. 1. Thur catchment average mean monthly temperature (solid line) and precipitation sum (bars) in the study period 1991–2008.
Fig. 2. Lower runoff quantiles for the Thur catchment from gauge measurements (left) and the hydrological reference run (right)
Fig. 4. 2AFC and maximum relative value scores for the Thur VarEPS/PREVAH daily mean runoff forecasts up to a lead time of 32 days
Fig. 5. 2AFC scores of probabilistic VarEPS/PREVAH daily runoff forecasts for different lead time ranges, different exceedance  thresh-olds and different initial states qualities
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