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TABELA I - DISTRIBUICÃO DAS TAXAS DE CAPTAÇÃO
---OAT~
TAXA /·:ÉDIA
GLOBAL
(1)
TAXA DE
LFT . (2) (3-1) (3) DESVIO PADRÃO (4)
---_._---01.03.89 02.03.89 03.03.89 06.03.89 07.03.89 08.03.89 09.03.89 10.03.89 13.03.89 14.03.89 15.03.89 16.03.89 17.03.89 20.03.89 21.03.<39 22.03.89 27.03.89 28.03.89 29.03.89
~i0. 03.89
3L03.89 03.04.89 04.04.89 05.04.89 06.04.89 07.04.89 10.04.89 11.04.89 12.04.89 13.04.89 14.04.89 18.04.89 19.04.89 20.04.89 21.04.89 2/1.04.89 ;25.04.89 27.04.89 MEDIA
346.048919 346.130418 0.081500 0.613355 334.045315 333.9321;86 -0.1i2829
338.557708 338.653477 0.095770 343.393860 343.456918 O.063G58
342.179110 342.201741 0.022631 343.030472 342.981192 -0.049279
342.622552 342.67A702 0.052150
342.466715 342.664554 0.177839 339.219551 3~2.222980 3.0~3429
340.809968 340.924602 0.114635 339.651003 339.h9439i 0.0~3388
332.795821 332.801905 0.036084 ·330.823800 330.836744 0.012945
323.128683 323.176046 0.047364
0.558170
1. i i267~~
0.515<;33 0.282774 0.298964 0.230881 0.41'i63i 0.4i4370 O.6U6ó0 0.446927 1.244262 0.953685 0.6ó58t1f3
306.593576 308.626i79 0.032583 0.668868 303.635275 303.737648 0.102373 1.428697 302.392667 302.456046 0.063378 0.705613
296.230866
292.A349i4
~~EJ5. 28tl155
279.296473 277 .514380
;~7 0. '597997 267.755474 258.854 S'75 249.640970 242.942081 236.8i1t073 2~26.837174
2 i ~j. 979554
~~00. 8304\i4
186.210676 i7ü.f..l72G09 171..11)2719 i7'J.~j8t2i6 i.68.724069 1ó8.793783 296.246648
2~'2. 469921
2(35~288733 279~463299 277.573957 270.616760 267.797553 259.092190 2<19 • 61j56~~3
243.046979 235.2,12209 226.901394 2i6.10331(~ 200.877032 186.1959't~: i69.4i23/}(, 171.0452<i6 171.24,.J72í i7\J.681j703 168.79j.28B 168.85j.857 0p.0i5782 (j.0350(,7 0.13')/;578
0. L}6826 0.039577
0. 0.d37 63
0.0'·12079 0.2~~n~.1j 0.044654 0.10-1898 -i.57i8tJ4 0.0(;.q219 0.123794 0.0"\/338
-O. 0í
Ji7::P.
0.028:514 0.172433 O. iO,h)("2 O. i():J'í87 0.005721.8 0.0::iGO?4 0.196172 O.7?2597 (}.i39082 0.213285 0.362029 ü.262897 0.3';2389 0r.7207HI
0. 4608~~7
0.249827
0.286346
o
.18·~50(JO.,~6ní7
0.4073·i2 (:.7231.2:3
Ü. ·160553
(1. '!8J544
0. 522B~)3
o.
~j8353~:;0.0'14234
0.097076 0.505529
---1:
on te: B;lnco, Cent: ri11 do Bras i 1, lJEWü, IDIDIP .Obs: as v.:l.r~ávc~s c;ao mcJ ida~; elll ~;; ao ano.
P.JC1 co.lcular 3 % ao dia b:lsta divi.(;ir os
va10-rcs por 365.
.~ ,
.! . . 1.
"
:~Y~i
- . ':.w~i
·1 , '.' " . :. "~O .~ '-l-, .. , .'
- ' o ":.»::'.~~
;': .tl 1 ._ ..,
~,.;4-~v-,~.~ P"'-""'.:""'r; •. ..)-o~_.~. ;.r ... ~~n '. I~'?-.I" ":''',.
"
"l-~_ .... _,
TABELA 11 - LFTs COM 182 ·DIAS DE PRAZO
~
Período (1.82)
1987 - FE.v.02 a 06
09 a 1.3 16 ~. 20
2::> a 27
~jar.09 a 13
16 a 20
Abr.06 a 10
13 a 17
20 a 24
27 a 30 .
11 a 15 18 a 22
25 C'l. 29
Jun.01 a 05
Q8 a 12
22 a 26
29/06-03/07
JI.l1.06 a 10
13 a 17
20 a 24
27 é\ 31
Ago.0:~ a 07
10 a 14
17 a 21
24 t.l 28
3i108-04/ü9
S~t.14 a 18
21 a 25
28/09-02/10
Ol.lt .05 a 09
13 a 16
19 a 23
26 a 30
Nov.03 a 06
09 a 13
16 a 20
23 i1 27
30/11-04/12
1988 - Jan.04 a 08
11 a 1.5
18 a 22
25 a 2!7
Fev.01 a 05
.. ,-'-...
08 " 1:.~
08 a 12
22 a 26
DES?,GIO
(deI t<:\)
(1) O.00U21 () .001557. 0.001805 0.001958 0.001817 0.001427 0.00i:3~~8 0.001266 0.001480 0.001619 0.001746 0.001653 0.0(}j.724 0.001857 0.001846 0.00i~;j88 0.001697 0.001460 0.001316 0.001236 O.00U72 0.000950 0.00155.6 0.001413 0.00i.t135 0.001380 0.001039 0.00E~94 0.00\:i937 0.00(~858 0.00<;B53 0.000Ç·B8 0.000937 O.(}0093Ú 0.00(i/96 0.CCOt,51
0. ü;)07A~;
O.ÍJi)':l896 O.üO')l%
O. c)O'J66~!
0.C00Ó61
(}.0:,)0693
(2)
53.236271
53.361522
54 a 77,~1795
56~432478
56.461390
55.5474-21 54.020669
53.844891
54~A41578 ( .,
55 .·~0'.o79 i
~)6. 31 0761
5'1.377455 63.562()31 66.111779 69.738146 73.803318 78.9805:3J. 79.456070 79.i2B225 78.728218 78.020:501 77.235431 76.298905 75.125317 73.739127 72.444543 71..706484 70.213208 6B.761589 66.808324 64.610095
65 .445~,00
61.735702 6'0.672177
59.844537
58.83·4992 ·57.889291
57 .. ~~520;,!9
56.723J.85 52.81.8237
52.036287
51.A87~~66
55 .• 'í11269
D.P.
(3) 0.010105 0.010117 0.010250 0.010404 0.010407 0.010323 O.01018() 0.010163 0.010219 0.01.029i 0.0j.0393 0.010672 0.011042 0.0ii26i <;.011566 0.011898 0.01.2309 0.012346 0.012320 -0.012289 0.012234 0~012i72 0.012098'o
.<H2C'050.011893 0.011788 0.011728 0.011605 0.011485 0.01.13:~i 0.011133 0.01-1.204 0.0100B2 0.010788 0.010714
0. <H C:S~?4
0.010538 0.0104D0 0.010431
0.01(;,066
0.009991
0. OG99~38
0.009931 X (A=6) (4) -16.M4560 -16.628786 -16.402142 -16.1<;"'3884 -16 •. 204413
-16 .• 323558
-16.514237
-16.531.·')9 i
-16.431j~528
-16. 3'l072 i
-16.i931;09 -i5.78i625
-'15.244860 -14.95li347
-14.571804
-14.i63891
-13 .. 6708·~7
-13.638732
-13.647713
-u.
6706~!9-i3.7~25(?5(;
-13. 790;~~75
-13.856~!3i -14.01i~~26 -14.133663 -14.2782:36 -14.329769 -14.451957 -14.625873 -14. 806~;3~~
-i5.049269
-14.952518 -15.40761G -15.537:175
,- i 5. 6ifA ~:;r:)6
-i5.761,t1i9
-15.8792i~6
-15.97,~374
-16. 065i5~5
-16.6295:15 -i6.7'W6112
-16. 8~1~::·j7:3
O.0C~J42 51.631031 0.009952 -16.833171
0.000994 51.502297 0.C}~940 -16.867534 0.001103 51.527912 0.Q09942 -16.876~J8
0.001151 52.1~4?5B 0.010001 -16.701110
0.001055 52.607945 0.010046 -16.69/471
(Cont.)
',I' " Af"
, ...~ . . ,.
" .~~
•• < <
".~ ',;
.. _ ." ..
r
(Cont. )
l'Iar.07 C\ 11 0.000885 52.0ó6849 0.009994 -16.767013.
14 a
iR
0.00üb77 51.169417 O.0099!J7 -16.89242321 C\ '"lo:" c..J 0.00ü7i9 50.%6662 0.009800 -17.081704
Abr.01! a 08 0.000719 48. 6800~;,1 0.009663 -17.323274
i i êl 15 0.00~}76i 48.518115 0.00%47 -17.85t,575
19a 22 0.000741 48.805078 0.009b7é. -17.303350
25 a 29 0.000724 49. 26~:i25 0.009721 -17.22U74
Ma i .02 a 06 0.0r'J0669 49.-120315 0.009737 -17.1865?2
09a 12 0.12'00627 ·49.340645 0.1309729 -i7.i97tj6~i
16 a 20 0<0130540 49.238,)00 00009719 -17.206312
23 t~ ;27 0.000525 48.771528 0.009672 -i7. 28696f
30/05-03/06 0.000'150 48.1~j21.24 O.0096ii -17.3900"15
Jl.ln.06 2, :1.0 0.000572 47.207687 0.009516 -17.575930
13 a 17 0. 00~)~i44 46.2i5592 0.009416 -17.760606
JIj 1 .04 a 08 0.000426 '13 • 9 903 ~ <1 0.009186 -18~i91.400
11 a i5 0.000tJ60 43.0779·14 0.0ü9090 -18.386787
i8 a 22 0.000517 42.471465 0. 0090~~6 -18.523905
25 a 29 0.000567 42.89741B 0. CO<1071 -18.437241
Ago.01 a 05 0.000612 43.648643 ·0.00<1150 -18.2828i1
08 a 12 0.000416 43.281583 ~.0091i2 -18.338714
15 a 19 0.000400 42.397432 . 0.009018 -18.527177 22 a 26 0.000384 41.183494 0.008C88 --i8.7964"0
Ol.1t.03.a 07 0.0001J02 37.721047 0.0Nl50b -19~6422i8
10 a 14 0.000403 37.984193 0.008.536 -19.574172
17 a 21 0.000466 38.762293 0.0086~]3 -19.384077
Nov.07 a i i 0. ~}O0550 41.3.56433 0.0089,ô8 ':'18.7734i4
14 a 18 @.000548 41. 910999 0: (10B966 -18.650894
Dez.05 a 09 0.001404 43J09297 0.009157 -;.8.356636
12 ,1 1ó 0.001485 44.304137 0.009219 -i8.24U24
19 a 24 0.000947 45.31:.8096 0.00?327 -17 .9n874
26 ? 30 0.001008 47.078163 0.009503 -17.645962
1989
-
Jan.02 a 06 0.000933 49.262564 0.009721 -17.24259'1FAro
a ''"' A .f\ r. "'nr\ t
~1.,399229 0. 00~iS'30 -í6.875665
v, ';'\J 'ti. 'V~VutJO
23 a 27 0.000344 54.2252{,i 0.0iíH99 -16.376877
30/01'-03/02 0.000681 54. 830~)86 0.010256 -16.3i9218
---_._---._---.---
...._---_._---Fonte: Dados primários: "Banco de Dados Nacionais e Internacio-nais", mirneo, CEHEI/IBRE/fGV.
~_v.-<,:~ .:~:.::
• ' •• l"i
'i;
.'
~:.
,
'''1
, I4(
. ' i
. "."",:
'," .. te .,
"
,. ,.
-=--'-'\~'---- _ I.: fj~ _ _ ~. I •
:1
,
. ~~ ~j
1 • ./ ... - ... -... ·--.···: ... ~:.;r.~· ... '·1· ... ,;.- -", - ;... .. 'r •• ... ~~ ... :fI.) ... ' f ""'1: • • • • ,,---~":::.".~ ... :;~
TABELA
III
.. LFTs C01't 273 DIASDE
PRAZO--_._---DESAGIO
SO~jA XPer iodo (273) (drdta) 1/(:"2
O.P.
(A=6)(1) (2) (3) (4)
---$.987
-
Abr.06 a 1~ 0.003762 63. 982i~i9 0.01.1079 -15.385113 13a 17 0.003439 64.191}032 '0.011097 -15.330627 20 a 24 0" 00:~359 64.625022 0.011i34 -15.27226227 Õl 30 0.003127 65.45-1709 0.011.205 -15. i~)4390
~ía i .04 C\ 08 0.004255 66.8<)85'10 0.011.328 -15.089599
1i a 15 0.0(}4495 70.52:2:-2fj1 0.0i163i -14.717,107
W a 22 0.00<1292 75. ~2.59333 0.0i2(H5 -14.229774
25 a ~~9 0.004620
77
.97~,6i7 0.012230 -14.606227,Jun.0i tI 05 0.005192 82·"G~/?585 0.0i2543 - 13. 7{)33.L~3
08 a 12 0.005832 86. /11<,)237 00012879 -13.394922 22 ti 26 0.004693 91.568i78 0.0132~j3 -i2.9307%
29/06-03/07 0.004897 92.057055 0.0i328<';1 -12.911587
Ju 1.06 a 10 0.004506 91.363188 0.013238 -12.93H22
13 a 17. 0.003933 90.462618 0.0i3173 -i2.95UJ52
20 a 24 0.00351)3 89.íi0018 0.013074 -13.0199~~6
'17.~ ':>( (~ r.r>o')') L I. 07 Dllt/./r L') ~.0~2~}78
-,'j
r.. o 11 no (f.:.. i .c, v ... v . V V V , - \ . l w ~,
• o.J.v 'J",
'-'""-.f. _ _ _ \ J 1
...
-Ago.03 a 07 0.002649 86.367279 0.(\12871 -13.155574
10 a 14 0.004306 84.6'16696 0.012746 -13.414733 17 a ~21 0.00:3765 83.006746 (}. 01261.9 -13.507734
.24 a 28 0.004240 81 • ~j2!3827 '0.012506 -13.667587
31/08-04/09 0.003588 80.361321 0.(H2416 -13.713972
Sd .08 a 11 0.Q02B23 79.5721jB7 0. ()i 2,355 -D.7ifI898
14 a 18 0.002906 78.1.22282 ~.012242 -13.853374
--.21 i\ 25 0.003~~43 76.292:'d.2 0.012097 -i4.M6406
28/09-02/10 0.002694 73.918979 0.011900 -14. ~~23994
0ut.05 a 'V't 0.00~502 7i.708322 0.0ii728 -í4.425252
13 i\ 16 0.002444 70.059499 0.011593 -14.588963 19 a ') ....
" • ..:! 0.0(12723 68.280069 0.011445 -14. 80~2228
26 a 30 0.002592 66.969524 0.011334 -14. 93J\8~j~
l·lov.03 a 06 0.002611 . 65.8385,'\1 0.011238 -15.061\294
09 a 13 0.002219 64.622860 0.011134 -15.170088
16 a 20 0.001843 63.65i2~~7 0.011050 -15. 2~;i378
23 a 27 0.00202ó 62.8ó3~2).8 0.0íÜ'iB1 ~15.36~}331
30/11-'04/12 0.002323 62. 35~):i:57 0.010937 -15 • 1\ 5 ~~ 922 Dez.07 a 11 0.002514 61 .1j6~'i[;"'16 O.01C'859 -15.58i909
$.4 a 1.8 0.00;'~266 60.5/13351 0.010717 -15.677193
21 a 24 0.(~02i89 59. 47n~jB 0.0i0ó82 -i5. 8:J9;;·~2
28 \1 3i 0.002i7? 58.4 C 4!59·'1 0.010585 -15.953419
1988
-
J~1n ~ M c:\ r;) 8 0.001943 57 • 4090~~8 0.0i0494 -16.06071611 a 1.5 0.00i74i 56.43:5590 0.01C405 -16.1ün64
18 a 22 0.00U12 '55.7A6C125 0.01034i - 1 6. 2l;;li;'~4
25 a 29 0.00J.7~O 55. 57 ·1~1:'jí 0.0i0325 -1.6.312297
Fev.t>l a (2·5 0. üO:~OB4 ~i5. 70:33:'jfl 0.010337 -16.32ó.j70
08 a i r_ '1 0. (·0~~ ·105 55 fi i; ü::;603 0.010317 -16.397J60
08 C\ 12 0.002ó63 55./i03·H8 0.üiO~1i5 -16.4 l.80{,2 ' ) ' )
c:.'- u 26 0.0)2/iO 55.8~;;541 0.010348 -16.36'1034
~~9/02-(14/03 ç,. 00~:576 561f;~Ol{:;i~ (}.0j.0=~83 -16.30Dnj
111\1"".07 í:I 11 <1. o o;·!:) 96 53. 'i7[!tr:;7 G.üiO:H8 -i6.357CJ23
(COl1,t. )
li
.. '
.. f~~
.}~
'"i
, .,
,
l
"i ,
r'r~'-'"~"""~r"""'·-..,f"'-"~-"""t,;·.t., ... ~_,j"'·'" ... ;t.... ...~ "t~; ~ ... -~ :-~.''\'t;f.~' ... " -,-_.~ .. '!.) ... - .... " " " " " , , - -•. , , -__ ,,~.,- ~ '~"""-l)_ ••. ~e".,_ .... '"'-: ... _.__._ - -_, ... ~u~, • .0_ ~ ... _. _ ... }:::.
r.;.
(Cont. ) . ,
14 a 18 0.001687 54. 53108'i7 0.010228
-16.462264
21 a '1t:"
c...J 0.001781 53.238692 0.010106 -16.670191
Abr.04 a 08 0.001532 51.437730 0.0139933 -16.934,121 '~":e
11 a 15 0.001.927 51.265176 0.009917 -17.002744
19 a 22 0.001901. 51.406532 0.009930 -16.976719
'1r .
29 0.001804 51.792290 0.009967 -16.903597
c....J a
Ma i .02 a 06 0~ 001691 5~.983525 0.009986 -16.861144
09 a 12 0.001615 51, .813338 0.009970 -16.881211
16 a 20 0.001439 51. 587971 0.009948 -16.900392
23 a 27 0.001411 51.130171 0.009904 -16.972985 . ~
30/05-03/06 0.001108 50.397j.54 0.009832 -17.065154
.'
1.,Jun.06 a 10 0.001474 49.379189 0.009733 -17.277820
13 a 17 0.001420 48.319132 0.009627 -17.460689
20 a 24 0.001096 47.340208 0.009529 -17.606297
JlJl.04 a 08 0.001066 45.?5i179 0.009389 -17.867234
11 a 15 0.001224 45.02'2622 0.009293 -18.067569
18 a 22 0.001351 44.465.039 0.009236 -18.1941 '13
25 a 29 0.001467 45.0í6616 0.009293 -18.094901
Ago.01
(\ "5
0.001535 45.852419 0.009379 -17.93646508 a 12 0.001065 45.584203 0.009351 -17.938866
15 a 19 . 0.001013 44.783063 0.009269 -18.093073 a
22 a 26 0.000996 43.583088 0.009143 -18.338535
~o /AQ_O," /~o 0.00096~ A') ,)Ll\Q':!1I
e.0~9001 -i9 .. 6!9258
.... , • W...., V _ f " " t . . . _ .... "" • . 1 - I
Set.12 a 16 0.000906 41.073561 0.000876 -18.880383
19 a 23 e.0007:12 40.803332 0.008847 -18.923112
26 a 30 0.000933 40.607162 . ~.e08826 -18.991553
Out.03 a 07 0. e0(198t. 40.933062 0.008861 -18.921779
10
a
14 0.001002 41.373612 0.~H:)8909 -18.82250317 a 21 0.001155 ~2. 5.65624 (;.009~36 -18.574030 .
Nov.07 a 11 0.001458 46.188152 0.009413 -17.862970
14 a 18 0.001477 47.037434 0.009499 -17.702982
Dez.05 a 09 0.003669 49.951022 0.009789 -17.402888
1~~ a 16 0.0~J::l61 ·50.963689 0.009887 -17.198596
19 a 24 0.0021~8 52.502831 0.010036 -16.824119
26 a 30 0.002431 54.842025 0.010257 -16.488050
1989 - Jan.02 a 06 0.002228 57.710447 0.010522 --16.053717
09 a 13 0.002101 60.519981 0.010775 -15.664934
23 a 27 0.000984 64.040698 0.011.084 -15.127427
30/01-03/02 0.002062 65.016776 0.011 168 -1.5.110021
Fev.20 a 24 0.002264 70.392243 0.011620 -14.538987
27/02'-03/03 0.002422 73. 3ti57/~6 0.011862 -14.2566013
~lar .06 a 10 0.003233 76.073536 0.012080 -14.065784 ;::;~
13 a 17 0.002S150 79.090H90 0.01231'7 -13.771896
27 a 31 0.003092 84.21298:5 0.012710 -1:3.357663
Abr .10 a i'! 0.004316 88.7'1~üü6 0.013047 -13.105'i55
17 a 21 0.004356 89.8D2042 0.013131 -13.02~;839
24 a 28 0.003945 90.001511 0.0D139 -12. <j.'8!5901
TABELA IV - LFTs COM PRAZOS DIVERSOS
0-?eriodo
1987
-
s~t .14 <\ i81988
-
29/08-02/0928/i1-02/12 28/H-0Ui2
D2Z.12 a 16
1989
-.
8Ç;/01-03/0230/01-03/02
Fev.13 (l 17
Ablr .03 a 07
(77)
( ~g2)
(180) (271)
(364 ) <187>
(278) (274) (275)
DESÁGIO (dEoHa)
(1)
0.0001.29
0.000998
0.000774
0.002112
0.006999
0.001172
0.003514 0.002821 0.004875
°SOMA °
1/F2
(2)
39.878173
42°.260834
43.100744 49.006324 54.6i8237 55.648540 65.465917
67~967351
87.033302
D.P.
(3)
0.008746
0.<309004
0.009093 0.009696
0.010236 0.010332 0.011206 0.01.1418 0.012921
X
(A=6)
(4)
-19.072399
-18.623493
-18.416498 -17.409187
-16.968'382
-16.21j62~~4
-15.187683
-14.84L;835
-13.277437
---Fonte: idem Tabela lI.
1.(.
0"
..-r
... -_4-____ -~_·" ... _._---_~~~ ... ---~·-..-'----....".·,;·V-4 ... ._ _~~.---- ~ - _ .... -. .• ".~._ .. _ _ ' _ ... > •• _ _ _ _ • ~._ ••• __ .0_.': __ . ' .. __ _
c: a j c: 1.l1 ,-:\ ci c\ -S"> d e d f,'~; ,ft <J i C) 1: D \: ,:\ 1 ci D <:; t í t Ij 1 o ~:; no_ P Ir C\ ;:.~ O cl (;~ '1 cI i ,,\ ~,; (O) i
;=:: 1
~etorno pelo carregamento, ,~) - a V<:\I" i :,{\ve'i
:': . .t ....
6para cada titulo em cada leilâo. p <·~.Ir a o c ;;J. i c 11 '1 o d e ::-~ .. - ._.ú ... ___ ... ':::.1.1 ...
DP
P I~' s·-:; I;: ti 1.1 C· ::-:\' :.::1. 1 ~·:l. 'v' ~':}. n c :;":}.~] c·:'])) IH ,{ d i :~-\. ';::'m !. .. I:~T·s I.l t i I i :2:<·~.d :::1. p ,,,'1 o IYlClr C ::':i.Ô ()
r',
c.:.
-r i n ::~. ri C (.; i Ir O t O:-:'I'l h:;;.. <; i doi. 9 1.1. ::~. 1. <~. 6 u
,,\0
de dezembro de 1988;
() S P I" <:\ Z ()~:; ci F: '.' (': n c: i mE' li 'c o cI () ~,;
t
í 'c 1.1. '1 Cl:,; • Sup3s-se que es'ce aumento 'cenhasido causado pelo ClI.!.(·::· ,
püi:JI icos .•
P I" ,:\ ;,:: Cl~; In <:'. I ~c,
CI.I.~:.t<·~. !n('-::I'lO-,; :;;\0 q()"!('::'lr!'lO 'v'(':;'ndcl" t ítl.l.1.o~:. com _Plr:;~.:::~:o m<·~.i·:".
curto de vencimento,
-t i t uI ()~:. um d E·':,::[.,::.J i o IYlCri Cf/" "
i . i~'I t ,~.;< ('.\ c! E' j Ulr D ~::. d D
C) V e Ir n i 9 h t ri Ci' I..Í i t i in C) ci i a Cl (;: ,':'I. b I" i '1 c! 1.:: .~ Ci i
'I" E: P (.~. t i d ~;l. (j n d. lI'! C:' I'" (j c; c· 1,/ (.~. :~.~ (.:' ':~. '::. iJ f i c i (.~. n t (-~. P ~·~.I'- ~3. P (2'1'" f ::':l. ~:.~: (.;::r () I,JI:': .J .~
v E' n c: i IH E' n t Ci ci D ~:; t í t IJ. '.:. o';:; '1 e i 1 () <:\ c! Ci '".' n ,7\ ':1 Ij e 1 c iH I:;:' .::, .•
:~!. 11 (~() ir, iJ ::':1, ~:. (.~. (,?: In d ::':'. d () '::. (] ::'~. i:{ C· '-..1 i ':~. t ::':i. d ::::t. I~I i\~ I) :r. j .... j I~~I J ' n ~ 1 ~.=5 ;:? J
d o 13 (J j (;~ t i In ci e tl''\ :::\ \' ,7\ n c ,':'I. (~ (':' in d ,:, ~:;
J:
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ão
an t el~ i cw Ic\C:E' j t <''\In i n c () I" I" e ,~ ym risco maior de perda total.
V=0.I~ i ::Ave 1 >~ (c I
a part Ir d~ dezembro de 1988. ~xamjnando-se as três
C o n ~::' t ::" t <~, ,- :-:' e j ~:;t ü :::'4. C on 'c (:::C '-::" •
N
n::?.o (-:' I r,: o n ::.,?' cp.!. e n .-,
t ~~m~:nt c I <:1.1.1 li'! (:;: n 'c c\ 'c ;:1. IH b é li'! ,:\ Fi I" o b ;:\ b i 1 i d (õ', ci e a d (~' f aI Ê': n c i <:\ I
variJnc.ia do ganho relo carregamento. . .>
i n ci i c <:\ ' cp..l E' , ao contririo do qyC ~:;IJ.P (,~:; " nD mod('2'lo,
ganhem uma taxa de deságio maior~ Portanto, a expres5~o
diz ql.J.(·;· ,':1. p ,~ ob :::I,ÍJ i 1. i d <3.d e ,j o?,: r 0:;'1~ d ", t ot <3,1., do, in t (5:
,r
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p U m O I" 'oI t 1:0 I" i ;;1,) o=: a, n f:~C) Isto si9ni'r.ica ql..l.e"a
com ·(Hi), COlr/O s2ndo o excesso da probabil j~~d~ m~dia 'ral &:nc:
i,,,.
(.:; 3.
p~obabil idade ~P
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1 ênc i a aCF:ita 'quandoi
j mp 1 {c i t <~, (] (.:::, m(:II~ ,':I. t
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c á 1 C 1..1 i o (j ap (" C> b c', b i 'i I (\ <:\ G e i m p i í c i t a ci 12 in () Ir a t ':'1" i <:1 •
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do intel'mediário, a sua ut il idade Esperada será:
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on ci (': i:, a esperança matemát ica,
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sua ~enda esperada,
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E: c: i ct I" () q IJ e s (~' o i n ci i v í C! 11 oavesso ao risco (ou 0?ja,
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o
que se vai supor e que oV cl 1 () I" P Ir e <;:. e n t (~~ , e o risco de captaçâo acima da média do mercado.
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-f'UNDAÇAO ~ H"NRIQí.JESIMON~
UIBUOTECA MARl .,
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ti interessado a aversâo :;'~.() Irt':;C() ,e(~) ri .'" ::":1.()
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(2 i ) , a) maior o desvia
da taxa de captaçâo, o b) maior o prazo de vencimento do
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na ctU ";&n c: i ,;{
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de ~:·ell P"\.tlr
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Para tanto, ut il izou-se a
Inserindo esta funç~o
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CO/i 182 DU,S DE pr~AZO---DESÁGIO AVERS:~O P <TETA= P <TETA P (TETA
Período (182) D. P r, (dcltc\) TDTAL 0.5) =1)
=3)
(1) (2) (3 ) (4 ) (5)
(6) .. ~,!
---~---1987
-
Fcv. 02 a 06 0.010U~5 0.001721 33.706708 0.001071 0.000756 0.00014709 ZI 13 0. 0i0), 17 0. ~)0 i :.5/ 30.423864 0.000967 0.0'.1068i 0.000i31
16 a 20 0.010250 0.00H47 27.5tt7548 0.000B97 0.000631
0.000i2i
~3 é\ 27 0.0i0':04 0.00if.:\~5 33.35942~
0.00ii23 0.000793 0.000154
MCl,r. 09 a 13 0.0i0407 0.001958 36.162837 0.001220 0.000862 0.0005,68
16 a 20 0.010323 0.0018i7 34. H8i 18 0.001131 0.000799 0.000i55
Abr. 06 a 10 6.010180 0.001427 27.5105.24 0.000885 0.0,:,ü622 0.000119
13 a 17 0.010163 0.0013~!8 25.n4B96 0.0'30823 0.000578 .,' 0.000ii0
20 a 24 0.010219 '0.001266 24.245.144 ,0::,000783 0.00e'549 0.000i04
27 .... 3.0
0.010291 0.001480 27.9.<18005 0.000918 0.00%46 0. 0~lOi2:1
c,
Ma i • 04 a 08 0.010393 0.001619 29.973680 e.00i005 0.000708 0.000i36
11 a 15 10.010672 0.001746 30.6622::::1 0.001085 0.000765 0.00<3148 18 a ..,r)
0.0,11042 0.00U:c:,::, 27.115'122 0.001025 (L 00072i (). 000 i:38
e. e.
25 a 29 e.0ii261 0.001724 27.198541 0.001069 (}.0'30752 0.000144
Jun. 01 a 05 0.1011566 0.001857 27.765802 10.001152 0.000810 0.000155
08 a 12 0.0H898 0.001846 26.082992 0.00ii44 (1.000804 0.000153 '1
22 a 26 0.012309 0.001588 20.968058 (). '300979 0.000685 0.000i~27
29/06-03/07 0.0i2346 (~. 0016'1/ 22.2/7792 0.00i048 0. 0<~073Lj 0.lHJ0138
J'J 1. 06 a 10 0.012320 0.00i160 19.245843 0.000898 0.000627 0.0001i5
13 a 17 0.012289 ·0.001316 17. 437~',58 0.000808 0.000562 0.000102
20 a 24 0.012234 0.001.236 16.526175 1.1" 000757 /11.0<)0526 0 .. 0130095
27 é\ 31 0.012i72 0.001172 15.830i64 0.000717 13. (l ç) 0': 97 0.000089
Ago. 03 a 07 0.012098 0.0013950 12.979035 0.0'00577 0.000397 0.000%8
10 a 14 0.0i20(~5 0~001516 21.0113753 0. (3009.3~:; 0.000654 0.0<:;"0122
17 a 21 0.0H893 0.001413 19.985381 0,.000870 0.000608 0.000H2
24 a 28 0. eil.788 0.00i635 23.540516 0.0(H011 0.000709 0.000134
31/08-04/09 0.011728 0.001380 20.0717\10 0.000850 0. 00(~594 0.v)00l.iO
S€:t. 14 a i8 0.011605 0.00i039 15.433032 0.000635 ' 0.0004'~íj (;.00\;078
21 a ..,1:' c...! 0.0U.485 0.001294 19.619302 0.000796 0. 0005~j6 o n 000 .i.(;3
28/09-02/10 0.0i1321 0.000937 i4.617794 0.000571 . <3.000395 0.000070
Dut. 05 Cl, 09 0.01i133 0. eJ00858 13.8-40679 0. 000~~22 0.000360 0.0()ü063
13 a 16 0.0ii204 0.000853 13.584068 . 0.000519 0.000357 v). ü0e'062
19 êI 23 0.0i0882 0.000988 16.689073 0.00060:.5 0.000420 0.000Ç,76
26 a 30 0.05,0788 0.0'J0S'37 16.110830 0.00(571) 0.0L)0398 0.000071
Nov. 03 a 06 0.0i0714 0.000'138 i6.344(/03 0. (l{1057 4 ().Ü00398 0.000072
09 ct i3 0.0iC<624 (~. 00'3796 14.U.40()~ 0.000485 0.000335 0. 0000~:..c?
16 é\ 20 0.01.0538 0.0006Si i i. 72l.i77 '0.000393 0.000269 <). Ü0ÜO·1~;
23 f.\ 27 0.0i(~"~80 0.0007~5 D.~·()?i23 0. <:1 (,0': ~:.3 0.00ü3L:! (j.00ü0Si1
30/i1-04/12 0.0í:0431 0.00(.?:396 Ul.fl7l.854 0. 00~J549 0.0003:3i 0.00'2069
1988
-
Jan. 0'~ êI 08 0.010(;66 0.0007ü6 13.9J70~,2 0. ~)ü()43(~ 0.000296 0.013005211 C\ 15 0.009'7'11 0. 0Í7(~Ó62 13.26:3943 0.00(1'102 0. e,O(j217 0.000CH8
18 a 'l~,
'- c .. 0. O~j<i'938 0. 00(,M) i 1.3.38321'9 0. (iCli)I102 0.000277 0.000()/,8
..,c:
c...J a 29 0.009931 0.0C!Íj,S93 i 4. O::) 'i'::)()7 0.000~22 0.00027i 0. OOO(~:5.t
Fev. Oi a 0:' ~). 0Ü?9~)2 0. 0')~)842 17.00i:::6-1 0.ü005i6 0.0003:,8 0.00001-,:)
08 a 12 0.00<?940 0.00(;9')4 2~? .1.{~~3705 0.ü006i,2 0.0004:=27 0. 000(.~ /?
08 t; , i 2 ~? • i) O ? 9 i~ 2 0.00ii()3 22 . ~~~'~0972 0.0<)::>68i <.1. 0<)(3~7i' 0. 00(lO~i'i
..,r)
c_c.. é\ 26 0. (; 1. íj0()i 0.00U.~ji ~! 3 • ():) (, 7 9 'i (\.00071.1 0.000/;98 0.0000'74
29/02-0~/03 0.0i001\6 0.0(HO~5 20. S"Ü609l 0.0(;06:'0 0. 00~>I1:1'1 0. 00(j0::J~:.
(Cont.)
(Cont. )
Mar. 07 a 11 0.009994 0.0\)(1885 17.72i827 0.000543 0.000378 0.000069
14 a 18 0.009907 0.000677 13.795949 0.0004i2 0.000284 0.000050
21 a 25 0.009800 0.0(I07i9 j.4. 969349· 0.000439 0.000303 0.000W:.'1
Abr. 04 a ()8 0.00(/663 0.00071.9 15.395738 0.00(;439 0.000304 0.000054
11 a 15 0.009t>17 0.oç)(~76i i6.3(;2477 0.000'166 0. 0ü03~~3 0. 00c)0~J8
i9 a '1""1 0. 00967t.J 0.00074i 5.5.827244 0.000'153 0.0(1031'1 0.000056
e:."-25 a 29 0. 00972~L 0. 0007 ~~4 15.326522 0.0004'12 0.000306 0. 0000~;4
Ma i • 02 a 06 0.009737 0. (~00669 i4. i2338':3 0. O(~0408 0.0ü028í 0.0000'19
09 a i2 0.0Ü9729 0. Ç)00627 i3. ~~46030 0.00038 j. 0.000262 0.00~)0'15
i6 (.l. 20 0.~3097i9 0.N\(?540 i i. 428656 0.000326 0. 0ü<~~~23 0.000037
23 é\ ~~7 0.00%72 0.000:125 H.2i9836 0.000317 o '(~002 j. 6 0.00ü036
30/05-03/ü6 0.(1)096íi 0. 0~}0450 9.744580 0. 000;~70 0.0'20i83 0.000029
Jlln. 06 a i0 0.009:15.6 0.ü0i)572 12. 63~';~)84 0.0003'~7 ~). 000:rl38 (,). 000(1!.i 1
i3.a 17 ').009416 (}.0005 /!4 i2.275(\64 0"000330 0.000226 0.00(1')38
JIJ 1 • 04 é\ 08 0.009186 0.000426 10.09i600 0. (LI 00~~~;5 <).0,)0i73 0. 0000~i8
i i a 15 0. CQ)90<70 0. (.?00460 1í.f29875 0. eJi)0277 0.000iB9 0.0(j003j.
18 a '1
r,
c. e:. 0. ()O9'326 0.000517 12. 6873~.2 0.00ü3i3 0.00i32i5 0.0ÜOO37
'1
<.-c...J a 29 0.009071 0.000567 13.7812i2 0.000345 0.000238 0.00004i
A90. 01 a 05 0.009iS~) 0.0006i·2 14.619')38 0.000373 0.000258 0.0'3001\5
08 a i2 0.009H2 ü.0004H 10.032474 0. 0(~02S(j 0.000170 'O. 0000~~7
i I: .J a i9 0.009018 0.00Ü!\OÜ 9.849712 0.0002L1'?' 0.0'~0i63 0.000026
22 Cl. 26 0. (ll,8!J88 0. (1(1iO:i8 4 9.7327ii 0.000230 0.000i56 0.000025
DlJt • 03 a 07
o
.ü08:.':,06 0.000<102 i i. i 06606 0.0002'12 0.000165 0.00002710 a i't 0.0('l3536 0.000403 11 ; 055,~)40 (1.0002'13. 0.00iôi66 0. 00e(\~27
17 a 21 0. OÜ86~~3 0.000466 i2.5'!i832 0.000283 0.e,í)0i94 0. 00~}()33
Nov.
07 a U. 0.008908 0.000550 1.3.862085 0.00(1335 0.00023i 0. (,00()40"
14 i:\ 18 0.0(1Ü'166 0. ~)O(151.18 1:3. ó.::j~~88 \j.0(J0.3S·j 0.00Çi230
,. ,.,.-.1\/,\ ... "
'U. '(}\'JV\'}'" v
Dez.
05 Ci. 09 0.0(j<?i57 0.00i404 33.496893 0.000073 0.0\;0616 0,000i2~?12 a 16 0.,~ü92j.9 <}'~)0i485 3/;.942570 0.000924 0. {j0C)6S3 Ü. 0~j\H27
19 a 24 0.009327 0.0(109~7 21. 7734(j7 0. 00()~j84 0. (1(10409 0.000<~76
26 a 30 0.0095ü3 0.00i008 22.324503 0..000622 0.000436 0.000082
1989
-
Jan. 02 a 06 0.00<;'721. 0.0(10933 19.74%04 0.000574 0.00040t 0.(}0007'109 ti i.3 0.00'193'3 0.000BE:6 .1.7.9742i1 0.00054~ 0.00037'7' ').0(J(\ô69
23 a 27 0.0iül.99 0.000341 6.61.3t37 0.0(\e·20í 0.000132 0.0000l.8
30/01-03/02 0. (H0256 0.000681. 12.960ü55 0.000414 0.00028'1 0. 000~)~ 9
---~---TABELA VI - LFls COM 273 DIAS DE PRAZO
---Período (273) D.P.
(1)
DE-Sf-íGIO
(delta)(2)
AVERS~d
P(fETA=
TOTAL. 0.5)(3) (4)
PUETA
P<TETA
=1) ::3)
(5) (6)
---_._---1987 - Abr. 06 a 10
13 i.'I 17
20 a 24
27 a 30 11a i. 04 a 08 11 a 15 18 a 22
2S C\ 29
JlJn. 01 a 05
08 a 12 22 a 26
29/06-03/07
J1J1.06a10 13 a 17
20 a 24
27 é\ 31
Ago. ·03 a 01 10 a 14
j ] a 21
2~ a 28
31/08-04/0'i Set. (,8 ti i i
14 6. 18
21 a 25
28/09-02/10
Dut. 05 a 09
13 a 16 1.9 a 23
~~6 a 30
Nov.
03 a 0609 a 13 16 cl 20 23 a 27 30/11-04/12 Dez. ü7 a 11
1~ a j.8
21 a 24
~!8 a 3 i
1988 - Jan. 04 a 08
1 i a 15
j.8 c\ 22
;.~~) é\ 29
Fev.01a05· 08 a 1.2
08 a j.2
22 a 26
29 /(j~!···0'V03
Mar. 07 i.\ i i
0.0ii079 0.003762 0.011097 0.003439 0.011134 0.003359 0.011205 0.003127 0.011328 0.004255 0.011631 0.004495 0.012015 0.004292 0.012230 0.004620
0.012543 0.005192
(?0:«2879 0. 0(~5832
0.013253 0.004693 0.013289 0.004897 0.0!3238 0.004506 0.013173 0.063933
0.013074 0.003543
0.012978 0.003266 0.012871 0.002649
0.012746 0.004306
~.012619 0.003765
0.0i2~06 0.004240
0.012416 0.003588 0.012355 0.002823 0.012242 0.002906
0.012097 0.003243
0~0i1908 0.002694
0.011728 0.002502 0.011593 0.002444
0.011445 0.002723 0.011334 0.002592
61.311464 55.868161 54.209624 49.815024 66.3321i1
66. 4672.t~7
59. 4658~16
61.7ü3289 t.6.01f.:.:362
53.149710
5~1. 469<151
51.427890
45 tt 3~j8B77
41. 461462 38.787367 31.980865 53.01.9430
47.303997
4ó. 5585~:7
3?0(j1483 38.78fJ186 44.327593 37.999939 36.386503 36.371740 4i.58198;~ 4~}.364409
0.002358 0.001677 0.000336 0.002154 0.001530 0.000306 0.002103 0.001494 0.000298 0.00i956 0.001388 0.000276 0.002669 0.001900 0.000382 0.002820 0.002007 0.0004b4 0.002690 0.001912 0.000383 0.002897 0.002060 0.000414
0.003257 0.002318 0.000467 0.003661 0.002608 0.000526
0.002939 0.002088 0.000417
0.003067 0.002180 0.000436
0. 0(~~~820 0. 002(J~)3·· 0'.0003'79
0.002458 0.001743 0.000345 0.002212 0.001566 0.000309 0.002037 0.0014~1 0.000283 0.001647 0.001162 0.000225 0.002696 0.001915 0.000382
0.002~54 0.001670 0.000331
0.002655 0.001886 0.000377 0.002243 0.001591 0.000315 0.001760 0.001244 0.000243 0.001812 0.001282 0.000252
0:002026 0.001436 0.000284 0.001679 0.001188 0.000233
0.00i5~9 0.001102 0.000215
0.001522 0.001076 0.000210
0.001699 0.001203 0.000237
0.001617 0.001145 0.000225 0.011238 0.0026ii 41.362760 0.001630 .0.001154 0.000227 0.011134 0.002219 35.a10086 0.001382 0.000977 0.00019i· 0.011050 0.001843 30.191815 0.001145 0.000807 0.000156
0.010981 0.002026 33.605002 0.001261 0.000890 0.000173 0.010937 0.002323 38.849086 0.001449 0.001025 0.000201 0.010859 0.002514 42.644110 0.001569 0.001112 0.000219
0.0i077~ 0.002266 39.029113 0.001413 0.001000 0.0001'76
0.010682 0.002189 38.370576 0.001364 0.000965 0.000189
0.010585 0.002179 38.901312 0.001359 0.000961 0.000188
0.010494 0.001943 35.299302 0.001210 0.000855 0.000i67 0.010405 0.001741 32.i70668 0.001083 0.000764 0.000148 0.010341 0.00i712 32.0?0505 0.001064 0.000751 0.000145
0.010325 0.001758 32.996288 0.001094 0.000772 0.000150 0.010337 0.002004 39.009982 0.001299 0.000919 0.00Ci80 0.010317 0.002485 46.702253 0.001553 0.001101 0.000218 0.010315 0.002665 50.099475 0.001667 0.001183 0.000235
0.0i03~8 0.002710 50.624560 0.001695 0.001203 0.000239
0.010383 0.002576 47.790896 0.001610 0.0011~2 0.0002~6
0.0i0318 0.002096 3Y.387739 0.001307 0.000925 0.000iU~
26 (Cont.)
.~.