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Paula Mendes Luz+ , Cláudia Torres Codeço, Eduardo Massad, Claudio José Struchiner

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Fig. 1: number of reported cases of dengue in the state and municipality of Rio de Janeiro, from 1986 to 2001
Fig. 3 shows the results comparing the parameter values that lead to prediction of outbreak (R 0  > 1) and disease extinction (R 0  < 1)
Fig. 2: box plots comparing parameter values that lead to prediction of outbreak (R 0  > 1) and disease extinction (R 0  < 1) in the scenario where an infective person arrives and stays in area h
Fig. 3: box plots comparing parameter values that lead to prediction of outbreak (R 0  > 1) and disease extinction (R 0 <1) in the scenario where an infective person arrives and stays in area l

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