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Towards a new classification of stable phase schizophrenia into major and simple neuro ‐cognitive psychosis: Results of unsupervised machine learning analysis

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O R I G I N A L A R T I C L E

Towards a new classification of stable phase schizophrenia into

major and simple neuro

cognitive psychosis: Results of

unsupervised machine learning analysis

Buranee Kanchanatawan M.D.

1

|

Sira Sriswasdi PhD

2

|

Supaksorn Thika MSci

1

|

Drozdstoy Stoyanov MD, PhD

3

|

Sunee Sirivichayakul PhD

4

|

André F. Carvalho MD, PhD

5

|

Michel Geffard MD

6,7

|

Michael Maes MD, PhD

1,3,8

1Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of

Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand

2Research Affairs, Faculty of Medicine,

Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand

3Department of Psychiatry, Medical

University of Plovdiv, Plovdiv, Bulgaria

4Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn

University, Bangkok, Thailand

5Department of Clinical Medicine and

Translational Psychiatry Research Group, Faculty of Medicine, Federal University of Ceará, Fortaleza, CE, Brazil

6Research Department, IDRPHT, Talence,

France

7GEMAC, Saint Jean d'Illac, France

8IMPACT Strategic Research Center, Deakin

University, Geelong, Australia

Correspondence

Dr Michael Maes, MD, PhD, IMPACT Strategic Research Center, Barwon Health, Deakin University, Geelong, VIC, Australia. Email: dr.michaelmaes@hotmail.com

Funding information

Asahi Glass Foundation, Chulalongkorn Uni-versity Centenary Academic Development Project, Grant/Award Number: na

Abstract

Rationale:

Deficit schizophrenia, as defined by the Schedule for Deficit Syndrome,

may represent a distinct diagnostic class defined by neurocognitive impairments

coupled with changes in IgA/IgM responses to tryptophan catabolites (TRYCATs).

Adequate classifications should be based on supervised and unsupervised learning

rather than on consensus criteria.

Methods:

This study used machine learning as means to provide a more accurate

classification of patients with stable phase schizophrenia.

Results:

We found that using negative symptoms as discriminatory variables,

schizophrenia patients may be divided into two distinct classes modelled by (A)

impairments in IgA/IgM responses to noxious and generally more protective

trypto-phan catabolites, (B) impairments in episodic and semantic memory, paired associative

learning and false memory creation, and (C) psychotic, excitation, hostility, mannerism,

negative, and affective symptoms. The first cluster shows increased negative,

psy-chotic, excitation, hostility, mannerism, depression and anxiety symptoms, and more

neuroimmune and cognitive disorders and is therefore called

major neurocognitive

psychosis

(MNP). The second cluster, called

simple neurocognitive psychosis

(SNP) is discriminated from normal controls by the same features although the

impair-ments are less well developed than in MNP. The latter is additionally externally

vali-dated by lowered quality of life, body mass (reflecting a leptosome body type), and

education (reflecting lower cognitive reserve).

Conclusions:

Previous distinctions including

type 1

(positive)/

type 2

(negative)

and DSM

IV

TR (eg, paranoid) schizophrenia could not be validated using machine

learning techniques. Previous names of the illness, including schizophrenia, are not

very adequate because they do not describe the features of the illness, namely,

inter-related neuroimmune, cognitive, and clinical features. Stable

phase schizophrenia

consists of 2 relevant qualitatively distinct categories or nosological entities with

SNP being a less well

developed phenotype, while MNP is the full blown phenotype

or core illness. Major neurocognitive psychosis and SNP should be added to the DSM

5 and incorporated into the Research Domain Criteria project.

DOI: 10.1111/jep.12945

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K E Y W O R D S

chronic fatigue, cytokines, depression, inflammation, neuroimmune, schizophrenia, tryptophan

1

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I N T RO D U C T I O N

Current psychiatric nosologies are heavily debated.1,2One

fundamen-tal problem is the classification of schizophrenia, which has long time

been subject to controversies. A subset of patients with schizophrenia

present with negative symptoms, including affective flattening, alogia,

anhedonia, avolition, and social inhibition. This symptomatic cluster

when present during both psychotic exacerbations and also during

interepisode clinically stable phases is referred to as deficit

schizo-phrenia.3,4This negative symptom cluster, previously conceptualized

within the concept of“dementia praecox,”was defined by Kraepelin

as an early type of “dementia” with memory and attention

impair-ments and deterioration in goal‐directed behaviours.5 Furthermore,

Bleuler described deficit schizophrenia as an organic disorder that is

accompanied by loss of thought processes and associative thought

processes.5

Negative symptoms are currently conceptualized as behaviours

and thought processes, which the individual has partially lost due to

the disorder.6This contrasts with positive symptoms that encompass

delusions, hallucinations, disorganized thinking, and hostile

behav-iours, which are considered to be new behaviours or thought

pro-cesses that were not present before the onset of this illness.6

Consequently, patients with schizophrenia were subdivided according

to the 2‐syndrome concept into those with positive symptoms as

acute or type 1 schizophrenia versus those with negative symptoms

as chronic or type 2 schizophrenia.7

Moreover, in addition to positive and negative symptoms,

individ-uals with schizophrenia exhibit neurocognitive, affective, and

physiosomatic symptoms. Firstly, objective neurocognitive deficits in

schizophrenia comprise impairments in planning, context processing,

working memory, conscious recollection, attention, and visual memory

deficits.8-10 Using the Consortium to Establish a Registry for

Alzheimer Disease (CERAD) and Cambridge Neuropsychological Test

Automated Battery (CANTAB) tests, it was shown that individuals

with deficit schizophrenia have more profound and a broader range

of cognitive impairments than patients with nondeficit forms of the

disorder, including impairments in emotional recognition, semantic

and working memory, sustained attention, and especially in episodic

memory, including recall and recognition.10

Secondly, many individuals with schizophrenia experience clinically

meaningful depression and anxiety symptoms.11Recent research

sug-gests that these mood symptoms are highly significantly associated

with neurocognitive impairments, including executive functions, visual

memory, attention and social cognition, and especially with the

nega-tive symptoms of schizophrenia.11Thirdly, up to 53.7% of patients with

schizophrenia may have increased levels of physiosomatic symptoms,

including subjective cognitive complaints (SCCs), chronic fatigue,

mus-cle pain, irritable bowel, tension, autonomic symptoms, and a flu‐like

malaise.11These symptoms, including SCCs, fatigue, and a flu‐like

mal-aise appear to aggregate with neurocognitive impairments, including

executive functions, sustained attention, paired association learning,

spatial planning, working memory, attention set shifting and emotional

recognition, and with mood but not the negative or positive symptoms

of schizophrenia.11

Accumulating evidence indicates that peripheral and central

immune aberrations significantly contribute to the development of

schizophrenia.12,13Thus, acute schizophrenia and first‐episode

psycho-sis are characterized by immune activation, including T helper (Th)‐1,

Th‐2, and T regulatory responses and a mild chronic inflammatory

pro-cess with M1 macrophagic activation, increased complement factors

and acute phase proteins and elevated interleukin‐6 trans‐signalling,

coupled with increased neuro‐oxidative pathways.12-14 Chronic

schizophrenia is also characterized by signs of immune activation and

neuro‐oxidative stress as indicated by elevated levels of macrophage

inflammatory protein, eotaxin, soluble tumour necrosis factor (TNF)

receptor p60/p80 (TNFR1 and TNFR2), and protein carbonyls.12-15

Th‐1 and M1 cytokines and oxidative stress may activate indoleamine

2,3‐dioxygenase driving tryptophan to increased synthesis of

trypto-phan catabolites (TRYCATs) some of which have neurotoxic,

excitotoxic, neuroimmune, neuro‐oxidative, and neuro‐nitrosative

effects.10,11We detected that deficit schizophrenia is accompanied

by very specific changes in IgA and IgM‐mediated responses directed

to TRYCATs.10Thus, deficit schizophrenia is accompanied by increased

IgA‐mediated immune responses directed to noxious TRYCATs,

including picolinic acid (PA), xanthurenic acid (XA), quinolinic acid

(QA), and 3‐hydroxykynurenin (3HK), and decreased IgM responses to

the same TRYCATs, indicating increased production and lowered

regu-lation of those TRYCATs.10 Importantly, negative, mood, and

physiosomatic symptoms, including SCCs, as well as objective cognitive

deficits as measured with CERAD and CANTAB, were significantly

associated with changes in IgA/IgM responses to TRYCATs, suggesting

that elevations in noxious TRYCATs or the antecedents of TRYCAT

pathway stimulation could specifically contribute to the development

of these specific psychopathological manifestations.10,11

Using supervised pattern recognition methods, including soft

independent modelling of class analogy (SIMCA), we found that deficit

schizophrenia is a qualitatively distinct class or nosological entity

modelled and defined by neuroimmune (IgA/IgM responses directed

to TRYCATs) and cognitive (episodic and semantic memory) features

coupled or not with negative symptoms.16While these findings

pro-vide further support to the notion that schizophrenia is not an unitary

disorder,3,17the status of nondeficit schizophrenia was not clear as it

showed a large overlap not only with healthy controls but also with

deficit patients. In this respect, Braff et al18ascertained that also latent

class and genetic studies support the deficit subtype of schizophrenia,

but that the DSM‐5 classification would not be enhanced by adding

this subtype without a valid definition of the nondeficit subtype.

Thus, the aims of the present study are to refine the criteria for

“deficit schizophrenia”and identify new phenotypic features

(3)

strategies: data computation and translation from neuroscience to

clinical psychopathology. Towards this end, we used unsupervised

pattern recognition methods, including clustering analysis and t‐SNE,

with the aim to detect categories in the data set of negative

symp-toms.16,19,20The clusteranalytically generated classes were externally

validated against neuroimmune (TRYCAT pathway), cognitive

(CANTAB and CERAD), and clinical features that were not used to

generate the clusters.19,20 In addition, we used body mass index

(BMI) as another external validator as there is a significant association

between dementia praecox and leptosome built.21

2

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S U B J E C T S A ND M E T H O D S

2.1

|

Participants

This is a cross‐sectional study recruiting patients with schizophrenia

and apparently healthy controls, namely, Thai nationals, ages 18 to

65 years and of both sexes. The schizophrenia patients were

consec-utively admitted at the outpatient clinic of the Department of

Psychi-atry, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok,

Thailand. We recruited schizophrenia patients diagnosed according

to DSM‐IV‐TR criteria22 who were in a stable phase of illness as

defined by the absence of acute episodes for at least 1 year. DSM‐

IV‐TR diagnoses were made using Mini International Neuropsychiatric

Interview in a validated Thai translation.23The patients were divided

into those with deficit and nondeficit schizophrenia based on the

Schedule for the Deficit Syndrome (SDS).4The point criterion used

to make the diagnosis of deficit schizophrenia was the presence of 2

or more negative symptoms for the preceding year. These negative

symptoms comprise a diminished sense of purpose, curbing of

inter-est, diminished social drive, diminished emotional range, poverty of

speech, and restricted affect. Controls were recruited by word of

mouth and belonged to the same catchment area as the patients,

namely, the province Bangkok, Thailand.

We excluded patients with schizophrenia with other axis‐1 DSM‐

IV‐TR psychiatric disorders, such as major depression, bipolar

disor-der, schizoaffective disordisor-der, and substance use disorders. Also,

patients who presented acute exacerbations the year previous to

admission were excluded as were patients who presented with deficit

schizophrenia secondary to other conditions, including antipsychotic

drug‐induced extrapyramidal side effects. Healthy controls were

excluded when they had any axis‐1 DSM‐IV‐TR diagnosis or a

posi-tive family history (first degree) of major psychoses. We excluded

controls and patients with systemic immune and autoimmune

disor-ders, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, inflammatory

bowel disease, diabetes type 1 and 2, rheumatoid arthritis and

psori-asis, and neuroinflammatory illness, including multiple sclerosis,

stroke, and Parkinson disease. We also excluded patients and controls

who were taken immunomodulatory drugs and herbal, antioxidant, or

ω3‐polyunsaturated fatty acids supplements. After applying the

abovementioned inclusion and exclusion criteria, we recruited 40

healthy controls, 40 individuals with deficit, and 40 with nondeficit

schizophrenia. All controls and schizophrenia patients as well as the

guardians of patients, namely, their parents or other close family

members, gave written informed consent prior to participation in this

study. The study was conducted according to Thai and international

ethics and privacy laws. Approval for the study was obtained from

the Institutional Review Board of the Faculty of Medicine,

Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand, which is in compliance

with the International Guideline for Human Research protection as

required by the Declaration of Helsinki, The Belmont Report, CIOMS

Guideline, and International Conference on Harmonization in Good

Clinical Practice.

2.2

|

Methods

2.2.1

|

Assessments

Both healthy controls and schizophrenia patients underwent a

semistructured interview, which was conducted by the principal

investigator of the study, a senior psychiatrist (B.K.). This interview

comprised sociodemographic data, lifetime history of psychiatric

and medical disorders, family history of psychiatric disorders, the

Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview, and different rating

scales to measure severity of negative, positive, mood, and

physiosomatic symptoms. To measure negative symptoms, we

scored the SDS4 and the Scale for the Assessment of Negative

Symptoms (SANS).24 To measure positive, negative, general, mood,

and physio‐somatic symptoms, we scored the Positive and Negative

Syndrome Scale (PANSS),25 the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale

(BPRS),26 the Fibromyalgia and Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Rating

Scale,27 the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale, and the Hamilton

Anxiety Rating Scale.28,29The diagnosis of nicotine dependence or

tobacco use disorder was made using DSM‐IV‐TR criteria. The same

day as the interviews, we measured body height (in meter) and

weight (in kg) and computed the BMI as weight (kg)/height (meter2).

In addition, we computed z unit‐weighted composite scores

reflecting severity of different symptomatic dimensions11(see Data

S1). Health‐related quality of life was measured using the World

Health Organization Quality of Life Instrument‐abbreviated

ver-sion.30 We also used the EQ5D to measure selfcare and usual

activities.31 The same day as the semistructured interview, a well

trained research assistant (S.T.), a master in mental health,

completed the CANTAB and CERAD tests.32,33The same research

assistant, blinded to the clinical diagnosis, performed all

neuropsy-chological tests in all patients and controls. Data S1 lists the CERAD

and CANTAB tests used in this study.

2.2.2

|

TRYCAT pathway assays

The same day as the semistructured interview and neurocognitive

tests blood was sampled around 8:00 am and frozen at80°C until

thawed for assay for IgM and IgA responses directed against 6

TRYCATs, namely, the noxious (NOX) TRYCATs QA, 3HK, PA, and

XA, and generally more protective (PRO) TRYCATs, namely,

kynurenic acid (KA) and anthranilic acid (AA). Previously, the assays

were described somewhere else34and detailed in Data S1. This file

also shows the relevant z‐unit weighted composite TRYCAT scores

(4)

2.2.3

|

Statistics

Clustering analysis was the primary statistical approach used to

classify the individuals into relevant clusters using Forgy centroid

and theK‐means method.19,20These analyses detect classes of highly

similar entities and reorganize the data set into more homogeneous

groups. The main goals of our cluster‐analytic procedures were (A)

to develop a typology or classification of stable phase schizophrenia

based on negative symptoms; (B) to compare this new classification

with the SDS diagnosis of deficit schizophrenia in order to improve

the diagnostic criteria; and (C) to determine whether a nondeficit

phenotype can be detected in our data set. The variables to be

classified contained 11 negative symptoms as measured with the

SDS (n = 6) + SANS (n = 5) or the 6 first principal components (PCs)

used as dimension reduction method and explaining 94.8% of the

variance in these 11 variables. Two other unsupervised techniques

were used to visualize the data points of all participants on a 2‐

dimensional plane, namely, 2D and 3D t‐distributed stochastic

neighbour embedding (t‐SNE) and PC plots, 2 dimensionality reduction

techniques.

To interpret the data structure of the generated clusters, we

per-formed different statistical analyses. Analyses of variance and the

Kruskal‐Wallis test were used to assess differences between the

clus-ter‐analytically generated classes in scale variables, including

neuroimmune, cognitive, and clinical features. Analysis of contingency

tables (Χ2‐test) were used to assess associations between the

gener-ated clusters and nominal variables, including deficit diagnosis and

sex. Multivariate general linear model (GLM) analyses were used to

assess the effects of diagnosis on sets of neuroimmune, cognitive,

and symptomatic features, while controlling for sex, age, and years

of education as confounding variables. Subsequently, tests for

between‐subjects effects were used to check the effects of the

signif-icant explanatory variables on the dependent variables. The results of

multiple analyses were p corrected for false discovery rate according

to Benjamini and Hochberg.35 Automatic stepwise binary logistic

regression analyses were used to delineate the most significant

neuroimmune (TRYCAT ratios), cognitive (CERAD and CANTAB tests),

and clinical features (items of the different rating scales) predicting the

cluster‐analytically generated classes, while using Nagelkerke values

as effect size estimates. Data S1 shows the supervised techniques

used here. Automatic stepwise regression analyses with the zunit‐

weighted composite scores of the symptom dimensions as dependent

variables and the neuroimmune, cognitive, and negative symptoms as

explanatory variables were performed in order to delineate the most

important features. Statistical analyses were performed using IBM

SPSS Windows version 22, Statistica 8, Maes‐Stat and MatLab. Tests

were 2‐tailed, and an alpha level of 0.05 indicated a statistically

significant effect.

3

|

R E S U L T S

3.1

|

Clustering analysis

We examined 2 and 3 cluster solutions with both clustering

methods. The 2 cluster solution yielded the most interpretable

results, and there was a total agreement between both Forgy and

K‐mean clustering solutions. Moreover, entering the 11 negative

symptoms or the first 6 PCs subtracted from these 11 symptoms

yielded exactly the same results. Both clustering methods split the

schizophrenia group in 2 classes with 43 and 35 subjects.

Conse-quently, individuals were assigned to 3 categories, namely, (A)

healthy controls, (B) schizophrenic patients belonging to cluster 1

(n = 43), and (C) cluster 2 (n = 35). Figure S1 shows the

measure-ment of the negative SDS and SANS symptoms used to generate

cluster1, cluster2, and controls. Table S1 shows the demographic

data of the clusters. There were no significant differences in age,

sex, tobacco use disorder, number of psychoses, or duration of

ill-ness between both clusters. Subjects belonging to cluster 2 showed

a significantly lower education, less employment, and a lower BMI

than those belonging to cluster 1. There was a strong association

between the cluster‐analytically generated classes and the deficit

versus nondeficit distinction, although 7 cases were misclassified.

Binary logistic regression analysis showed that 3 SANS items were

the best predictors separating the 2 clusters, namely, anhedonia,

attention, and flattening (Nagelkerke = 1.000,χ2 = 107.31,df = 3,

P< .001). The sum of those 3 items >24 showed a sensitivity of

97.7% and a specificity of 97.1%.

3.2

|

Clinical features of the clusters

Table S1 shows that all rating scale scores, except Fibromyalgia and

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Rating, were significantly higher in cluster

2 than cluster 1. All contrasts remained significant afterPcorrections

were made. Multivariate GLM analysis showed that the severity of

the 4 symptom dimensions (psychosis, hostility, excitement, and

man-nerism) was significantly different between the 3 study groups

(F= 14.57,df= 8/218,P< .001; partial eta squared = 0.348). Table

S1 shows the model‐generated marginal means after adjusting for

age, sex, and education. Pairwise comparisons showed that psychosis,

hostility, excitement, and mannerism were all significantly higher in

cluster 2 than cluster 1 (allP< .001). Partial eta squared values were

psychotic symptoms: 0.441; hostility: 0.191; excitement: 0.544; and

mannerism: 0.279. Figure S2 shows the 4 dimensions (in zscores)

together with thez values of the total SDS and total SANS scores

in the 3 groups.

Table S1 also shows the scores on the WHOQOL in the 3 study

groups. Multivariate GLM analysis showed that there was a significant

effect of diagnosis on the 4 WHOLQOL and total WHOQOL

mea-surements (F= 9.29,df= 8/222,P< .001; partial eta squared = 0.285).

Tests for between‐subject effects showed significant effects of

diag-nosis on the 5 WHOQOL measurements with partial eta square values

for domain 1: 0.314; domain 2: 0.425; domain 3: 0.128; domain 4:

0.385; and total score: 0.404. Domain 3 scores were significantly

higher in cluster 2 patients than in controls (P= .001) and cluster 1

patients (P= .010). All other domain scores and the total score were

significantly different between the 3 study groups and decreased from

controls to cluster 1 patients and then to cluster 2 patients. Also, the

EQ‐5D item“problems in usual activities”was significantly higher in

(5)

3.3

|

Neuroimmune features of both clusters

Figure S3 shows the TRYCAT ratios in the 3 study groups. Multivariate

GLM analysis showed a highly significant effect of diagnosis on the 4

TRYCAT ratios (F = 8.69, df = 8/216, P < .001; partial eta

squared = 0.243), while tests for between‐subject effects showed

highly significant associations between diagnosis and IgA NOX_PRO

(F= 21.44,df= 2/111,P< .001) with higher values in both clusters

than in controls (P< .001) but no significant differences between both

clusters (P= .051). Tests for between‐subject effects showed highly

significant associations between diagnosis and Δ NOX_PRO

(F= 12.84,df= 2/111, P< .001),ΔIgA_IgM (F= 6.12,df= 2/111,

P= .003), and IgM KA_3HK (F= 13.92,df= 2/111,P< .001) with

higher values in cluster 2 than in controls (allP< .001) and cluster 1

(all P < .002). All contrasts remained significant after Pcorrections

were made.

3.4

|

Neurocognitive features of both clusters

Figure S4 shows the 10 CANTAB tests in the 3 study groups.

Multivar-iate GLM analysis showed a highly significant effect of diagnosis on the

10 CANTAB tests (F = 3.27, df = 20/198, P < .001; partial eta

squared = 0.248), while tests for between‐subject effects showed

highly significant associations between diagnosis and all 10 key

CAN-TAB tests except IED_EDS and IED_TEA. Tests for between‐subject

effects showed significant differences between both clusters in RVP_A

(P= .037), PAL_TEA (P= .006), SWM_BE (P= .030), and OTS_SBOFC

(P= .030). RVP_A and PAL_TEA were significantly lower in cluster 2

patients than in controls (P= .001), while no significant differences

were found between cluster 1 and controls. There were highly

signifi-cant differences between both clusters and normal controls in RVP_BE

(P< .008), SWM_STR (P< .001), SWM_BE (P< .001), OTS_SBOFC

(P< .001), ERT_MORL (P= .005), and ERT_PC (P= .01).

Table S1 shows that there are significant differences in the

epi-sodic memory index between the 3 groups with increasing

impair-ments from controls to cluster 1 and from cluster 1 to cluster 2. The

semantic memory index showed significantly worse scores in both

schizophrenia clusters than in controls. Figure S5 shows the 7 CERAD

tests in the 3 study groups. Multivariate GLM analysis showed a highly

significant effect of diagnosis on the 7 CERAD tests (F= 5.21,df= 14/

206,P< .001; partial eta squared = 0.263), while tests for between‐

subject effects showed highly significant associations between

diag-nosis and all CERAD tests (atP< .001) except Boston Naming Test.

Cluster 2 patients showed significantly worse outcomes on Mini‐

Mental State Examination (MMSE) (P= .001), Word List Memory

(WLM) (P= .001), TrueRecall (P= .002), FalseRecall (P= .001), and

WordRecognition (P= .029) than cluster1 patients, while there were

no significant differences between both clusters in verbal fluency test

(VFT) (P= .201). Patients belonging to cluster 1 and cluster 2 showed

significantly worse outcomes on WLM (P= .008) than controls. There

were no significant differences in MMSE (P = .238), TrueRecall

(P= .096), FalseRecall (P= .132) and WordRecognition (P = .923)

between cluster 1 patients and controls. Based on these findings, we

have named cluster 2 as “major neurocognitive psychosis (MNP)”

and cluster 1 as“simple neurocognitive psychosis (SNP).”

3.5

|

Best predictors of MNP (cluster 2) and SNP

(cluster 1)

Table 1 shows the results of different automatic stepwise binary

logis-tic regression analyses with MNP or SNP as dependent variables and

CANTAB and CERAD tests and TRYCAT ratios as explanatory

vari-ables. AllPvalues of the 15 regressions shown in Table 1 remained

sig-nificant afterPcorrections were made. Firstly, we have delineated the

predictors of MNP versus SNP. Major neurocognitive psychosis was

best predicted by a combination of 2 PANSS symptoms, namely, N1

(blunted affect) and N3 (poor rapport). Regression no. 2 shows that

MNP was also highly significantly predicted by 2 of the 6 symptoms

of the psychotic dimension, namely, BPRS12 (hallucinatory behaviour)

and BPRS15 (unusual thought content). Regression no. 3 shows that

MNP was highly significantly predicted by 2 symptoms belonging to

the excitation, hostility, and posturing dimensions, namely, P7

(hostil-ity) and BPRS17 (excitement). Major neurocognitive psychosis was

also predicted by MMSE combined with FalseRecall (regression no.

4), PAL‐TEA (regression no. 5), and a combination of 2 TRYCAT ratios

(regression no. 6) or WLM, MMSE coupled with 2 TRYCAT ratios

(regression no. 7).

Simple neurocognitive psychosis (with controls as reference

group) was significantly predicted by WLM and VFT (regression no.

1), SWM_BE and ERT_MORL (regression no. 2), IgA NOX_PRO and

IgM 3HK_KA (regression no. 3), and the combination IgA NOX_PRO

and VFT (after adjusting for sex). Major neurocognitive psychosis

was highly significantly discriminated from controls using WLM and

VFT (regression no. 1), RVP_ML and SWM_BE (regression no. 2), IgA

NOX_PRO and IgM 3HK_KA (regression no. 3), and the combination

IgA NOX_PRO, VFT, and WLM (regression no. 4).

3.6

|

Results of SVM, random forest, and adaptive

boosting

Table S2 shows the 10‐fold cross‐validation performances of the

feature sets, namely, the TRYCAT ratios, CANTAB/CERAD measures,

and clinical variables. We have also introduced age, sex, and

educa-tion in the same supervised learning techniques and learned whether

the neuroimmune and cognitive features provided extra predictive

power over the confounding variables. This is important as there

are significant associations between neurocognitive tests and age,

sex, and education.10Using the CERAD, CANTAB, and TRYCAT

fea-tures separating MNP from SNP resulted in a modest 10‐fold cross‐

validation accuracy (51.8%‐69.3%). Using psychotic and excitation,

but not hostility and mannerism, symptoms yielded a much higher

cross‐validation accuracy (74.6%‐91.8%). Combining TRYCAT and

CERAD with the psychotic, hostility, excitation, and mannerism

(PHEM) symptoms yielded good accuracy segregating MNP from

SNP (79.1%‐86.1%), SNP from controls (77.5%‐85.0%), and MNP

from controls (93.8%‐97.1%).

Consequently, we have computed the predictive weights in the

above linear SVM models and the importances in the random forest

models using the combined features of TRYCATs and CERAD or

TRYCATs, CERAD, and PHEM symptoms. Table 2 shows that 4 of

(6)

both linear SVM and random forest agreed, namely, IgM KA_3HK, )

NOX_PRO, age, and MMSE. Of the PHEM symptoms, the top 1

fea-ture segregating MNP from SNP was BPRS item 17 (excitation). When

combining the 3 feature sets (which yielded a good accuracy; see Table

S2), BPRS item 17 (excitation) and PANSS item P7 (hostility) belonged

to the top‐5 features in both analyses, while random forest (which

yielded the best segregation in Table S2) additionally showed that

IgM KA_3HK, ) NOX_PRO, and MMSE are important for segregating

MNP from SNP. Comparing the results of binary regression analyses

(Table 1) with the feature weights and importances in Table 2 shows

that 6 features were relevant in all 3 types of analyses, namely, )

NOX_PRO, IgM KA_3HK, BPRS17 (excitation), P7 (hostility), MMSE,

and WLM.

Four of the top 5 features segregating SNP from controls agreed

between linear SVM and random forest, namely, BPRS12

(hallucina-tions), P1 (delusions), P4 (excitation), and IgA NOX_PRO. Two of the

top 5 features segregating MNP from controls agreed between linear

SVM and random forest, namely, BPRS15 (unusual thoughts), which

TABLE 1 Results of different automatic stepwise binary logistic regression analyses with MNP and SNP as dependent variables and CANTAB and CERAD tests, and TRYCAT ratios as explanatory variablesa

Entered as Explanatory

Variables MNP/SNP Nagelkerke

Significant Explanatory

Variables Wald df P OR 95% CI

SANS negative 0.841 N1 8.57 1 .003 9.75 2.12 to 44.77

77.30,df= 2,P< .001 N3 8.41 1 .004 8.48 2.00 to 35.94

Psychotic dimension 0.705 BPRS12 15.01 1 <.001 6.39 2.50 to 16.33

58.42,df= 2,P< .001 BPRS15 4.67 1 .031 2.73 1.10 to 6.80

Excitation, hostility, mannerism dimensions

0.820 P7 5.50 1 .018 2.18 1.14 to 4.16

74.02,df= 2,P< .001 BPRS17 16.12 1 <.001 47.72 7.23 to 314.92

CERAD 0.313 MMSE 6.40 1 .011 0.44 0.24 to 0.83

19.69,df= 2,P< .001 False recall 5.52 1 .019 2.17 1.14 to 4.15

CANTAB 0.128 PAL_TEA 6.69 1 .010 1.92 1.17 to 3.15

7.53,df= 1,P= .006

TRYCATs 0.342 ΔIgA_IgM 5.16 1 .023 1.97 1.10 to 3.52

22.71,df= 2,P< .001 IgM 3HK_KA 11.07 1 .001 2.99 1.57 to 5.71

CERAD + TRYCATs 0.594 ΔNOX/PRO 6.40 1 .011 2.17 1.19 to 4.00

63.46,df= 4,P< .001 IgM 3HK_KA 11.14 1 .001 3.12 1.60 to 6.09

WLM 4.51 1 .034 0.45 0.22 to 0.94

MMSE 9.77 1 .002 0.34 0.17 to 0.67

SNP/controls

CERAD 0.388 WLM 4.28 1 .039 0.49 0.25 to 0.96

28.18,df= 2,P< .001 VFT 11.27 1 .001 0.28 0.13 to 0.59

CANTAB 0.422 SWM_BE 11.56 1 .001 2.88 1.56 to−5.29

31.13,df= 2,P< .001 ERT_MORL 8.38 1 .004 3.04 1.43 to 6.46

TRYCAT 0.342 IgA NOX/PRO 16.20 1 <.001 5.08 2.30 to 11.20

24.33,df= 2,P< .001 ΔIgA_IgM 3.87 1 .049 0.54 0.29 to 0.99

CERAD + TRYCATs 0.601 IgA NOX/PRO 9.32 1 .002 3.49 1.56 to 7.79

48.58,df= 3,P< .001 VFT 12.02 1 .001 0.16 0.06 to 0.45

Sex (male) 10.03 1 .002 12.51 2.62 to 59.71

MNP/controls

CERAD 0.662 WLM 11.92 1 .001 0.15 0.05 to 0.43

49.12,df= 2P< .001 VFT 8.16 1 .001 0.23 0.09 to 0.63

CANTAB 0.634 RVP_ML 9.33 1 .002 5.11 1.79 to 14.51

44.19,df= 2,P< .001 SWM_BE 12.45 1 <.001 4.85 2.02 to 11.66

TRYCATs 0.575 IgA NOX_PRO 15.14 1 <.001 6.37 2.51 to 16.18

42.23,df= 1,P< .001 IgM 3HK_KA 4.15 1 .042 2.16 1.03 to 4.51

CERAD + TRYCATs 0.802 IgA NOX/PRO 10.22 1 .001 8.57 2.30 to 31.99

69.30,df= 3,P< .001 VFT 5.16 1 .023 0.23 0.06 to 0.82

WLM 8.54 1 .003 0.13 0.03 to 0.51

aPsychosis: PANSS P1 (delusion), P3 (hallucinations), P6 (suspiciousness), BPRS11 (suspiciousness), BPRS12 (hallucinatory behaviour), BPRS15 (unusual

(7)

was ranked first in both analyses, and IgA NOX_PRO, while also

BPRS11 (suspicious), WLM, and MMSE were relevant features in

random forest and IgM KA_3HK, P4 (excitation), and P7 (hostility) in

linear SVM.

3.7

|

Results of SIMCA analyses

Firstly, we examined possible differences between MNP, SNP, and

controls using TRYCAT ratios, CERAD, and the 4 composite

symptom-atic scores. Table 3 (SIMCA no. 1) shows that the combination of

TRYCATs, CERAD, and clinical features yielded a highly significant

modelling and discrimination of the 3 classes. Simple neurocognitive

psychosis was significantly separated from controls (model‐to‐model

distance = 10.60) using the 4 dimension scores, VFT, and MMSE

(top 6 features). Major neurocognitive psychosis was significantly

separated from controls (model‐to‐model distance = 6.90) with as

top 6 features IgA NOX_PRO, excitement, and psychotic scores,

MMSE, FalseRecall and TrueRecall. Major neurocognitive psychosis

was significantly separated from SNP (model‐to‐model distance = 4.29)

with as discriminatory features hostility and excitement scores, MMSE

and TrueRecall, IgA NOX_PRO, and IgM 3KA_3HK.

Consequently, we performed a SIMCA without the 4 symptomatic

dimension scores and with the separate TRYCATs (instead of ratios) as

modelling/discriminatory features. SIMCA no. 2 shows that the

model‐to‐model distances remained significant after removing the 4

symptomatic dimension scores and that IgA responses to 3HK, QA,

and KA together with VFT, MMSE, and FalseRecall were the top 6

fea-tures discriminating SNP from controls. Also, the distance between

MNP and controls was significant with IgA responses to 3HK, KA,

PA, and AA coupled with MMSE and VFT as modelling/discriminatory

TABLE 2 Predictive weights in linear SVM or importances in random forest models performed on different feature sets, namely, CANTAB measures, CERAD tests, IgM/IgA response ratios directed to TRYCATs, and symptom dimensions, including PHEMa

MNP/SNP

Linear SVM Random Forest

Top Features Feature Weights Top Features Feature Importance

CERAD + TRYCATs IgM KA_3HK 0.2989 IgM KA_3HK 0.3306

ΔNOX_PRO 0.2136 ΔNOX_PRO 0.1444

Age −0.1119 MMSE 0.1068

WLM −0.1294 BNT 0.1025

MMSE −0.3406 Age 0.0805

PHEM BPRS17 1.4213 BPRS17 0.5639

P7 0.6983 BPRS11 0.1126

G14 0.6210 Education 0.0612

PHEM + CERAD + TRYCATs BPRS17 1.3384 BPRS17 0.3116

P7 0.7677 IgM KA_3HK 0.1309

G14 0.4747 ΔNOX_PRO 0.1102

WLM 0.4651 P7 0.0782

BPRS11 0.4543 MMSE 0.0755

SNP/controls

CERAD + TRYCATs VFT −0.6005 WLM 0.1970

IgA NOX_PRO 0.5560 VFT 0.1802

WLM −0.4456 IgA NOX_PRO 0.1630

Sex −0.4385 Age 0.1369

IgM KA_3HK −0.3681 IgM KA_3HK 0.1007

PHEM + CERAD + TRYCATs BPRS12 0.8546 VFT 0.1604

P4 0.6875 BPRS12 0.1437

P1 0.6343 P4 0.1303

P5 0.3161 P1 0.0883

IgA NOX_PRO 0.3014 IgA NOX_PRO 0.0718

MNP/controls

CERAD + TRYCATs IgA NOX_PRO 0.5210 WLM 0.2482

Gender −0.6419 VFT 0.1636

MMSE −0.6798 MMSE 0.1561

WLM −0.9592 IgA NOX_PRO 0.1405

VFT −0.9742 IgM KA_3HK 0.1046

PHEM + CERAD + TRYCATs BPRS15 0.7843 BPRS15 0.2577

IgM KA_3HK 0.5899 BPRS11 0.1688

P7 0.5610 IgA NOX_PRO 0.1315

IgA NOX_PRO 0.2981 WLM 0.1165

P4 0.2462 MMSE 0.0781

aPHEM: items of different symptomatic dimensions: psychosis, hostility, excitation and mannerism. Psychosis: PANSS P1 (delusion), P3 (hallucinations), P6

(8)

variables. Finally, there was also a significant distance between MNP

and SNP using IgA responses to 3HK and KA together with VFT,

WLM, MMSE, and FalseRecall as modelling/discriminatory variables.

Secondly, we have also investigated whether PHEM and

psy-chotic symptoms alone may model and discriminate the MNP and

SNP classes. SIMCAs no. 3 shows that psychotic symptoms alone

sig-nificantly modelled and discriminated both classes, and that all 6

fea-tures contributed to the discrimination. Also, PHEM feafea-tures (SIMCA

no. 4) significantly modelled and discriminated both classes (model‐

top‐model distance = 4.42), while the top 6 features were BPRS17

(excitation), BPRS12 (hallucinations), BPRS15 (unusual thoughts),

BPRS10 (hostility), P4 (excitation), and BPRS8 (grandiosity).

3.8

|

Results of t

SNE and PC plots

Finally, we used t‐SNE to visualize the underlying data structure of the

TRYCAT, CERAD, and PHEM features in a 2‐dimensional plane.

Figure 1 shows the distribution of all data points of the subjects and

the MNP, SNP, and control classes (left panel) or only MNP and

con-trol classes (right panel). The right panel shows that the 3 sets of

fea-tures strongly demarcate MNP from controls with clear boundaries

between the 2 groups. This is in accordance with the results obtained

by SIMCA, linear and RBF SVM, random forest, and adaptive boosting,

which all showed a significant segregation/discrimination of both

groups. The left panel shows that when also the data points of the

SNP class are included in the same plot, they filled the street between

MNP and controls and overlapped with both other classes.

Nevertheless, it can be seen that the“distribution”of the SNP data

points may take a different shape than that of the MNP and control

classes. Principal component plots, namely, PC1 versus PC2, PC3,

PC4, and PC5, or especially the 3‐dimensional (3D) plot of PC1, PC2,

and PC3 shows that the 3 classes are well separated in the 3D space.

In Figure 2, we visualize the distribution of the SNP data points and

the model that contains these data points, showing that the model

constructed around the SNP data points may be different from the

models that surround MNP and control data points, although there

may be some overlap.

3.9

|

Prediction of PHEM dimensions by TRYCATs,

cognitive function, and negative symptoms

Table S3 (regression nos. 1‐4) shows the associations between the 4

symptomatic dimensions and TRYCAT ratios, CERAD tests scores

and clinical features. All Pvalues of the 12 regressions shown in

Table S3 remained significant after P corrections were made. We

found that a part of the variance in psychotic, excitement, and

man-nerism symptoms were associated with the TRYCAT ratios, especially

the IgA NOX_PRO ratio. All 4 dimensions were associated with

educa-tion (protective) and male sex (risk factor).

In a second set of analyses (regression nos. 5‐8), we found that

the psychotic and excitement dimensions are for a larger part

(35.7%‐44.4% of the variance) predicted by the combined effects of

TRYCAT and CERAD features with or without male sex. Also, hostility

TABLE 3 Results of SIMCA analyses performed with CANTAB tests, CERAD tests, IgM/IgA responses directed to TRYCATs, and symptom dimensions, including PHEM as modelling/discriminatory features and MNP, SNP, and healthy controls (C) as classesa

Tests Classes

Model‐to‐ Model Distance

Top Features with Highest Discriminatory Power in SIMCA

1 2 3 4 5 6

CERAD + TRYCATs + PHEM

SNP/controls 10.60 Mannerism Psychosis Hostility Excitement VFT MMSE

5.9432 3.8034 3.6459 3.6148 3.2301 3.1401

MNP/controls 6.90 IgANOX_PRO Excitement MMSE Psychotic False Recall True Recall

3.1206 3.0388 2.9163 2.9004 2.7641 2.7640

MNP/SNP 4.29 Hostility Excitement MMSE IgANOX/

PRO

IgM KA_ 3HK

True Recall

2.4972 2.3600 2.2323 2.2219 2.1662 1.8767

CERAD + TRYCATs

SNP/controls 7.04 IgA 3HK IgA QA IgA KA VFT MMSE False Recall

8.302 3.624 3.063 2.881 2.616 2.594

MNP/controls 6.52 IgA 3HK MMSE IgM KA VFT IgA PA IgA AA

4.001 3.619 3.271 3.212 2.927 2.716

MNP/SNP 4.59 IgA 3HK IgA KA VFT MMSE WLM False Recall

3.940 2.622 2.560 2.489 2.463 2.278

Psychotic symptoms

MNP/SNP 5.31 BPRS15 BPRS12 P1 P6 P3 BPRS11

3.0275 2.6607 2.4929 1.9786 1.8796 1.8228

PHEM MNP/SNP 4.42 BPRS17 BPRS12 BPRS15 BPRS10 P4 BPRS8

3.9020 3.0037 2.3996 2.3965 2.1404 2.0588

aPHEM: items of different symptomatic dimensions: psychosis, hostility, excitation and mannerism. Psychosis: PANSS P1 (delusion), P3 (hallucinations), P6

(9)

and mannerism were significantly associated with CERAD variables

and male sex.

The 4‐dimensional scores were also significantly associated with

the negative symptoms, which explained around 57.0% to 61.6% in

the variance of the psychotic and excitement dimensions and 23.0%

to 30.1% of the variance in the mannerism and hostility dimensions.

N3 (poor rapport), N5 (difficulty in abstract thinking), and N7

(stereo-typed thinking) were the most significant predictors of these 4‐

dimen-sional scores. In the patients, we also investigated whether the DSM‐

IV‐TR diagnosis paranoia could have an effect on the 4 symptom

dimensions. The diagnosis paranoia, however, had no significant effect

on the 4 dimensions (F= 0.95,df= 4/67,P= .439), while MNP versus

SNP were highly significant (F= 11.41,df= 4/67,P< .001).

4

|

D I S C U S S I O N

4.1

|

Description of the 2 classes generated by

clustering analysis

In this study, we have successfully classified our schizophrenia

patients into 2 groups based on the presence of the negative

symp-toms of the SDS and SANS. One cluster (cluster 2) was

character-ized by higher scores on all SDS and SANS items as compared

with the other cluster (cluster 1). There was a particularly clear

sim-ilarity between our results obtained by unsupervised learning and

the division of the same patients based on SDS criteria.4

Neverthe-less, applying the SDS criteria showed that some patients were

misclassified because the SDS criteria were less restrictive than the

cluster analytically generated classes herein observed. Logistic

regression analyses showed that 3 negative subscale items of the

SANS, namely, anhedonia, attention, and flattening, were most

use-ful in discriminating the 2 clusters with 100% accuracy and that

the sum of those 3 items >24 showed a sensitivity of 97.7% and a

specificity of 97.1%.

Although our clustering analysis provided a class, which broadly

agreed with the characteristics of deficit schizophrenia,4it would be

inadequate to use a label stressing negative symptoms, including

“deficit schizophrenia.”Indeed, external validation shows that cluster

2 is characterized by many more features, which adequately

discrim-inate this cluster from controls and cluster 1. Firstly, cluster 2 is

accompanied by increased IgA responses to noxious TRYCATs

(indi-cating increased production) and by lowered levels of IgM responses

to the same noxious TRYCATs (indicating lowered regulation)

pointing to increased activities of these noxious TRYCAT

spe-cies.10,11Secondly, cluster 2 is characterized by important deficits

in episodic and sematic memory and a decline in neuropsychological

functioning as indicated by a lower MMSE, which are all strongly

associated with negative symptoms.10Thirdly, cluster 2 is

character-ized and modelled by highly increased scores on psychotic

FIGURE 1 T‐distributed stochastic neighbour embedding (t‐SNE) plot visualizing the underlying data structure of neuroimmune (namely, the tryptophan catabolite pathway), cognitive (namely, Cambridge neuropsychological test automated battery and consortium to establish a registry for Alzheimer's disease tests), and clinical (namely, psychotic, hostility, excitation, and mannerism) features. Those features strongly segregate major neurocognitive psychosis (MNP) from normal controls. The data distribution of simple neurocognitive psychosis (SNP) cases shows a different shape than that of MNP and normal controls

(10)

symptoms, excitation, hostility, and mannerism, while also

depres-sive, but not physiosomatic, symptoms are somewhat higher.

Phrased differently, although cluster 2 was generated using negative

symptoms, also PHEM symptoms model and discriminate that class

highly significantly. Moreover, the PHEM symptoms are highly

signif-icantly associated with negative symptoms sharing 23.0% to 61.6%

of their variance. This shows that negative and PHEM symptoms

are intertwined phenomena that co‐occur to shape cluster 2 as a

distinct class. Fourthly, HR‐QOL and employment status are

signifi-cantly decreased in cluster 2 as compared with cluster 1 patients.

Finally, the findings of SIMCA support the categorical approach that

cluster 2 is a distinct class and nosological entity and not a more

severe variant in a continuum36of progressing neuroimmune,

cogni-tive, and clinical aberrations.

4.2

|

A new name for stable phase schizophrenia

subtypes

A new name describing an illness should include its most

character-istic features as well as what it excludes. Therefore, our results show

that previous labels of the illness are not very adequate. Thus,

“dementia praecox”stresses dementia, but what is actually observed

are deficits in semantic and episodic memory in the range of

amnestic mild cognitive impairment, not dementia. Moreover,

Bleuler's concept of“schizophrenia”clearly does not fit the features

of the illness as there is no splitting but rather different interrelated

clinical and cognitive symptoms. Moreover, our results do not

pro-vide support to Bleuler's distinction into basic symptoms, including

loosening of associations and withdrawal from reality and accessory

symptoms, including hallucinations and delusions.37Conversely, data

herein presented suggest that all symptom dimensions are

intertwined phenomena that are modulated by neuroimmune and

cognitive impairments. Also, the labels “type 1” (positive) and“type

2” (negative) schizophrenia are not adequate as positive symptoms

appear to consist of different other dimensions, including psychotic

and excitation dimensions, which are associated with neuroimmune

and cognitive features. This study also showed that the DSM‐IV‐

TR diagnosis“paranoid schizophrenia”is not helpful. Thus, this label

did not show any significant neuroimmune or cognitive correlates.

Even more, the variance in the PHEM dimension in schizophrenia

patients was explained by the generated clusters and not by

para-noid schizophrenia, indicating that the latter diagnosis is not

accom-panied by more psychotic symptoms, including delusions. These

findings further support the trend of DSM‐5 to delete the DSM‐

IV‐TR subtypes, including paranoid schizophrenia, because of their

“limited diagnostic stability, low reliability, and poor validity” (DSM‐

5, 2013). Moreover, these DSM‐IV‐TR subtypes are generally not

being used in research papers.18

Therefore, in order to stress the role of neuroimmune, cognitive,

and psychotic symptoms, which model cluster 2, we suggest to

name this subtype of stable phase schizophrenia major

neurocognitive psychosis.“Major”to denote the severity of the

neg-ative and PHEM symptoms as well as the neuroimmune and

cogni-tive impairments. In several countries, there is a trend to change

the diagnostic label of schizophrenia because diagnostic labels such

as “dementia praecox,” “schizophrenia,” and “deficit schizophrenia”

add to the stigmatization of individuals with these disorders.38

Con-sequently, new diagnostic labels were proposed especially in Asian

countries, including“integration disorder”in Japan and“dysfunction

of thought and perception”in China.38 Thus, our proposal to label

this cluster as MNP is in accordance with the new trend to minimize

the stigmatization and to include “thought disorder” in the new

name of the illness. Nevertheless,“thought disorder”does not reflect

the severity of the cognitive correlates of negative as well as

psy-chotic symptoms.

4.3

|

MNP should be added to DSM

5

Another relevant question is whether MNP should be added to the

DSM‐5 as a nosological entity. Braff et al18 argued that the DSM

5 classification of schizophrenia would not be enhanced by adding

the deficit subtype without a valid definition of the“nondeficit”

sub-type. In this respect, the current study shows that also non‐MNP

patients aggregate and form a distinct class well separated from

con-trols using IgA responses to noxious TRYCATs, impairments in

semantic and episodic memory, and PHEM features. Nevertheless,

the aberrations in these 3 features are more expressed in MNP than

in non‐MNP patients. Therefore, we name the last group “simple

neurocognitive psychosis,”indicating that this class is characterized

by less well‐developed neuroimmune, cognitive, clinical, and health‐

related features, while MNP should be regarded as the full‐blown

core illness. Previously, we reported that while deficit schizophrenia

is a distinct category separated from normal controls and nondeficit

schizophrenia,16 the latter subtype could not be established as a

separate entity that was discriminated from controls. Thus, by

re‐allocating some patients with deficit schizophrenia to the SNP

class and some patients with nondeficit schizophrenia to the MNP

class, the clustering analysis generated a better accuracy than the

more liberal SDS classification. Figure 2 shows how the clustering

analysis demarcated 2 distinct classes regarding the features

measured here.

4.4

|

Effects of BMI, education, and male sex

Another feature of MNP is a lowered BMI. Previously, a significant

association between“dementia praecox”and a leptosome body

stat-ure has been described.21 In this respect, Kretschmer reported that

schizophrenia is associated with the leptosome (asthenic) body stature

in contrast to bipolar disorder, which is associated with a pyknic body

type.21,39Nevertheless, our study may indicate that the higher BMI in

SNP may have protected against MNP. In this regard, it is interesting

to note that overweight and obesity may protect against mortality

because of infections, including community‐acquired pneumonia.40,41

Generally, obesity has pro‐inflammatory and more detrimental effects,

and therefore, the protective effects of BMI were described as the

“obesity paradox.”41 One possible mechanistic explanation is that

there is a shift towards increased production of anti‐inflammatory

adipokines42in SNP protecting against MNP.

Another hallmark of MNP is lower education, suggesting that

(11)

lower education is a vulnerability factor for psychotic symptoms,

hos-tility, excitation, and mannerism as well as objective cognitive

impair-ments and negative symptoms.16 This may be explained by the

knowledge that education is one of the factors that contribute to

cog-nitive reserve, which in turn increases resilience to brain damage via

alternative cognitive strategies or a more efficient exploitation of

heathy brain networks.41Finally, another feature of psychotic

symp-toms, hostility, excitation, and mannerism is male sex. Previously, we

reported that male sex is associated with worse scores on episodic

memory measurements.10These findings may explain the higher

prev-alence of schizophrenia and a worse course in males as compared with

females.42,43One possible mechanistic explanation is the effect of loss

of oestrogens on cognitive functions. Thus, oestrogens aggravate the

effects of aging on neurocognitive functions and improve

neurocognitive functions through activation of spinogenesis and

syn-aptogenesis in frontal cortex and hippocampus.43

Some limitations of our study warrant discussion. Firstly, its cross‐

sectional design precludes the establishment of firm causal inferences.

Secondly, to delineate the subtypes of stable phase schizophrenia, we

included only patients in a stable phase when no acute psychotic

epi-sodes were evident for at least 1 year. However, this approach does

not allow to examine whether the severity of acute psychotic episodes

is associated with the stable phase phenotypes. A relatively smaller

sample size could be a possible limitation to interpret cluster analysis

results. However, there are no rules of thumb to estimate the sample

size of the data set to be clustered, although the most common

rec-ommendation is that the dimensionality may not be too high for the

number of cases to be clustered.44Importantly, here, we entered all

features of a same dimension, namely, negative symptoms. Formann45

suggested that the minimum sample size for K‐means clustering

should be 2k, where k is the number of variables. Using 6 variables

(as used in our study) would suggest a sample size of 64. Importantly,

our cluster solution yielded a refinement of the existing deficit versus

nondeficit diagnosis, while the clusters were externally validated

against biomarkers. Nevertheless, future research should examine

the cross‐generalizability of our findings for an independent sample

of comparable patients with schizophrenia.

FIGURE 3 Stable‐phase schizophrenia consists of 2 relevant qualitatively distinct classes, namely, major neurocognitive psychosis (MNP) and simple neurocognitive psychosis (SNP). Simple neurocognitive psychosis is defined by activated neuroimmune pathways, impairments in semantic memory, and negative and psychotic, hostility, excitation and mannerism (PHEM) symptoms. Major neurocognitive psychosis is defined by greater impairments in these features and additionally by impairments in regulatory autoimmune responses and episodic memory

TABLE 4 Summary of neuroimmune, cognitive, and clinical features of MNP and SNP

Features of the Neurocognitive Psychoses SNP MNP Neuroimmune features

IgA responses to noxious TRYCATs ↑ ↑↑↑

IgM responses to noxious TRYCATs ↑ ↓↓↓

Cognitive features

Semantic memory ↓↓ ↓↓

Episodic memory ↓↓ ↓↓↓↓

More generalized neuropsychological defect ↓↓ ↓↓↓

Paired association learning … ↓↓

Spatial working memory ↓↓ ↓↓

Psychotic (and other symptomatic) features

Hallucinations‐delusions ↑ ↑↑↑

Excitation ↑ ↑↑↑

Hostility ↑ ↑↑↑

Mannerism ↑ ↑↑↑

Negative ↑ ↑↑↑

Depression ↑ ↑↑

Anxiety ↑ ↑↑

Physiosomatic ↑ ↑

Other features

Number of episodes Same

Age at onset Same

Paranoia (DSM‐IV‐TR) Same

Education … ↓↓

Body mass index ↑ ↓↓

Quality of life ↓↓ ↓↓↓

Usual activities … ↓↓

(12)

5

|

C O N C L U S I O N S

In conclusion, Figure 3 shows that stable‐phase schizophrenia

con-sists of 2 relevant qualitatively distinct classes, namely, SNP and

MNP, which are both defined by neuroimmune, cognitive, and

clini-cal features. Using these features, both classes are well separated

from each other and from controls. Nevertheless, the SNP class in

the less well‐developed phenotype, while MNP is the full blown

phenotype or core illness. Figure 3 and Table 4 show that both

clas-ses are defined by increased IgA responclas-ses to noxious TRYCATs,

indicating increased production, while MNP is additionally defined

by attenuated regulation by IgM‐mediated immune responses.

More-over, the strong relationships between changes in TRYCAT

pattern-ing and negative, PHEM and cognitive features suggests that the

antecedents (immune activation and oxidative stress) or

conse-quences (neurotoxic effects) of TRYCAT pathway activation may

partly explain the cognitive and clinical (negative/PHEM) aberrations

in stable phase schizophrenia. While SNP is characterized by

impair-ments especially in semantic memory, the memory disturbances in

MNP are more profound and comprise also episodic memory

impair-ments. Both classes are defined by intercorrelated increases in

neg-ative and PHEM (psychotic, hostility, excitation, and mannerism)

features, which are more severe in MNP. We computed an algorithm

with 100% accuracy to separate both SNP and MNP, namely, an

algorithm based on the presence of 3 SANS symptoms. Moreover,

our SIMCA analysis provided another more comprehensive algorithm

based on TRYCATs, CERAD, and PHEM features, allowing us to

clas-sify future subjects as MNP, SNP, or controls. Our findings show

that is not adequate to discuss the categorical versus the

dimen-sional approach for classification of mental disorders without

performing the adequate statistical techniques, namely, unsupervised

and supervised learning techniques.

A C K N O WL E D G E M EN TS

The study was supported by the Asahi Glass Foundation,

Chulalongkorn University Centenary Academic Development Project.

C O N F L I C T O F I N T E R E S T

The authors have no conflict of interest with any commercial or other

association in connection with the submitted article.

A U T H O R C O N TR I BU T I O N

All the contributing authors have participated in the manuscript. M.M.

and B.K. designed the study. B.K. recruited patients and completed

diagnostic interviews and rating scale measurements. M.M. and Si.

Sri. carried out the statistical analyses. S.T. carried out the cognitive

tests. S.S. and M.G. performed the TRYCAT assays. All authors (B.K.,

Si.Sri., S.T., S.S., A.C., M.G., M.K., and M.M.) contributed to

interpreta-tion of the data and writing of the manuscript. All authors approved

the final version of the manuscript.

O R C I D

Michael Maes http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-871X

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S U P P O R T I N G I N F O R M A T I O N

Additional supporting information may be found online in the

Supporting Information section at the end of the article.

How to cite this article: Kanchanatawan B, Sriswasdi S, Thika S, et al. Towards a new classification of stable phase

schizo-phrenia into major and simple neuro‐cognitive psychosis:

Results of unsupervised machine learning analysis.J Eval Clin

Imagem

Figure 1 shows the distribution of all data points of the subjects and the MNP, SNP, and control classes (left panel) or only MNP and  con-trol classes (right panel)
FIGURE 2 Simplified plot (based on t ‐ distributed stochastic neighbour embedding and principal component plots) visualizing that there are significant model ‐ to ‐ model distances between the 3 classes, namely, major neurocognitive psychosis, simple neuro
TABLE 4 Summary of neuroimmune, cognitive, and clinical features of MNP and SNP

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