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ww w . e l s e v i e r . c o m / l o c a t e / b j i d

The

Brazilian

Journal

of

INFECTIOUS

DISEASES

Original

article

Phylogenetic

analysis

of

the

emergence

of

main

hepatitis

C

virus

subtypes

in

São

Paulo,

Brazil

Anna

Shoko

Nishiya

a,b,∗

,

César

de

Almeida-Neto

a,c

,

Camila

Malta

Romano

d

,

Cecília

Salete

Alencar

b,e

,

Suzete

Cleusa

Ferreira

a,b

,

Claudia

Di-Lorenzo-Oliveira

f

,

José

Eduardo

Levi

a

,

Nanci

Alves

Salles

a

,

Alfredo

Mendrone-Junior

a

,

Ester

Cerdeira

Sabino

b,g

aFundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil

bInfectiousDiseasesDivision(DIPA),UniversidadeFederaldeSãoPaulo(UNIFESP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil cDisciplineofMedicalScience,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil dLaboratoryofVirology,DepartmentofInfectiousandParasiticDiseases,InstitutodeMedicinaTropicaldeSãoPaulo, FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil

eLim03MedicalResearchLaboratory,HospitaldasClínicas,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP), SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil

fUniversidadeSãoJoãoDelRei,SãoJoãoDelRei,MG,Brazil

gDepartmentofInfectiousDisease,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil

a

r

t

i

c

l

e

i

n

f

o

Articlehistory:

Received6January2015

Accepted14June2015

Availableonline19August2015

Keywords: Growthrate HCV Phylogeneticanalysis Subtypes

a

b

s

t

r

a

c

t

Background:ItisrecognizedthathepatitisCvirussubtypes(1a,1b,2a,2b,2cand3a)

origi-natedinAfricaandAsiaandspreadworldwideexponentiallyduringtheSecondWorldWar

(1940)throughthetransfusionofcontaminatedbloodproducts,invasivemedicalanddental

procedures,andintravenousdruguse.TheentryofhepatitisCvirussubtypesintodifferent

regionsoccurredatdistincttimes,presentingexponentialgrowthratesoflargerorsmaller

spread.Ourstudyestimatedthegrowthandspreadofthemostprevalentsubtypescurrently

circulatinginSãoPaulo.

Methods:Atotalof465non-structuralregion5BsequencesofhepatitisCviruscoveringa

14-yeartime-spanwereusedtoreconstructthepopulationhistoryandestimatethepopulation

dynamicsandTimetoMostRecentCommonAncestorofgenotypesusingtheBayesian

MarkovChainMonteCarloapproachimplementedinBEAST(Bayesianevolutionaryanalysis

bysamplingtreesoftware/program).

Results:EvolutionaryanalysisdemonstratedthatthedifferenthepatitisCvirussubtypeshad

distinctgrowthpatterns.TheintroductionofhepatitisCvirus-1aand-3awereestimated

tobecirca1979and1967,respectively,whereashepatitisCvirus-1bappearstohaveamore

anciententry,circa1923.HepatitisCvirus-1bphylogeniessuggestthatdifferentlineages

circulateinSãoPaulo,andfourwell-supportedgroups(i.e.,G1,G2,G3andG4)wereidentified.

HepatitisCvirus-1apresentedthehighestgrowthrate(r=0.4),butitsspreadbecameless

markedafterthe2000s.HepatitisCvirus-3agrewexponentiallyuntilthe1990sandhadan

Correspondingauthorat:DepartamentodeBiologiaMolecular,Fundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo,Av.Dr.EnéasCarvalho

deAguiar155,primeiroandar,05403-000,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil.

E-mailaddress:anishiya@hotmail.com(A.S.Nishiya).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.bjid.2015.06.010

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intermediategrowthrate(r=0.32).Anevidentexponentialgrowth(r=0.26)wasfoundfor

hepatitisCvirus-1bbetween1980andthemid-1990s.

Conclusions: Afteraninitialperiodofexponentialgrowth,theexpansionofthethreemain

subtypesbegantodecrease.HepatitisCvirus-1bpresentedinflatedgeneticdiversity,and

itstransmissionmayhavebeensustainedbydifferentgenerationsandtransmissionroutes

otherthanbloodtransfusion.HepatitisCvirus-1aand-3ashowednogroupstratification,

mostlikelyduetotheirrecententry.

©2015ElsevierEditoraLtda.Allrightsreserved.

Introduction

HepatitisCvirus(HCV)wasidentifiedbyChooetal.in19891

and is currently amajor cause of chronic hepatitisin the

world,reaching150millioncarriers(2–3%oftheworld

pop-ulation),withapproximately3–4millionnewinfectionsand

350,000deathsannually.2HCVisthoughttohaveoriginated

inWestAfricaorSouthernAsia,regionswhereendemic

geno-typesremainedforhundredsofyears(between500and1000

years),withrelativelylowtransmissionrates,mainlyvia

inef-ficientroutes,suchassexualorverticaltransmission,andby

practicessuchascircumcision,excision,andscarification.3–8

Representatives from these endemicgenotypes show high

geneticvariationamongstrainsand arefoundinrestricted

geographicregions, including genotypes1and 4inCentral

Africa,2inWestAfrica,5and7inCentral/SouthernAfrica,

and3and6ontheIndiansub-continentandinSouthandEast

Asia.6,7,9–12Somesubtypesofendemicregionshavespreadto

differentregionsandexpandedglobally.Theepidemic

sub-types(1a,1b,2a,2b,2c,and 3a) thenspread exponentially

duringandaftertheSecondWorldWar(1940)whentherewas

anincreaseofveryefficientnewwaysoftransmission,such

asthetransfusionofcontaminatedbloodandbloodproducts,

invasivemedicalanddentalprocedures,andalsointravenous

drug use (IVDU).13–15 In addition totheir wide distribution

intheworld,thesesubtypesarecharacterizedbytheirhigh

prevalenceandlowgeneticvariation.3,16,17

TheriskofHCV transmissionviablood transfusionwas

strikinglydecreasedaftertheintroductionofanti-HCV

sero-logic screening tests for blood donors. Additionally, the

introductionofnucleicacidtesting(NAT)forHCVscreening

furtherreducedtheriskoftransfusion-transmittedHCV.18,19

Incontrast,theuseofintravenousdrugsremainsoneofthe

majorriskfactorsforHCVinfection,20andsexual

transmis-sion,whichgenerallyshowedloworinefficienttransmission

inthegeneralpopulationhasalsobeenassociatedwith

prac-ticesthatleadtomucosaltraumaandpresenceofulcerative

genitaldiseases.21,22

InBrazil,theprevalenceofHCVamongdrugusers may

reach36%.23–25 IntheHIVco-infectedpopulation, itranges

between 18% and 31%.26,27 In the general population, the

prevalence is approximately 1.5%28–30 and may vary from

0.19%to1.2%inblooddonors.31–36

InSão PauloState (Brazil),a predominance ofepidemic

subtypesisobserved.HCV-1acorrespondsto32%–34.4%ofall

infectedsubjects,whileHCV-1bisdetectedin36.2%–45.5%,

andHCV-3ain18%–24.2%.Othersgenotypessuchas4and5

arerarelydetected.37–39 TheentryofthedifferentHCV

sub-typesinto SãoPauloappearstohaveoccurred ondifferent

dates, andeach subtypeappearstohavegrown atdistinct

rates.38,40,41Inthisstudy,wesoughttoestimatethegrowth

andspreadofthemostprevalentsubtypesandtoinvestigate

thecurrentsituationofthesesubtypesinSãoPaulo.

Materials

and

methods

Studypopulation

Samplesfromtwodifferentstudieswereanalyzed,

compris-ingaperiodof14years(1997–2011):580partialsequencesof

thenon-structuralregion5B(NS5B)(IDsGQ490493–GQ491027)

ofpatientsfromSãoPauloState38and170partialsequencesof

NS5BfromblooddonorsofFundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/Hemocentro

de São Paulo (IDs KF523955–KF524152).37 The first study

included patients from four different cities of São Paulo

State (Ribeirão Preto, São José do Rio Preto, São Bernardo

doCampo,andfromtworeferencecentersforHCV

surveil-lance and treatment inSão Paulo city) thatwere collected

between 1997and 2006(IDsGQ490493–GQ491027). The

fre-quencyofmajorriskfactorswere 36%ofblood transfusion

history, 18%injectingdrugusers,and 32%thatdidnot

dis-closeanyriskfactor.38 Thesecondstudy wasconductedin

blood donorsscreenedfrom September2007toJuly2011in

SãoPaulocityandalthoughconsideredtobeapopulationwith

lowriskbehavior11%reportedbloodtransfusion,6%

inject-ing druguse, and 20%norisk factorsassociatedwithHCV

infection.37 TheNS5BsequenceswerealignedusingClustal

Xandgenotypedbymaximumlikelihoodanalysisusingthe

GARLiprogram(GeneticAlgorithmforRapidLikelihood

Infer-ence).Fromthis,threedistinctdatasetscontainingonlySão

Paulosequenceswerebuilt,HCV-1a(n=98),HCV-1b(n=218)

andHCV-3a(n=149),toinvestigatethepopulationhistoryof

thesamples.Othersequenceswereremovedfromthestudy.

Additionally,adatasetcontaining70non-structuralregion3

(NS3)sequences(708nucleotideslong)generatedinthesame

studyfromHCV-1b-infectedblooddonorswasconstructedfor

furtheranalysis(IDsKF524133–KF524257).

HCVphylodynamics

ThepopulationdynamicsandTMRCA(TimetoMostRecent

Common Ancestor) for the three genotypes were

investi-gatedusingtheBayesianMarkovChainMonteCarlo(MCMC)

(3)

constrainedBayesianskyride(BSK)coalescent wasused as

atreepriorunder arelaxed (uncorrelated)molecularclock

withthe best model ofnucleotide substitution (GTR+G+I)

estimatedinMODELTEST.43Thesubstitutionratewassetas

previouslyestimatedforeach genotype.38 MCMCruns

con-sisting of 50 million generations (with 10% burn-in) were

undertaken toobtain parameter convergence. Amaximum

cladecredibility(MCC)treewasobtainedbysummarizingthe

50,000treeswithbranchlengthsofnucleotidesubstitution

(after excluding 10% of the burn-in) using Tree Annotator

v.1.7.2.42 The phylogenetic trees were visualized inFigTree

v.1.2.2(availableat:http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/figtree).

Wealsoaimedtoestimatetherateofpopulationgrowth(r)

underthedemographicmodel(exponentialandlogistic

pop-ulationgrowth)thatbestfiteachsubtypedataset,withmodel

comparisonsundertakenusingBayesFactorcomparison.Inall

cases,theconvergenceofparametersduringtheMCMCruns

wasinspectedwithTracerv.1.4,42withuncertaintiesdepicted

as95%highestprobability(HPD)intervals.

Potentialriskfactors involvedinHCVtransmissionsuch

asahistoryofbloodtransfusion,tattooing,intravenousdrug

use,occupationalexposure,and sexualbehaviorwere

ana-lyzedinadditiontodemographicssuchasage,sex,race,and

education.

Statisticalanalysis

Thecharacteristicswereevaluatedaccordingtothesubgroups

belongingtosubtype1bofblooddonors.TocomparetheG1-G4

subgroupsaccordingtosomedemographiccharacteristicsand

relatedriskbehaviors,weusedchi-squaredtestofsignificance

levelof5%.

Results

WeanalyzedpartialsequencesoftheNS5Bgenebelonging

tothemostprevalentsubtypesinourpopulation,subtypes

1a,1band3a.Aftergenotypingusingworldwidesequences

asreferences,weexcludedalltaxathatclusteredwith

sam-plesfromoutsideBrazil.Thiswasperformedtoreducethe

effectofanyphylogeographicstructureonthefurther

analy-sisofthetransmissiondynamics.Byincludingonly‘Brazilian’

sequences,theevolutionaryanalysisdemonstratedthatthe

differentsubtypeshavedistinctgrowthpatterns,as

demon-stratedbythetreeshapes,andalsoconfirmedtheprevious

observationthattheywereintroducedintoSãoPauloat

dif-ferenttimes.TheTMRCAsforHCV-1aand-3awereestimated

tobecirca1979and1967,respectively,andHCV-1bappeared

tohaveamoreanciententry,circa1923,whichisverysimilar

tothepreviousestimate38(Table1).

DifferentfromwhattheHCV-1aphylogenysuggests,the

HCV-3aand HCV-1bphylogeniesindicate thatdifferent

lin-eages circulated in São Paulo (Fig. 1). However, although

no support was observed for HCV-3a lineages, four

well-supportedgroups,namedGroups1–4(i.e.,G1,G2,G3andG4)

wereidentifiedforHCV-1b(Fig.1).Toverifytheconsistency

oftheHCV-1bsubgroups,we investigatedthe phylogenetic

pattern ofthis subtypeusing the NS3 sequences obtained

fromthesamesamplesgeneratedinthisstudy.Similartothe

Table1–HCVsubtypesandsubgroupTimetoMost RecentCommonAncestor(TMRCA)andrateof populationgrowth.

Subtype Samples(n) TMRCA(upperandlower) Growth rate(r) 1a 98 1979(1967–1987) 0.4 3a 149 1967(1955–1980) 0.32 1ball 218 1923(1844–1967) 0.26 1bG1 79 1966(1947–1981) 0.3 1bG2 90 1972(1959–1983) 0.4 1bG3 6 1983(1975–1991) – 1bG4 36 1973(1955–1985) 0.26

TMRCA,TimetoMostRecentCommonAncestor;r,rateof popula-tiongrowth.

ThegrowthratewasnotestimatedforG3becauseitincludesonly sixsequences.

structureobtainedfortheNS5gene,NS3alsodepictedfour well-supportedgroups(Fig.1).

Becausetheobservedgroupswereveryconsistentinboth

phylogenies(NS5BandNS3), wealsoestimatedthe timeof

theiremergence.Assumingasapriorthesameevolutionary

rateforallsubgroupsandusingtheNS5dataset,wefound

that the subgroupsdidnotdiffersignificantly accordingto

theiremergenceinSãoPaulo(becauseupperandlower

val-uesoverlappedeachother).Nevertheless,themedianvalues

suggestedthatGroup1wasthefirsttospreadinthis

popula-tion(late1960s),followedbyGroups2and4,whichemerged

atthesametimearoundthebeginningofthe1970s(Table1).

These subgroups(G1–G4) were notassociatedwith gender,

age,ethnicity,oreducationlevel,andtherewasnoassociation

betweenthesubgroupsandthedifferentexposurecategories,

exceptforG2,whichhadenteredin1972andwasassociated

withahistoryofbloodandbloodproducttransfusionin62.5%

(5/8;p=0.043)ofthecarriers.

WealsoestimatedthegrowthrateforHCV-1a,-1b(totaland

subgroups)and-3ausingBEAST(Bayesianevolutionary

anal-ysisbysamplingtreesoftware/program)basedonthebest-fit

demographic modelforeach NS5 dataset.Theexponential

growth modelundertheexponentialrelaxed(uncorrelated)

molecularclockwasthebestforalldatasetsaccordingtoBayes

Factor.HCV-1apresentedthehighestgrowthrateamongthe

subtypes(r=0.4),butaccordinglytotheskyrideplot(Fig.1),the

spreadhasbecomelessmarkedafterthe2000s.HCV-3a,which

islikelytohaveenteredSãoPaulosomeyearsbeforeHCV-1a,

grewexponentiallyuntil1990andhadanintermediategrowth

rate (0.32)in comparisontoHCV-1a and -1b (Table 1).The

HCV-1bskyrideclearlyshowedanevidentexponentialgrowth

between1980andthemid-1990s,asalreadydemonstratedby

others.15,38

Discussion

HCV-3aand-1bdisplaymultiplelineagesinSãoPaulo,

indi-cating the simultaneous dissemination ofmultiple strains.

However,onlytheHCV-1blineagesarewellsupported.

HCV-1bshowedfourdistinctsubgroups,hereinnamedG1toG4,in

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A

C

HCV-1a 44-9 ya 39.2 ya 27.8 ya 38.2 ya G4 G1 G2 G3 HCV-1a HCV-3a HCV-1b HCV-1b HCV-3a

B

D

Fig.1–(A)HCV-1aand(B)HCV-3aMCCtreesshowingtheclassicalstar-shapedphylogenies.(C)HCV-1bMCCtreeshowing

fourwell-supportedgroupsnamedGroups1–4.(D)SkyrideplotshowingthepopulationdynamicsandTMRCAfortheNS5B

HCVregionofsubtypes1a,-1band-3a.MCC,maximumcladecredibility;TMRCA,timetomostrecentcommonancestor.

subgroupsofsubtype1b.Interestingly,Lampeetal.41 found

thatthoselineageswereassociatedwithgeographicallocation

(westernandsoutheastregionsofBrazil),andoursequences

obtainedfrom SãoPauloalsoreflectsuchgeneticisolation.

Althoughnoevidentassociationbetweenclinicalor

epidemi-ologicalrelationshipsforsuchgroupswasfound,wespeculate

thattheselineagescirculatedwithinparticulartransmission

groupsrestrictedbyfactorsyettobedetermined.Therewas

alsonoassociation betweensubgroup1band age,and the

mostlikelyhypothesisisthatthecirculationoftheselineages

occurredoveralongperiodfromthebeginningofthe20th

cen-tury(oldestsubtype),whichcouldhaveresultedina“dilution”

inthetransmissionofthissubtypefordifferentriskgroups

anddifferentagegroups.UnlikeHCV-1a,thelatestentryin

ourpopulationshowedasimilartransmissionwithingroups

thatsharethesamehabitsandthesameagegroup.38Thedata

presentedinthisworkappeartoberobustbecausetheyare

consistentwithpreviousestimatesthatusedsequences

com-prisingashortertimespan(nineyears).Thelargernumberof

sequencesaswellthetimespan(14years)didnotalterthe

growthratesorcoalescenttimesofthemainHCVsubtypesin

SãoPaulo.

In fact, the findings for HCV-1b (especially the periods

ofexponential growth and decrease) coincidewith

histori-cal events such as the foundation of the first blood bank

andimprovementsinbloodtransfusionservices,1940–1960,44

and thesimultaneous increaseinmedicalproceduressuch

ashemodialysisin1960.45 Conversely,measurestoprevent

transmissibleagentsinblood,suchashepatitisBvirusand

human immunodeficiency virus, inthe late 1980s and the

obligatoryserologicalscreeninginbloodbanksforHCVin1993

contributedtothereductionandstabilizationoftheepidemic

after1990.Theobservedpatternofexpansionisverysimilar

tothatfoundbyMagiorkinisetal.15intheUSA,wheresubtype

1bshowedaTMRCAof1922andanexponentialincrease.After

theSecondWorldWar,transfusionsandinvasivemedical

pro-cedures as well as therapeuticinjections were widespread

untilthe1980s.Atthistime,anincreasedawarenessof

par-enteralriskandtheselectionandscreeningofblooddonorsfor

(5)

theriskofHCVtransmission,evenbeforetheimplementation

oftheanti-HCVtestin1990.19

Althoughintroducedmorerecentlythanthesubtype-1b,

HCV-3aspreadexponentiallyuntil1990;theworldwide

sub-type3aepidemicmostlikelybeganinthemid-20thcentury,

hadacommonoriginandquicklyspreadgloballyamongdrug

users.46,47Somestudieshaveassociatedgenotype3withIVDU

andalsowiththeuseofstimulantmedications(IVnon-illicit

drugssuchasGluconergan) inthe 1970s.48Theassociation

withthese groups would mostlikely explainthe high

fre-quencyofthissubtypeintheoldergroup(>40years)inthis

population.37Thedeclineinneedlesharingandthefrequency

ofinjectionsandincreasingeducationalmeasuresmighthave

contributedtoreducingthisriskofparenteralexposureinthe

early1990s.49

HCV-1a was found to be the most recently introduced

subtypeinourregion andshowed thehighestgrowth rate

comparedwithother subtypes.Unlikesubtype1bthathad

adeclineofthespreadaftermandatoryserologicalscreening

forHBV,HIV,andHCVattheendofthe1980sinBrazilianblood

banks,subtype1ashowedanincreaseinthespreadas

demon-stratedinexponentialexpansioncurve(inSkyrideplot)inthe

mid-1990s,whichcontinueduntil2005.So,themainrouteof

HCV-1atransmissionisprobablynotbloodtransfusion,but

UDIV.

Someauthors haveassociated subtype1awith the use

ofintravenousdrugs,15,40,48,49andevenyoungindividualsor

short-timedrugusers(recent)couldbemoreassociatedwith

needlesharingandcontributingtothespreadofthissubtype

1ainthisagegroup.24,50Thisisinaccordancewithanincrease

inthefrequencyofsubtype1aamongyoungerdonors(<30

years).37

Ourdataclearlyshowthatafteraninitialperiodof

expo-nentialgrowth, the expansion ofthe threemain subtypes

begantodecreaseasaconsequenceoftheintroductionof

anti-HCVscreeningtestsandpoliticalandeducationalmeasures

avoidingneedlesharingamongIVDUs.Thedelayobservedin

BSKforHCV-1bdeclineappearstobetheconsequenceoftwo

possibleandnon-exclusivehypotheses:(i)theinflatedgenetic

diversityinthetreecausedbytheconcomitantcirculationof

atleastfourmonophyleticstrains,and(ii)asHCV-1bisthe

mostancientandmostprevalentsubtypeinSãoPaulo,where

itwasfirstspreadbytransfusionrouteanditstransmission

wassustainedbydifferentgenerations throughroutesthat

allowedspreadof4lineages(G1–G4)forminggroupsrestricted

byfactorsyettobedetermined.HCV-1aand-3ashowedlow

geneticvariation,inaccordancewiththeirrecententry.

Conflict

of

interest

Theauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest.

Acknowledgements

This study was supported by CAPES (Coordenac¸ão

de Aperfeic¸oamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior) of

Brazilian Ministry of Education and by Fundac¸ão

Pró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo.

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