ww w . e l s e v i e r . c o m / l o c a t e / b j i d
The
Brazilian
Journal
of
INFECTIOUS
DISEASES
Original
article
Phylogenetic
analysis
of
the
emergence
of
main
hepatitis
C
virus
subtypes
in
São
Paulo,
Brazil
Anna
Shoko
Nishiya
a,b,∗,
César
de
Almeida-Neto
a,c,
Camila
Malta
Romano
d,
Cecília
Salete
Alencar
b,e,
Suzete
Cleusa
Ferreira
a,b,
Claudia
Di-Lorenzo-Oliveira
f,
José
Eduardo
Levi
a,
Nanci
Alves
Salles
a,
Alfredo
Mendrone-Junior
a,
Ester
Cerdeira
Sabino
b,gaFundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil
bInfectiousDiseasesDivision(DIPA),UniversidadeFederaldeSãoPaulo(UNIFESP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil cDisciplineofMedicalScience,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil dLaboratoryofVirology,DepartmentofInfectiousandParasiticDiseases,InstitutodeMedicinaTropicaldeSãoPaulo, FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil
eLim03MedicalResearchLaboratory,HospitaldasClínicas,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP), SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil
fUniversidadeSãoJoãoDelRei,SãoJoãoDelRei,MG,Brazil
gDepartmentofInfectiousDisease,FaculdadedeMedicina,UniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil
a
r
t
i
c
l
e
i
n
f
o
Articlehistory:Received6January2015
Accepted14June2015
Availableonline19August2015
Keywords: Growthrate HCV Phylogeneticanalysis Subtypes
a
b
s
t
r
a
c
t
Background:ItisrecognizedthathepatitisCvirussubtypes(1a,1b,2a,2b,2cand3a)
origi-natedinAfricaandAsiaandspreadworldwideexponentiallyduringtheSecondWorldWar
(1940)throughthetransfusionofcontaminatedbloodproducts,invasivemedicalanddental
procedures,andintravenousdruguse.TheentryofhepatitisCvirussubtypesintodifferent
regionsoccurredatdistincttimes,presentingexponentialgrowthratesoflargerorsmaller
spread.Ourstudyestimatedthegrowthandspreadofthemostprevalentsubtypescurrently
circulatinginSãoPaulo.
Methods:Atotalof465non-structuralregion5BsequencesofhepatitisCviruscoveringa
14-yeartime-spanwereusedtoreconstructthepopulationhistoryandestimatethepopulation
dynamicsandTimetoMostRecentCommonAncestorofgenotypesusingtheBayesian
MarkovChainMonteCarloapproachimplementedinBEAST(Bayesianevolutionaryanalysis
bysamplingtreesoftware/program).
Results:EvolutionaryanalysisdemonstratedthatthedifferenthepatitisCvirussubtypeshad
distinctgrowthpatterns.TheintroductionofhepatitisCvirus-1aand-3awereestimated
tobecirca1979and1967,respectively,whereashepatitisCvirus-1bappearstohaveamore
anciententry,circa1923.HepatitisCvirus-1bphylogeniessuggestthatdifferentlineages
circulateinSãoPaulo,andfourwell-supportedgroups(i.e.,G1,G2,G3andG4)wereidentified.
HepatitisCvirus-1apresentedthehighestgrowthrate(r=0.4),butitsspreadbecameless
markedafterthe2000s.HepatitisCvirus-3agrewexponentiallyuntilthe1990sandhadan
∗ Correspondingauthorat:DepartamentodeBiologiaMolecular,Fundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo,Av.Dr.EnéasCarvalho
deAguiar155,primeiroandar,05403-000,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil.
E-mailaddress:anishiya@hotmail.com(A.S.Nishiya).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.bjid.2015.06.010
intermediategrowthrate(r=0.32).Anevidentexponentialgrowth(r=0.26)wasfoundfor
hepatitisCvirus-1bbetween1980andthemid-1990s.
Conclusions: Afteraninitialperiodofexponentialgrowth,theexpansionofthethreemain
subtypesbegantodecrease.HepatitisCvirus-1bpresentedinflatedgeneticdiversity,and
itstransmissionmayhavebeensustainedbydifferentgenerationsandtransmissionroutes
otherthanbloodtransfusion.HepatitisCvirus-1aand-3ashowednogroupstratification,
mostlikelyduetotheirrecententry.
©2015ElsevierEditoraLtda.Allrightsreserved.
Introduction
HepatitisCvirus(HCV)wasidentifiedbyChooetal.in19891
and is currently amajor cause of chronic hepatitisin the
world,reaching150millioncarriers(2–3%oftheworld
pop-ulation),withapproximately3–4millionnewinfectionsand
350,000deathsannually.2HCVisthoughttohaveoriginated
inWestAfricaorSouthernAsia,regionswhereendemic
geno-typesremainedforhundredsofyears(between500and1000
years),withrelativelylowtransmissionrates,mainlyvia
inef-ficientroutes,suchassexualorverticaltransmission,andby
practicessuchascircumcision,excision,andscarification.3–8
Representatives from these endemicgenotypes show high
geneticvariationamongstrainsand arefoundinrestricted
geographicregions, including genotypes1and 4inCentral
Africa,2inWestAfrica,5and7inCentral/SouthernAfrica,
and3and6ontheIndiansub-continentandinSouthandEast
Asia.6,7,9–12Somesubtypesofendemicregionshavespreadto
differentregionsandexpandedglobally.Theepidemic
sub-types(1a,1b,2a,2b,2c,and 3a) thenspread exponentially
duringandaftertheSecondWorldWar(1940)whentherewas
anincreaseofveryefficientnewwaysoftransmission,such
asthetransfusionofcontaminatedbloodandbloodproducts,
invasivemedicalanddentalprocedures,andalsointravenous
drug use (IVDU).13–15 In addition totheir wide distribution
intheworld,thesesubtypesarecharacterizedbytheirhigh
prevalenceandlowgeneticvariation.3,16,17
TheriskofHCV transmissionviablood transfusionwas
strikinglydecreasedaftertheintroductionofanti-HCV
sero-logic screening tests for blood donors. Additionally, the
introductionofnucleicacidtesting(NAT)forHCVscreening
furtherreducedtheriskoftransfusion-transmittedHCV.18,19
Incontrast,theuseofintravenousdrugsremainsoneofthe
majorriskfactorsforHCVinfection,20andsexual
transmis-sion,whichgenerallyshowedloworinefficienttransmission
inthegeneralpopulationhasalsobeenassociatedwith
prac-ticesthatleadtomucosaltraumaandpresenceofulcerative
genitaldiseases.21,22
InBrazil,theprevalenceofHCVamongdrugusers may
reach36%.23–25 IntheHIVco-infectedpopulation, itranges
between 18% and 31%.26,27 In the general population, the
prevalence is approximately 1.5%28–30 and may vary from
0.19%to1.2%inblooddonors.31–36
InSão PauloState (Brazil),a predominance ofepidemic
subtypesisobserved.HCV-1acorrespondsto32%–34.4%ofall
infectedsubjects,whileHCV-1bisdetectedin36.2%–45.5%,
andHCV-3ain18%–24.2%.Othersgenotypessuchas4and5
arerarelydetected.37–39 TheentryofthedifferentHCV
sub-typesinto SãoPauloappearstohaveoccurred ondifferent
dates, andeach subtypeappearstohavegrown atdistinct
rates.38,40,41Inthisstudy,wesoughttoestimatethegrowth
andspreadofthemostprevalentsubtypesandtoinvestigate
thecurrentsituationofthesesubtypesinSãoPaulo.
Materials
and
methods
Studypopulation
Samplesfromtwodifferentstudieswereanalyzed,
compris-ingaperiodof14years(1997–2011):580partialsequencesof
thenon-structuralregion5B(NS5B)(IDsGQ490493–GQ491027)
ofpatientsfromSãoPauloState38and170partialsequencesof
NS5BfromblooddonorsofFundac¸ãoPró-Sangue/Hemocentro
de São Paulo (IDs KF523955–KF524152).37 The first study
included patients from four different cities of São Paulo
State (Ribeirão Preto, São José do Rio Preto, São Bernardo
doCampo,andfromtworeferencecentersforHCV
surveil-lance and treatment inSão Paulo city) thatwere collected
between 1997and 2006(IDsGQ490493–GQ491027). The
fre-quencyofmajorriskfactorswere 36%ofblood transfusion
history, 18%injectingdrugusers,and 32%thatdidnot
dis-closeanyriskfactor.38 Thesecondstudy wasconductedin
blood donorsscreenedfrom September2007toJuly2011in
SãoPaulocityandalthoughconsideredtobeapopulationwith
lowriskbehavior11%reportedbloodtransfusion,6%
inject-ing druguse, and 20%norisk factorsassociatedwithHCV
infection.37 TheNS5BsequenceswerealignedusingClustal
Xandgenotypedbymaximumlikelihoodanalysisusingthe
GARLiprogram(GeneticAlgorithmforRapidLikelihood
Infer-ence).Fromthis,threedistinctdatasetscontainingonlySão
Paulosequenceswerebuilt,HCV-1a(n=98),HCV-1b(n=218)
andHCV-3a(n=149),toinvestigatethepopulationhistoryof
thesamples.Othersequenceswereremovedfromthestudy.
Additionally,adatasetcontaining70non-structuralregion3
(NS3)sequences(708nucleotideslong)generatedinthesame
studyfromHCV-1b-infectedblooddonorswasconstructedfor
furtheranalysis(IDsKF524133–KF524257).
HCVphylodynamics
ThepopulationdynamicsandTMRCA(TimetoMostRecent
Common Ancestor) for the three genotypes were
investi-gatedusingtheBayesianMarkovChainMonteCarlo(MCMC)
constrainedBayesianskyride(BSK)coalescent wasused as
atreepriorunder arelaxed (uncorrelated)molecularclock
withthe best model ofnucleotide substitution (GTR+G+I)
estimatedinMODELTEST.43Thesubstitutionratewassetas
previouslyestimatedforeach genotype.38 MCMCruns
con-sisting of 50 million generations (with 10% burn-in) were
undertaken toobtain parameter convergence. Amaximum
cladecredibility(MCC)treewasobtainedbysummarizingthe
50,000treeswithbranchlengthsofnucleotidesubstitution
(after excluding 10% of the burn-in) using Tree Annotator
v.1.7.2.42 The phylogenetic trees were visualized inFigTree
v.1.2.2(availableat:http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/figtree).
Wealsoaimedtoestimatetherateofpopulationgrowth(r)
underthedemographicmodel(exponentialandlogistic
pop-ulationgrowth)thatbestfiteachsubtypedataset,withmodel
comparisonsundertakenusingBayesFactorcomparison.Inall
cases,theconvergenceofparametersduringtheMCMCruns
wasinspectedwithTracerv.1.4,42withuncertaintiesdepicted
as95%highestprobability(HPD)intervals.
Potentialriskfactors involvedinHCVtransmissionsuch
asahistoryofbloodtransfusion,tattooing,intravenousdrug
use,occupationalexposure,and sexualbehaviorwere
ana-lyzedinadditiontodemographicssuchasage,sex,race,and
education.
Statisticalanalysis
Thecharacteristicswereevaluatedaccordingtothesubgroups
belongingtosubtype1bofblooddonors.TocomparetheG1-G4
subgroupsaccordingtosomedemographiccharacteristicsand
relatedriskbehaviors,weusedchi-squaredtestofsignificance
levelof5%.
Results
WeanalyzedpartialsequencesoftheNS5Bgenebelonging
tothemostprevalentsubtypesinourpopulation,subtypes
1a,1band3a.Aftergenotypingusingworldwidesequences
asreferences,weexcludedalltaxathatclusteredwith
sam-plesfromoutsideBrazil.Thiswasperformedtoreducethe
effectofanyphylogeographicstructureonthefurther
analy-sisofthetransmissiondynamics.Byincludingonly‘Brazilian’
sequences,theevolutionaryanalysisdemonstratedthatthe
differentsubtypeshavedistinctgrowthpatterns,as
demon-stratedbythetreeshapes,andalsoconfirmedtheprevious
observationthattheywereintroducedintoSãoPauloat
dif-ferenttimes.TheTMRCAsforHCV-1aand-3awereestimated
tobecirca1979and1967,respectively,andHCV-1bappeared
tohaveamoreanciententry,circa1923,whichisverysimilar
tothepreviousestimate38(Table1).
DifferentfromwhattheHCV-1aphylogenysuggests,the
HCV-3aand HCV-1bphylogeniesindicate thatdifferent
lin-eages circulated in São Paulo (Fig. 1). However, although
no support was observed for HCV-3a lineages, four
well-supportedgroups,namedGroups1–4(i.e.,G1,G2,G3andG4)
wereidentifiedforHCV-1b(Fig.1).Toverifytheconsistency
oftheHCV-1bsubgroups,we investigatedthe phylogenetic
pattern ofthis subtypeusing the NS3 sequences obtained
fromthesamesamplesgeneratedinthisstudy.Similartothe
Table1–HCVsubtypesandsubgroupTimetoMost RecentCommonAncestor(TMRCA)andrateof populationgrowth.
Subtype Samples(n) TMRCA(upperandlower) Growth rate(r) 1a 98 1979(1967–1987) 0.4 3a 149 1967(1955–1980) 0.32 1ball 218 1923(1844–1967) 0.26 1bG1 79 1966(1947–1981) 0.3 1bG2 90 1972(1959–1983) 0.4 1bG3 6 1983(1975–1991) – 1bG4 36 1973(1955–1985) 0.26
TMRCA,TimetoMostRecentCommonAncestor;r,rateof popula-tiongrowth.
ThegrowthratewasnotestimatedforG3becauseitincludesonly sixsequences.
structureobtainedfortheNS5gene,NS3alsodepictedfour well-supportedgroups(Fig.1).
Becausetheobservedgroupswereveryconsistentinboth
phylogenies(NS5BandNS3), wealsoestimatedthe timeof
theiremergence.Assumingasapriorthesameevolutionary
rateforallsubgroupsandusingtheNS5dataset,wefound
that the subgroupsdidnotdiffersignificantly accordingto
theiremergenceinSãoPaulo(becauseupperandlower
val-uesoverlappedeachother).Nevertheless,themedianvalues
suggestedthatGroup1wasthefirsttospreadinthis
popula-tion(late1960s),followedbyGroups2and4,whichemerged
atthesametimearoundthebeginningofthe1970s(Table1).
These subgroups(G1–G4) were notassociatedwith gender,
age,ethnicity,oreducationlevel,andtherewasnoassociation
betweenthesubgroupsandthedifferentexposurecategories,
exceptforG2,whichhadenteredin1972andwasassociated
withahistoryofbloodandbloodproducttransfusionin62.5%
(5/8;p=0.043)ofthecarriers.
WealsoestimatedthegrowthrateforHCV-1a,-1b(totaland
subgroups)and-3ausingBEAST(Bayesianevolutionary
anal-ysisbysamplingtreesoftware/program)basedonthebest-fit
demographic modelforeach NS5 dataset.Theexponential
growth modelundertheexponentialrelaxed(uncorrelated)
molecularclockwasthebestforalldatasetsaccordingtoBayes
Factor.HCV-1apresentedthehighestgrowthrateamongthe
subtypes(r=0.4),butaccordinglytotheskyrideplot(Fig.1),the
spreadhasbecomelessmarkedafterthe2000s.HCV-3a,which
islikelytohaveenteredSãoPaulosomeyearsbeforeHCV-1a,
grewexponentiallyuntil1990andhadanintermediategrowth
rate (0.32)in comparisontoHCV-1a and -1b (Table 1).The
HCV-1bskyrideclearlyshowedanevidentexponentialgrowth
between1980andthemid-1990s,asalreadydemonstratedby
others.15,38
Discussion
HCV-3aand-1bdisplaymultiplelineagesinSãoPaulo,
indi-cating the simultaneous dissemination ofmultiple strains.
However,onlytheHCV-1blineagesarewellsupported.
HCV-1bshowedfourdistinctsubgroups,hereinnamedG1toG4,in
A
C
HCV-1a 44-9 ya 39.2 ya 27.8 ya 38.2 ya G4 G1 G2 G3 HCV-1a HCV-3a HCV-1b HCV-1b HCV-3aB
D
Fig.1–(A)HCV-1aand(B)HCV-3aMCCtreesshowingtheclassicalstar-shapedphylogenies.(C)HCV-1bMCCtreeshowing
fourwell-supportedgroupsnamedGroups1–4.(D)SkyrideplotshowingthepopulationdynamicsandTMRCAfortheNS5B
HCVregionofsubtypes1a,-1band-3a.MCC,maximumcladecredibility;TMRCA,timetomostrecentcommonancestor.
subgroupsofsubtype1b.Interestingly,Lampeetal.41 found
thatthoselineageswereassociatedwithgeographicallocation
(westernandsoutheastregionsofBrazil),andoursequences
obtainedfrom SãoPauloalsoreflectsuchgeneticisolation.
Althoughnoevidentassociationbetweenclinicalor
epidemi-ologicalrelationshipsforsuchgroupswasfound,wespeculate
thattheselineagescirculatedwithinparticulartransmission
groupsrestrictedbyfactorsyettobedetermined.Therewas
alsonoassociation betweensubgroup1band age,and the
mostlikelyhypothesisisthatthecirculationoftheselineages
occurredoveralongperiodfromthebeginningofthe20th
cen-tury(oldestsubtype),whichcouldhaveresultedina“dilution”
inthetransmissionofthissubtypefordifferentriskgroups
anddifferentagegroups.UnlikeHCV-1a,thelatestentryin
ourpopulationshowedasimilartransmissionwithingroups
thatsharethesamehabitsandthesameagegroup.38Thedata
presentedinthisworkappeartoberobustbecausetheyare
consistentwithpreviousestimatesthatusedsequences
com-prisingashortertimespan(nineyears).Thelargernumberof
sequencesaswellthetimespan(14years)didnotalterthe
growthratesorcoalescenttimesofthemainHCVsubtypesin
SãoPaulo.
In fact, the findings for HCV-1b (especially the periods
ofexponential growth and decrease) coincidewith
histori-cal events such as the foundation of the first blood bank
andimprovementsinbloodtransfusionservices,1940–1960,44
and thesimultaneous increaseinmedicalproceduressuch
ashemodialysisin1960.45 Conversely,measurestoprevent
transmissibleagentsinblood,suchashepatitisBvirusand
human immunodeficiency virus, inthe late 1980s and the
obligatoryserologicalscreeninginbloodbanksforHCVin1993
contributedtothereductionandstabilizationoftheepidemic
after1990.Theobservedpatternofexpansionisverysimilar
tothatfoundbyMagiorkinisetal.15intheUSA,wheresubtype
1bshowedaTMRCAof1922andanexponentialincrease.After
theSecondWorldWar,transfusionsandinvasivemedical
pro-cedures as well as therapeuticinjections were widespread
untilthe1980s.Atthistime,anincreasedawarenessof
par-enteralriskandtheselectionandscreeningofblooddonorsfor
theriskofHCVtransmission,evenbeforetheimplementation
oftheanti-HCVtestin1990.19
Althoughintroducedmorerecentlythanthesubtype-1b,
HCV-3aspreadexponentiallyuntil1990;theworldwide
sub-type3aepidemicmostlikelybeganinthemid-20thcentury,
hadacommonoriginandquicklyspreadgloballyamongdrug
users.46,47Somestudieshaveassociatedgenotype3withIVDU
andalsowiththeuseofstimulantmedications(IVnon-illicit
drugssuchasGluconergan) inthe 1970s.48Theassociation
withthese groups would mostlikely explainthe high
fre-quencyofthissubtypeintheoldergroup(>40years)inthis
population.37Thedeclineinneedlesharingandthefrequency
ofinjectionsandincreasingeducationalmeasuresmighthave
contributedtoreducingthisriskofparenteralexposureinthe
early1990s.49
HCV-1a was found to be the most recently introduced
subtypeinourregion andshowed thehighestgrowth rate
comparedwithother subtypes.Unlikesubtype1bthathad
adeclineofthespreadaftermandatoryserologicalscreening
forHBV,HIV,andHCVattheendofthe1980sinBrazilianblood
banks,subtype1ashowedanincreaseinthespreadas
demon-stratedinexponentialexpansioncurve(inSkyrideplot)inthe
mid-1990s,whichcontinueduntil2005.So,themainrouteof
HCV-1atransmissionisprobablynotbloodtransfusion,but
UDIV.
Someauthors haveassociated subtype1awith the use
ofintravenousdrugs,15,40,48,49andevenyoungindividualsor
short-timedrugusers(recent)couldbemoreassociatedwith
needlesharingandcontributingtothespreadofthissubtype
1ainthisagegroup.24,50Thisisinaccordancewithanincrease
inthefrequencyofsubtype1aamongyoungerdonors(<30
years).37
Ourdataclearlyshowthatafteraninitialperiodof
expo-nentialgrowth, the expansion ofthe threemain subtypes
begantodecreaseasaconsequenceoftheintroductionof
anti-HCVscreeningtestsandpoliticalandeducationalmeasures
avoidingneedlesharingamongIVDUs.Thedelayobservedin
BSKforHCV-1bdeclineappearstobetheconsequenceoftwo
possibleandnon-exclusivehypotheses:(i)theinflatedgenetic
diversityinthetreecausedbytheconcomitantcirculationof
atleastfourmonophyleticstrains,and(ii)asHCV-1bisthe
mostancientandmostprevalentsubtypeinSãoPaulo,where
itwasfirstspreadbytransfusionrouteanditstransmission
wassustainedbydifferentgenerations throughroutesthat
allowedspreadof4lineages(G1–G4)forminggroupsrestricted
byfactorsyettobedetermined.HCV-1aand-3ashowedlow
geneticvariation,inaccordancewiththeirrecententry.
Conflict
of
interest
Theauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest.
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by CAPES (Coordenac¸ão
de Aperfeic¸oamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior) of
Brazilian Ministry of Education and by Fundac¸ão
Pró-Sangue/HemocentrodeSãoPaulo.
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