1
st
New Developmentalism Workshop:
Theory and Policy for Developing Countries
Hosted by the Centre of New Developmentalism of the São Paulo
School of Economics – Getulio Vargas Foundation – Sao Paulo, Brazil
July 25
th– July 26
th, 2016
The Centre of New Developmentalism of EESP/FGV is organizing the 1
stNew
Developmentalism’s Workshop – “Theory and Policies for Developing Countries",
which will be held in São Paulo, Brazil, from 25 to 26 of July 2016.
The content of the first day
of the Workshop are lectures on the New
Developmentalism Theory. The key economic models and the political economy of
New Developmentalism will be discussed. There will be lectures on economic
development and structural change, the developmental macroeconomics, exchange
rate theory, the tendency to the cyclical and chronic overvaluation of the exchange
rate, the determination of the industrial equilibrium and on the political economy
of either, the developmental state and the maintenance of high interest rates.
The former Finance and Planning Minister of Brazil, Dr. Nelson Barbosa, will make
the keynote speech relating new developmentalism with the present crisis. Prof.
Robert Boyer will be the distinguished foreign guest. He will discuss the relation
between the theory of Regulation School and the New Developmentalism.
The second day
will be reserved for the discussion of academic papers dully
submitted to the Workshop; they will be either following the line or critical of the
New Developmentalism.
There will also be a discussion between the theorists of new developmentalism
and the foreign guest about the ideas and proposes presented during the course.
The best articles will be published in the Brazilian Journal of Political Economy.
Registration
For the attendants the deadline is extended until July 15,
2016.
The applicants shall add a short curriculum vitae (PDF and word), containing
maximum academic degree, the institution of maximum academic degree and research
interests and most relevant publications (not mandatory).
Candidates should send e-mails confirming interest to lucas.dib@fgv.br and
cnd@fgv.br
There will be a symbolic registration fee of US$25.00 or R$100,00 for all. The Centre
will provide lunch for all participants in both days.
Lecturers and keynote speakers
Keynote speakers:
Ciro Gomes (Former Finance Minister, National Integration and Governor)
Robert Boyer (L'école Des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales And Director of The
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)
Lecturers
Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira (Emeritus Professor of FGV and Former Finance,
Public Management and Science and Technology Minister of Brazil)
Nelson Marconi (Professor of EESP-FGV and President of the Brazilian Keynesian
Association)
José Luis Oreiro (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro)
Schedule
First day - Lectures
July 25
th9:30 – 10:00
Keynote speaker: Professor Robert Boyer
10:00 – 10:50
New Developmental Political Economy (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)
10:50 – 11:10
Coffee break
11:10 – 12:00
Developmental Macroeconomics I (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)
12:00 – 12:50
The industrial equilibrium index (Professor Nelson Marconi)
13:00-14:20 - LUNCH WITH LECTURERS AND PARTICIPANTS
14:30 – 15:20
Developmental Macroeconomics II (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)
15:30 – 16:20
A new-developmental proposal for Brazil (Professor José Luis Oreiro)
16:20 – 16:40
Coffee break afternoon
16:40 – 17:30
Developmental Macroeconomics III (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)
17:30 – 18:20
The Regulation School and New Developmentalism (Professor Robert Boyer)
Second day – Discussion of papers
July 26
th08:45 – 10:35 – First round table for papers presentations and debates
The effectiveness of expansionary devaluation at different stages of
economic development
Rafael Ribeiro; Igor Rocha e Guilherme Magacho - University of
Cambridge
Exchange rate in Brazil: a macroeconomic assessment on the first ten years
of free floating policy during the Plano Real
Alexandre da Silva de Oliveira – PUC-SP
Three Key Levels of the Real Exchange Rate in Latin America
Martin Rapetti – Universidad de Buenos Aires
Um Modelo Estruturalista-Keynesiano de Determinação da Taxa de Câmbio
Real "Ótima" para o Desenvolvimento Econômico Brasileiro: 1999-2015
André Nassif - Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social,
Carmen Feijo (Universidade Federal Fluminense) e Eliane Araujo –
Universidade Estadual de Maringá
(20 min each presentation, 30 min debates)
10:35 – 10:50 – Coffee break
10:50 – 12:20 – Second round table for papers presentations and debates
Dutch Disease-cum-financialization Booms and External Balance Cycles in
Developing Countries
Alberto Botta - University of Greenwich
The Exchange Rate, Income Elasticities, and Structural Change: Theoretical
Foundations and Empirical Evidence
Nelson Marconi – Fundação Getulio Vargas, Jose Luis Oreiro –
Universidade de Brasília e Eliane Araujo – Universidade Estadual de
Maringá
The Paradox of Mexico's Export Boom Without Growth: A Demand-Side Explanation
João Paulo A. de Souza - Middlebury College
(20 min each presentation, 30 min debates)
12:20 – 13:30 – Lunch with lecturers and participants
13:30 – 15:20 – Third round table for papers presentations and debates
Financial Fragility, Instability and the Brazilian Crisis: a Keynes Minsky
-Godley Approach
Felipe Rezende - Hobart and William Smith Colleges
Economic Structures, Institutions and Economic Performance
Collin Constantine - Kingston University
Combating Inflation in Brazil: Sacrifice or Gain?
Jolanda Ygosse Battisti – EAESP-FGV
Developmental states in the 21th century: analytical structure of a new approach
Judit Ricz - Institute of World Economics - Centre for Economic and Regional
Studies of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences (20 min each presentation, 30 min debates)
15:20 – 15:50 – Final remarks and debate between the lectures 15:50 – 16:10 – Coffee
16:10 -17:30 – Keynote Speaker with Mr. Ciro Gomes 17:30 – 18:00 – Closing session
References on New Developmentalism
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2007) Macroeconomia da Estagnação. São Paulo: Editora 34. Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Developing Brazil: Overcoming the Failure of the
Washington Consensus, Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Globalização e Competição. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier-Campus.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Mondialisation et Compétition: La Découverte.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2010) Globalization and Competition. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2011) “From old to new developmentalism in Latin America”, in José Antonio Ocampo and Jaime Ross, eds. (2011) The Oxford Handbook of
Latin American Economics, Oxford: Oxford University Press: 108-129.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2013) “The value of the exchange rate and the Dutch disease”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 33(3) julho 2013: 371-387.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2014) A Construção Política do Brasil [The Political Construction of Brazil). São Paulo: Editora 34.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2015) “Reflecting on new developmentalism and classical developmentalism”, Working Paper EESP/FGV 395, June 2015. Available at www.bresserpereira.org.br.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2015) “State-society cycles and political pacts in a national-dependent society: Brazil”, Latin American Research Review 80 (2), 2015: 3-22.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos e Marcus Ianoni (2015) “Developmental class coalitions: historical experiences and prospects”. Texto para Discussão EESP/Fundação Getúlio Vargas n.386, março 2015.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos e Paulo Gala (2007) “Why foreign savings fail to cause growth”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 27 (1): 3-19. In Portuguese, in the printed edition; in English, in the journal’s website: www.rep.org.br.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, José Luis Oreiro and Nelson Marconi (2015) Developmental
Macroeconomics. London: Routledge.
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, José Luis Oreiro e Nelson Marconi (2015 [2016])
Macroeconomia Desenvolvimentista. Rio de Janeiro: Campus/Elsevier. Edição original
em inglês, 2015.
Cepêda, Vera Alves (2012) “Inclusão, democracia e o novo-desenvolvimentismo: um balanço histórico”, Estudos Avançados 26 (75): 77-90.
Diniz, Eli (2011) “O contexto internacional e a retomada do debate sobre o desenvolvimento no Brasil contemporâneo”, Dados – Revista de Ciências Sociais 54 (4): 493-531.
Diniz, Eli e Renato Boschi (2013) “Uma nova estratégia de desenvolvimento?”, in Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, org. O Que Esperar do Brasil?, Rio de Janeiro: Editora FGV: 27-60. Gala, Paulo (2006) Política Cambial e Macroeconomia do Desenvolvimento [Exchange Rate
Policy and Development Macroeconomics], São Paulo: Escola de Economia de São Paulo da Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Tese de doutorado, maio 2006.
Gala, Paulo, Eliane Araújo e Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira (2011) “Poupança doméstica e externa e a taxa de câmbio” em Marcio Holland e Yoshiaki Nakano, orgs., Taxa de
Câmbio no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, 2011: 77-102
Gonzalez, Lauro (2007) Crises Financeiras Recentes: Revisitando as Experiências da América
Latina e da Ásia. São Paulo: Escola de Economia de São Paulo da , Tese de Doutorado,
junho 2007.
Ianoni, Marcus (2014) “Teoria do Estado desenvolvimentista: uma revisão da literatura”,
Sinais Sociais 9 (24): 81-106.
Marconi, Nelson, Araújo, Eliane Cristina e Oreiro, Jose Luis (2015) “The exchange rate, income elasticities, and structural change: theoretical foundations and empirical evidence”, paper presented at 43º Encontro Nacional de Economia da Anpec, Florianópolis, Brasil.
Marconi, Nelson (2015) “A doença holandesa e o valor da taxa de câmbio”. In Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi, orgs. (2015): 181-204.
Marconi, Nelson (2015) “Estrutura produtiva e desenvolvimento econômico”. In Barbosa, Nelson, Nelson Marconi, Mauricio Canedo e Laura Carvalho, Indústria e
Desenvolvimento Produtivo no Brasil, Rio de Janeiro: Campus Elsevier: 31-70.
Marconi, Nelson (2012) “The industrial equilibrium exchange rate in Brazil: an estimation”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 32 (4): 656-669.
Marconi, Nelson e Marcos Rocha (2011) “Desindustrialização precoce e sobrevalorização da taxa de câmbio. Texto para Discussão 1681, IPEA, dezembro 2011.
Missio, Fabrício, Frederico G. Jayme Jr. e José Luís Oreiro (2015) “The structuralist tradition in economics: Methodological and macroeconomic aspects”. Brazilian Journal
Missio, Fabrício, Frederico G. Jayme Jr. e José Luís Oreiro (2015) “Real exchange rate and
economic growth: new empirical evidence”, Metroeconomica (doi:
10.1111/meca.12087).
Morais, Lecio e Alfredo Saad-Filho (2012) “Da economia política à política econômica: o novo-desenvolvimentismo e o governo Lula”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 31 (4): 500-527.
Nakano, Yoshiaki, Nelson Marconi e Paulo Gala (2010) “Efeitos da apreciação cambial sobre a poupança e a indústria”, in Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, org. Crise Global e o
Brasil, Rio de Janeiro: Editora FGV: 153-172.
Nassif, André, Carmen Feijó e Eliane Araújo (2012 [2015]) “Overvaluation trend of the Brazilian currency in the 2000s: Empirical estimation”, Brazilian Journal of Political
Economy 35 (1) 2015: 3-37.
Oreiro, José Luís (2012) “Novo-desenvolvimentismo, crescimento econômico e regimes de política macroeconômica”, Estudos Avançados 26 (75): 29-40.
Oreiro, José Luís (2015) “Um arcabouço teórico para a Macroeconomia Estruturalista do Desenvolvimento: uma homenagem a Bresser-Pereira”. In Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi, orgs. (2015): 149-180.
Oreiro, José Luis e Luiz Fernando de Paula (2012) “O novo-desenvolvimentismo e a agenda de reformas macroeconômicas para o crescimento sustentado com estabilidade de preços e equidade social”, em Oreiro, de Paula e Basílio, orgs. Macroeconomia do
Desenvolvimento: Ensaios sobre Restrição Externa, Financiamento e Política Macroeconômica, Recife: Editora Universitária da UFPE: 59-94.
Oreiro, José Luis, Flávio A. C. Basílio e Gustavo J. G. Souza (2014) “Effects of overvaluation and exchange rate volatility over industrial investment: empirical evidence and economic policy proposals for Brazil”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 34 (3): 347-369.
Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi (2015). A teoria econômica na
obra de Bresser-Pereira, Santa Maria: Editora da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria.
Paula, Luiz Fernando de (2015) “Macroeconomia do desenvolvimento de Bresser-Pereira: para além da ortodoxia convencional e do keynesianismo vulgar”. In Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi, orgs. (2015): 125-148.
