• Nenhum resultado encontrado

Conceptual bases of the government regulation migratory processes on base macroeconomic forecasting

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2017

Share "Conceptual bases of the government regulation migratory processes on base macroeconomic forecasting"

Copied!
5
0
0

Texto

(1)

. -.

.

: , , , ,

.

.

є ,

. –

, , –

. ’ є

-,

- .

А .

є ,

, : . [1],

. , . [2], . [3], . [4], . [6]

.

є .

є

,

. :

;

;

; .

.

,

,

-.

( . . 1).

є

-, ,

(2)

.

1 –

є

( ),

,

,

,

,

-є ’

. , , ,

, є : , , , ,

, .

, є

. ,

,

є ,

, .

, , є

’ .

є:

– є ;

– є

; –

;

– , ,

є

, ;

(3)

.

І є

, є - ,

є є , ,

. ’

є

, , є –

.

, ,

- ,

. є ,

, ,

, , ,

, ,

, - . ,

є .

, , є

-

- . –

.

( .1): 1)

(a1, a2, .., an); 2) (b1, b2, ..., bm); 3) (c1, c2, ..., ck).

. :

F = T + S ± E, (1)

F – ; – ; S – ; Е

.

, є ,

:

1. , є . є

є , є

. 2.

, ,

.

3. є

.

4. ( . 1),

, є ,

:

= f (z1(a1, a2,. .., an), z2(b1, b2, ..., bm), z3 (c1, c2, ..., ck)) (2)

(4)

є ,

,

-, .

є , є , є

.

t t

t F a F

F   1(1 ) , (3)

Ft – ; F t-1

; Ft – ; –

.

( )

( )

,

-- ;

- ;

- ;

-

;

-

;

- ’ ;

- ;

-

- ;

- ;

- ;

- ;

- ;

- ;

-

- ;

- ;

-

;

- ;

-

;

-

1 – ,

:

– ,

: , ,

, , .

, є ,

є ;

– є

;

– є .

є

, ,

є . , є

.

(5)

, .

, ,

- , ґ є

. є

,

-, - ,

.

(

)

-.

1. . . : . . – . : ,

2004. – 282 .

2. . ., . . : . . – . :

, 2005. – 403 .

3. . / . //

. – 2002. – №4. – .63-67.

4. . / . // Ч

. – 2003. – №2. – . 25-27.

5. [ ]. – :

http://ukrstat.gov.ua/

6. . : / . //

. – 2008. – №7. – .40-49.

В.Ю. , В.А. ер че

В , ,

.

.

.

: , , ,

, , .

V.Y. Shkola, V.A. Shcherbachenko

Conceptual bases of the government regulation migratory processes on base macroeconomic forecasting

In article authors specify essence ofmigration and migration consequences, factors, which influence migratory processes in Ukraine and behind its limits are investigated. Theoretic-methodological approaches to macroeconomic forecasting of migratory streams are improved. It is developed recommendations about carrying out of a migratory policy of the state.

Keywords: demographic situation, migration, migratory processes, economic safety, national economy, macroeconomic forecasting.

Referências

Documentos relacionados

• Sequência: colocar toda a parte comum no primeiro e segundo anos pode significar na prática continuar com o ensino tradicional, e reduzir o espaço dos itinerários formativos

Relatively to non-coloured phenolics, Kitagawa, Sakamoto, and Tano (2004) reported that numerous flavonoids present in Saco sweet cherry, particularly quercetin, quercetin glycosides

São ferramentas de simulação orientada a eventos, tem se revelado muito útil no estudo de natureza dinâmica para redes de ad hoc, bem como funções da MANET e seus

Ainda a partir das simula¸ c˜ oes, pode-se concluir que a linha dupla apresenta valores mais baixos a n´ıvel dos valores da queda de tens˜ ao e carga da linha em cerca de metade,

Moreover, changes in salivary protein profiles have been observed to be induced by high levels of tannins in diets, even in animal species which do not present TBSPs

Haratym, Dok ł adno ć wymiarowa odlewów wykona- nych w procesie Replicast CS, Archiwum Odlewnictwa rocznik 3, nr 9, Katowice 2003.. Arendarski, Niepewno ć pomiarów, Oficyna

condition, timing of migration, and the number of birds utilizing coastal habitat. Specifically, we predicted limited influence of ENSO events on migratory condition for

The present study investigated spatial patterns of richness, composition, and abundance of native (non-migratory and migratory) and non-native fishes in the cascade of