Agroforestry: key to the
development challenge
2
Who are we?
• One of the 15 CGIAR research centres
• employing about 500 scientists and other
staff.
• We generate knowledge about the diverse
roles that trees play in agricultural
landscapes
• We use this research to advance policies and
practices that benefit the poor and the
Six Science Domains
• SD1 – Agroforestry Systems
• SD2 – Tree Products and Markets
• SD3 – Tree Diversity, Domestication and Delivery
• SD4 – Land Health and Management
• SD5 – Environmental Services
• SD6 – Climate Change
3
We seek answers to this challenge:
“by 2050, we need to…
• Double world food production on ~ the same
amount of land
• Make farms, fields and landscapes more
resistant to extreme weather, while…
World Bank World Development Indicators South Asia 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 K g p e r H e c ta re Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America East Asia
Malnutrition means not enough calories…
… and a lack of micronutrients
Modified after: Msangi and Rosegrant 2011. Feeding the Future’s Changing Diets.
Fruit & veg consumption
8
2
Changing these graphs
is why we get out of bed in the
morning.
Three Four 2050 challenges:
•Produce 60% more food on ~ the same amount of
land
•Deal with massive malnutrition
•Make farms, fields and landscapes more resistant to
climate change
•Massively reduce GHG emissions from land use.
2
IPCC 4th assessement report
All these factors….
South Asia 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 K g p e r H e c ta re Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America East AsiaAfrica is
2
World Bank World Development Indicators South Asia 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 K g p e r H e c ta re Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America East Asia
First issue: yields.
11
African farm facts
• Population growth has rendered fallowing impossible
in many communities
• Land overuse is depleting soil organic matter, soil
carbon and soil microbiology
• Consequently, across drylands Africa, soil fertility is
dropping by 10-15% a year (Bunch, 2011)
•
Where will soil fertility, soil organic matter and extreme weather resilience come from ?
11
African farm facts
• Population growth has rendered fallowing impossible
in many communities
• Land overuse is depleting soil organic matter, soil
carbon and soil microbiology
• Consequently, across drylands Africa, soil fertility is
dropping by 10-15% a year (Bunch, 2011)
• Deep poverty and logistical bottlenecks makes
fertiliser unaffordable for most
• Funding for fertiliser subsidies is scarce and fickle
Where will soil fertility, soil organic matter and extreme weather resilience come from ?
Faidherbia Albida in teff crop system in Ethiopia
_______________________________________
maize yield (t/ha)
Maize only
1.30
Maize + fertilizer trees
3.05
____________________________________________________________
2011 Survey of farms in six Malawi districts (Mzimba, Lilongwe, Mulanje, Salima, Thyolo and Machinga)
Impact of fertilizer trees on maize yield
under farmer management
Drought Flood
P stopped
Long-term maize yield without
fertilizer in a Gliricidia system
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Fertilizer trees perform better than NPK.
Plot management Sampling Frequency
Mean (Kg/Ha)
Standard error
Maize without fertiliser 36 1322 220.33
Maize with fertiliser 213 1736 118.95
Maize with fertiliser trees 72 3053 359.8
Maize with fertiliser trees & fertiliser 135 3071 264.31
2009/2010 season; data from 6 Malawi districts
Farmer-Managed Natural Regeneration
Zinder, southern Niger in the 1980s
In FMNR, farmers will select the best shoots from trees regrowing naturally from stumps and eliminate the rest. This promotes the growth of vigorous new trees adapted to local conditions.
... and now.
Zinder, Niger, today.
These 5 million hectares of new agroforest
parklands are yielding
500,000 tonnes
more than before.
(Reij, 2012)23
Kantché district, Zinder, Niger
District of 350,000 people, with high tree on-field densities.
Rainfall averages ca. 350 mm per year, typical of Sahel drylands.
Annual district-wide grain surplus:
2007
21,230 tons
2008
36,838 tons
2009
28,122 tons
2010
64,208 tons
2011
13,818 tons
Kantché produces grain surpluses even in drought years.
Impact of Policy Changes
Restrictive forest codes in the Sahel were beginning to be relaxed in Niger so that trees planted or managed on farmers’ fields could remain the
property of the farmer and not revert to the government.
Galma, Niger 1975 2003
Simple agroecology Advanced Agroecology & intrants GMOs
The yield gap lesson
Typical African yield Simple AF yield
Typical EU yield
Advanced variety yield
C ro p y ie ld (t o n n e s p e r h e ct a re )
Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
Four 2050 challenges:
•Produce 60% more food on ~ the same amount of
land
•Deal with massive malnutrition
•Make farms, fields and landscapes more resistant to
climate change
•Massively reduce GHG emissions from land use.
3
Second issue. Where will micronutrients
come from?
From
trees,
too.
Why? Because indigenous fruits beat
exotics.
Sources: Freedman (1998) Famine foods. http://www.hort.purdue.edu/newcrop/FamineFoods; Fruits for the Future Series, ICUC; Fineli (http://www.fineli.fi/), etc.
They beat staples, too.
Species Dacroydes edulis fruit (88% dm) Irvingia gabonensis kernels (88% dm) Maize grain (86% dm) Rice grain Cassava tuber (30-35%dm) Carbohydrates 14 26-39 66-76 46-59 24-31 Fats/oils 32 51-72 2-6 1-2 <1 Protein 26 7.4 5-14 4-8 1 Fibre 18 1 1-3 1-4 1-2They can be harvested year round
(here, in western Kenya...)
… and in west and central Africa.
Tree species Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Irvingia wombolu Cola spp. Dacryodes edulis Garcina kola Irvingia gabonensis Ricinodendron heudelotii
What trees, exactly?
Mostly undomesticated
indigenous trees.
Tree-to-tree variation within the population of one single
village.
0 50 100 150 200 Individual trees M a s s ( g ) Kernel mass Shell mass Flesh mass
Farmers choose key traits. We
quantify them.
%a-santalol 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 % a -s a n ta lo l 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 Individual trees M a s s ( m g ) stearine (mg) oleine (mg)Fruit morphology Medicinal
properties
Essential oils
Edible oils and fatty acids
Techniques allow multiple trait selection for different markets
Desirable
outliers
Participatory Tree Domestication
• communities select, propagate and manage high-value
indigenous fruit trees and medicinal plants and integrate
them in their farming systems,
• Species for domestication are mainly selected
encompassing indigenous knowledge and genetic
selection based on scientific principles
• A strong partnership is developed with scientists, civic
authorities and private companies.
•PTD is farmer driven and market led.
•It focuses on species farmers consume best with high
Creation of early fruiting, low stature, productive cultivars with high quality and uniformity
Cultivar meeting market specifications Fruiting cultivar
Farmers have 50+ species under
domestication
*
Cultivar meeting market specifications Fruiting cultivar
Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
Fighting ignorance: the rural resource
centres
RRCs expose farmers to updated technologies in domestication
and agroforestry.
Demonstration plots help farmers acquire skills in production
and marketing knowledge
Four 2050 challenges:
•Produce 60% more food on ~ the same amount of
land
•Deal with massive malnutrition
•Make farms, fields and landscapes more resistant to
climate change
•Massively reduce GHG emissions from land use.
3
✔
11
Mitigation through trees
Carbon potential in various agroforestry systems
Mbow personal communication (2012)
• Food security: organic matter, nutrients, microclimate
• Nutrition: fruits, fodder, multi-crop system support
• Weather resilience: roots pump water, trees offer shade and windbreaks
• Insurance: in hard times, farmers can sell timber
• Income diversification:crops, fuel, fodder, timber, fruits
• Health: medicinal barks and leaves, nutrition
• Energy resources: fuelwood, charcoal
• Higher biodiversity • Reduced deforestation • Soil restoration
• Carbon sequestration
Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
Four 2050 challenges:
•Produce 60% more food on ~ the same amount of
land
•Deal with massive malnutrition
•Make farms, fields and landscapes more resistant to
climate change
•Massively reduce GHG emissions from land use.
3
✔
✔
✔
11
Other reasons to like trees:
van der Ent RJ, Savenije HHG, Schaefli B, Steele- Dunne SC, 2010. Origin and fate of atmospheric moisture over
continents. Water
Resources Research 46,
W09525,
E/P
Ellison D, Futter MN, Bishop K, 2011.On the forest cover–water yield debate: from demand- to supply-side thinking. Global Change Biology, doi:
10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02589.x
37%
% of rainfall derived from
‘
short cycle
’
terrestrial origins
68%
58%
30%
40%
41%
46%
22%
42%
1) Mackenzie river basin, 2) Mississippi river basin, 3) Amazon river basin, 4) West Afri-ca, 5) Baltics, 6) Tibet, 7) Siberia, 8) GAME (GEWEX Asian Monsoon Experiment) and 9) Huaihe river basin.
Why India and China should invest in draining the Sudd and letting the water evaporate in Egypt instead… and why West Africa should be opposed to it
Deforesting
Myanmar
will reduce
rainfall in
China
Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
Soil biota density under crops compared with agroforestry
Number per m
2 (Barrios et al 2012)Soil biota density under crops compared with agroforestry
Number per m
2 (Barrios et al 2012)Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
11
800 $ / Ha / year High social costs
High environmental costs
3,000 $ / Ha / year No social costs
Low environmental costs
Leakey, 2012
23
Kantché district, Zinder, Niger
District of 350,000 people, with high tree on-field densities. Rainfall averages ca. 350 mm per year, typical of Sahel
drylands.
• Annual district-wide grain surplus:
• 2007 21,230 tons
• 2008 36,838 tons
• 2009 28,122 tons
• 2010 64,208 tons
• 2011 13,818 tons
Kantché produces grain surpluses even in drought years. This is mostly exported to northern Nigeria, providing cash revenue.
Intensive agriculture Agroecological systems
The transition to sustainability
Yield range Net income
• Increased crop nutrient availability in rainfed food crop systems
• Improved microclimate and soil water relations conveying greater adaptation to
climate change
• Increased and more stable food crop productivity
• Increased food micronutrient availability (fruits)
• Enhanced dry season fodder availability
• Dramatically increased carbon accumulation in food crop systems: 6-10 tons of
CO2 per hectare per year are common
• Enhanced biodiversity
• Reduced deforestation due to on-farm fuelwood and timber production
• Increased extreme weather resilience
• Diversified and increased income streams
So why this?
Investment in
“normal” agriculture
Natural
Forest
4.1 billion haCrop
Land
1.5 billion haPasture &
Rangelands
3.4 billion haWetlands
1.3 billion haDeserts
1.9 billion haAgriculture
Forestry
Environment
What is best way to optimise goals?
• Productivity/Income • Sequestration/Mitigation • Reduced emissions • Resilience/Adaptation • Environmental Goods/Services
CSA
REDD+
PES
800 $ / Ha / year High social costs
High environmental costs
3,000 $ / Ha / year No social costs
Low environmental costs
36
Thank you!
(if you’re still hungry, I have more on making this
happen)
For more information
Patrick Worms, World Agroforestry Centre Email:p.worms@cgiar.org
Tel: +32 495 24 46 11
Getting there
• Enabling policies
• Improved genetics
• Farmer information
Getting there
• Enabling policies
• Improved genetics
• Farmer information
Impact of Policy Changes
Restrictive forest codes in the Sahel were beginning to be relaxed in Niger so that trees planted or managed on farmers’ fields could remain the
property of the farmer and not revert to the government. The change in three decades, was dramatic.
Galma, Niger 1975 2003
Adjudicated under the Land Adjudication Act CAP 284 1968, intensive smallholder cultivation with clear freehold title
Un-adjudicated land: no firm legal title
Norton-Griffith, in preparation
Tenure effects on land productivity
and investment
The Landscape Approach
People-Place-Purpose
Five underlying Principles:
1. Make sense and operate across nested and interacting
social and political scales (village, district, country)
2. Make sense and operate across nested and overlapping
biophysical scales (e.g. farm, watershed, basin)
3. Involve multiple and defined sectors and stakeholders
4. Seek synergies and reduce tradeoffs
5. Monitor and evaluate baselines, interventions,
counterfactuals, policies
Policy Conflict
- Natural forest protection
- Tree growing
Basic problem
There is a lack of coherent
and rigorous sampling and
assessment frameworks
that enable comparison of
data across a wide range of
environmental conditions
and scales
Soil maps generally static Coarse resolution
Don’t reflect functional properties of the soil
Surveillance science
Land health metrics
Consistent field protocol
Soil spectroscopy Coupling with remote
sensing Prevalence, Risk factors, Digital mapping
Sentinel sites
Getting there
• Enabling policies
• Improved genetics
Cocoa Yields are too low
Source: Etude sur les revenus et les investissements des producteurs de café et de cacao en Côte d’Ivoire,
Agrisystems Consortium, 2008 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 -1 0 0 1 0 0 -2 0 0 2 0 0 -3 0 0 3 0 0 -4 0 0 4 0 0 -5 0 0 5 0 0 -6 0 0 6 0 0 -7 0 0 7 0 0 -8 0 0 8 0 0 -9 0 0 9 0 0 -1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 -1 4 0 0 1 4 0 0 -1 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 -1 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 -1 7 0 0 1 7 0 0 -1 8 0 0 1 8 0 0 -1 9 0 0 1 9 0 0 -2 0 0 0
Yield classification (kg/ha)
N u m b e r o f p lo ts s u rv e y e d 0.5 MT/ha
MARS-ICRAF-CDI Government
Public Private Partnership
cir252 0.0 cir19 5.1 cir240 9.2 cir3 16.0 Tce089 20.9 cir129 23.4 shrs21 shrs6 23.8 ca797995 32.3 cir268 cir152 37.4 shrs13 38.5 cir60 48.5 cir139 cir165 50.1 shrs2 51.3 cir162 57.7 cir48 70.5 cir230 85.4 cir228 86.1 WRKY-03 88.0 cir68 cir261 93.5 cir73 cir269 100.5 2 cir184 0.0 cir161 cir118 11.6 cf974239 15.7 cir143 cir159 28.9 cir102 39.4 WRKY-14 45.0 cir29 46.5 cf972885 51.0 cir249 53.3 shrs3 54.7 cir244 60.4 shrs23 61.1 cir246 62.7 cir273 65.8 cir286 68.4 shrs34 69.0 Tce574 80.1 cir275 87.7 cir264 89.9 cir22 93.5 RGH11 cir194 97.0 1 cir242 0.0 cir234 1.5 cir241 3.8 cir233 5.1 Tce195 9.4 cir117 11.2 cir33 14.5 cir237 14.8 cir95 20.6 shrs33 23.3 cir32 26.2 cir43 32.0 cir12 34.2 cir213 cir206 48.6 Tce380 59.4 cir115 75.3 4 cir120 cir150 0.0 cir153 2.1 cir198 3.8 TIR2 5.4 cir146 9.6 cir21 10.7 cir192 10.9 cir62 11.6 cir40 12.3 cir247 13.9 cir204 17.0 Tce380A 19.5 cir180 21.6 cir175 31.4 cir280 39.6 cir289 40.6 cir78 42.0 cir263 45.4 cir219 48.0 cir254 63.6 cir135 63.9 cir128 64.1 cir140 66.4 shrs7 70.1 shrs5 cir226 70.4 cir131 70.8 cir202 71.4 cir144 72.1 ca798018 73.0 cir81 79.5 ca795469 91.6 3 WRKY-10 0.0 cir111 0.3 cir232 1.3 cir119 2.1 shrs37 5.2 shrs12 7.4 shrs11 7.6 cir148 13.5 shrs22 18.2 cir10 21.5 Tce030 26.1 cir196 cir123 26.8 cir42 27.7 cir169 31.5 cir149 cir256 39.8 cir170 40.7 shrs19 47.7 cir245 48.8 cir69 WRKY-11 49.1 TIR4 52.3 TIR3 52.6 shrs4 63.7 cir87 67.6 cir80 73.0 cir109 cir101 84.9 cir274 85.3 5 cir103 0.0 cir134 3.0 cir189 5.4 Tce487 13.5 cir26 16.8 cir200 23.0 cir211 shrs20 33.3 cir225 35.2 cir282 45.1 cir1 51.1 8 ca972846 0.0 cir186 1.7 cir277 cir116 3.2 cir179 4.4 cir177 5.7 cir147 8.0 cir55 10.2 cir56 12.4 cir46 cir181 16.6 RGH4 22.8 RGH5 26.1 cir13 33.1 RGH1 37.4 cir190 43.7 cir141 44.1 7 cir79 0.0 cir85 3.4 cir64 cir98 24.0 cir283 24.8 cir212 32.8 RGH2 cir58 36.4 cir8 45.0 cir178 47.5 cir160 55.2 cir157 58.0 cir35 60.5 cf972909 67.0 cir24 68.5 cir251 73.3 cir30 74.1 cir166 79.5 cir250 83.2 cir126 86.0 cir108 88.1 cir266 88.6 cir72 cir287 94.6 cir243 95.4 9 cir6 0.0 cir136 1.5 5.4 cir53 10.5 cir71 32.2 cir276 34.3 34.7 cir25 37.4 cir209 54.3 cir9 57.9 cir291 59.9 6 cir37 0.0 cir223 4.7 RGH7 11.2 RGH8 13.4 cir61 23.3 cir104 40.6 cir155 41.3 cir229 57.8 10 Pod Number Trunk Circumference
Pod Number & Wet Bean Weight Witches’ Broom
Resistance
Pod Weight
Frosty Pod Resistance & Wet Bean Weight Bean Length
Jorquette Height Frosty Pod
Resistance
Bean Length, Seed Weight,Ovule Number, & Trunk Circumference Black Pod
Bean Weight, Bean Thickness, Pod Weight & Pod Length
~40 identified QTLs in cacao
Getting there
• Enabling policies
• Improved genetics
Fighting ignorance: the rural resource
centres
RRCs expose farmers to updated technologies in domestication
and agroforestry.
Demonstration plots help farmers acquire skills in production
and marketing knowledge
RRCs: not ye olde extension service.
•
More scope for joint research, adaptation, training, sharing and
diffusion of good practices and technologies
•
Better partnership between research, civil society organisations
and farmers
•
More flexibility in activities, room for testing and adaptation
•
Gradual development
36
Thank you!
For more information
Patrick Worms, World Agroforestry Centre Email:p.worms@cgiar.org
Tel: +32 495 24 46 11
Natural
Forest
4.1 billion haCrop
Land
1.5 billion haTree
Plantations
0.3 billion haPasture &
Rangelands
3.4 billion haWetlands
1.3 billion haDeserts
1.9 billion haNatural
Forest
4.1 billion haCrop
Land
1.5 billion haPasture &
Rangelands
3.4 billion haWetlands
1.3 billion haDeserts
1.9 billion haGlobal Land Area
Natural
Forest
4.1 billion haCrop
Land
1.5 billion haPasture &
Rangelands
3.4 billion haWetlands
1.3 billion haDeserts
1.9 billion haTime (years)