From Ambition to Action:
How to best deliver European building sector policies on the ground
June 26, 2013
Energy
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@EBC_SMEs
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Towards a sustainable reconversion of
Flanders
Roeland Dudal
Architecture Workroom Brussels rdudal@architectureworkroom.eu www.architectureworkroom.eu EU Sustainable Energy Week High Level Policy Conference Commitee of the Regions, Brussels
26th of June 2013
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http://prezi.com/3765fulqptrc/eu-sew/
Setting the scene: buildings regulations and initiatives
Oliver Rapf, BPIE
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Survey #1
@BPIE_eu
@EBC_SMEs
#EUSEW13
Q1: I believe that EU policies to improve the energy performance of buildings
Your first choice
A. lack ambition
B. are too ambitious
C. are effective and drive change
D. mainly lack effective implementation at national level
A. B. C. D.
13%
72%
6% 9%
Q2: I believe that existing policies and
initiatives for the building sector lead to Make
three choices
A. a small reduction in energy consumption
B. a significant reduction in energy consumption
C. economic growth in the member states
D. job creation
E. an improvement in living conditions
F. sustainable urban development G. none of the above
H. I don’t know
A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H.
30%
10%
13%
2% 3%
6%
17%
19%
Q3: What additional policies and actions must be put in place for a sustainable
buildings future?
Your 3 top priorities
A. Establish mandatory targets for energy efficiency B. Develop additional policies
C. Revisit existing policies (e.g. simplify and sharpen)
D. Create more coherence between building related policies and measures
E. Ensure a more stringent implementation of existing policies (E.g. stricter monitoring, more data collection, etc.)
F. Improve market conditions for energy performance of buildings (E.g. reduction of administrative burden, increase awareness and information)
G. Invest in research & innovation (E.g. new technologies, equipment and materials,…) H. Simplify and better promote financial support
schemes (cf. EIB, EIF, EEEF, ERDF…)
A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H.
18%
3%
8%
18%
8%
20%
15%
10%
Q4: What is – in your opinion - the main benefit of improving the energy
performance of buildings? Your choice
A. Energy security
B. Environmental benefits (CO2 )
C. Macro-economic benefits D. Stimulus of local industry E. Health and comfort for
citizens
F. Reduced energy bills for tenants
A. B. C. D. E. F.
11%
40%
26%
11%
2%
11%
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Panel 1: Towards a comprehensive strategy for buildings at EU level
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Moderator: Jacki Davis
• Tudor Constantinescu (DG Energy)
• Mathieu Fichter (DG Regio)
• Peter Graham (Global Buildings Performance Network)
• Patrice Millet (DG Research & Innovation)
• Pavel Misiga (DG Environment)
• Laurentiu Plosceanu (EESC representative)
• Marzena Rogalska (DG Enterprise)
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Setting the scene: how to make things happen on the
ground
Riccardo Viaggi, EBC
The Concerted Action EPBD
Hans Erhorn
Fraunhofer-Institut für Bauphysik (DE) Eduardo Maldonado
Universidade do Porto (PT)
The Concerted Action EPBD
Supporting transposition and implementation of the recast EPBD
Member States cooperating to finding the best solutions and moving towards harmonization
Certification
Inspections
Training Nearly Zero-
Energy Buildings Compliance
Support Initiatives Procedures and
Cost Optimal
A decade of progress since
the EPBD was launched (2002)
Every country in Europe requires an EPC for:
>new buildings
>renovations of existing buildings
>upon sale/rent
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550,000
8,000 2,415,000
301,000 90,000
30,000 345,500
8,180
41,000
Just a sample.. Not for every country EPCs issued 2009-2012
Millions of EPCs already
issued
Diverse implementations
adapted to the local needs
Project Insides: Procedures
• Main discussion point within the countries
• Tendency towards building complex and building level
• Dependent on the type of
renewables energy generation and source
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Number of Countries
Accounting of Renewables (max. = 17 MS)
Building level Building
complex level Neighbourho od level
Infrastructura l level
There is still much room to
improve
Observations:
Requirements (3)
Tightening
• 9 countries have an estimation
• Average tightening of those is 39 %
But buildings today are clearly more energy-efficient
FR
DE
IE
Project insides: Towards 2020
Defined in legal document:
• Cyprus
• Denmark
• Estonia
• Lithuania
• Slovak Republic
• France
NZEB: Promotion Programmes
• 6 MS have financial and other promotion programmes in place
• Others include:
• Guidance to the industry
• Pilot projects
• Communication
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Number of Countries
Promotion Programmes (max. = 19 MS)
Financial Others None
NZEB and Beyond:
a business case
www.epbd-ca.eu
Check the 2012 Book of National EPBD
Reports
To be released
June 28, 2013
THANK YOU
www.epbd-ca.eu
25 www.entranze.eu
SUPPORTING POLICY
MAKERS AT NATIONAL LEVEL
Brussels, 26th June 2013 Lukas Kranzl
Vienna University of Technology
26 www.entranze.eu
POLICY QUESTIONS
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POLICY QUESTIONS
How to get the construction sector to build nZEBs after 2020? (How to define nZEBs?)
How to initiate and ensure the transition to a low-carbon and nZEB stock in the long-term?
How to implement effective, efficient and socially compatible policies promoting this transition?
How to deal with budget restrictions and difficult economic conditions?
How to link to traditions and culture?
How to deal with inertia (of people and the building stock)?
How to deal with complex decision criteria of different
people?
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POLICY QUESTIONS
Highly complex
Very long-term impact (until the end of this century)
Highly relevant for …
Energy supply security
Climate mitigation target
Comfort of people
Overall economic conditions
…
Need for effective support, integrating profound
analytical approaches in the policy discussion process!
Often: Need for scenario analysis regarding the impact of
policy settings!
29 www.entranze.eu
PURPOSE OF SCENARIOS?
To know how the future will look like?
To know how a certain policy instrument will work?
To know how much it will cost to implement certain policy instruments?
To know how to optimise the setting of policy instruments?
To better understand the functionality, challenges and design options of policy packages!
This is possible if policy processes are properly
designed and if a continous dialogue takes place!
30 www.entranze.eu
POLICY SUPPORT:
A DYNAMIC PROCESS
Clarify the questions
Select methodology, required data, time frame
Define framework
conditions Define policy
packages for analysis Develop policy
impact scenarios
Derive conclusions
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POLICIES TO ENFORCE THE TRANSITION TO NZEB
Project partners:
Energy Economics Group/TU Vienna (AT),
BPIE(BE),
National Consumer Research Centre (FI),
Fraunhofer ISI (DE),
Enerdata, with support of ADEME (FR),
CENER (ES),
End use Efficiency Research Group, Politecnico di Milano (IT),
Öko-Institut e.V. (DE),
Sofia Energy Agency (BG),
SEVEn (CZ).
Project duration:
April 2012-November 2014
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POLICY INSTRUMENTS
INVESTIGATED IN ENTRANZE
Generic instrument portfolio
Country specific adaptation
Country specific integrated
policy sets
1
2
3
Model runs
Energy savings GHG emissions Investment costs Avoided fuel costs
…
1
2
3 Energy savings GHG emissions Investment costs Avoided fuel costs
…
Energy savings GHG emissions Investment costs Avoided fuel costs
…
P olicy r ecom me nd ation s
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THE ROLE OF
ANALYTICAL MODELS SUPPORTING POLICY PROCESSES
Dennis Meadows:
„A model is a structured set of assumptions.“
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STRUCTURE OF INVERT/EE-LAB
Space heating and hot water energy demand calculation
module
Exogenous scenarios growth of building stock
(t=t1… tn)
Climate data (HDD, solar irradiation …) User behavior
Options for thermal renovation
(t=t1… tn) Technology data space heating and hot water
(t=t1… tn) Energy prices (t=t1… tn)
Policies (t=t1… tn) Diffusion restrictions
(t=t1… tn) Biomass potentials
(t=t1… tn)
Preferences for heating systems, , traditions, inertia
(t=t1… tn)
Simulation algorithm
Multi-nominal logit approach Logistic growth model
Simulation results (t=t1… tn) - Installation of heating and hot water systems - Total energy demand by energy carriers (GWh) - Total investments (M€)
- Policy programme costs (M€) etc.
Database heating and hot water sector
(t=t0, input of simulation results for t1… tn) Building stock data
- U-values - Geometry - Age - Regions - Type of use
Installed heating and hot water systems
- η/COP/solar yield - Type of energy carriers - O&M costs
www.invert.at
35 www.entranze.eu
Showing the impact of policies on heating
and hot water energy demand (example of Austria)
#35
Current policies Ambitious policies
Source: Invert/EE-Lab model runs in the project Eisern (Müller et al 2012)
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NEED FOR CONTINUOUS DIALOGUE BETWEEN STAKEHOLDERS, EXPERTS AND POLICY MAKERS
Dialogue as dynamic, iterative process.
Integrating analytical approaches and models.
Adressing critical minds for constructive discussions.
Coming closer to our objective: effective, efficient policies for drastically reducing energy consumption and CO2-emissions of buildings in the EU.
In ENTRANZE such policy processes are initiated.
Be part of it!
37 www.entranze.eu
Thank you for your attention!
Further information: www.entranze.eu Lukas Kranzl
Vienna University of Technology, Energy Economics Group Tel: + 43 1 58801 370351
Email: lukas.kranzl@tuwien.ac.at
38
Survey #2
@BPIE_eu
@EBC_SMEs
#EUSEW13
Q1: What do you expect from future EU policies in order to foster national/local improvements in building energy performance? Your 3 top priorities
A. Higher buildings dedicated budget from EU
B. More guidance C. More policy
implementation programmes
D. More innovation
E. Improved accessibility to EU funds
F. More market stimulation
A. B. C. D. E. F.
11%
15%
24%
16%
12%
22%
Q2: In the coming years, on which level should most effort be made to improve the energy
performance of buildings?
Your first choice
A. EU
B. National C. Regional D. Local/city
A. B. C. D.
14%
35%
12%
39%
Q3: Which initiatives are the most important to create change at national level?
Your 3 top priorities
A. More stringent regulations for existing and new buildings
B. Voluntary agreements between
governments and key stakeholders (e.g.
housing owner associations)
C. Programmes incentivising an improved energy performance of buildings (e.g.
financing, taxation) D. Awareness campaigns
E. Independent and credible advice, e.g.
through one-stop-shops for advice and information
F. Industry initiatives
G. Stricter equipment and material regulation H. Public-private partnerships
A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H.
20%
8%
25%
10%
7%
4%
15%
10%
Q4: What are the key implementation challenges at national level?
Your 3 top priorities
A. Public consensus creation on macro- economic and societal benefits
B. Ensuring coherent policy at national level
C. Predictable funding measures to support energy performance improvements
D. Knowledge creation and awareness E. Capacity-building and training
F. Wider integration of all actors
G. Adaptation of Energy Performance Contracting and third party financing models for small projects in the
residential sector
A. B. C. D. E. F. G.
11%
17%
18%
17%
7%
17%
12%
Q5: How can the market be stimulated most effectively? Your 3 top priorities
A. Improve confidence among building owners (e.g. homeowners, landlords) in the benefits of sustainable buildings B. Make better use of financial incentives C. Simplify the relationship between
client (building owners) and enterprise (solutions providers) by establishing a
“one-stop-shop” service (comprising advice, design, financing,
implementation etc.)
D. Simplify operation of financing schemes
A. B. C. D.
29%
20%
29%
22%
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Panel 2: From ambition to action: how to make things happen on the ground
Moderator: Jacki Davis
• Paula Butler (Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland)
• Chris Carr (Federation of Master Builders)
• Marie Donnelly (DG Energy)
• Hans Erhorn (Fraunhofer Institute of Building Physics)
• Anneli Hulthén (City of Gothenburg)
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Many thanks for your participation to BPIE and EBC’s conference!
Contact information:
BPIE
Marine Faber, Communications Manager, Marine.faber@bpie.eu
Ingeborg Nolte, Senior Communication Manager, Ingeborg.nolte@bpie.eu Oliver Rapf, Executive Director Oliver.rapf@bpie.eu
EBC Alice Franz, Policy Officer, Alice.Franz@eubuilders.org
Riccardo Viaggi, Secretary General, riccardo.viaggi@eubuilders.org
@BPIE_eu
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