The participation of His Excellency the President of Portugal and the high patronage of the Portuguese Presidency was a great honor for us. The message delivered by Michelle Bachelet, former president of Chile and currently the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, and the keynote speech by George Friedman, one of the world's leading geopolitical experts, set the tone for the panels and debates. . . A cooperation protocol was signed at the conference, between the Lisbon Club and the G7+, an intergovernmental organization of fragile or conflict-affected countries.
A 3ª CONFERÊNCIA DE LISBOA
RD LISBON CONFERENCE
This was pointed out by the President of the Portuguese Republic in the opening session, in which he warned of an "almost perfect storm" that is likely to be irreversible in many areas, endangering human development. In the panel on the PLANET, the unsustainability of the current global development model became clear, as we are still obsessed with continuous and exponential economic growth, despite scientific evidence on the need for an urgent paradigm shift. While the European Union has developed significant efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, emissions are rising in the largest developing countries, such as in China and India.
Programa
Changes in the military and political situation on the Korean Peninsula, as well as in Eastern Europe and Russian borders signal the likelihood of the outbreak of regional, global destructive conflicts.
Program
Are the decline in absolute poverty and the increase in prosperity of the top 1% two sides of the same growth model or are they a product of unrelated policies?
ABERTURA OPENING
Existem ameaças, perigos, indiferença e adaptação, mas apesar de tantos sinais de incerteza, a ilusão positiva de uma Europa melhor permanece. Podemos falar de uma tempestade quase perfeita, provavelmente irreversível em diversas áreas, afetando o desenvolvimento humano. Creio que estou longe de esgotar a lista de factores relevantes, mas bastam para falar de uma tempestade quase perfeita, que será provavelmente irreversível em diversas áreas e condicionará o desenvolvimento humano.
O PODER POWER
A Geopolítica na Caixa
But that doesn't change the fact that the United States represents 25% of the world economy, is the only global power, and that America doesn't know what it's doing. But what must be remembered about this is that it marks the transformation of the global system. Now we are in the same period, where the only imagination for new technologies is more of the same.
Debate
Por outro lado, existe neste momento uma maior aproximação entre a Grã-Bretanha e os Estados Unidos; À medida que a Europa se fragmenta, a confiança britânica nos europeus diminuiu e a possibilidade de um acordo de comércio livre entre o Reino Unido e os EUA está a aumentar. Os EUA dominam actualmente o Atlântico e o futuro fortalecimento das relações entre os EUA e o Reino Unido poderá ter efeitos positivos para Portugal. Em relação ao Brexit, foi mencionado que a Grã-Bretanha quer aquilo que a Alemanha também considera importante.
Terrorismo e Disputas
A SEGURANÇA SECURITY
It may be effective in the short term, but it is dangerous - what about our integration process. Therefore, it is a big problem that we do not manage to coordinate and make joint efforts. The first factor is state consistency and state crisis in the Middle East and beyond.
The big problem is the loss of legitimacy of the states and the general lack of trust in the political institutions that support the rule of law. I think the EU is particularly important in this regard, because it is the organization that has the most to lose from what is happening, especially when you think about the wars in the Middle East. All this may not only be related to terrorism, but is also a reaction to the recent crisis in our societies.
It's not just a historical perspective, it's something built into the military-industrial complex and the way the state is structured. Even if this perception arises from internal reasons, it is a very striking problem when we look at the European crisis. It is important to understand that the EU is not a state in the making, not a classic international organization, because it has more powers than the others, nor is it a super state.
However, it is not yet fully fulfilled because there is no internal agreement on what it is.
Será
A GLOBALIZAÇÃO GLOBALIZATION
The fundamental fact that we have been facing trade problems cannot be attributed to anything that has happened in the past year. One of the prevailing narratives used by the 'apostles' of globalization is that it is global and seamless, and that distance no longer matters (you can find books on the death of distance). First of all, that is a very state-oriented view of the world we find ourselves in, while globalization means much more than that.
Part of the rise of the Atlantic Ocean is due to the rise of the Pacific Hemisphere. The third story that I often hear about as one of the prevailing narratives about globalization – especially in the media – is that globalization has everything to do with the rise of Asia. But globalization is by definition not just about one part of the world, and if there is an Asian hemisphere, there must also be an Atlantic hemisphere.
And the center of the global renewable innovation industry is in the Atlantic, especially in Europe. As Professor George Friedman said today, there is a tendency in the European Union to call itself Europe, but non-EU Europe is becoming more and more important to the rest of the world. Most of the Indian public seems to think the future will be better - and you don't hear that in the United States, for example.
Much of it is being exploited by political parties and there is no understanding of the turnaround in the economy that we are witnessing.
A Instável
Sustentabilidade do Planeta
O PLANETA THE PLANET
We've had 200 years to spend half the carbon budget, which is the level of emissions to keep temperature rise below 1.5 or 2 degrees, and if we don't decarbonize our economy in the next 20 years, we won't be able to keep catastrophic climate change at bay. It's down 2% in 2016, and compared to 2014, that's over a 4% drop in demand, so we're going in the right direction, but like I said, it's just not fast enough. If that's not a revolution in the making in just 5 years, I don't know what is.
Good news number 4: there is a revolution underway in the transportation sector, which is so dependent on oil. This is an unstoppable revolution in the transport sector which will reduce dependence on oil, gas and fossil fuels. The more people we have, the more energy we need and the more we need to produce MWh, and therefore we will send more CO2 into the atmosphere.
In the Kaya equation, if I double the GDP and we don't change the other factors, I double the amount of CO2. We cannot ignore the fact that four countries in the world – China, Japan, India and the United States (US) – are responsible for 75% of the world's coal consumption. Regarding our relationship with resources, there are still 1.5 billion people in the world who do not have access to electricity.
The hydraulic energy is the cleanest source of energy we can have in the world, although some ecologists are against it.
AS PESSOAS PEOPLE
Classes Médias em Caminhos
A classe média tradicional está estagnada ou desaparecendo nos países industrializados e crescendo cada vez mais porque o modelo não pode continuar a apoiar este grupo social. A classe média tradicional está estagnada ou mesmo desaparecendo nos países industrializados e crescendo cada vez mais lentamente nos países em desenvolvimento. A classe média tradicional está estagnada ou desaparecendo nos países industrializados e crescendo cada vez mais lentamente nos países emergentes.
There are two kinds of innovation in the world: The European model saved energy and resources with a focus on sustainable development, and the American model saved labor with a focus on efficiency. That is why the gap between rich and poor is currently so wide in the world. Along with the modernization of Europe in the 16th century, the ancient Silk Road has disappeared into history.
The Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) is a transportation network in the Eurasian area and beyond. Such a bank will work together with the AIIB, taking the investment bank + IMF + World Bank + Trade Bank operating model, to finance the construction of global infrastructure, including the US. In the beginning it was probably like that, because an African worker could not work like a Chinese worker, and Chinese companies had a lot of problems with that.
What is produced in Africa is sold in Africa, what is produced in the Middle East is sold in the Middle East.
A EUROPA EUROPE
Dilemas
This notion of populism is really in the air, everyone uses it, but most times the definition is quite unclear and confusing. Marine Le Pen was emphatically defeated by Macron in the second round of the presidential election. On democracy, he said in the speeches that the essence of the European project is democracy.
Those who want to leave the EU are really banging very hard on this theme. I have been based in the US for the past 10 years and at a certain point I realized that the only way to actually be in the US was to spend half the time in Europe. She eliminated Sanders in a very unfair way, she forced out Biden at the beginning of the primary race, and in the end they lost.
The idea would be that this is all part of the post-Cold War breakup. Trump will not be able to change what is a continuum of US interests. Therefore, the European institutions were built on the model of the French administration, the thought, the philosophy was primarily very French.
It was Ashton who secretly started the negotiations on the Iran deal at the request of the Americans.
