PANORAMA ORSAMENTU JERAL ESTADU 2016
Ministeriu
Finansas
ESTRUTURA APREZENTASAUN
• Parte 1: Planeamentu no Panorama
Ekonomika
• Parte 2: Ezekusaun Orsamentu 2015
• Parte 3: OJE 2016 no Politikas Prinsipais
• Reseitas no Finansiamentu
• Reforma Fiscal
• Despezas
• Medidas Prinsipais iha OJE 2016
3
FAZE I
•Dezenvolve Rekursus
Umanus;
•Dezenvolve
Infraestrutura;
•Hametin Institusoens
•MDGs no “New Deal”
FAZE II
•Kontinua Dezenvolve
Infraestrutura;
•Hametin Rekursus
Umanus;
•Haburas
Kompetividade
Ekonomika
FAZE III
•Halakon Ki’ak;
•Haforsa Sétor Privadu
no “Kooperativa;
•Moderniza no
Diversifika Ekonomia
PLANU BA 2011-2015
PLANU BA 2016-2020
PLANU BA 2021-2030
PLANU ESTRATEJIKU DEZENVOLVIMENTU NASIONAL 2011-2030
“Visaun: Timor-Leste Sai Nasaun ho Rendimentu Médiu-Altu iha 2030”
PLANEAMENTU NO PANORAMA EKONOMIKA
Prioridade Nasional
Faze Implementasaun PED
PLANEAMENTU NO PANORAMA EKONOMIKA
5 Fatores Prinsipais
1. Prioridade Nasional ba 2016
: (1) Edukasaun (2) Saude (3)
Agrikultura (4) Infrastrutura Bazika (inklui Bee mos no
saneamentu no Operasaun no Manutensaun)
2. Kapasidade Ezekusaun - $1.570 miliaun
Taxa Ezekusaun to’o dia 9 Novembro 2015 = Real=57%, Obligasaun
= 14%, Komitmentu = 8%. Balansu = 21%
3. Sustentabilidade Fiskal
Despezas =< Reseitas
4. Kualidade Orsamentu
– Ligasaun entre Planeamentu, Orsamentu no Monitorizasaun
– Despezas Rekorentes vs Kapital
5. Kapasidade Ekonomika hodi Absorve
PANORAMA EKONOMIKA:
Kresimentu Ekonomiku Timor-Leste
5
PIB Real La’os Minarai 2005-2013
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
PIB Setor La’os Minarai
11.4%
14.3%
12.9%
9.5%
9.5%
6.4%
2.8%
Agrikultura. Florestas no Peskas
-3.3%
0.3%
8.1%
-2.9%
-19.6%
23.6%
0.3%
Konstrusaun
94.3%
139.8%
50.0%
6.9%
52.7%
-3.5%
-8.5%
Komérsiu pur-grosu no retallu
8.6%
13.1%
8.5%
4.4%
9.2%
2.1%
-3.4%
Administrasaun Públika
13.1%
5.7%
31.7%
13.1%
12.9%
12.6%
10.7%
Atividades Servisu Seluk
6.5%
21.4%
7.1%
-9.9%
-2.7%
-3.0%
-4.2%
Taxas Kresimentu PIB Real La’os Minarai 2007-2013
(%)
6.3% -5.8% 11.4% 14.3% 12.9% 9.5% 9.5% 6.4% 2.8% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% -$1,500 -$1,000 -$500 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Despeza seluk* ($m) Defise komersial ($m) Despeza governu nian** ($m) Investimentu ($m) Konsuma ($m) Setor La'os Minarai (%)
PANORAMA EKONOMIKA:
Previzaun Kresimentu Ekonomiku
6
• Preve katak kresimentu ekonomiku TL ba mediu-prazu entre 4.1%
-7.5%,
• Kresimentu nee dudu husi investimentu setor privadu , sae iha
konsumu uma kaen no despezas governu.
14.3% 12.9% 9.5% 9.5% 6.4% 2.8% 6.0% 4.1% 5.1% 6.7% 7.5% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Kresimentu Ekonomiku: Atual no Previzaun
0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Inflasaun: Atual no Previzaun
Inflasaun Total Inflasaun Prinsipal Inflasaun Alimentasaun
PANORAMA EKONOMIKA:
Previzaun Inflasaun
•Previzaun Inflasaun 2% entre 2015 –
2018, menus hosi targetu 4%-6%.
•Nee boot tanba fatores internasional:
•merkadoria internasional
favorável
•projesaun taxa kambiu
•Nee diak ba konsumidor ihaTimor
Leste
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Mar -10 Ju n -10 Sep -10 De c-10 Mar -11 Ju n -11 Sep -11 De c-11 Mar -12 Ju n -12 Sep -12 De c-12 Mar -13 Ju n -13 Sep -13 De c-13 Mar -14 Ju n -14 Sep -14 De c-14 Mar -15 Ju n -15YoY Inflasaun
Food and Non Alcholic Beverages Core Inflation Timor-Leste Dili
Districts
•Iha 2013 inflasaun tuun husi dijitu
rua ba PED nia alvu 4% - 6%.
•Inflasaun ki’ik ne’e bele atribui ba
fatores domestiku no internasional.
• Fator internasional hanesan
valorizasaun/apresiasaun dólar
Amerika hasoru moedas husi
Timor-Keste nia parseirus komersial no
folin merkadoria/sasan iha merkadu
internasional.
PANORAMA EKONOMIKA:
Dezempenhu Timor-Leste Iha Komersiu
Internasional
8
- 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Q1 2009 Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015Importasaun & Esportasaun Servisus (BoP, $000)
Esportasaun Servisus Importasaun Servisus
- 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Q1 2009 Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015
Importasaun & Esportasaun Sasan (BoP, $000)
Esportasaun Sasan Importasaun Sasan
- 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015
Defise Komersiu (esklui JPDA) (BoP, $000)
PANORAMA EKONOMIKA:
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Pagamentu kada fulan
0 200000 400000 600000 800000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct HCDF 3 21 1080 5521 8397 10986 12842 14654 18281 23539 IF 0 0 2024 4700 16793 36601 46148 62115 81235 100423 CFET 101245 158379 209718 206375 349183 412814 491446 542155 661659 756858
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Estatistika Pagamentu iha Tezouru
11
628 1,512 4,102 3,396 4,962 4,549 6,089 5,412 5,358 5,732 0 0 53 61 464 372 483 754 1023 843 720 1116 0 0 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
No. of Payment Requests received and returned
by Month
Payment requests received Payment requests returned
Razoens Prinsipais Pedidu Pagamentu Rezeita
1.
La iha relatoriu R & I no Asset Registers
2.
Laiha Kontratu /Kontratu invalidu
3.
Kode vendor sala ou la rejistu iha
sistema
4.
La iha relatoriu Servisus
5.
Montante iha invoice diferente ho CPV
6.
Coding blocks sala
7.
La iha redusaun tasa
8.
Izensaun tasa iha kontratu invalidu
9.
La iha invoice/numeru Invouce sala
10.
Numeru Konta bankaria sala
11.
La iha Numeru TIN no Dividas
PEDIDU PAGAMENTU
(29-Outubru-2014)
SIMU
REZEITA
%
REZEITA
Pagamentu Direta (transferensia) & Adiantamentu
33,119
3,679
11%
Projetus (Aprovisonamentu)
8,621
2,210
26%
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Reforma ba Prosesu Pagamentu
6.
Finaliza plano servisu ba Janeiro
2016 hodi decentraliza funsaun
procesamentu pagamentu tomak ba
agencia autonoma sira;
7.
Finaliza plano servisu ba Janeiro
2016 hodi decentraliza funsaun
kriasaun EV ba LM no agencia sira;
8.
Advance Payment Tracking System
(APT)
dezenvolve
hela
para
implementa iha 2016;
9.
Produs ona Relatoriu Monitorizasaun
mensalmente, no distribui ba Membro
Governu sira hotu atraves Gabinete
Primeiro Ministro
1.
Hadia sistema pagamento ( Payment
Request Tracking System) ne-be’e
introdus iha 9 Fevereiro 2015 hodi bele
ajuda redus atrazus pagamentu;
2.
Pagamentu hotu-hotu halo diretamente
ba iha fornesedor/kontrator sein uja ‘as
per attach list’ esepto pagamentu ba
Benefisio Sosial – MSS;
3.
Forma ekipa espesial ba pagamentu
urjente no pagamento salario konsultor
sira;
4.
Prosedimento
aprovasaun
TPO
eletroniku no transferensia TPO
eletroniku ba sistema R-Timor introduz
iha Tezouru iha 1 Maio 2015;
5.
Kriasaun
no
aprovasaun
GRN
decentraliza ba Linha Ministeriais no
agencia iha 18 Maio 2015;
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Desentralizaun Expenditure Voucher (EV) ba Linha
Ministeriu
Iha fulan Janeiru 2016, kria EV (Expenditure Voucher) sei desentraliza ba Linha
Ministeriu hotu, no MdF sei responsabiliza hodi verifika no aprova EV.
Nota : Iha tinan 2016, Funsaun hotu hotu hanesan iha leten sei
halao husi Ajensia Autonomas tuir politika decentralizasaun VI
Governu Konstitusional
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Total Ezekusaun
Ezekusaun Total Tuir Fundu – 9 Nov 2015
$104
$160
$768
$179
$27
$49
$107
$135
$3
$3
$26
$9
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
Komit
Obl
Aktual
Balansu
M
illions
FKTL
FI (inc. Emprestimu)
FDKU
FI (Inc.Imprestimu)
, 6.8% FDKU, 1.6%
FKTL, 48.9%
% Ezekusaun Real tuir Fundu
Komit 9% Obl 13% Aktual 63% Balansu 15%
Total Ezekusaun FKTL - 9 Nov 2015
Komit 8% Obl 16% Aktual 34% Balansu 42%
Total Ezekusaun FI - 9 Nov 2015
Komit 7% Obl 7% Aktual 63% Balansu 23%
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Total Ezekusaun : Orsamanetu vs Ezekusaun
$180 $497 $446 $40 $396 $10 $121 $269 $365 $13 $126 $5 $- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 SV BS TP KM KD FRK M illi on s
Total Ezekusaun Geral tuir Kategoria
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Total Ezekusaun
Ezekusaun Total Geral – 9 Nov 2015
% Ezekusaun Total Geral – 9 Nov 2015
1,570 133 213 900 323 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800
Orsamentu Komit Obl Aktual Balansu
Millions
Komit
8%
Obl
14%
Aktual
57%
Balansu
21%
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Total Ezekusaun
Ezekusaun Total FKTL – 9 Nov 2015
% Ezekusaun Total FKTL – 9 Nov 2015
1,212
104
160
768
179
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Orsamentu Komit
Obl
Aktual
Balansu
Millions
Komit
9%
Obl
13%
Aktual
63%
Balansu
15%
EZEKUSAUN OJE 2015
Ezekusaun Atual Kada LM/IE (9 Nov. 2015)
Ideal Ezekusaun 75%
99%
94%
76%
76%
75%
74%
73%
73%
72%
71%
70%
70%
69%
68%
67%
66%
66%
65%
65%
64%
62%
61%
61%
60%
60%
58%
57%
56%
55%
54%
53%
52%
52%
51%
47%
46%
43%
39%
37%
36%
33%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
MEP
C
M
MPR
M
MSS
F-FD
TL
U
N
TL
PD
H
J
SE
FI
SEAP
ME
CNE
SE
PFOPE
PM
MEC
AS
SE
JD
MJ
MAE
PR
SEAPSEM
PN
TL
SE
KO
MS
MN
EC
R
TTL
ID
N
SE
C
M
PN
D
TG
MdF
MS
MI
M
PIE
M
TAC
MO
PTC
PG
R
C
FP
C
AC
Tribunai
s
MEC
AE
MAP
MD
MC
IA
MEC
AA
EJ
Tinan-tinan, projeksaun kona ba uza saldu kaixa maka $0.00.
($ miliaun)
PROPOSTA OJE 2016:
($ miliaun)
OJE 2016: RESEITAS
OJE 2016: RESEITAS
Total Reseitas Domestika 2014-2020
(tokon $)
Atual 2014 BB1 Rec 2015 Projesaun
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Impostus 123.8 125.5 116.4 121.5 126.6 131.8 137 Taxas no Enkargus 37.7 37.2 46.4 50.2 54 58.3 62.1 Ajensias Autónomas 6.4 7.6 8.6 9.3 9.9 10.6 11.2
Jurus 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Reseita Domestika 168.0 170.4 171.4 180.9 190.5 200.6 210.3 168.0 170.4 171.4 180.9 190.5 200.6 210.3 0 50 100 150 200 250
Milliaun (USD)
• Prepara dokumentu politica
fiscal atu introduz impostu IVA
no muda lei tributaria.
• Prepara esbosu lei foun hodi
aprezenta ba Conselho no
Parlamento.
• Halo diagnostiku no planu
estrategiku ba Autoridade
Tributaria iha Nov-Dec 2015.
• Iha Jan-Fev 2016 peritus sei
halo aprezentasaun kompletu
ba Conselho de Ministrus
nomos Parlamento.
OJE 2016: RESEITAS
Reforma Fiscal
REFORMA FISKAL
Rekursus
Umanus
Politika no
Administrasaun
Tributaria
Legislasoens
Despezas no
Reseitas ba
Municipios
Politika no
Jestaun
Despezas
Sistema IT
FP, 82% Reseitas Domestika, 11% Deve, 7%
Fundu Petroliferu
23
Reseitas petrolíferas suporta
aprosimadamente 82% husi despezas
Governu aloka ba proposta OJE tinan
2016.
Balansu FP sei afetadu husi retornu
investimentu no nivel levantamentu iha futuru.
14,952 16,539 16,437 16,605 16,915 16,733 16,053 15,308 14,711 13,500 14,000 14,500 15,000 15,500 16,000 16,500 17,000 17,500
2013A 2014A Set 2015A 2015 proj 2016 proj 2017 proj 2018 proj 2019 proj 2020 proj
Balansu FP
Miloens $Rendimentu Sustentavel Estimativa (RSE)
24
Fatóres fo impaktu ba RSE 2016 maka folin mina, produsaun, taxa retornu no folin diferensia.
Rikeza Minarai (Petroleum Wealth) agora maioria (90%) transforma ona ba Fundu (osan).
RSE – Presu Mina
25
2015* 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025Presu Mina uza ba kalkula ESI 2016 (Average EIA low and base scenario)
56.7 64.7 68.8 70.7 74.2 77.5 81.0 84.7 88.1 91.5 95.3
RSE - Analiza Sensibilidade
26
RSE 2016
RSE - uza projesaun ki’ik
(baixu/low) husi EIA
RSE- kuandu folin mina tun $10 husi
pontu referensia
RSE
544.8
526.0
523.2
Mudansa (miloens USD)
19
22
1,817 786 862 719 349 335 107 52 732 639 1,328 1,284 1,451 1,937 1,734 1,494 502 -250 532 875 919 922 883 845 -500 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
2014A Set 2015A 2015 proj 2016 proj 2017 proj 2018 proj 2019 proj 2020 proj Reseitas Levantamentu Retornu Investimentu
Projesaun Reseitas no Despezas
27
Reseitas petroliferas komesa tun ona; ba futuru retornu investimentu no nivel
Impaktu husi folin mina tun ba reseitas
petroliferas iha futuru
28
Nota: hare deit ba iha mudansa folin mina. La inklui mudansa iha produsaun no kustus.
1,817 1,374 1,212 1,074 800 658 149 56 862 719 349 335 107 52 36 795 521 163 158 71 47 29 650 504 187 199 83 48 33 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - OJE 2015 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - OJE 2016 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - Senariu Ki'ik Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - -$10
Presu Mina, $/baril 2014 Atual 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - OJE 2015 97.5 89.6 87.0 86.8 88.4 90.7 93.5 96.6 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - OJE 2016 97.5 56.7 64.7 68.8 70.7 74.2 77.5 81.0 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - Senariu Ki'ik 97.5 53.6 54.3 55.7 57.9 61.8 65.3 68.3 Proj. Reseitas Petroleu - -$10 97.5 46.7 54.7 58.8 60.7 64.2 67.5 71.0
M ilo e n s $
Dezempenhu Investimentu Fundu Petrolifero
29
Kontribuisaun tuir Alokasaun ativu
Retornu investimento iha 2015: -1.4%
(-259.7m).
• Titulus 1.2%
• Ekuidade -5.7%
Diversifikasaun mak xavi atu jere riskus.
Alokasaun ativu (assets):
•60% iha titulus (bonds)
•40% iha ekuidade (equity)
Iha tempu titulus/ekuidade performa
ladun diak, sei taka husi performa
ekuidade/titulus ne’ebe diak.
Retornu Investimentu Likidu
FP
3.49% 3.07% -0.35% -1.37% 2.44% 1.25% 6.57% -3.99% 11.61% 27.08% 5.20% -5.68% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3-2015 Bonds Equities 3.7%Instituisaun ne’ebe halo koleksaun reseitas
Instituisaun ne’ebe la-halo
koleksaun reseitas
Empreza
Publiku
Arquivo e Museu da Resistência Timorense
Presidência da República
RTTL
Conselho Imprenza
Parlamento Nacional
Timor GAP
Instituto de Apoio ao Desenvolvimento Empresarial
Serviço Nacional de Inteligência
Agência Especializada de Investimento
Inspeção-Geral do Estado
Serviço de Registo e Verificação Empresarial
Instituto Nacional de Administração Pública
Centro Bambu
Instituto de Ciências da Saúde
Centro de Formação SENAI
Tribunais
Polícia Cientítfica de Investigação Criminal
Procuradoria-Geral da República
Hospital Nacional Guido Valadares
Comissão Nacional de Eleições
SAMES
Comissão Anti Corrupção
Laboratório Nacional
Comissão da Função Pública
Centro Nacional de Reabilitação
Instituto de Gestão de Equipamentos
Administração de Aeroportos e Navegação Aérea de
Timor-Leste
Administração dos Portos de Timor-Leste
Autoridade Nacional de Comunicação
Instituto de Defesa Nacional
Universidade Nacional de Timor Lorosae
OJE 2016: RESEITAS
Órgaun, Servisu & Fundu Autónomu (OSFA)
•
Definisaun OSFA:
– Órgaun autónomu lahó reseitas-rasik (Art. 1.
oal. e) husi PL OGE 2016); no
– Servisu & Fundu Autónomu (Art. 1.
oal. g) husi PL OGE 2016);
•
Reseitas SFA:
– Uza sira-nia reseitas-rasik (Art. 10.
on.
o2 husi PL OGE 2016); no
– Reseitas-rasik konsta iha anéksu III OGE 2016 (Art. 10.
on.
o4 husi PL OGE 2016);
•
OSFA-nia Ezekusaun:
– OSFA responsabiliza ba nia ezekusaun orsamentu rasik (Art. 12.
on.
o3 husi PL OGE 2016);
– UZA Sistema Informátika Jestaun Finanseira; no
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Bazeia ba Fundu (Miliaun USD)
32
2014
Atual
2015 BB1
Rec
2016
Orsamentu
2017
2018
2019
2020
Orsamentu Fundus
Kombinadus
1,629.4 1,824.3
1,705.6 2,059.3 2,531.8 2,097.3 1,743.4
Despezas Governu tuir
Fundu
1,359.1 1,570.0
1,562.2 1,980.0 2,493.7 2,095.3 1,743.4
FKTL
991.5
1,211.6
1,151.5 1,197.6 1,245.5 1,295.3 1,347.1
FDKU
35.2
41.1
34.0
34.0
42.5
48.9
51.3
FI (eks. emprestimus)
316.6
247.3
269.7
400.0
839.5
590.7
305.8
Emprestimus
15.8
70.0
107.0
348.4
366.2
160.5
39.2
Kompromisu Parseiros
Dezenvolvimentu
270.3
254.3
143.4
79.3
38.1
2.0
-
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Distribuisaun ba Setores Iha PED (%)
PLANU BA 2016-2020
FAZE II
•Kontinua Dezenvolve
Infraestrutura;
•Hametin Rekursus
Umanus;
•Haburas Kompetividade
Ekonomika
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Benefisiu Direta no Indireta
SV-Benefisiu Indireta 181,529 12% BS-Benefisiu Indireta 209,734 14% BS-Benefisiu Direta 225,254 16% TP-Benefisiu Indireta, 17,750 , 1% TP-Benefisiu Direta 240,086 17% KM-Benefisiu Indireta, 10,825 , 1% KM-Benefisiu Direta, 6,740 , 0%
FKTL-KD, 41,666, 3%
FI 269,707
19%
FKDU, 34,000 , 2% ZEESM -Benefisiu Indireta, 25,185 , 2%
ZEESM-Benefisiu Direta 192,754
13%
Proposta Orsamentu 2016 iha
kualidade tamba orsamentu
nebe sei finansia ba programas
nebe fo benefisiu direta ba povu
69% kompara ho benefisiu
indireta31%
69% benefisiu direta no 31% ba
benefisu indireta
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Investimentu – Sosial no Fiziku
Politika Governu Nian: Investe iha “ema” no Infrastrutura atu iha
Dezenvolvimentu Nebe Inklusivu no Sustentavel
114,998
35,812
-
41,581
-
269,707
217,939
76,257
204,273
6740
-
34,000
-
-
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
BS
TP
KM
KFTL-KD
KDFU
FI
RAEOA-ZEESM
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL Bazeia ba Kategoria (Miliaun USD)
37
2014
Atual
2015 BB1
Rec
2016
Orsamentu
2017
2018
2019
2020
Despeza FKTL Total
991.5
1,211.6
1,151.5
1,197.6
1,245.5
1,295.3
1,347.1
Rekorente
877.6
1,106.6
1093.3
1,137.0
1,182.5
1,229.8
1,279.0
Salariu no Vensimentus
162.5
177.5
181.5
188.8
196.3
204.2
212.4
Bens no Servisus
423.5
474.6
436.4
453.8
472.0
490.9
510.5
Transferensias Publiku
291.5
454.5
475.4
494.4
514.2
534.7
556.1
Kapital
113.9
105.0
58.2
60.6
63.0
65.5
68.1
Kapital Menor
53.3
31.0
16.6
17.2
17.9
18.6
19.4
Kapital no
Dezenvolvimentu
60.7
74.0
41.7
43.3
45.1
46.9
48.7
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FDKU (Miliaun USD)
38
10.1 7.8 7.8 9.8 11.3 11.8 3.8 5.1 5.1 6.4 7.4 7.7 15.9 17.2 17.2 21.5 24.8 26 2.2 3.8 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.8 5 - - - - - 4 - - - - - 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Formasaun Professional Formasaun Teknika Bolsas Formasaun seluk Asist Tek. Setor Judisial Asist Tek. Eduk.Tersiaria
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FI - Inklui Emprestimus (Milaun)
($
m
iliaun
)
Exklui programa
emprestimus,
orsamentu FI
sa’e 9.1%
kompara ho OR 2015.
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FI kada Programa (Milaun)
Programa boot 2 maka: Programa
Estradas
(39.8%), Programa
Tasi Mane
(21.0%), ne’e
la-inklui emprestimu ba estrada ($107.0 Miloens).
($
m
iliaun
Ministeriu/
Instituisaun
Montante
($ miliaun)
Justifikasaun
MOP
96.8
Kombustivel no manutensaun ba jeradores Hera, Betano no iha teritoriu tomak no
kombustivel ba Berlin Nakroma
DTG
37.4
Fundu Kontrapartida, Reformas Fiskal, Jestaun Dezempenhu, no Dezempenhu Orsamental,,
Desalfandegamentu Rapido, Reuniaun CPLP, ICT no E-Government, Programa Estatistika,
Adesaun ASEAN, Provisaun ba Diagnostiku no Treinamentu ba Jestaun Finansas Publikas
ME
21.4
Merenda Escolar ba eskola publiku, Konsesoens eskolares, emprime materiais no
fornesimentu operasionais eskola, koperasaun eskola teknika vokasional
MJ
10.7
Programa Ita nia Rai, Pasporte Geometriku no Bilhete identidade
MS
10.5
Aimoruk no hahan ba pasientes
MAP
4.9
Sosa fini, adubus, aimoruk no hahan ba animal, SIPI no CDCA
MCIA
3.1
Importasaun Fo’os no promosaun produtu lokal
MAE
2.6
Preparasaun eleisaun 2017, Desentralizasaun Administrativa
SEJD
1.5
Eventu Internasional, Tour de Timor no Maratona Dili
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Ministeriu/
Instituisaun
Montante
($ miliaun)
Justifikasaun
MSS
146.1
Programa Asistensia Sosial (Veteranos, Idosos & invalidos, Bolsa da Mae, Dezastres Naturais,
Bolsus Estadus ba Martires nia oan, no pensaun velhice), Apoio Institusinal ba Difisiente,
Orfonatos no uma mahon, no ba Cruz Vermelha
DTG
26.7
Kapitalizasaun BCTL no BNCTL, Apoiu finanseira internasional, Apoiu Sekretariadu g7+,
Sosializasaun internasional, PPP no emprestimu, Edifisiu embaixada iha Singapura
MPRM
10.8
Subsidio ANP $2,800,000, Timor Gap $6,000,000, IPG $2,000,000
MAE
10.7
Programa Nasional Dezenvolvimentu Sukus (PNDS), Subsidiu ba Konsellu Sukus, administrasaun
sukos no kustus operasional Lixus kapital Dili
GPM
9.9
Apoio Organizasaun Naun-Governmental, CAVR, HIV/SIDA
SEPFOPE
8.6
Emprego Rural (PER), Auto Emprego, Grupu Formadus, Konstrusaun fatin abrigo no eskola,
Implementasaun mao de obras
MS
7.8
Estabelemento Sentru Cardiologia iha HNGV, Apoio tratamentu Saude ba Rai Liur, Apoio
aktividades saude publiku no SISKA, Subsidio ba Klinikas no Sentru Tratamentu seluk,
Fortalesimentu Servisu Laboratoriunm Saude, Sistema Referal Aero no Rede Ambulansia
CNE
6
Subsidiu ba Partidu Politiku
SEJD
5
Apoio Aktividades Desportivas no Artes
ME
2.7
Subsidiu Merenda Eskolar ba Eskola Privada, Konsensons Eskola Privado, Subsidio ba Instituisoens
Universidades, Konsensons ba Grupo Professores Siensia Teknologia husi 13 Munisipius
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Trend -
Alokasaun OJE ba LM/IE ho Medidas Prinspiais
(miliaun USD)
21 7,939 15 8,159 13 0,190 11 1,537 99 ,413 42 ,387 35 ,275 34 ,294 28 ,160 26 ,375 2 2,34 3 19 ,170 18 ,915 18 ,672 15 ,167 13 ,818 1 3,07 3 12 ,696 12 ,506 11 ,911 9,902 8,390 8 ,37 5 7,140 6,800 6,260 5,946 4,865 4,244 4,189 3,824 3,280 2,891 2,783 2,573 2,477 2,386 2,202 1,673 1,566 1,379 1,376 1,352 1,277 1,184 1,161 1, 068 1,017 959 840 761 700 691 664 518 504 500 488 448 354 197 163 153 RAEOA -… M SS M O PT C D TG ME MS M PI E M AE PNTL MNEC MAP MJ MdF F-FD TL PN SE PF O PE PM M C IA M PR M U N TL MI CNE SEJD MdF PR HNG SA M ES M TA C SECM M EP C M SE C O M S Tr ib un ais M C AE PG R AP O R TI L SNI IG E-Ag en sia CFP SEAPSEM CAC PDHJ AM R T M EC AS IA D E PC IC SEFI ANATL AEI IDN IG E-In sp SSERVE CI CNR M EC AA EJ ICS LN C D D FM ANC IN AP BA M BU
ANAAA SENAI SEAP
ZEESM Oecusse no Atauro Veteranos, Idoso, Bolsa da Mae, Desastre, Pensaun Kombustivel no manutensaun Geradores Betano, Hera, Atauro no Comoro Servisus Legais, Contrapartida, Kapitalizasaun, Reforma Finansas Publikas, Rejime Kontributivu, sst Merenda Eskolar, Subsidio Eskolar Aimoruk, hahan ba pasiente, subsidio klinika... PDID PNDS, Subsidio Autoridade Lokal Mao de Obras Foos ANP, Timor Gap no ... Aktividades Desportu, Eventu Internasional, Tour de Timor no Maratona Radiu Komunidade no RTTL.EP Kadastr ais
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Alokasaun Orsamentu ba LM/IE (Miliaun USD)
44
217,939 158,159 130,190 111,537 99,413 42,387 35,275 34,294 - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000RAEOA-ZEESM MSS MOPTC DTG ME MS MPIE MAE
Orsamentu ba LM/IE >=$30M
Exc. RAEOA-ZEESM 28,160 26,375 22,343 19,170 18,915 18,672 15,167 13,818 13,073 12,696 12,506 11,911 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000PNTL MNEC MAP MJ MdF F-FDTL PN SEPFOPE PM MCIA MPRM UNTL
Orsamentu ba LM/IE >=$10M <$30M
9, 90 2 8, 39 0 8, 37 5 7, 14 0 6, 80 0 6, 26 0 5, 94 6 4, 86 5 4, 24 4 4, 18 9 3, 82 4 3, 28 0 2, 89 1 2, 78 3 2, 57 3 2, 47 7 2, 38 6 2, 20 2 1, 67 3 1, 56 6 1,379 1,37 6 1, 35 2 1, 27 7 1, 18 4 1,161 1,06 8 1, 01 7 959 840 761 700 691 664 518 504 500 488 448 354 197 163 153 MI CNE SEJD MdF PR HNG SA M ES M TA C SECM M EP C M SE C O M S Tr ib un ais M C AE PG R AP O R TI L SNI IG E-Ag en sia CFP SEAPSEM CAC PDHJ AMR T M EC AS IA D E PC IC SEFI ANATL AEI IDN IG E-In sp SSERVE CI CNR M EC AA EJ ICS LN C D D FM ANC IN AP BA M BUANAAA SENAI SEAP
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Salariu Vensimentu, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu SV entre 2015 no 2016 hamutuk $3.9
miliaun, nee tamba :
• Aumentu $1.8 miliaun ba dosentes UNTL relativa ho rejime foun;
• Aumentu $699 mil ba funsionariu foun nebee rekruta husi vagas
em prosesu iha MOPTC;
• Aumentu $439 mil ba CAC relativa ho rejime foun.
• Aumentu $400 mil ba abonus familia ba Embaixadas
• Aumentu $355 mil ba F-FDTL relativa ho nomeasaun 82 kargo
Chefia no mudansas eskalaun ba funsionariu sira
• Aumentu $223 mil ba Parlamentu Nasional tamba iha tan
rekrutamentu funsionariu foun
177.5 181.5 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2015 2016
Salario Vensimentu
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Bens no Servisus, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu BS entre 2015 no 2016
menus
$39.6 miliaun, nee
tamba :
• Kombustivel no manutensaun ba geradores Hera no Betano inklui Comoro no
Atauro
tun
$17.5;
• Programa Ita Nia Rai no Peskiza Kadastral
tun
$5.3 millaun husi tinan kotuk
(2015 $14,500 maibe 2016 aloka deit $9,186);
• Programa Merenda Eskolar ba Eskola Publiku
tun
$2.3 millaun (2015 $15.7
millaun no 2016 $13.4);
• Programa Emprime Materiais no Fornesimentu operasionais Escola
tun
$2.6
millaun (2015 $5.4 millaun no 2016 $2.8);
• Aquizisaun Aimoruk
tun
$4.5 millaun (2015 $12.2 millaun no 2016 $7.7)
• Programa Estatistika
tun
$2.2 (2015 $4 millaun no 2016 $1.8);
• Programa Fini no SIPI/CDCA
tun
$2.5 (2015 $4.2 millaun no 2016 $1.7);
• Importasaun Fos no produtu lokal
tun
$1.9 (2015 $4.98 millaun no 2016 $3.1);
• Resta 800 mil
tun
husi despesas ba kombustivel Nakroma no hahan ba
pasiente sira
• Iha mos
aumentu kustus ba programas foun balun hanesan
Desalfandegamento Rapido, Adesaun ASEAN, Sensibilizasaun Internasional,
programa eventu Internasional ba Turismo+Tour Timor+Maratona, sst.
474.6 435.0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2015 2016
BS - FKTL
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Transferensia Publikas, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu TP entre 2015 no 2016 hamutuk $21.3
miliaun, nee tamba:
• Aumentu
iha despesas RAEOA-ZEESM hamutuk $84.5 husi
tinan kotuk.
• Iha
redusaun
kustus husi veteranus, idozo, bolsa da mae, apoio
organizasaun nau govermental, merenda & konsensoens
eskolar ba eskola privadu, koperativa, kapitalizasaun ba BNCTL
no BCTL, no sst;
• Iha mos
aumentu
osan ba programa foun balun hanesan
reforma Finansas Publikas, Pensoens ba Rejime Kontributivu,
no Aquizisaun edifisiu embaxada Singapura, no sst.
454.5
475.8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2015
2016
Transferensias Publikas
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Transferensia
Publikas
–
ARAEOA & ZEESM
, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu TP entre 2015 no 2016 iha $84.5 miliaun,
nee tamba:
• Aumentu $53 milloens ba ZEESM : Atauro hamutuk $10
milloens, $20 milloens ba FED, $20 milloens ba Aeroporto no $3
milloens ba Fundu Rezerva Kontigensia;
• Aumentu $$31.5 ba kontinuasaun projetus no projetus foun,
salariu ba funsionarius nebee atu servisu iha ZEEMS Atauro no
seluk-seluk tan.
133.4
217.9
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015
2016
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Kapital Menor, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu KM entre 2015 no 2016
menus
$13.4
milloens nee tamba:
• Rezultadu elimisaun despesas nebe inefisientes;
• Konsidera deit veikulos no equipamentu espesiais sira;
• Veikulos no equipamentu seluk so konsidera deit ba
Instituisaun Estadu sira nebe nesesita duni;
31
17.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2015
2016
Kapital Minor
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
FKTL – Kapital Desenvolvimentu, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu KD entre 2015 no 2016 menus $32.3
miliaun husi tinan kotuk, nee tamba :
• Projetus
kiik
husi
Ministeriu/Agensias
konsidera
reapropriasaun no retensaun;
• Projetus foun konsidera deit projetus sira nebee ho karakter
urjensia
• PDID ba mos programa re-integrasaun.
73.98
41.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2015
2016
KD - FKTL
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Fundu Espesial – Fundu Infraestruturas, Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu KD - FI entre 2015 no 2016 hamutuk $22.4 miliaun, nee
tamba :
• Programa Bee Mosno Saneamentu hetan aumentu $5.6m ba $10.2m iha 2016
kompara ho $4.6m iha 2015 ;
• Programa Dezenvolvimentu Rural no Urbana $12.2m iha 2016 kompara ho
$9.6m iha 2015 – aumentu $2.6 m;
• Programa “Tasi Mane” $56.6m iha 2016 kompara ho $35.1m iha 2015 –
aumentu $21.5 m;
• Programa eletrisidade $6.3m iha 2016 kompara ho $47.1 m iha 2015 –
tun
$40.8m;
• Orsamentu ba programa estrada husi $44.8 m iha 2015 sae ba $107.5m iha
2016 – aumentu $62.7m
• Orsamentu ba programa Aerportus husi $14.0 m iha 2015 sae ba $15.2 m iha
2016 – aumentu $1.2m
• Orsamentu ba programa Portus husi $3.9 m iha 2015 sae ba $10.6 m iha 2016 –
aumentu $6.7m.
247.3
269.7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2015
2016
KD - FI
PROPOSTA OJE 2016
Fundo Espesial – FKDU Kompara ho 2015
Justifikasaun
Diferensa orsamentu FDKU entre 2015 no 2016
menus
$7.1 miliaun, nee
tamba:
• Iha tinan 2016 Governu
hasai
programa Asistensia Teknika Judisial no
Edukasaun;
• Programa Formasaun Vokasional $7.8 iha 2016 kompara ho $10.1 iha
2015 –
menus
$2.3m;
• Programa Formasaun Teknika $5.1 iha 2016 kompara ho $3.8 iha 2015
– aumentu $1.3m;
• Programa Bolsas Estudus $17.2 iha 2016 kompara ho $15.9 iha 2015 –
aumentu $1.3m;
• Programa Formasaun Seluk $3.8 iha 2016 kompara ho $2.2 iha 2015 –
aumentu $1.6m;
41.1
34
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2015
2016
BS - FDKU
2014 Akt. 2015 Ors. Rek. 2016 Orsamentu Despezas Total tuir Kategoria (inkl. Emprestimus) 1,359.1 1,570.0 1,562.2
Despezas Total tuir Kategoria (exkl. Emprestimus) 1,343.3 1,500.0 1,455.2
Rekorrentes 912.7 1,147.8 1,127.3
Salarius no Vensimentus 162.5 177.5 181.5 Bens no Servisus (inkl. FKDH) 458.7 515.8 470.4 Transferensias Publikas 291.5 454.5 475.4
Kapital 446.3 422.3 434.9
Kapital Minor 53.3 31.0 16.6
Kapital Dezenvolvimentu (inkl. FI no emprestimus) 393.1 391.3 418.4
Reseitas Domestikas 168.0 170.4 171.4
Balansu Fiskal Naun-Petroleu (1,191.1) (1,399.7) (1,390.8)
Finansiamentu 1,190.8 1,399.6 1,390.8
RSE 632.3 638.5 544.8
Levantamentu Eksesu husi FP 99.7 689.0 739.0
Uza Saldu Kaixa 443.0 2.1 -
Emprestimus 15.8 70.0 107.0