Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers: Evidence from a Matched Employer-Employee Data Set

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IZA DP No. 2289

Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers:

Evidence from a Matched Employer-Employee Data Set

Anabela Carneiro

Pedro Portugal

DISCUSSION P

APER SERIES

Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor

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Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers:

Evidence from a Matched

Employer-Employee Data Set

Anabela Carneiro

Universidade do Porto and CETE

Pedro Portugal

Banco de Portugal, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa and IZA Bonn

Discussion Paper No. 2289

September 2006

IZA P.O. Box 7240 53072 Bonn Germany Phone: +49-228-3894-0 Fax: +49-228-3894-180 Email: iza@iza.org

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IZA Discussion Paper No. 2289 September 2006

ABSTRACT

Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers:

Evidence from a Matched Employer-Employee Data Set

*

This paper examines the long-term earnings losses of displaced workers in Portugal, using a nationally representative longitudinal linked employer-employee data set. The results show that four years after displacement the earnings of displaced workers remain around 9% (women) to 12% (men) below their counterfactual expected levels. The post-displacement earnings losses are mainly associated with the loss of tenure within the firm and, to a lesser extent, to the loss of sector-specific features. Furthermore, workers who experienced a spell of nonemployment are the most affected by job displacement. Finally, this study points to the importance of controlling for employers' characteristics in this type of wages-dynamic analysis, since there are systematic differences in earnings between displaced and non-displaced workers that stem from differences in firm characteristics. Ignoring them may confound the evaluation of the earnings losses.

JEL Classification: J31, J63, J65

Keywords: displacement, earnings losses, firm-specific human capital

Corresponding author:

Pedro Portugal Banco de Portugal

Avenida Almirante Reis 71 1150-165 Lisboa

Portugal

Email: jppdias@bportugal.pt

*

We are grateful to John T. Addison for helpful comments and suggestions. We also thank Lucena Vieira for excellent computational assistance and Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia for financial support (research grant POCTI/ECO/35147/99). The usual disclaimer applies.

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(9)

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(10)

Wdeoh 4

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(11)

Wdeoh 5

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(12)

Wdeoh 6

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(13)

Wdeoh 7

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Wdeoh 8

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(14)

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(15)

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(16)

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(17)

Wdeoh :

Zhljkwhg ohdvw vtxduhv uhjuhvvlrqv= phq

Q@::6437 +4, +5, +6, +7,

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(18)

Wdeoh ;

Zhljkwhg ohdvw vtxduhv uhjuhvvlrqv= zrphq

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(19)

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(20)

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(21)

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(22)

Wdeoh 43

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+4, +5,

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(23)

Wdeoh 44

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(24)

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