URBAN GROWTH, VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION social and ecological dimensions of climate change on the Coast of São Paulo

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URBAN GROWTH, VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION social and ecological dimensions of climate change

on the Coast of São Paulo (FAPESP n.o_{2008/58159-7) – 2009-2013}

Coordinator: Lúcia da Costa Ferreira

Principal Researchers: Leila da Costa Ferreira; Carlos A. Joly; Roberto do Carmo

Environmental Research Center; Population Studies Center – University of Campinas

22 DOUTORES – 17 ORIENTADORES 58 ALUNOS IC, M, DR

I Workshop Programa Mudanças Climáticas

da FAPESP

São Paulo May 11 - 12, 2011

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Embrapa Satellite Monitoring

Indiana University (USA)

Durhan University (United Kingdom)

Griffith University (Australia)

Associate Faculty Earth System Governance

Federal University of São Carlos

Vale do Paraíba University

IPT

IG – SP

Defesa Civil

SMA – CPLA

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Mateus Batistella Cristiana Simão Seixas Sônia da Cal Seixas

Simone Aparecida Vieira Álvaro de Oliveira D`Antona Eduardo Marandola Jr.

Humberto Prates da - Fonseca Alves Ricardo Ojima

Leonardo Freire de Mello

Marcelo Coutinho Vargas Thales Haddad de Andrade Marcos Pereira Marinho Aidar Jorge Y. Tamashiro

Zoraide Amarante Itapura de Miranda Eliane Simões

Gabriela Marques Di Giulio Sunil D. Santha

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How demographic and social dynamics

interact with the ecological dynamics

of forest cover to produce a region of high

environmental vulnerability

in a context of global climate change

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

General Purpose

This project proposes a polycentric and

interdisciplinary approach at various levels with

active oversight of local, regional, and national

stakeholders to addressing the complex problems

of climate change caused by greenhouse gas

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

1) In view of social and environmental vulnerability,

the dynamic social, political, demographic and

environmental in study area, aiming to identify and

map their key challenges - both from the

standpoint of ecological characterization with a

focus on biodiversity, and also on human

dimensions of sustainability, such as environmental

conflicts in the region, and political-institutional

responses to the problem;

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 2) In view of social and political adaptations, the patterns of:  land use and land cover;

 production and consumption of natural resources; mortality by groups

of cause;

 experience of municipal governments in harmonizing economic growth,

social justice and environmental protection at the local level, seeking to identify them;

 conflicts (local, regional and global actors and arenas) concerning the

irregular settlements on the Serra do Mar State Park;

 human activities related to urban sprawl and growing infrastructure

needs have already affected adjacent forest areas in terms of floristic composition, when compared with similar forest in other areas of the Northern Coast of São Paulo, and whether air pollution and deposition of nitrogen compounds produced by the Gas Processing Plant under construction will enhance plants’ growth rate.

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1:

The growth and morphology of cities and the

vulnerability of their populations, infrastructures

and places (Roberto do Carmo);

2:

Global environmental change and public policy at

the local level: risks and alternatives (Leila da

Costa Ferreira);

3:

Conflicts between urban expansion and forest

cover and consequences for global environmental

change (Lúcia da Costa Ferreira);

4:

Urban expansion and environmental changes on

the Northern Coast of São Paulo State: impacts on

biodiversity (Carlos Joly).

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Elaborado por Allan Yu I. de Mello (2010)

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 A microrregião de Caraguatatuba (área conhecida também por Litoral Norte) é uma das microregiões do estado de São Paulo

 pertence à mesorregião Vale do Paraíba paulista

 Está localizada na porção mais ao norte do litoral, fazendo fronteira com o Rio de Janeiro  População estimada [IBGE] em 2006 - 281.532 habitantes

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

The São Paulo Coast, Brazil summarizes the

socio-ecological dilemmas of contemporary economic

development



The combined pressures of tourism, industry, oil

extraction transport, challenges to quality of life and

sustainable development are increasingly difficult to

resolve



Environmental and climate changes will intensify

these pressures and further limit the margin of

maneuver of planners

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 metodologia comum - particularidades dos grupos de pesquisa - interconnected and

complementary

 Equipe interdisciplinar

–

Ciências Sociais e Demografia Ciências Biológicas e Ecologia Humana

 Coleta de dados e análise: Situacional - Processual Multiescalar (tempo, espaço)

Multidimensional (níveis de organização) Multifatorial

Qualiquanti

 Instrumentos de integração

Banco de dados Imagens

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Ubatuba

Caraguatatuba

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Canteiro de obras da parte marinha do Projeto Mexilhão na Praia das Palmeiras, em Caraguatatuba (PETROBRÁS, 2009)

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 Consolidation of data from Census 2000 in a georeferenced database.  Data on notifiable diseases on the basis of DATASUS; Data Transmitted

Diseases Water and Food (TDWF) historical records of the Epidemiological Surveillance.

 Role of Local Governments in Areas with Effects on Climate Change.  Political-institutional strategies (federal/regional and local).

 Political-Institutional Structure in Coastal Cities  Environmental legislation in the Coastal Cities

 Estimation of human occupation on the shoreline in urban areas in the

North Coast

 Survey and identification in the North Coast: social actors and

institutional decision-making arenas, patterns of interaction and action strategies; main centers of scientific expertise acting in direct and

indirect environmental arenas in the region; patterns of land

management, legal instruments (State Park, National Park, Master Plans in the city of Ubatuba, integrating factors and disintegration of social groups in decision making; Civil Associations and executed projects; thick description of the videos of the public hearing portion of the

Marine Mussel Project; dynamic process of defining environmental risks and impacts of the Gas Treatment Unit Caraguatatuba.)

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

Definition of two focus groups to discuss climate change and risks.



Based on census tracts and areas of consideration, we analyzed

the distribution of population, people with incomes of up to two

minimum wages, water and sewer service and garbage collection

to Caraguatatuba and Santos on the coast of São Paulo, also

different types Risk and Vulnerability (landslides, flooding,

shoreline distance).



Obtaining data of the physical environment in institutions such as

IPT and Civil Defense.



Phytosociological inventory and summer sample of tree

ecophysiology parameter in Lowland Tropical Atlantic Moist

Forest in Caraguatatuba.



Definition of indicators and vulnerability maps for coastal areas,

identifying the variables that make up the regional scenario of

urban sprawl and environmental changes.

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Masters & PHD dissertations defended: 6

Masters & PHD dissertations in progress: 21

Scholarships abroad: 4

Initiation Scientific in progress: 10

Technical Improvement fellowships: 5

Geographical Database: NEPO (2011)

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Programa de Aceleração do Crescimento PAC:

O é um programa do Governo Federal brasileiro que engloba um conjunto de políticas econômicas, planejadas para os quatro anos seguintes, e que tem como objetivo acelerar o crescimento econômico do Brasil,

prevendo investimentos até 2010, sendo uma de suas prioridades a infra-estrutura, como portos e rodovias.

É coordenado pelo Comitê Gestor do PAC (CGPAC), composto pelos ministros da Casa Civil, da Fazenda e do Planejamento.

Há também o Grupo Executivo do PAC (GEPAC), que busca estabelecer metas e acompanhar a implementação do PAC.

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Contact:

Lúcia da Costa Ferreira

[email protected]/[email protected]

Environmental Research Center

State University of Campinas

Rua dos Flamboyants, 155, Cidade Universitária Zeferino Vaz, CEP 13083-867, Campinas, SP, Brazil

+55-19-3521-7690

http://www.nepam.unicamp.br/projetoClima