❯♥✐✈❡rs✐❞❛❞❡ ❋❡❞❡r❛❧ ❞❡ ❯❜❡r❧â♥❞✐❛
❋❛❝✉❧❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ▼❛t❡♠át✐❝❛
❇❛❝❤❛r❡❧❛❞♦ ❡♠ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛
❆◆➪▲■❙❊ ❋❆❚❖❘■❆▲ ❈❖▼ ❘❖❚❆➬➹❖
❖❇▲❮◗❯❆✿ ❆P▲■❈❆➬➹❖ ❊▼ ❯▼❆
❊❙❈❆▲❆ P❙■❈❖▼➱❚❘■❈❆
▼✐❝❤❛❡❧ ❘♦s❛ ❘❡③❡♥❞❡
▼✐❝❤❛❡❧ ❘♦s❛ ❘❡③❡♥❞❡
❆◆➪▲■❙❊ ❋❆❚❖❘■❆▲ ❈❖▼ ❘❖❚❆➬➹❖
❖❇▲❮◗❯❆✿ ❆P▲■❈❆➬➹❖ ❊▼ ❯▼❆
❊❙❈❆▲❆ P❙■❈❖▼➱❚❘■❈❆
❚r❛❜❛❧❤♦ ❞❡ ❝♦♥❝❧✉sã♦ ❞❡ ❝✉rs♦ ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞♦ à ❈♦✲ ♦r❞❡♥❛çã♦ ❞♦ ❈✉rs♦ ❞❡ ❇❛❝❤❛r❡❧❛❞♦ ❡♠ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛ ❝♦♠♦ r❡q✉✐s✐t♦ ♣❛r❝✐❛❧ ♣❛r❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞♦ ❣r❛✉ ❞❡ ❇❛❝❤❛r❡❧ ❡♠ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛✳
❖r✐❡♥t❛❞♦r✿ P❛trí❝✐❛ ❱✐❛♥❛ ❞❛ ❙✐❧✈❛
❯♥✐✈❡rs✐❞❛❞❡ ❋❡❞❡r❛❧ ❞❡ ❯❜❡r❧â♥❞✐❛
❋❛❝✉❧❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ▼❛t❡♠át✐❝❛
❈♦♦r❞❡♥❛çã♦ ❞♦ ❈✉rs♦ ❞❡ ❇❛❝❤❛r❡❧❛❞♦ ❡♠ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛
❆ ❜❛♥❝❛ ❡①❛♠✐♥❛❞♦r❛✱ ❝♦♥❢♦r♠❡ ❛❜❛✐①♦ ❛ss✐♥❛❞♦✱ ❝❡rt✐✜❝❛ ❛ ❛❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ❞❡st❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ ❞❡ ❝♦♥❝❧✉sã♦ ❞❡ ❝✉rs♦ ♣❛r❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞♦ ❣r❛✉ ❞❡ ❇❛❝❤❛r❡❧ ❡♠ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛✳
❯❜❡r❧â♥❞✐❛✱ ❞❡ ❞❡ ✷✵
❇❆◆❈❆ ❊❳❆▼■◆❆❉❖❘❆
P❛trí❝✐❛ ❱✐❛♥❛ ❞❛ ❙✐❧✈❛
❘♦❞r✐❣♦ ▲❛♠❜❡rt
▲❡❛♥❞r♦ ❆❧✈❡s P❡r❡✐r❛
❆❣r❛❞❡❝✐♠❡♥t♦s
Pr✐♠❡✐r❛♠❡♥t❡✱ ❛❣r❛❞❡ç♦ ❛ ❉❡✉s ♣♦r t❡r ♠❡ ❞❛❞♦ s❛ú❞❡ ❡ ❢♦rç❛ ♣❛r❛ s✉♣❡r❛r ❛s ❞✐✜❝✉❧❞❛❞❡s✳ ❆ ❡st❛ ✉♥✐✈❡rs✐❞❛❞❡✱ à ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛ ❡ s❡✉ ❝♦r♣♦ ❞♦❝❡♥t❡✱ ❞✐r❡çã♦ ❡ ❛❞♠✐♥✐str❛çã♦ q✉❡ ♠❡ ♣r♦♣✐✲ ❝✐❛r❛♠ ❛ ❥❛♥❡❧❛ q✉❡ ❤♦❥❡ ✈✐s❧✉♠❜r♦ ✉♠ ❤♦r✐③♦♥t❡ s✉♣❡r✐♦r✱ ❛tr✐❜✉í❞♦ ♣❡❧❛ ❝♦♥✜❛♥ç❛ ♥♦ ♠ér✐t♦ ❡ ét✐❝❛ ❛q✉✐ ♣r❡s❡♥t❡s✳ ❆ ♠✐♥❤❛ ❣r❛♥❞❡ ♦r✐❡♥t❛❞♦r❛ ❡ ♠❡♥t♦r❛ P❛trí❝✐❛ ❱✐❛♥❛ ❞❛ ❙✐❧✈❛ ♥❡ss❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ ár❞✉♦✱ ♣❡❧♦ s✉♣♦rt❡ ♥♦ ♣♦✉❝♦ t❡♠♣♦ q✉❡ ❧❤❡ ❝♦✉❜❡✱ ♣❡❧❛s s✉❛s ❝♦rr❡çõ❡s ❡ ✐♥❝❡♥t✐✈♦s✳ ❆❣r❛❞❡ç♦ ❛ ♠✐♥❤❛ ♠ã❡ ❙❤❡✐❧❛ ❆♣❛r❡❝✐❞❛ ❘♦s❛✱ ❤❡r♦í♥❛ q✉❡ ♠❡ ❞❡✉ ❛♣♦✐♦✱ ✐♥❝❡♥t✐✈♦ ♥❛s ❤♦r❛s ❞✐❢í❝❡✐s✱ ❞❡ ❞❡sâ♥✐♠♦ ❡ ❝❛♥s❛ç♦✳ ❆ ♠✐♥❤❛ ❛✈ó q✉❡ ❛♣❡s❛r ❞❡ t♦❞❛s ❛s ❞✐✜❝✉❧❞❛❞❡s ♠❡ ❢♦rt❛❧❡❝❡✉ ❡ q✉❡ ♣❛r❛ ♠✐♠ ❢♦✐ ♠✉✐t♦ ✐♠♣♦rt❛♥t❡✳ ❇❡♠ ❝♦♠♦✱ ♠❡✉ ✐r♠ã♦ ❘♦❞r✐❣♦✱ ♣♦r t♦❞❛s ❛s ♣❛❧❛✈r❛s ❞❡ ✐♥❝❡♥t✐✈♦ ♠❡s♠♦ ❞❡ ❧♦♥❣❡✱ ♠❡ ♠♦str❛♥❞♦ q✉❡ ♥ã♦ ♣♦❞❡r✐❛ ❞❡s✐st✐r ♥✉♥❝❛✳
❆❣r❛❞❡ç♦ t❛♠❜é♠ ❛ ♠✐♥❤❛ ♠❛❞r✐♥❤❛ ●❡✐s❛ ❆♣❛r❡❝✐❞❛ ❘♦s❛ ♣❡❧♦ ❣r❛♥❞❡✱ ❛♣♦✐♦✱ ✉♥✐ã♦ ❡ ❝❛r✐♥❤♦ ❞✉r❛♥t❡ ❡st❛ ❥♦r♥❛❞❛✱ ❡ t❛♠❜é♠ ❛ ✉♠❛ ♠✉❧❤❡r ♥❛ q✉❛❧ s✐♥t♦ ✉♠❛ s❛✉❞❛❞❡ ✐♠❡♥s❛✱ ❏❛♥❛í♥❛ ❆♣❛r❡❝✐❞❛ ❘♦s❛✱ q✉❡ ❡♠ t♦❞♦s ♦s ♠♦♠❡♥t♦s ❞✐❢í❝❡✐s ♠❡ ❜r✐♥❞♦✉ ❝♦♠ s✉❛ ❛❧❡❣r✐❛ ❡ ❢♦rç❛ tr❛③❡♥❞♦ ♣r❛ ❞❡♥tr♦ ❞❡ ♠✐♠ ❛ ❝♦♥✜❛♥ç❛ ❡ ❛♣♦✐♦ q✉❡ ❡✉ ♥❡❝❡ss✐t❡✐ ♣❛r❛ ♠❡ ✐♠♣✉❧s✐♦♥❛r ❡ r❡❛❧✐③❛r ❡st❡ s♦♥❤♦✳ ❆❣r❛❞❡ç♦ à ♠✐♥❤❛ ❢❛♠í❧✐❛ ♣♦r t❡r ♠❡ ❞❛❞♦ ♦ s✉♣♦rt❡ ♥❡❝❡ssár✐♦ ♣❛r❛ ❛ ❝♦♥❝❧✉sã♦ ❞❡st❡ ❝✉rs♦✳
▼❡✉s ❛❣r❛❞❡❝✐♠❡♥t♦s s✐♥❝❡r♦s à ❱í✈✐❛♥ ❘✐❜❡✐r♦ ❇❛rr❡t♦✱ ♦ ♠❡❧❤♦r ♣r❡s❡♥t❡ q✉❡ ❛ ❢❛❝✉❧❞❛❞❡ ♣♦❞❡r✐❛ t❡r ♠❡ ❞❛❞♦✳ P❡❧♦ ❝❛r✐♥❤♦✱ ❝♦♠♣r❡❡♥sã♦✱ ❛♠♦r✱ s♦❧✐❞❛r✐❡❞❛❞❡ ❡ ❝❧❛r♦ ♣❡❧❛ ♣❛❝✐ê♥❝✐❛ ❡♠ t♦❞♦s ♦s ♠♦♠❡♥t♦s ❝♦♠ ❛♣♦✐♦ t♦t❛❧✳ ❖❜r✐❣❛❞♦ ♠❡✉ ❛♠♦r ♣♦r t✉❞♦ ♦ q✉❡ ✈♦❝ê tr❛♥s❢♦r♠♦✉ ♥❛ ♠✐♥❤❛ ✈✐❞❛✳ ❖❜r✐❣❛❞♦ ♣❡❧♦ t❡✉ ❝❛r✐♥❤♦✱ t✉❛ ❛❧❡❣r✐❛✱ t✉❛ ❛t❡♥çã♦✱ t✉❛ ✈✐❜r❛çã♦ ❝♦♠ ❛s ♠✐♥❤❛s ❝♦♥q✉✐st❛s ❡ t❡✉ ♦♠❜r♦ ❡♠ ❝❛❞❛ ♠♦♠❡♥t♦ ❞✐❢í❝✐❧ q✉❡ ✈♦❝ê ❛❥✉❞♦✉ ❛ ❛tr❛✈❡ss❛r✳ ❙❡♠ ✈♦❝ê✱ ❡ss❛ ❝♦♥q✉✐st❛ ♥ã♦ t❡r✐❛ ♦ ♠❡s♠♦ ❣♦st♦✳ ❖❜r✐❣❛❞♦ ♠❡✉ ❛♠♦r✳
▼❡✉s ❛❣r❛❞❡❝✐♠❡♥t♦s ❛♦s ❛♠✐❣♦s ❈❛✐♦ ❍❡♥r✐q✉❡ ●❛r❝✐❛ ❙✐❧✈❛ ❡ ▲✉✐③ ❈❛r❧♦s ❈♦st❛ ❏✉♥✐♦r✱ ❝♦♠♣❛♥❤❡✐r♦s ❞❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦s ❡ ✐r♠ã♦s ♥❛ ❛♠✐③❛❞❡ q✉❡ ✜③❡r❛♠ ♣❛rt❡ ❞❛ ♠✐♥❤❛ ❢♦r♠❛çã♦ ❡ q✉❡ ✈ã♦ ❝♦♥t✐♥✉❛r ♣r❡s❡♥t❡s ❡♠ ♠✐♥❤❛ ✈✐❞❛ ❝♦♠ ❝❡rt❡③❛✳
❘❡s✉♠♦
❊ss❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ s❡ ♣r♦♣õ❡ ❛ ✉t✐❧✐③❛r ❛s té❝♥✐❝❛s ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛❞❛s ❞❡ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ♣❛r❛ ✐❞❡♥t✐✜❝❛r r❡❧❛çõ❡s ❡♥tr❡ ❝♦♠♣♦rt❛♠❡♥t♦s ✐♥❞✐❝❛t✐✈♦s ❞❛ ❞✐st♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✐♠❛❣❡♠ ❝♦r♣♦r❛❧✳ ❖s ❞❛❞♦s ❢♦r❛♠ ♦❜t✐❞♦s ❞❛ ❛♣❧✐❝❛çã♦ ❞♦ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥ár✐♦ ❞❡ ■♠❛❣❡♠ ❈♦r♣♦r❛❧ ❡♠ ✶✷✺ ♠✉❧❤❡r❡s ❡♠ ✉♠ ❡st✉❞♦ ❞❡ ✉♠ ❛♠❜✉❧❛tór✐♦ ❞❡ tr❛♥st♦r♥♦s ❛❧✐♠❡♥t❛r❡s✳ ❆ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❞❡ ❈♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s Pr✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ♣♦ss✐❜✐❧✐t♦✉ ❞✐♠✐♥✉✐r ❛ ❞✐♠❡♥sã♦ ❞♦s ❞❛❞♦s ❞❡ ✸✹ ♣❛r❛ ✹ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❡ ♦ ✉s♦ ❞❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦❜❧✐q✉❛ ♦❜❧✐♠✐♥✱ ❛✉①✐❧✐♦✉ ❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞♦s r❡❧❡✈❛♥t❡s ❡ à ❛❣r✉♣❛r ♦s ❝♦♠♣♦rt❛♠❡♥t♦s ❝♦♠♦ ❛ ✐♥s❛t✐s❢❛çã♦ ❢ís✐❝❛✱ s❡♥t✐♠❡♥t♦ ❞❡ ❡st❛r ❢♦r❛ ❞♦s ♣❛❞rõ❡s ❡stét✐❝♦s✱ ❝♦♠♣❛r❛çã♦ ❛ ♦✉tr❛s ♣❡ss♦❛s ❡ ♦ ✉s♦ ❝♦♥tr♦✈❡rs♦ ❞❡ ♠❡❞✐❝❛♠❡♥t♦s✳
❆❜str❛❝t
❚❤❡ ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛t❡ t❡❝❤♥✐q✉❡s ♦❢ ❢❛❝t♦r ❛♥❛❧②s✐s ❡♥❛❜❧❡ t♦ ✐❞❡♥t✐❢② r❡❧❛t✐♦♥s❤✐♣s ❜❡t✇❡❡♥ ❜❡❤❛✲ ✈✐♦rs ♦❢ ❜♦❞② ✐♠❛❣❡ ❞✐st♦rt✐♦♥✳ ❚❤❡ ❞❛t❛ ✇❡r❡ t❤❡ ❛♥s✇❡rs ♦❢ ✶✷✺ ✇♦♠❡♥ ✐♥ ❛ st✉❞② ♦❢ ❛♥ ♦✉t♣❛t✐❡♥t ❡❛t✐♥❣ ❞✐s♦r❞❡r t♦ t❤❡ ❇♦❞② ■♠❛❣❡ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥♥❛✐r❡✳ ❚❤r♦✉❣❤ Pr✐♥❝✐♣❛❧ ❈♦♠♣♦♥❡♥ts ❆♥❛❧②s✐s t❤❡ ❞✐♠❡♥s✐♦♥ ♦❢ t❤❡ ❞❛t❛ ✇❛s r❡❞✉❝❡❞ ❢r♦♠ ✸✹ t♦ ✹ ✈❛r✐❛❜❧❡s ❛♥❞ t❤❡ ✉s❡ ♦❢ ♦❜❧✐q✉❡ r♦t❛t✐♦♥ ✭♦❜❧✐♠✐♥✮ ♣r♦✈✐❞❡ r❡❧❡✈❛♥ts ❝❧✉st❡r ♦❢ ❜❡❤❛✈✐♦rs✳
❙✉♠ár✐♦
✶ ■♥tr♦❞✉çã♦ ✶
✷ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✸
✷✳✶ ▼ét♦❞♦ ♣❛r❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✹ ✷✳✷ ❊s❝♦❧❤❛ ❞♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✼ ✷✳✸ ❆✈❛❧✐❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❋❛t♦r❡s ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✼ ✷✳✹ ❘♦t❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❋❛t♦r❡s ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✽
✸ ❘❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ✶✶
✹ ❈♦♥❝❧✉sõ❡s ✷✶
❘❡❢❡rê♥❝✐❛s ❇✐❜❧✐♦❣rá✜❝❛s ✷✸
❆♣ê♥❞✐❝❡ ❆ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥ár✐♦ ❞❡ ■♠❛❣❡♠ ❈♦r♣♦r❛❧ ✭❇♦❞② ❙❤❛♣❡ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥♥❛✐r❡✮ ✷✺
■♥tr♦❞✉çã♦ ✶
✶✳ ■♥tr♦❞✉çã♦
❆ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛❞❛ é ✉♠❛ ár❡❛ ❞❛ ❊st❛tíst✐❝❛ q✉❡ t❡♠ ❝♦♠♦ ♦❜❥❡t✐✈♦ ❛ ❛✈❛❧✐❛çã♦ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t❛ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦❜s❡r✈❛❞❛s ♥❛s ♠❡s♠❛s ✉♥✐❞❛❞❡s ❛♠♦str❛✐s✳ ❆❧é♠ ❞✐ss♦✱ ✐♥✈❡st✐❣❛ ❛s ✐♥t❡r✲r❡❧❛çõ❡s ❡♥tr❡ ❡ss❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❡ ❛s s♦❧✉çõ❡s ♣❛r❛ ♦s ♣r♦❜❧❡♠❛s ❛❜♦r❞❛❞♦s sã♦ ♠❛✐s ❝♦♥s✐st❡♥t❡s ❡ út❡✐s ❬✼❪✳ ◆❡ss❡ ❝❛s♦✱ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♥ã♦ sã♦ s❡♣❛r❛❞❛s ❡♠ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❞❡♣❡♥❞❡♥t❡s ❡ ✐♥❞❡♣❡♥❞❡♥t❡s ❝♦♠♦ ❡♠ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❞❡ r❡❣r❡ssã♦✱ ♠❛s sã♦ ❛❣r✉♣❛❞❛s ❞❡ ❛❝♦r❞♦ ❝♦♠ s✉❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❡ ✐♥t❡r✲r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛♠❡♥t♦ ❡♠ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♥ã♦ ♦❜s❡r✈á✈❡✐s ❞❡♥♦♠✐♥❛❞❛s ❢❛t♦r❡s✳ ❬✽❪✳
❆ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ t❡✈❡ s❡✉s ♣r✐♠❡✐r♦s ❝♦♥❝❡✐t♦s s✉❣❡r✐❞♦s ♣♦r ●❛❧t♦♥ ❬✾❪ ❡ ❡♠ ✶✾✵✹ ❙♣❡❛r✲ ♠❛♥ ❬✷✹❪ ♣r♦♣ôs ✉♠ ♠♦❞❡❧♦✱ ✉s❛❞♦ ❛té ❤♦❥❡✱ ❞❡ ♦r❣❛♥✐③❛çã♦ ❡♠ ❢❛t♦r❡s ❝♦♠ ♦ ♣r♦♣ós✐t♦ ❞❡ ♠❡♥s✉r❛r ❛ ✐♥t❡❧✐❣ê♥❝✐❛ ❤✉♠❛♥❛✳ ❖ ♠♦❞❡❧♦ ❞❡ ✉♠ ú♥✐❝♦ ❢❛t♦r ❞❡ ❙♣❡❛r♠❛♥ ❢♦✐ ❣❡♥❡r❛❧✐③❛❞♦ ♣♦r ❚❤✉rst♦♥❡ ❬✷✺❪✱ ♣❛r❛ ❝♦♥t❡♠♣❧❛r ♠ú❧t✐♣❧♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ❬✼❪ ❡ t❡♥t❛r s✐♠♣❧✐✜❝❛r r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛♠❡♥t♦s ❝♦♠♣❧❡①♦s✱ ❢♦r♥❡❝❡♥❞♦ ✐♥❢♦r♠❛çõ❡s s♦❜r❡ ❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ s✉❜❥❛❝❡♥t❡ ❞♦s ❞❛❞♦s ❬✻❪✳
❊♠ t❡r♠♦s ❣❡r❛✐s✱ ❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❛❜♦r❞❛ ♦ ♣r♦❜❧❡♠❛ ❞❡ ❛♥❛❧✐s❛r ❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❛s ✐♥t❡r✲ r❡❧❛çõ❡s ❡♥tr❡ ✉♠ ❣r❛♥❞❡ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s q✉❡ sã♦ ❛❣r✉♣❛❞❛s ❞❡ ❛❝♦r❞♦ ❝♦♠ s✉❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❡ ✐♥t❡r✲r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛♠❡♥t♦ ❡♠ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♥ã♦ ♦❜s❡r✈á✈❡✐s ❞❡♥♦♠✐♥❛❞❛s ❢❛t♦r❡s✳ ❖s ❞♦✐s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ✉s♦s ❞❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✲ r❡s✉♠♦ ❡ r❡❞✉çã♦ ❞❡ ❞❛❞♦s ✲ ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ❛❧❝❛♥ç❛❞♦s ❝♦♠ ❛ ✉t✐❧✐③❛çã♦ ❞❡ ❡s❝♦r❡s✱ ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❝❛❧❝✉❧❛❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s q✉❡ ♣♦❞❡♠ s✉❜st✐t✉✐r ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❬✶✶❪✳
❯♠ ❞♦s ♠ét♦❞♦s ❞❡ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ♠❛✐s ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞♦s é ❛ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❞❡ ❈♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s Pr✐♥✲ ❝✐♣❛✐s ✭❆❈P✮✱ ♣♦✐s ♥ã♦ ❡①✐❣❡ s✉♣♦s✐çõ❡s s♦❜r❡ ❛ ❞✐str✐❜✉✐çã♦ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✱ ❝♦♠♦ ❛ ♥♦r♠❛❧✐❞❛❞❡ ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛❞❛ ❬✽❪✳ ➱ ✉♠❛ té❝♥✐❝❛ ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞❛ ♣❛r❛ ✐♥✈❡st✐❣❛r ❡ ❛✉①✐❧✐❛r ❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛✲ çã♦ ❞❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❡ ✐♥t❡r❞❡♣❡♥❞ê♥❝✐❛ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳ ❋♦✐ ✐♥tr♦❞✉③✐❞❛ ♣♦r P❡❛rs♦♥ ❡♠ ✶✾✵✶ ❬✷✶❪ ❡ ❞❡s❡♥✈♦❧✈✐❞❛ ❞❡ ❢♦r♠❛ ✐♥❞❡♣❡♥❞❡♥t❡ ♣♦r ❍♦t❡❧❧✐♥❣ ❡♠ ✶✾✸✸ ❬✶✹❪✳
❊①✐st❡♠ ♦✉tr♦s ♠ét♦❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s✱ ❞❡♥tr❡ ❡❧❡s✿ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❞❛ ♠á①✐♠❛ ✈❡r♦ss✐✲ ♠✐❧❤❛♥ç❛ q✉❡ ✉t✐❧✐③❛ s✉♣♦s✐çõ❡s ❞❡ ✉♠❛ ❞✐str✐❜✉✐çã♦ ♥♦r♠❛❧ ❡ ❞❡s❡♥✈♦❧✈❡ t❡st❡s ❞❡ ❤✐♣ót❡s❡s ❝♦♠ ♦ ♦❜❥❡t✐✈♦ ❞❡ t❡st❛r ❛ ❛❞❡q✉❛❝✐❞❛❞❡ ❞♦ ♠♦❞❡❧♦❀ ❢❛t♦r❡s ❝♦♠✉♥s tê♠ ❝♦♠♦ ♦❜❥❡t✐✈♦ ✐❞❡♥t✐✜❝❛r ❛s ❞✐♠❡♥sõ❡s r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞❛s ♥❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✱ ♣♦ré♠ ❝♦♠ ♣♦✉❝♦ ❝♦♥❤❡❝✐♠❡♥t♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡s❡❥❛♥❞♦ ❡❧✐♠✐♥á✲❧❛❀ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❞♦s ♠í♥✐♠♦s q✉❛❞r❛❞♦s q✉❡ t❡♠ ❝♦♠♦ ♦❜❥❡t✐✈♦ ♠✐♥✐♠✐③❛r ♦ ❡rr♦❀ ❞❡♥tr❡ ♦✉tr♦s ✭♣❛r❛ ♠❛✐s ❞❡t❛❧❤❡s✱ ✈❡r ❬✶✹❪✮✳
❆ ❆❈P ♣♦❞❡ s❡r r❡s✉♠✐❞❛ ❝♦♠♦ ✉♠ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❞❡ tr❛♥s❢♦r♠❛çã♦ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✳ ❆s ♥♦✈❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s sã♦ ❝❤❛♠❛❞❛s ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ♦✉ ❢❛t♦r❡s✳ ❈❛❞❛ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡ ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛❧ é ✉♠❛ ❝♦♠❜✐♥❛çã♦ ❧✐♥❡❛r ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❡ ❝❛rr❡❣❛ ✉♠❛ ♣❛r❝❡❧❛ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐❛çã♦ t♦t❛❧ ❞♦s ❞❛❞♦s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ♥❛ ❢♦r♠❛ ❞❡ s✉❛ ♣ró♣r✐❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛✳
❖s ❈P✬s r❡s✉❧t❛♥t❡s sã♦ ❡♠ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ✐❣✉❛❧ ❛♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ♣r❡s❡♥t❡s ♥♦ ❡s✲
✷ ■♥tr♦❞✉çã♦
t✉❞♦ ❡ sã♦ ♦r❣❛♥✐③❛❞♦s ❡♠ ♦r❞❡♠ ❞❡❝r❡s❝❡♥t❡ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛s✱ ♦ ♠❛✐s ✐♥❢♦r♠❛t✐✈♦ ♦✉ ❞❡ ♠❛✐♦r ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ é ♦ ♣r✐♠❡✐r♦ ❡ ♦ ♠❡♥♦s ✐♥❢♦r♠❛t✐✈♦ é ♦ ú❧t✐♠♦ ❬✻❪✳ ❙ã♦ ♦❜t✐❞♦s ❛ ♣❛rt✐r ❞♦s ❛✉t♦✈❡t♦r❡s ❝♦rr❡s♣♦♥❞❡♥t❡s ❛♦s ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ❬✶❪ ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ♦✉ ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦✳ ❖ ♦❜✲ ❥❡t✐✈♦ ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛❧ é q✉❡ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s s❡❥❛♠ ❢❛❝✐❧♠❡♥t❡ ❝♦♠♣r❡❡♥sí✈❡✐s ❡ q✉❡ tr❛♥s♠✐t❛♠ ❛ ✐♥❢♦r♠❛çã♦ ❡ss❡♥❝✐❛❧ ❝♦♥t✐❞❛ ♥♦ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t♦ ♦r✐❣✐♥❛❧ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❬✻❪✳
❖s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ✐♥✐❝✐❛❧♠❡♥t❡ ♦❜t✐❞♦s sã♦ ♠✉✐t❛s ✈❡③❡s ❞✐❢í❝❡✐s ❞❡ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛r✱ q✉❛♥❞♦ s❡ t❡♠ ✉♠ ❣r❛♥❞❡ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✱ ✐♥❞❡♣❡♥❞❡♥t❡ ❞♦ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❞❡ ❡①tr❛çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞♦✳ ❋❡❧✐③♠❡♥t❡✱ é ♣♦ssí✈❡❧ ❡♥❝♦♥tr❛r ♥♦✈♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ❛ ♣❛rt✐r ❞❡ r♦t❛çõ❡s ❛♣❧✐❝❛❞❛s ❛♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ✐♥✐❝✐❛✐s✳ ❆ ✐❞❡✐❛ ❣❡♦♠étr✐❝❛ é r❡❛❧✐③❛r ✉♠❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♥♦ s✐st❡♠❛ ❞❡ ❡✐①♦s ❝♦♦r❞❡♥❛❞♦s✱ ❢❛③❡♥❞♦ ❝♦♠ q✉❡ ♦s ♥♦✈♦s ❡✐①♦s s❡❥❛♠ ♣♦s✐❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s ♥♦ s❡♥t✐❞♦ ❞❡ ♠❛✐♦r ✈❛r✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ ❬✼❪✳
❊①✐st❡♠ ❞♦✐s t✐♣♦s ❞❡ r♦t❛çã♦✳ ◆♦ ♣r✐♠❡✐r♦✱ ❝❤❛♠❛❞♦ ❞❡ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛❧✱ ♦s ❡✐①♦s sã♦ ♠❛♥t✐❞♦s ♣❡r♣❡♥❞✐❝✉❧❛r❡s✱ ♥♦ s❡❣✉♥❞♦✱ ❝❤❛♠❛❞♦ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦❜❧íq✉❛✱ ♥ã♦ ❡①✐st❡ t❛❧ r❡str✐çã♦ ❡ ♦s ❡✐①♦s ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ❣✐r❛❞♦s ❞❡ ❢♦r♠❛ ❧✐✈r❡ ❬✶❪✳
❊st❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ ❝♦♥s✐st❡ ❡♠ ❛♣❧✐❝❛r ❛ té❝♥✐❝❛ ❞❡ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❡♠ ❞❛❞♦s s♦❜r❡ ❝♦♠♣♦rt❛✲ ♠❡♥t♦s r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s à ✐♠❛❣❡♠ ❝♦r♣♦r❛❧ ❡♠ ♣❡ss♦❛s q✉❡ ♣♦ss✉❡♠ ❞✐stúr❜✐♦s ❛❧✐♠❡♥t❛r❡s✱ ♠❛✐s ❡s♣❡❝✐✜❝❛♠❡♥t❡✱ ❛ ❛♥♦r❡①✐❛ ❡ ❛ ❜✉❧✐♠✐❛✳ ❊❧❛s ❢♦r❛♠ ❞❡s❝r✐t❛s ❤á ♠✉✐t♦s sé❝✉❧♦s ❬✷✵❪ ❡ s❡ t♦r♥❛♠ ❝❛❞❛ ✈❡③ ♠❛✐s ❝♦♠✉♥s ♥❛ s♦❝✐❡❞❛❞❡ ❛t✉❛❧✳
❆ ♣❡ss♦❛ ❝♦♠ ❛♥♦r❡①✐❛ t❡♠ ✉♠❛ ❞✐st♦rçã♦ ❣r❛✈❡ ❞❛ ✐♠❣❡♠ ❞♦ s❡✉ ❝♦r♣♦ ❡ ♣❡r❞❡ ♣r♦♣♦s✐✲ t❛❧♠❡♥t❡ ♦ ♣❡s♦ ♠♦t✐✈❛❞♦ ♣❡❧♦ ❞❡s❡❥♦ ❞❡ ❡♠❛❣r❡❝❡r ❛ss♦❝✐❛❞♦ ❛♦ ♠❡❞♦ ❞❡ ❡♥❣♦r❞❛r✳ ❏á ♣❡ss♦❛s ❝♦♠ ❜✉❧✐♠✐❛ ♥ã♦ ♣♦ss✉❡♠ ✉♠❛ ❞✐st♦rçã♦ tã♦ ❣r❛✈❡ ❞❛ ✐♠❛❣❡♠ ❝♦r♣♦r❛❧✱ ♠❛s ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛♠ ❝♦♠✲ ♣✉❧s✐✈✐❞❛❞❡ ❡♠ r❡❧❛çã♦ ❛ ❝♦♠✐❞❛ s❡❣✉✐❞❛ ❞❡ ♠❡✐♦s ❝♦♠♣❡♥s❛tór✐♦s ♣❛r❛ ❡✈✐t❛r ♦ ❣❛♥❤♦ ❞❡ ♣❡s♦ ✭✈ô♠✐t♦s ✈♦❧✉♥tár✐♦s✱ ✉s♦ ❞❡ ❧❛①❛♥t❡s ❡ ❞✐✉rét✐❝♦s✱ ❡t❝✳✮ ❬✶✵❪✳
❉✉r❛♥t❡ ✉♠ ❡st✉❞♦ ♣❛r❛ ✐♥✈❡st✐❣❛r ❛ ❝❤❡❝❛❣❡♠ ❞♦ ❝♦r♣♦ ❡♠ tr❛♥st♦r♥♦s ❛❧✐♠❡♥t❛r❡s✱ ♦ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥ár✐♦ ❞❡ ■♠❛❣❡♠ ❈♦r♣♦r❛❧ ✭❆♣ê♥❞✐❝❡❆✮ ❢♦✐ ❛♣❧✐❝❛❞♦ ❛ ✶✷✺ ♠✉❧❤❡r❡s✳ ❖ ♦❜❥❡t✐✈♦ ❞❡st❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ é ❛♥❛❧✐s❛r ❡ss❡s ❞❛❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ✐❞❡♥t✐✜❝❛r ❝♦♠♣♦rt❛♠❡♥t♦s q✉❡ s❡❥❛♠ r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s ❡♥tr❡ s✐ ❡ ♠❡❧❤♦r❛r ❛ ❝♦♠♣r❡❡♥sã♦ ❞❛ ❞✐st♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✐♠❛❣❡♠ ❝♦r♣♦r❛❧ ❞❛s ♣❛❝✐❡♥t❡s ❞♦ ❡st✉❞♦ ✉t✐❧✐③❛♥❞♦ ❆❈P ❡ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦❜❧íq✉❛✳
◆♦ ❈❛♣✐t✉❧♦ ✷ s❡rá ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞❛ ❛ ♠❡t♦❞♦❧♦❣✐❛ ❞❡ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❡ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥✲ ❝✐♣❛✐s✳ ◆❛ s❡çã♦ ✸✱ sã♦ ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞♦s ♦s r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ❛ ♣❛rt✐r ❞❛s ❛♥á❧✐s❡s✳ ❊ ♥❛ s❡çã♦ ✹✱ ❛s ❝♦♥❝❧✉sõ❡s ♦❜t✐❞❛s✳
❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✸
✷✳ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧
❆❧❣✉♥s ❝♦♥❝❡✐t♦s✱ ♥❡❝❡ssár✐♦s à ♥♦t❛çã♦ ❡ à ♠❡t♦❞♦❧♦❣✐❛ s❡rã♦ ✐♥tr♦❞✉③✐❞♦s ❛ s❡❣✉✐r✳
❙❡❥❛ X✱ ❝♦♠ X = (X1, X2, . . . , Xp✮ ✉♠ ✈❡t♦r ❛❧❡❛tór✐♦ ❝♦♥tí♥✉♦ ❝♦♠ ❢✉♥çã♦ ❞❡♥s✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ♣r♦❜❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ f(x)✳ ❉❡✜♥❡✲s❡ ♦ ✈❛❧♦r ❡s♣❡r❛❞♦ ♦✉ ❡s♣❡r❛♥ç❛ ❞❡st❡ ✈❡t♦r ♣♦r ✉♠ ✐♥t❡❣r❛❧
♠ú❧t✐♣❧❛ ❬✼❪✱
❊(X) = µ=
E(X1)
✳✳✳
E(Xp)
= ✁∞ −∞. . . ✁∞
−∞x1f(x1, . . . , xp)dx1dxp
✳✳✳ ✁∞
−∞. . .
✁∞
−∞xpf(x1, . . . , xp)dx1dxp
= µ1 ✳✳✳ µp ✭✷✳✶✮
❙❡X é ✉♠ ✈❡t♦r ❛❧❡❛tór✐♦ ❞✐s❝r❡t♦ ❛s ✐♥t❡❣r❛✐s sã♦ s♦♠❛s ❞❡✜♥✐❞❛s ♥♦ s✉♣♦rt❡ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳
❯♠❛ ❢♦r♠❛ ❞❡ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛r ❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❡ ❞❡♣❡♥❞ê♥❝✐❛ ❡♥tr❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s é ❛ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛✳ ❆ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡ ✉♠ ✈❡t♦r ❛❧❡❛tór✐♦X é ❞❡✜♥✐❞❛ ♣♦r ❬✼❪✱
Cov(X) = Σ =
σ11 σ12 . . . σ1p
σ21 σ22 . . . σ2p
✳✳✳ ✳✳✳ ✳✳✳ ✳✳✳
σp1 σp2 . . . σpp
✭✷✳✷✮
❡♠ q✉❡✱ σij =Cov(Xi, Xj)✱ ♣❛r❛i6=j✳ ❯♠ ❝❛s♦ ♣❛rt✐❝✉❧❛r ❞❛ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ é ❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡ ✉♠❛
✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ❛❧❡❛tór✐❛ V ar(X) = ❊[(X−E(X))2
] =σ2
i =σii✳
❖✉tr❛ ❢♦r♠❛ ❞❡ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛r ❛ ❞❡♣❡♥❞ê♥❝✐❛ ❡♥tr❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s é ❛ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦✳ ❆ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❞♦ ✈❡t♦r ❛❧❡❛tór✐♦X é ❞❛❞❛ ♣♦r ❬✼❪✱
R=Cor(Xi) =
1 ρ12 . . . ρ1p
ρ21 1 . . . ρ2p
✳✳✳ ✳✳✳ ✳✳✳ ✳✳✳
ρp1 ρp2 . . . 1
, ✭✷✳✸✮
♥❛ q✉❛❧ ρij =
σij
(σ2
iσ
2
j)
1/2✱ ♣❛r❛ i 6= j ❡ ρ11 = ρ22 = . . . = ρpp = 1✱ ♣❛r❛ j = 1,2, . . . , p✳ ❆ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ é ♠❛✐s ✉s❛❞❛ q✉❡ ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛✱ ♣♦✐s s❡✉s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❡stã♦ ❧✐♠✐t❛❞♦s ✭0≤ρ≤1✮ ♦ q✉❡ ❢❛❝✐❧✐t❛ ❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦✳
❊①✐st❡ ❛✐♥❞❛✱ ♦✉tr♦ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡ q✉❡ ♠❡❞❡ ❛ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❞✉❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s q✉❛♥❞♦ s❡ ❝♦♥tr♦❧❛ ♦ ❡❢❡✐t♦ ❞❛ ♦✉tr❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ s♦❜r❡ ❡st❛s✳❙❡❥❛ αX,Y|Z ❛ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ♣❛r❝✐❛❧ ❡♥tr❡ ❳ ❡ ❨ ✜①❛♥❞♦ ♦
✹ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧
❡❢❡✐t♦ ❞❡ ❩✱ t❡♠✲s❡ ❬✶✺❪✿
αX,Y|Z =
ρXY −ρXZ ρY Z
p
(1−ρ2
XZ)
p
(1−ρ2
Y Z)
✭✷✳✹✮
❈♦♠ ❜❛s❡ ♥♦s ❝♦♥❝❡✐t♦s ❛♥t❡r✐♦r❡s✱ ❛❧❣✉♠❛s ♠❡❞✐❞❛s ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞❛s ♣❛r❛ ✈❡r✐✜❝❛r ❛ ✈✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❛ ❛♣❧✐❝❛çã♦ ❞❡ ✉♠❛ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❛ ✉♠ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t♦ ❞❡ ❞❛❞♦s✳ ❯♠❛ ❞❡❧❛s é ❛ ▼❡❞✐❞❛ ❞❡ ❆❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ❆♠♦str❛❧ ✭▼❆❆✮ q✉❡ é ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞❛ ♣❛r❛ q✉❛♥t✐✜❝❛r ♦ ❣r❛✉ ❞❡ ✐♥t❡r✲❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳ ❙✉❛ ❞❡✜♥✐çã♦ é ❞❛❞❛ ❛ s❡❣✉✐r✶✳
❉❡✜♥✐çã♦ ✶ ✿ ❆ ▼❡❞✐❞❛ ❞❡ ❆❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ❆♠♦str❛❧ ♣❛r❛ ❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ Xi é ❞❛❞❛ ♣♦r ❬✶✼❪✱
M AA(i) = 1−
P j α2 ij P j ρ2 ij
,∀i6=j ✭✷✳✺✮
❡♠ q✉❡✱ ρij é ♦ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s Xi ❡Xj ❡♥q✉❛♥t♦ αij é ♦ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡
❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ♣❛r❝✐❛❧ ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ♠❡s♠❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ✜①❛♥❞♦ ♦ ❡❢❡✐t♦ ❞❛s ❞❡♠❛✐s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❞❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡✳ ❖ ❝r✐tér✐♦ ❞❡ ❑❛✐s❡r✲▼❡②❡r✲❖❧❦✐♥ ✭❑▼❖✮ é ✉♠ ❝r✐tér✐♦ q✉❡ ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛ t♦❞❛s ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s s✐♠✉❧t❛♥❡❛♠❡♥t❡✳ ❊❧❡ é ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞♦ ✉♠ ▼❆❆ ❣❧♦❜❛❧ ❬✶✼❪✳
❉❡✜♥✐çã♦ ✷ ✿ ❖ í♥❞✐❝❡ ❞❡ ❑❛✐s❡r✲▼❡②❡r✲❖❧❦✐♥ ✭❑▼❖✮ é ❞❛❞♦ ♣♦r✿
KM O =
P i P j ρ2 ij P i P j ρ2 ij + P i P j α2 ij ✭✷✳✻✮
❡♠ q✉❡✱ ρij é ♦ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s Xi ❡Xj ❡♥q✉❛♥t♦ αij é ♦ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡
❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ♣❛r❝✐❛❧ ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ♠❡s♠❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ✜①❛♥❞♦ ♦ ❡❢❡✐t♦ ❞❛s ❞❡♠❛✐s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❞❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡✳ ❆ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ♥ã♦ é ✈✐á✈❡❧ q✉❛♥❞♦ ♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞♦ ❑▼❖ ❡ ▼❆❆ ❢♦r❡♠ ❜❛✐①♦s✱ q✉❡ q✉❡r ❞✐③❡r q✉❡ ❛s ❝♦rr❡❧❛çõ❡s ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s sã♦ ♠✉✐t♦ ❜❛✐①❛s✳
❈❛s♦ ❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ s❡❥❛ ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞❛ ✈✐á✈❡❧ ❞❡✜♥❡♠✲s❡ três ❡t❛♣❛s ♣❛r❛ ❛ r❡❛❧✐③❛çã♦ ❞❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧✿ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s✱ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛çã♦ ❞❛ q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s r❡t✐❞♦s ❡ ❛ r♦t❛çã♦✳
✷✳✶ ▼ét♦❞♦ ♣❛r❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s
◆❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s✱ ❞❡s❝r❡✈❡✲s❡ ❛ ✈❛r✐❛çã♦ t♦t❛❧ ❞❡ ✉♠ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t♦ ❞❡ n
♣♦♥t♦s ♥♦ ❡s♣❛ç♦ p✲❞✐♠❡♥s✐♦♥❛❧✱ ✐♥tr♦❞✉③✐♥❞♦ ✉♠ ♥♦✈♦ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t♦ ❞❡p✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛✐s✱ ♥ã♦
❝♦rr❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞❛s✳ ❆s ♥♦✈❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐sY1, Y2, . . . , Yp✱ ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞❛s ❧❛t❡♥t❡s✱ ♦✉ s❡❥❛✱ ♥ã♦ ♦❜s❡r✈á✈❡✐s ♦✉ ♠❡♥s✉rá✈❡✐s ❞✐r❡t❛♠❡♥t❡ ❛ ♣❛rt✐r ❞♦ ❡①♣❡r✐♠❡♥t♦ ♦✉ ❧❡✈❛♥t❛♠❡♥t♦ ❛♠♦str❛❧✳
❆ ♣❛rt✐r ❞♦s ❛✉t♦✈❡t♦r❡s ❡ ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ Σ✭♦✉ ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛✲
çã♦✮ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❡♥❝♦♥tr❛♠✲s❡ ♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐sY1, Y2, . . . , Yp✳ P❛r❛ ❝❛❞❛Yi
✶❊ss❡ í♥❞✐❝❡ ✈❛r✐❛ ❞❡ ✵ ❛ ✶✱ ❛❧❝❛♥ç❛♥❞♦ ✶ q✉❛♥❞♦ ❝❛❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ é ♣❡r❢❡✐t❛♠❡♥t❡ ♣r❡✈✐st❛ s❡♠ ❡rr♦ ♣❡❧❛s
♦✉tr❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳ ❙❡❣✉♥❞♦ ❍❛✐r ❬✶✶❪ ❛ ♠❡❞✐❞❛ ♣♦❞❡ s❡r ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛❞❛ ❝♦♠ ❛s s❡❣✉✐♥t❡s ♦r✐❡♥t❛çõ❡s✿ ✵✱✽ ♦✉ ❛❝✐♠❛✱
❛❞♠✐rá✈❡❧❀ ✵✱✼ ♦✉ ❛❝✐♠❛✱ ❜♦♠❀ ✵✱✻ ♦✉ ❛❝✐♠❛✱ ♠❡❞✐❛♥♦❀ ✵✱✺ ♦✉ ❛❝✐♠❛✱ r✉✐♠❀ ❡ ❛❜❛✐①♦ ❞❡ ✵✱✺✱ ✐♥❛❝❡✐tá✈❡❧✳ ❙❡❣✉♥❞♦
❋á✈❡r♦ ❬✽❪ q✉❛♥❞♦ ❛ ♠❡❞✐❞❛ ❞❡ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ❢♦r ❜❛✐①❛✱ ❡st❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♥ã♦ ♥❡❝❡ss❛r✐❛♠❡♥t❡ ❞❡✈❡ s❡r
❡❧✐♠✐♥❛❞❛✱ ✉♠❛ ✈❡③ q✉❡ ❡st❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♣♦❞❡ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛r ✉♠ ❢❛t♦r ✐s♦❧❛❞❛♠❡♥t❡✳
❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✺
❜✉s❝❛✲s❡ ✉♠ ✈❡t♦r ❞❡ ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡s γi′ = (γi1, γi2, . . . , γip)✱ ❞❡ ♠♦❞♦ q✉❡ ❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡ Yi =γiX s❡❥❛ ♠á①✐♠❛ s♦❜r❡ ❛ ❝❧❛ss❡ ❞❡ t♦❞❛s ❛s ❝♦♠❜✐♥❛çõ❡s ❧✐♥❡❛r❡s ❞❡X s✉❥❡✐t♦ às r❡str✐çõ❡sγ′γ = 1
❡ γi′γj = 0, i6= j✷❬✼❪✳ ■ss♦ ✐♠♣❡❞❡ ♦ ❛✉♠❡♥t♦ ❛r❜✐trár✐♦ ♥❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡γ
′
iX✱ ❢❛③❡♥❞♦ ❝♦♠ q✉❡
♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❞❡γi s❡❥❛♠ ❣r❛♥❞❡s✸✳
❖ ♣r♦❜❧❡♠❛ ❛❣♦r❛ s❡ t♦r♥❛✿ ♠❛①✐♠✐③❛r γi′Σγi✱ ❝♦♠ r❡s♣❡✐t♦ ❛γi✱ s✉❥❡✐t♦ ❛ r❡str✐çã♦γ′
iγi = 1
❬✶✾❪✳ ❆ss✐♠✱ ♦s ❝♦❡✜❝✐❡♥t❡s ❞❡γi ❞❡✈❡♠ s❛t✐s❢❛③❡r ❛s ❡q✉❛çõ❡s ❧✐♥❡❛r❡s ❞❡✜♥✐❞❛s ♣♦r ✉♠ s✐st❡♠❛
❝♦♠ ♣ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❬✶✺❪✱
(Σ−λiI)γi =0, ✭✷✳✼✮
❡ ♦ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❞♦ ♠✉❧t✐♣❧✐❝❛❞♦r ▲❛❣r❛♥❣❡ é ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞♦✳ ❙✉♣♦♥❞♦ q✉❡ ❛ s♦❧✉çã♦ é ❞✐❢❡r❡♥t❡ ❞♦ ✈❡t♦r ♥✉❧♦✱ ♦ ✈❛❧♦r ❞❡ λi ❞❡✈❡ s❡r ❡s❝♦❧❤✐❞♦ ♣❛r❛ q✉❡✱
(Σ−λiI) = 0. ✭✷✳✽✮
❆❧❣✉♠❛s ♣r♦♣r✐❡❞❛❞❡s ❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ♦❜t✐❞❛s ❛ ♣❛rt✐r ❞❛ ❞❡❝♦♠♣♦✲ s✐çã♦ ❡s♣❡❝tr❛❧✳ ❆ss✐♠ s❡ Σé ❞✐❛❣♦♥❛❧✐③á✈❡❧ t❡♠✲s❡
Σ =ΓΛΓ′ =λ1γ1γ
′
1+λ2γ2γ
′
2+. . .+λpγpγ
′
p, ✭✷✳✾✮
❡♠ q✉❡Λ é ✉♠❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞✐❛❣♦♥❛❧ ❝✉❥♦s ❡❧❡♠❡♥t♦s sã♦λ1, λ2, . . . , λp ❡Γ é ✉♠❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛❧ ❞❡ ♦r❞❡♠ ♣ ❝✉❥❛s ❝♦❧✉♥❛s sã♦ γ1, γ2, . . . , γp ❬✶✺❪✳ ❊♥tã♦✱ ♣♦❞❡✲s❡ ♦❜s❡r✈❛r q✉❡
tr(Σ) =tr(ΓΛΓ′) = tr(ΛΓΓ′) =tr(ΛI) = tr(Λ) =
p
X
i=1
λi. ✭✷✳✶✵✮
◆♦ ❡♥t❛♥t♦✱ tr(Σ) é ♦❜✈✐❛♠❡♥t❡ ❞❛❞❛ ♣❡❧❛ s♦♠❛ ❞♦s ❡❧❡♠❡♥t♦s ❞❛ ❞✐❛❣♦♥❛❧✱ ♦✉ s❡❥❛✱ tr(Σ) =
p
P
i=1
σ2
i✱ ❞❡ss❛ ❢♦r♠❛
p
X
i=1
σ2i =
p
X
i=1
λi, ✭✷✳✶✶✮
♦✉ s❡❥❛✱ ❛ ✈❛r✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ t♦t❛❧ ❝♦♥t✐❞❛ ♥❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s é ✐❣✉❛❧ à ✈❛r✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ t♦t❛❧ ❝♦♥t✐❞❛ ♥♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ❬✼❪✳
P♦r ❞❡✜♥✐çã♦✱ ❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡ Yi é ❞❛❞❛ ♣♦r ❬✼❪
V ar(Yi) = γ
′
iΣγi =λiγ
′
iγi =λi, ✭✷✳✶✷✮
✷❖s ✈❡t♦r❡s γ
1, γ2, . . . , γp sã♦ ♦rt♦♥♦r♠❛✐s✱ ♦✉ s❡❥❛✱ ♠✉t✉❛♠❡♥t❡ ♣❡r♣❡♥❞✐❝✉❧❛r❡s (γ
′
iγj = 0, i 6= j) ❡ ❞❡
❝♦♠♣r✐♠❡♥t♦ ✉♥✐tár✐♦(γi′γi= 1)✳
✸P❛r❛ ✉♠ ❞❛❞♦ ✈❡t♦r γi✱ ♣♦❞❡✲s❡ s❡♠♣r❡ ❡♥❝♦♥tr❛r ♦✉tr♦ ❝♦♠ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ♠❛✐♦r ❡s❝♦❧❤❡♥❞♦ ✉♠ ✈❡t♦r ❝♦♠ ❛
♠❡s♠❛ ❞✐r❡çã♦ ❞❡γi✱ ♠❛s ❝♦♠ ✉♠ ❝♦♠♣r✐♠❡♥t♦ ♠❛✐♦r✳ ■ss♦ ❡q✉✐✈❛❧❡ ❛ ♠✉❧t✐♣❧✐❝❛r γi ♣♦r ✉♠❛ ❝♦♥st❛♥t❡✱ q✉❡
♥ã♦ ❛❧t❡r❛ ❛ ❝❛r❛❝t❡ríst✐❝❛ ❜ás✐❝❛ ❞❡ γi′X✳ P♦rt❛♥t♦✱ ❛♣❡♥❛s ❛ ❞✐r❡çã♦ ❞❡ γi ❞❡✈❡ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛r s✉❛ ❛❞❡q✉❛çã♦
❝♦♠♦ s♦❧✉çã♦✱ ❡ ♥ã♦ ♦ s❡✉ ❝♦♠♣r✐♠❡♥t♦✱ q✉❡ ♣♦r ❝♦♥✈❡♥✐ê♥❝✐❛✱ t❛♠❜é♠ ♣♦❞❡ s❡r ✉♠✳
✻ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧
❡ ❛ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❡♥tr❡Yi ❡Yj✱ ♣♦r
Cov(Yi, Yj) =γ
′
iΣγj =λiγ
′
iγj = 0, i6=j ✭✷✳✶✸✮
✉♠❛ ✈❡③ q✉❡ γi ❡ γj sã♦ ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛✐s✳ ▲♦❣♦✱ ♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s sã♦ ♥ã♦ ❝♦rr❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s✳
❖s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s✱ Yj, j = 1,2, . . . , p✱ sã♦ ❞❡✜♥✐❞♦s ❝♦♠♦ ❝♦♠❜✐♥❛çõ❡s ❧✐♥❡❛r❡s ❞❛s
✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s X ❬✻❪✿
Yi =γi1X1 +γi2X2+. . .+γipXp. ✭✷✳✶✹✮
❖s ♣❡s♦s γi1, γi2, . . . , γip ❢♦r❛♠ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ♠❛①✐♠✐③❛r ❛ ♣r♦♣♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡
Yj✱ s✉❥❡✐t❛ à r❡str✐çã♦
p P
j=1
γ2
1j = 1
✱ ♣❛r❛ i= 1, i= 2 ❝♦♠ γ1′γ2 = 0✱ ❡ ❛ss✐♠ ♣♦r ❞✐❛♥t❡ ❬✻❪✳ ❈♦♠ ♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❞❡✜♥✐❞♦s é ♣♦ssí✈❡❧ ❝❛❧❝✉❧❛r ♦s ❡s❝♦r❡s✱ ✈❛❧♦r❡s ♥ú♠❡r✐❝♦s ❞♦s ❝♦♠✲ ♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s✱ y1, y2, . . . , yp✱ ♣❛r❛ ❝❛❞❛ ✐♥❞✐✈í❞✉♦✳ ❊ss❡s ♣♦❞❡♠ s❡r ✉s❛❞♦s ❡♠ ❛♥á❧✐s❡s ♣♦st❡r✐♦r❡s s✉❜st✐t✉✐♥❞♦ ♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✳ ❈❛s♦ s❡❥❛♠ ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞♦s k < p ❝♦♠♣♦✲
♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ✭❞✐♠✐♥✉✐♥❞♦ ❛ ❞✐♠❡♥sã♦ ❞♦s ❞❛❞♦s✮ ❞❡✈❡ ❤❛✈❡r ❣❛r❛♥t✐❛ q✉❡ ❣r❛♥❞❡ ♣r♦♣♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐❛çã♦ t♦t❛❧ é ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣❡❧❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞♦sk ❢❛t♦r❡s r❡t✐❞♦s ❬✶✺❪✳
❖s ♣❡s♦sγi1, γi2, . . . , γip✱i= 1,2, . . . , p✱ t❛♠❜é♠ sã♦ ❝❤❛♠❛❞♦s ❞❡ ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s ❡ ❝❛❞❛ γil ♠❡❞❡ ♦ ❣r❛✉ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❛ ❧✲és✐♠❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♦r✐❣✐♥❛❧ ❡ ♦ ✐✲és✐♠♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ ❈♦♠♦ ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s é Y = ΓX ♣♦❞❡✲s❡ ❡s❝r❡✈❡r ♦ ♠♦❞❡❧♦ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❛ ♣❛rt✐r
❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❬✶✷❪✱
Xi =φbi1Y1+φbi2Y2+. . .+φbikYk, ✭✷✳✶✺✮
❡♠ q✉❡ φbik sã♦ ♦s ❡❧❡♠❡♥t♦s ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ Φ=Γ−1✳
◆♦ ❝❛s♦ ❞❡ ♦ ♠♦❞❡❧♦ s♦❢r❡r r♦t❛çã♦✱ ❛s ❝❛r❣❛s ♦❜t✐❞❛s ❛♣ós ❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ❞❡✈❡♠ s❡r ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞❛s ♥❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞♦s ❡s❝♦r❡s ❡ ♥ã♦ ❛s ❝❛r❣❛s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❬✻❪✳
❊①✐st❡ ✉♠ ♠ét♦❞♦ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ✉t✐❧✐③❛♥❞♦ r❡❣r❡ssã♦ ❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s✱ ♣❡❧♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✱ ♣♦ré♠ ❡st❡ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❡①✐❣❡ ♥♦r♠❛❧✐❞❛❞❡ ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛❞❛ ❬✼❪✳ ◆❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ♣r✐♠❡✐r♦ ❡①tr❛❡♠✲s❡ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ❡ s♦♠❡♥t❡ ✉♠❛ ♣❡q✉❡♥❛ q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ss❡s é ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞❛ ✭r❡t✐❞❛✮ ♣❛r❛ ❛s ❛♥❛❧✐s❡s ❬✶✶❪✳ ❈♦♠♦ ♦s ❞❛❞♦s ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞♦s ♥❡st❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦ sã♦ ❛♣❡♥❛s ♦r❞✐♥❛✐s ❡ ❧✐♠✐t❛❞♦s✱ ♦ ✉s♦ ❞❛s ❞✐str✐❜✉✐çõ❡s ♠✉❧t✐✈❛r✐❛❞❛s é ✐♥✈✐á✈❡❧✳
P❛r❛ ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❛ s♦♠❛ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ t♦t❛❧ é ✐❣✉❛❧ ❛♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳ ❉❡ss❛ ❢♦r♠❛✱ ❛s ♣r♦♣r✐❡❞❛❞❡s ♣❛r❛ ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ sã♦ ✉♠ ♣♦✉❝♦ ❛❧t❡r❛❞❛s✳ ❆ss✐♠✱
tr(R) =tr(ΓΛΓ′) =tr(ΛΓΓ′) = tr(ΛI) =tr(Λ) =
p
X
i=1
λi. ✭✷✳✶✻✮
❊♥tã♦✱
p
X
i=1
λi =
p
X
i=1
1 =p. ✭✷✳✶✼✮
❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✼
❈♦♠✱
V ar(Yi) = λi, ✭✷✳✶✽✮
♦♥❞❡ λi
p é ❛ ♣r♦♣♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣❡❧♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ ❖s r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ♠✉❞❛♠✱ ♠❛s ♠❡❧❤♦r❛
❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦✳
✷✳✷ ❊s❝♦❧❤❛ ❞♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s
◆❛ ❧✐t❡r❛t✉r❛ ❡①✐st❡♠ ✈ár✐♦s ❝r✐tér✐♦s q✉❡ ❛✉①✐❧✐❛♠ ♥❛ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛çã♦ ❞♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s✱ ♣♦❞❡♠♦s ❝✐t❛r ❝♦♠♦ ❡①❡♠♣❧♦s ♦s s❡❣✉✐♥t❡s ❝r✐tér✐♦s✿
• ❈r✐tér✐♦ ❞❡ ❑❛✐s❡r✿ ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛♠✲s❡ ❛♣❡♥❛s ❛q✉❡❧❡s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s q✉❡ ♣♦ss✉❡♠ ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s
q✉❡ sã♦ ♠❛✐♦r❡s q✉❡ ♦ ✈❛❧♦r ✶✱ ❞❡st❛ ❢♦r♠❛✱ q✉❛❧q✉❡r ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡ ✐♥❞✐✈✐❞✉❛❧ ❞❡✈❡ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛r ❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❡ ♣❡❧♦ ♠❡♥♦s ✉♠❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧✳
• ❈r✐tér✐♦ ❞❛ ♣♦r❝❡♥t❛❣❡♠ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛✿ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛ ♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s q✉❡ ❡①✲
♣❧✐q✉❡ ✉♠❛ ♣♦r❝❡♥t❛❣❡♠ ♠í♥✐♠❛ ♣ré✲❞❡✜♥✐❞❛ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐❛❜✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ ❣❧♦❜❛❧✳ ❊st❛ ♣♦r❝❡♥t❛❣❡♠ ✈❛r✐❛ ❞❡ ❛❝♦r❞♦ ❝♦♠ ♦s ❛✉t♦r❡s ❡ ár❡❛ ❞♦s ♣r♦❜❧❡♠❛s✳
• ❙❝r❡❡ P❧♦t✿ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❣rá✜❝♦ ❜❛s❡❛❞♦ ♥♦s ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s✳ ❖ ❣rá✜❝♦ é ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛❞♦ ❢❛③❡♥❞♦✲s❡ ♦
❣rá✜❝♦ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ❧❛t❡♥t❡s ❡♠ r❡❧❛çã♦ ❛♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ❡♠ s✉❛ ♦r❞❡♠ ❞❡ ❡①tr❛çã♦✱ ❡ ❛ ❢♦r♠❛ ❞❛ ❝✉r✈❛ r❡s✉❧t❛♥t❡ é ✉s❛❞❛ ♣❛r❛ ❛✈❛❧✐❛r ♦ ♣♦♥t♦ ❞❡ ❝♦rt❡✱ ❜✉s❝❛♥❞♦ ✉♠ ✏❝♦t♦✈❡❧♦✑ ♥♦ ❣rá✜❝♦✱ ♦♥❞❡ ❛ ❝✉r✈❛ ❝♦♠❡ç❛ ❛ ✜❝❛r ♥❛ ❤♦r✐③♦♥t❛❧ ❬✶✶❪✳
❊ss❡s ❝r✐tér✐♦s ♣♦❞❡♠ ❝♦♥❞✉③✐r ❛ r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ❞✐❢❡r❡♥t❡s ♠❡s♠♦ ❛♣❧✐❝❛❞♦s ♥♦ ♠❡s♠♦ ❝♦♥❥✉♥t♦ ❞❡ ❞❛❞♦s✳ ◆ã♦ ❡①✐st❡ ✉♠ ❝r✐tér✐♦ ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞♦ ❛❜s♦❧✉t❛♠❡♥t❡ ♠❡❧❤♦r q✉❡ ✉♠ ♦✉tr♦✳ ❆ss✐♠✱ é ✐♥❞✐❝❛❞♦ ✉t✐❧✐③❛r ♠❛✐s ❞❡ ✉♠✱ ❡♥❝♦♥tr❛♥❞♦ ✉♠ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❝♦♠✉♠ ❡♥tr❡ ♦s ❞✐❢❡r❡♥t❡s t✐♣♦s ❬✶✶❪✳
✷✳✸ ❆✈❛❧✐❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❋❛t♦r❡s
❈♦♠ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ♦❜t✐❞♦s✱ é ♥❡❝❡ssár✐♦ ❛✈❛❧✐❛r ❛ ❝❛♣❛❝✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛çã♦ ❞❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞❡ ❞❡♣❡♥❞ê♥❝✐❛ ❢♦r♥❡❝✐❞❛ ♣❡❧❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧✳ ❆ss✐♠✱ ❛❧❣✉♠❛s ♠❡❞✐❞❛s ❞❡✈❡♠ s❡r ❛♥❛❧✐s❛❞❛s✳ ❊ss❛ ♠❡❞✐❞❛s sã♦✿ ❛s ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s✱ ❛s ❝♦♠✉♥❛❧✐❞❛❞❡s ❡ ♦s í♥❞✐❝❡s ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①✐❞❛❞❡ ❬✶✶❪✳
❆s ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛♠ ❛s ❝♦rr❡❧❛çõ❡s ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❡ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s✳ ◗✉❛♥t♦ ♠❛✐♦r ❛ ❝❛r❣❛ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧✱ ♠❛✐♦r s❡rá ❛ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❝♦♠ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛❞♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ ❯♠ ✈❛❧♦r ♥❡❣❛t✐✈♦ ✐♥❞✐❝❛ ✐♠♣❛❝t♦ ✐♥✈❡rs♦ ♥♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ ❊♥tr❡t❛♥t♦✱ ❞✐✈❡rs❛s ♠❡❞✐❞❛s ❡ ✐♥str✉♠❡♥t♦s ✉t✐❧✐③❛✲ ❞♦s ♥❛ ♣s✐❝♦❧♦❣✐❛ ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛♠ ♣❛❞rõ❡s ❞❡ ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s ❝r✉③❛❞❛s✱ ♦✉ s❡❥❛✱ q✉❛♥❞♦ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s s❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛♠ ❢♦rt❡♠❡♥t❡ ❝♦♠ ♠❛✐s ❞❡ ✉♠ ❢❛t♦r✱ ❞✐✜❝✉❧t❛♥❞♦ ❛ ❝♦♠♣r❡❡♥sã♦ ❞♦s r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ❬✶✶❪✳ ■ss♦ é ✉♠ ♣♦♥t♦ ♥❡❣❛t✐✈♦ ♥❛ ❛✈❛❧✐❛çã♦ ❞♦s r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s✳
✽ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧
❆s ❝♦♠✉♥❛❧✐❞❛❞❡s✱ hi✱ i= 1,2, . . . , p✱ ✐♥❞✐❝❛♠ ❛ ♣r♦♣♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♦r✐❣✐♥❛❧
Xi q✉❡ ❡stá s❡♥❞♦ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣❡❧❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞♦sk ❢❛t♦r❡s s❡❧❡❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s ❬✶✶❪ ❡ é ❞❛❞❛ ♣♦r
hi =
k
X
j=1
b
γij2. ✭✷✳✶✾✮
◗✉❛♥❞♦ ♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛s ❝♦♠✉♥❛❧✐❞❛❞❡s sã♦ ♠❡♥♦r❡s q✉❡ ✵✱✺ ❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛çã♦ ❢♦r♥❡❝✐❞❛ ♣❡❧♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s s❡ t♦r♥❛ ✐♥s❛t✐s❢❛tór✐❛ ❬✶✶❪✳ ❚❛♥t♦ ♣❛r❛ ♦ ❝❛s♦ ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ q✉❛♥t♦ ♥❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛✱ ❛s ❝♦♠✉♥❛❧✐❞❛❞❡s sã♦ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛❞❛s ❝♦♠♦ ♣r♦♣♦rçã♦ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣❡❧♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s✳
❖ í♥❞✐❝❡ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ❍♦❢♠❛♥♥ ❬✶✸❪ r❡❢❡r❡✲s❡ ❛ ✉♠ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ♣♦s✐t✐✈♦ q✉❡ ✐♥❞✐❝❛✱ ❡♠ ♠é❞✐❛✱ q✉❛♥t♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s sã♦ ✉s❛❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛r ❝❛❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ❡♠ ✉♠❛ s♦❧✉çã♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s✹ ❡ é
❞❛❞♦ ♣♦r
ci =
k
P
j=1b
γ2
ij
!2
k
P
j=1b
γ4
ij
✭✷✳✷✵✮
◆ã♦ ❤á ❞✐r❡tr✐③❡s ❜❡♠ ❡st❛❜❡❧❡❝✐❞❛s ❝♦♠♦ ❛❞❡q✉❛❞❛s ♣❛r❛ ♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞♦ í♥❞✐❝❡ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①✐✲ ❞❛❞❡ q✉❛♥❞♦ ❛s ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s ❡stã♦ ❡♠ ❝♦♥❢♦r♠✐❞❛❞❡ ❝♦♠ ✉♠❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ s✐♠♣❧❡s ♦✉ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①❛ ❬✷✷❪✳
✷✳✹ ❘♦t❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❋❛t♦r❡s
P❛r❛ ♠❡❧❤♦r❛r ❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ❝♦♥s✐❞❡r❛❞♦s r❡❧❡✈❛♥t❡s✱ ❡ s✉❛ r❡❧❛çã♦ ❝♦♠ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s ✉t✐❧✐③❛✲s❡ r♦t❛çõ❡s ♥♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s✳ ❊ss❡ ♣r♦❝❡❞✐♠❡♥t♦ ❛❥✉❞❛✱ ♣♦r ❡①❡♠♣❧♦✱ ❛ ❡✈✐t❛r ♦ ❛♣❛r❡❝✐♠❡♥t♦ ❞❡ ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s ❝r✉③❛❞❛s ❡ ❛ ❜❛✐①❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛çã♦ ❞❡ ❛❧❣✉♠❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ❞❛s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✳ ❊①✐st❡♠ ❞♦✐s t✐♣♦s ♣r✐♥❝✐♣❛✐s ❞❡ r♦t❛çã♦✿
• ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛❧ q✉❛♥❞♦ ♦s ♥♦✈♦s ❡✐①♦s t❛♠❜é♠ sã♦ ♣❡r♣❡♥❞✐❝✉❧❛r❡s ✉♥s ❛♦s ♦✉tr♦s❀
• ♦❜❧íq✉♦s q✉❛♥❞♦ ♦s ♥♦✈♦s ❡✐①♦s ♣♦❞❡♠ t❡r â♥❣✉❧♦s ❞✐✈❡rs♦s ❡♥tr❡ s✐✳
❈♦♠♦ ❛s r♦t❛çõ❡s sã♦ s❡♠♣r❡ r❡❛❧✐③❛❞❛s ❡♠ ✉♠ s✉❜❡s♣❛ç♦ ✭❡s♣❛ç♦ ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s✱ k < p✮✱ ❡❧❛s
❡①♣❧✐❝❛rã♦ ♠❡♥♦s ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞♦ q✉❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s ♦r✐❣✐♥❛✐s✳ ❆ ♣❛rt❡ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ t♦t❛❧ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣❡❧♦sk ❢❛t♦r❡s ❛♣ós ❛ r♦t❛çã♦ é ❛ ♠❡s♠❛ q✉❡ ❛♥t❡s ❞❛ r♦t❛çã♦✳ ❆♣❡♥❛s ❛s q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡s ❡①♣❧✐❝❛✲
❞❛s ♣♦r ❝❛❞❛ ❢❛t♦r ♠✉❞❛♠ ❬✶✽❪✳ ❚❤✉rst♦♥❡ ❬✷✺❪ ❡ ❈❛tt❡❧ ❬✹❪ ❞❡❢❡♥❞❡r❛♠ q✉❡ ❡st❡ ♣r♦❝❡❞✐♠❡♥t♦ s✐♠♣❧✐✜❝❛ ❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ ❞♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s ❡✱ ♣♦rt❛♥t♦✱ t♦r♥❛ s✉❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦ ♠❛✐s ❢á❝✐❧ ❡ ❝♦♥✜á✈❡❧ ✭♠❛✐s ❢á❝✐❧ ❞❡ r❡♣❧✐❝❛r ❝♦♠ ❞✐❢❡r❡♥t❡s ❛♠♦str❛s ❞❡ ❞❛❞♦s✮✳
✹❯♠❛ ❡str✉t✉r❛ s✐♠♣❧❡s ♣❡r❢❡✐t❛ t❡♠ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①✐❞❛❞❡ ✐❣✉❛❧ ❛ ✶✱ ❝❛❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♦r✐❣✐♥❛❧ s❡r✐❛ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞❛ ♣♦r
❛♣❡♥❛s ✉♠ ❢❛t♦r✱ ✉♠❛ s♦❧✉çã♦ ❝♦♠ ✐t❡♥s ✉♥✐❢♦r♠❡♠❡♥t❡ ❞✐str✐❜✉í❞♦s t❡♠ ✉♠❛ ❝♦♠♣❧❡①✐❞❛❞❡ ♠❛✐♦r ❞♦ q✉❡ ✶ ❬✷✷❪✳
❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧ ✾
❊♠ r♦t❛çõ❡s ♦❜❧íq✉❛s ♠❡s♠♦ s❡♠ ❛ ♣❡r♣❡♥❞✐❝✉❧❛r✐❞❛❞❡ ❞♦s ❡✐①♦s ♦ ❣r❛✉ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ♣❡r✲ ♠✐t✐❞♦ ❡♥tr❡ ♦s ❢❛t♦r❡s é✱ ❡♠ ❣❡r❛❧✱ ♣❡q✉❡♥♦ ♣♦rq✉❡ ❞♦✐s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❛❧t❛♠❡♥t❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦s sã♦ ♠❡❧❤♦r ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛❞♦s ❝♦♠♦ ✉♠ ú♥✐❝♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ ❯♠❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦rt♦❣♦♥❛❧ é ✉♠ ❝❛s♦ ♣❛rt✐❝✉❧❛r ❞❡ r♦t❛çõ❡s ♦❜❧íq✉❛s✳
❙❡❥❛ ❛ ❡q✉❛çã♦ ✉♠ ♠♦❞❡❧♦ ❜❛s❡❛❞♦ ❡♠ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♦❜❧íq✉♦s G1, . . . , Gr ❬✺❪✿
X =GΛ′+ǫ ✭✷✳✷✶✮
♦♥❞❡✱ Λ é ✉♠❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝❛r❣❛s ❝♦♠ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦❜❧íq✉❛✱ ❡ǫ s✐❣♥✐✜❝❛ ❡rr♦ ❛❧❡❛tór✐♦✳
❆s s❡❣✉✐♥t❡s ♣r♦♣r✐❡❞❛❞❡s s❡ ♠❛♥tê♠ s✐♠✐❧❛r ❛♦ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♥♦ ❡s♣❛ç♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ✭k < p✮✿
• X′X = ΛΘΛ′ ♦♥❞❡ Θ =G′G =T′T é ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ♦❜❧íq✉♦s✱
❡ T é ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ tr❛♥s❢♦r♠❛çã♦ ♦❜❧íq✉❛❀
• X′X =GΛ′ΛG′❀
• Λ′ = (G′G)−1
G′X ❡ X = GΛ′ = P
GX ♦♥❞❡ PG é ❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ✈❡t♦r❡s ❧❛t❡♥t❡s✱ q✉❡ é
✐❞❡♠♣♦t❡♥t❡✺ ❡ s✐♠étr✐❝❛✳
■♥✐❝✐❛❧♠❡♥t❡✱ s✉r❣✐r❛♠ ❛s r♦t❛çõ❡s ♦❜❧íq✉❛s ❝❤❛♠❛❞❛s ✏q✉❛rt✐♠✐♥✑ ❡ ✏❝♦✈❛r✐♠✐♥✑ q✉❡ ❧♦❣♦ ❢♦r❛♠ ❣❡♥❡r❛❧✐③❛❞❛s ❬✸❪ ♣❛r❛ ❛ ❢❛♠í❧✐❛ ✏♦❜❧✐♠✐♥✑ q✉❡ ❞❡s❝r❡✈❡ ✉♠❛ ❝❧❛ss❡ ❞❡ ♠ét♦❞♦s ❡♥✈♦❧✲ ✈❡♥❞♦ r♦t❛çõ❡s ♦❜❧íq✉❛s ❝♦♠ ❜❛s❡ ❡♠ ♠✐♥✐♠✐③❛çã♦ ❞♦s ❝r✐tér✐♦s ❡s♣❡❝í✜❝♦s✳ P❛r❛ ♦ ❛❧❣♦rít♠♦ é ♥❡❝❡ssár✐♦ ❞❡✜♥✐r ✉♠❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ✐♥✐❝✐❛❧ ❞❡ ❝❛r❣❛s ❢❛t♦r✐❛✐s Λp×k ❝♦♠ ❡❧❡♠❡♥t♦s γij✱i = 1,2, . . . , p
❡j = 1,2, . . . , k s❡♥❞♦ ❛ ❝❛r❣❛ ♣❛r❛ ❛ ✐✲és✐♠❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ♥♦ ❥✲és✐♠♦ ❢❛t♦r✳ P❛r❛ ❛ ♦❜t❡♥çã♦ ❞❡ ✉♠❛
r♦t❛çã♦ ❞❛ ❢❛♠í❧✐❛ ♦❜❧✐♠✐♥ ❞❡✈❡✲s❡ ♠✐♥✐♠✐③❛r ♦ ❝r✐tér✐♦
Oblimin=X
j6=l
nX
i
γij2λ2il−τX
i
λ2ijX
i
λ2ijXλ2il
!
. ✭✷✳✷✷✮
❱❛❧♦r❡s ❞❡ τ ♣❛r❛ ❝❛s♦s ❡s♣❡❝✐❛✐s ❞❛ ❢❛♠í❧✐❛ ♦❜❧✐♠✐♥ sã♦✿
◗✉❛rt✐♠✐♥ τ = 0 é ❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♠❛✐s ♦❜❧íq✉❛❀
❇✐q✉❛rt✐♠✐♥ τ = 0,5é ❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♠❡♥♦s ♦❜❧íq✉❛❀ ❡
❈♦✈❛r✐♠✐♥ τ = 1 é ❛ r♦t❛çã♦ ♦❜❧íq✉❛ ♠í♥✐♠❛✳
✺❯♠❛ ♠❛tr✐③ é ✐❞❡♠♣♦t❡♥t❡ q✉❛♥❞♦✱ ❛♦ s❡r ♠✉❧t✐♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣♦r ♣♦tê♥❝✐❛s ❞❡ s✐ ♠❡s♠❛✱ r❡s✉❧t❛♠ ♥❛ ♣ró♣r✐❛
♠❛tr✐③✳
✶✵ ❆♥á❧✐s❡ ❋❛t♦r✐❛❧
❘❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ✶✶
✸✳ ❘❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s
❆s ❛♥á❧✐s❡s ❢♦r❛♠ r❡❛❧✐③❛❞❛s ❝♦♠ ❛✉①í❧✐♦ ❞♦ s♦❢t✇❛r❡ ❘ ✈❡rsã♦ ✸✳✹✳✷ ❬✷✸❪✳
❖s ❞❛❞♦s sã♦ r❡❢❡r❡♥t❡s ❛♦ ◗✉❡st✐♦♥ár✐♦ ❞❡ ■♠❛❣❡♠ ❈♦r♣♦r❛❧ ✭❆♣ê♥❞✐❝❡ ❆✮ r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦ ❛♦ s❡♥t✐♠❡♥t♦ ♥❛s ú❧t✐♠❛s q✉❛tr♦ s❡♠❛♥❛s ❞❡125♠✉❧❤❡r❡s ❞♦ Pr♦❣r❛♠❛ ❞❡ ❚r❛♥st♦r♥♦s ❆❧✐♠❡♥t❛✲
r❡s ✭❆▼❇❯▲■▼✮ ❞♦ ■♥st✐t✉t♦ ❞❡ Ps✐q✉✐❛tr✐❛ ❞♦ ❍♦s♣✐t❛❧ ❞❛s ❈❧í♥✐❝❛s ❞❛ ❋❛❝✉❧❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ▼❡❞✐❝✐♥❛ ❞❛ ❯♥✐✈❡rs✐❞❛❞❡ ❞❡ ❙ã♦ P❛✉❧♦ ✭■Pq ✲ ❍❈✲❋▼❯❙P✮✱ ❞✉r❛♥t❡ ♦ ❡st✉❞♦ ✏❈❤❡❝❛❣❡♠ ❞♦ ❝♦r♣♦ ❡♠ tr❛♥st♦r♥♦s ❛❧✐♠❡♥t❛r❡s✿ r❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❝♦♠♣♦rt❛♠❡♥t♦s ❡ ❝♦❣♥✐çõ❡s✑ ❞❡ ❆❞r✐❛♥❛ ❚✳ ❑❛❝❤❛♥✐ ❬✶✻❪✳ ❆ r❡s♣♦st❛ ♣❛r❛ ❝❛❞❛ ✉♠❛ ❞❛s ♣❡r❣✉♥t❛s é ✉♠❛ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛çã♦ ❞♦ ♥í✈❡❧ ❞❡ s❛t✐s❢❛çã♦ ❞❛ ♣❛❝✐❡♥t❡ s❡❣✉♥❞♦ ✉♠❛ ❡s❝❛❧❛ ❞❡ ❧✐❦❡rt ✭t✐♣♦ ❞❡ ❡s❝❛❧❛ ♥❛ q✉❛❧ ❛s r❡s♣♦st❛s sã♦ ❝❛t❡❣♦r✐❛s ♦r❞❡✲ ♥❛❞❛s ❞❡ ✐♥t❡♥s✐❞❛❞❡✮✳ ◆❛ ❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✶✱ sã♦ ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛❞❛s ❛s ❢r❡q✉ê♥❝✐❛s r❡❧❛t✐✈❛s ❞❛s ❝❛t❡❣♦r✐❛s ♣♦r q✉❡stã♦✳
❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✶✿ ❋r❡q✉ê♥❝✐❛s r❡❧❛t✐✈❛s ❞❛s r❡s♣♦st❛s✳
◆✉♥❝❛ ❘❛r❛♠❡♥t❡ ➚s ✈❡③❡s ❋r❡q✉❡♥t❡♠❡♥t❡ ▼✉✐t♦ ❙❡♠♣r❡ ❋r❡q✉❡♥t❡♠❡♥t❡
◗✶ 0,113 0,129 0,323 0,089 0,065 0,282
◗✷ 0,144 0,120 0,240 0,048 0,136 0,312
◗✸ 0,264 0,168 0,168 0,048 0,040 0,312
◗✹ 0,088 0,040 0,168 0,112 0,072 0,520
◗✺ 0,112 0,080 0,184 0,128 0,096 0,400
◗✻ 0,176 0,136 0,128 0,072 0,096 0,392
◗✼ 0,280 0,072 0,152 0,088 0,056 0,352
◗✽ 0,464 0,128 0,120 0,072 0,064 0,152
◗✾ 0,290 0,081 0,145 0,081 0,065 0,339
◗✶✵ 0,331 0,089 0,121 0,073 0,089 0,298
◗✶✶ 0,282 0,105 0,161 0,073 0,121 0,258
◗✶✷ 0,169 0,121 0,202 0,073 0,129 0,307
◗✶✸ 0,379 0,113 0,161 0,057 0,073 0,218
◗✶✹ 0,218 0,089 0,234 0,057 0,073 0,331
◗✶✺ 0,161 0,121 0,202 0,121 0,161 0,234
◗✶✻ 0,210 0,129 0,194 0,097 0,121 0,250
◗✶✼ 0,194 0,105 0,137 0,073 0,089 0,403
◗✶✽ 0,355 0,089 0,145 0,081 0,105 0,226
◗✶✾ 0,282 0,161 0,113 0,113 0,073 0,258
◗✷✵ 0,169 0,081 0,194 0,065 0,161 0,331
◗✷✶ 0,218 0,186 0,145 0,097 0,089 0,266
◗✷✷ 0,266 0,097 0,161 0,097 0,113 0,266
◗✷✸ 0,282 0,057 0,145 0,065 0,153 0,298
◗✷✹ 0,169 0,081 0,161 0,105 0,105 0,379
◗✷✺ 0,455 0,106 0,122 0,008 0,065 0,244
◗✷✻ 0,529 0,057 0,041 0,041 0,081 0,252
◗✷✼ 0,520 0,064 0,088 0,072 0,080 0,176
◗✷✽ 0,096 0,080 0,192 0,104 0,088 0,440
◗✷✾ 0,176 0,072 0,208 0,080 0,096 0,368
◗✸✵ 0,200 0,152 0,200 0,064 0,112 0,272
◗✸✶ 0,208 0,152 0,128 0,064 0,088 0,360
◗✸✷ 0,584 0,088 0,144 0,024 0,040 0,120
◗✸✸ 0,112 0,096 0,296 0,128 0,104 0,264
◗✸✹ 0,128 0,056 0,192 0,144 0,104 0,376
◆❛ ❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✶ ♦❜s❡r✈❛✲s❡✱ ♣♦r ❡①❡♠♣❧♦✱ q✉❡ ♣❛r❛ ❛ q✉❡stã♦ ✷✺ q✉❡ r❡❢❡r❡✲s❡ ❛ ✏❱♦❝ê ❛❝❤❛
✶✷ ❘❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s
❥✉st♦ q✉❡ ♦✉tr❛s ♣❡ss♦❛s s❡❥❛♠ ♠❛✐s ♠❛❣r❛s q✉❡ ✈♦❝ê❄✑✱ q✉❡ ✹✺✪ ❞❛s ♣❛❝✐❡♥t❡s ♥✉♥❝❛ s❡ s❡♥t❡♠ ✐♥❝♦♠♦❞❛❞❛s ❝♦♠ ❡ss❛ s✐t✉❛çã♦✳ ❏á ✺✷✪ r❡s♣♦♥❞❡r❛♠ ❝♦♠ ♦ ♠❛✐♦r ❣r❛✉ ❞❛ ❡s❝❛❧❛ ❛ ♣❡r❣✉♥t❛ q✉❡ s❡ r❡❢❡r❡ ❛ ✏❱♦❝ê t❡♠ s❡♥t✐❞♦ ♠❡❞♦ ❞❡ ✜❝❛r ❣♦r❞❛ ✲ ♦✉ ♠❛✐s ❣♦r❞❛ ❞♦ q✉❡ ❡stá❄✑✱ q✉❡ ❡stá r❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞♦ à q✉❡stã♦ ✹✳ ❖s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❢♦r❛♠ ❞❡t❡r♠✐♥❛❞♦s ❛tr❛✈és ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦✱ ♣❡❧❛ ♠❛✐♦r ❢❛❝✐❧✐❞❛❞❡ ♥❛ ✐♥t❡r♣r❡t❛çã♦ ❞♦s r❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s✳
❆ ♣❛rt✐r ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❞❡ ❙♣❡❛r♠❛♥✱ ♦❜s❡r✈♦✉✲s❡ q✉❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s sã♦ t♦❞❛s ♣♦s✐✲ t✐✈❛♠❡♥t❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛❝✐♦♥❛❞❛s✱ ♦ ♠ét♦❞♦ ❣rá✜❝♦ ❛❥✉❞❛ ❛ ♦❜s❡r✈❛r ❛ ♣r❡s❡♥ç❛ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦ ❡♥tr❡ ❛ ♠❛✐♦r✐❛ ❞❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✱ ❛ ✜❣✉r❛ ❡stá ❞✐s♣♦♥í✈❡❧ ♥♦ ❆♣ê♥❞✐❝❡❇✳
▼❡❞✐❞❛s ❞❡ ❛❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ❛♠♦str❛❧ sã♦ ❞❛❞❛s ♣❡❧❛s ❡st❛tíst✐❝❛s ❞❡ ❑▼❖ ❡ ▼❆❆ ❝♦♠ ❜❛s❡ ♥❛s ❝♦rr❡❧❛çõ❡s ♣❛r❝✐❛✐s ❡♥tr❡ ❛s ✈❛r✐á✈❡✐s✳ ❆ ❡st❛tíst✐❝❛ ❑▼❖ ❞❡ ✵✱✾✻ ✐♥❞✐❝❛ q✉❡✱ s❡❣✉♥❞♦ ❇❛rr♦s♦ ❬✷❪✱ ♦s ❞❛❞♦s ❛♣r❡s❡♥t❛♠ ❛❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ót✐♠❛ ♣❛r❛ ❛ r❡❛❧✐③❛çã♦ ❞❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧✳ P❡❧♦s ❛❧t♦s ✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛s ▼❆❆✬s ❞❡ ❝❛❞❛ ✈❛r✐á✈❡❧ ✭❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✷✮ ❝♦♥❝❧✉✐✲s❡ q✉❡ é ❛❝❡✐tá✈❡❧ ✉t✐❧✐③❛r ❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❬✶✶❪✳
❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✷✿ ▼❡❞✐❞❛s ❞❡ ❛❞❡q✉❛çã♦ ❛♠♦str❛❧
❱❛r✐á✈❡✐s ▼❆❆ ❱❛r✐á✈❡✐s ▼❆❆
◗✶ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✶✽ ✵✱✾✼
◗✷ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✶✾ ✵✱✾✻
◗✸ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✷✵ ✵✱✾✽
◗✹ ✵✱✾✽ ◗✷✶ ✵✱✾✺
◗✺ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✷✷ ✵✱✾✻
◗✻ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✷✸ ✵✱✾✻
◗✼ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✷✹ ✵✱✾✻
◗✽ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✷✺ ✵✱✾✷
◗✾ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✷✻ ✵✱✾✻
◗✶✵ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✷✼ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✶✶ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✷✽ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✶✷ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✷✾ ✵✱✾✻ ◗✶✸ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✸✵ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✶✹ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✸✶ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✶✺ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✸✷ ✵✱✾✺ ◗✶✻ ✵✱✾✼ ◗✸✸ ✵✱✾✹ ◗✶✼ ✵✱✾✻ ◗✸✹ ✵✱✾✹
❆ ❚❛❜❡❧❛✸✳✸♠♦str❛ ♦s ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ❞❛ ♠❛tr✐③ ❞❡ ❝♦rr❡❧❛çã♦✱ r❡♣r❡s❡♥t❛♥❞♦ ❛s ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛s ❞♦s ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s✱ ❥✉♥t❛♠❡♥t❡ ❝♦♠ ❛s ♣r♦♣♦rçõ❡s ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ t♦t❛❧ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛ ♣♦r ❝❛❞❛ ✉♠ ❞❡❧❡s✳ ➱ ♣♦ssí✈❡❧ ♦❜s❡r✈❛r✱ ♣♦r ❡①❡♠♣❧♦✱ ♣❡❧❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❞♦ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡ 1✱ ❞❡ 21,15✱ q✉❡ 21 q✉❡stõ❡s
❞❡♥tr❡ ❛s 34❞♦ q✉❡st✐♦♥ár✐♦ ❡stã♦ s❡♥❞♦ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛s ♣❡❧♦ ♣r✐♠❡✐r♦ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡✳
❘❡s✉❧t❛❞♦s ✶✸
❚❛❜❡❧❛ ✸✳✸✿ ❆✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ❡ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛
❈♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s ❆✉t♦✈❛❧♦r Pr♦♣♦rçã♦ ❆❝✉♠✉❧❛❞❛
1 21,15 0,622 0,622
2 1,14 0,033 0,655
3 1,12 0,033 0,688
4 1,04 0,031 0,719
5 0,93 0,027 0,746
6 0,84 0,025 0,771
7 0,79 0,023 0,794
8 0,71 0,021 0,815
9 0,60 0,018 0,833
10 0,54 0,016 0,849
11 0,53 0,016 0,864
12 0,46 0,013 0,878
13 0,39 0,012 0,889
14 0,39 0,012 0,901
15 0,37 0,011 0,912
16 0,32 0,009 0,921
17 0,30 0,009 0,930
18 0,28 0,008 0,938
19 0,25 0,007 0,945
20 0,20 0,006 0,951
21 0,19 0,006 0,957
22 0,17 0,005 0,962
23 0,17 0,005 0,967
24 0,16 0,005 0,971
25 0,15 0,005 0,976
26 0,13 0,004 0,980
27 0,13 0,004 0,983
28 0,12 0,004 0,987
29 0,10 0,003 0,990
30 0,09 0,003 0,992
31 0,08 0,002 0,995
32 0,07 0,002 0,997
33 0,06 0,002 0,999
34 0,05 0,001 1,00
❆ ❡s❝♦❧❤❛ ❞♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❝♦♠♣♦♥❡♥t❡s✱ r❡t✐❞♦s ♣❡❧♦ ❙❝r❡❡ P❧♦t ✭❋✐❣✉r❛ ✸✳✶✮✱ ✈❡r✐✜❝❛ ❛ ❞✐s✲ ♣❡rsã♦ ❞♦s ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ❡♠ r❡❧❛çã♦ ❛♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s ❛té q✉❡ ❛ ❝✉r✈❛ ❞❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ s❡ t♦r♥❡ ❤♦r✐③♦♥t❛❧ ♦✉ s♦❢r❛ ✉♠❛ q✉❡❞❛ ❛❜r✉♣t❛✳ ■ss♦ ✐♥❞✐❝❛ q✉❡ ♠✉✐t❛ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❢♦✐ ♣❡r❞✐❞❛ ❡✱ ♣♦r ✐ss♦✱ ❞❡✈❡✲s❡ ♣❛r❛r ❞❡ ❡①tr❛✐r ❢❛t♦r❡s✳ P❡❧❛ q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡ ♠í♥✐♠❛ ❞❡ ✈❛r✐â♥❝✐❛ ❡①♣❧✐❝❛❞❛✱ ♠❡s♠♦ ❝♦♠ ❛✉t♦r❡s s✉❣❡r✐♥❞♦ ✉♠❛ q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡ ❛❝❡✐tá✈❡❧✱ ✜❝❛ ❛ ❝r✐tér✐♦ ❞♦ ♣❡sq✉✐s❛❞♦r ❞❡✜♥✐r ❛ q✉❛♥t✐❞❛❞❡ q✉❡ s❡rá ✉t✐❧✐③❛❞❛✳
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
0 5 10 15 20 Screeplot component number Eigen v
alues of components
❋✐❣✉r❛ ✸✳✶✿ ❙❝r❡❡ P❧♦t
◆❡ss❡ tr❛❜❛❧❤♦✱ ❛ ❡s❝♦❧❤❛ ❞♦ ♥ú♠❡r♦ ❞❡ ❢❛t♦r❡s r❡t✐❞♦s ♣❛r❛ ❛ ❛♥á❧✐s❡ ❢❛t♦r✐❛❧ ❢♦✐ r❡❛❧✐③❛❞❛ ❝♦♠ ❜❛s❡ ♥♦ ❈r✐tér✐♦ ❞❡ ❑❛✐s❡r✱ ♦ q✉❛❧ ❞✐③ q✉❡ ❛✉t♦✈❛❧♦r❡s ♠❡♥♦r❡s q✉❡ 1 ✐♥❞✐❝❛♠ q✉❡ ♦