• Nenhum resultado encontrado

74

75

Latvia -

Lithuania -

Luxembourg Luxembourg (FBG, 2016)

Malta -

Netherlands Amsterdam (FBG, 2016)

Poland -

Portugal Lissabon (project) (Reuters, 2009)

Romania -

Slovakia -

Slovenia -

Spain Alicante, Cordoba, Madrid, Barcelona (CLH, 2017b)

Sweden -

United Kingdom London Heathrow, Gatwick (CLH, 2017a)

76

Appendix B: Interview Transcripts

Interview 1:

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 1

1-5

jet fuel price is definitely a critical issue for the future, crude oil price has been fluctuating in the past

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

7-12

about 25% of the overall budget is jet fuel costs, higher for low cost airlines because of lower personnel costs, no matter where or which business model you have, the jet fuel price affects the profitability and cost structure of an airline

jet fuel price is a high proportion of the cost

structure C1 cost structure part

12-19

jet fuel price is derived by crude, used as basis product then refined, as refinery and oil companies try to increase profits, they do not maximize the amount of jet produced but reduce kerosene production and increase diesel

dependent on strategy decisions of refineries and oil companies to

produce jet fuel C4 production of jet fuel

19-28

long time with prices over USD 100 then lowered, a difference of USD 20 in Brent means an increase of 1.2 billon (USD), potentially affects total profit, price volatility is therefore a critical issue

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

32-37

CO2 Emission costs have an effect but are not highly relevant, but CO2 programme is important

CO2 emissions are considered but not cost

relevant C6

jet fuel and its environmental impact

39-47

low jet fuel prices gives the possibility to keep old aircrafts for a longer time, add to competition, which otherwise might not be participating or not with old aircrafts, in charter and air freight written-off aircrafts are used despite fuel efficiency

high jet fuel price increases investment in fuel efficiency, low jet fuel price increases competition by using old

aircrafts C6

impact of price on jet fuel efficiency

47-55

airlines investing in fuel efficient aircrafts see the fuel price as a factor, higher jet fuel prices might reduce competitors, however, European customers are used to low prices due to low fuel prices, fundamental issue which pressures the margin

high jet fuel price increases investment in fuel efficiency, low jet fuel price increases competition by using old

aircrafts C6

impact of price on jet fuel efficiency

59-65

competitors which only enter the market due to low jet fuel prices, low jet fuel prices lead to more competition

low jet fuel price increases competition by using old aircrafts C1

impact on competitiveness

69-74

jet fuel prices are not completely transfered to the customer due to competition and volatility

jet fuel volatility is critical issue, market

pressure C1 jet fuel price volatility

77

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 2

79-83

jet fuel price is not necessarily the most important factor for the future regarding jet fuel but the infrastructure

infrastructure more

important than price C5

importance of infrastructure

83-89

quality of the jet fuel is important factor for the future, material

requirements, temperature stability jet fuel quality assurance C4 jet fuel quality

89-97

second important factor is

availability, on time and in long-term, third factor is price

availability as important

factor C5

importance of infrastructure

98-105

goal for the future is to secure the availability of jet fuel, massive changes regarding refineries, new product sources

dependent on strategy decisions of refineries and oil companies to

produce jet fuel C4

market situation refineries

105-109

to avoid too high volatility over a longer period of time, risk management with a layer method is

used Hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging to reduce risk

109-112

desirable outcome, secure availability and infrastructure in Europe

secure availability and

infrastructure C5

importance of infrastructure

115-121

make sure, jet fuel has a constantly good quality, varies in different locations, to assure quality, investigators check quality

continuously jet fuel quality assurance C4 jet fuel quality

122-126

change in refineries, a supplier might be tempted to switch focus from jet fuel to diesel as the margin is better

dependent on strategy decisions of refineries and oil companies to

produce jet fuel C4

market situation refineries

129-137

experiment between two cities to test the technical possibility whether bio fuel can be fully used as fuel, one with solely bio jet and one with regular jet, no focus on price or supply chain, bio jet is possible

bio jet fuel development

for the future C2 technical availability

137-145

The availability of bio fuel is too small, cannot be used fully commercially, industry does only cover minorly the amount so far, as supply is missing, not applicable commercially

low supply of bio jet fuel,

unfeasible C2 commercialization

147-151

Bio fuel is connected with

Sustainability, technology and future capabilities, willingness to adapt to bio fuel

bio jet fuel development

for the future C2

future development of bio fuel

78

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 3

155-163

artificial restricted supply would be bad for the future, to increase prices artificially, leading to a higher tendering and increases costs, low availability of refineries in Europe will lead to ordering in bulk and the need for big storage facilities

artificial restricted supply

harms C1 artificial restriction

163-178

the negative development has started because refineries disappeared over the last 20-30 years, old infrastructure systems lead to difficulties to get jet to the aircraft, especially in the UK, too little investment in fuel infrastructure and supply chainshows the need for minimum storage capacity to assure 3-4 days minimum to secure regular business

activities closure of refineries C4

market situation refineries

178-189

when fuel is not available like during the incident in London in 2005, it causes issues leading to supply all airlines, long-haul was prioritized, leads to more costs and more complicated processes to ensure a working

infrastructure insecure infrastructure C5

importance of infrastructure

189-193

airport supply is not on an up-to-date standard to satisfy passenger and demand

growth insecure infrastructure C5

importance of infrastructure

196-209

fuel supply is best via pipeline, no interference, via train, reliable and environmental friendly, via ship, not possible to deliver directly to the airport, via truck, worst option, traffic jams near the

airport and too little capacity securing fuel for airports C5

ways of supply infrastructure

211-220

the supply on the airport are on a €40m-50m level, investments into infrastructure are costly to fulfil all regulations, the additional cost might lead to a competitive

disadvantage for the airport securing fuel for airports C5

importance of infrastructure

221-236

Example airport Munich, invested heavily which lead to high costs for airlines to fuel at the location, long-haul flights fuel there because it is unavoidable, investment into the infrastructure turned out to be negatively

for the location due to 25% more costs securing fuel for airports C5

importance of infrastructure

238-245

average profit per passenger worldwide in IATA airlines of USD 7-8, therefore only little margin of profit and jet fuel affects it highly

jet fuel price is a high proportion of the cost

structure C1 cost structure part

79

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 4 251-255

strict pricing policy to hedge, while

American Airlines do not hedge at all Hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging strategy

255-265

Delta Airlines has bought a refinery to secure fuel availability and price, different industry and too much risk involved, not only jet fuel as end product, did not buy refinery because of the riskiness and wrong area of

expertise unsecure infrastructure C4

market situation refineries

265-275

no intention to buy reseller product or imports, direct sourcing from refineries to reduce risk and possible

financial damage reseller as supplier C5 reseller as supplier

Question 5

281-287

shareholder in essential

infrastructures on the airport, fuel storage, strategic advantage to know the cost structure of jet fuel and

involved investments securing fuel for airports C5

importance of infrastructure

288-301

being a shareholder of the infrastructures around secures cost stability, oil companies are seen as supplier which cannot be further cost

reduced securing fuel for airports C5

importance of infrastructure

301-306

different positioning compared to competitors, as the focus is on the delivery infrastructure rather than the

product securing fuel for airports C5

importance of infrastructure

80

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 6

312-322

forecast for 2017 has been changed, price increase for jet fuel is expected,

€400m more to be spent on jet show clear effect on books, unclear whether the money will be earned by increased ticket prices or freight transport

expected jet fuel price

increase C1 jet fuel price volatility

322-327

pricing policy used to reduce volatility,

up to 2 years in advance hedging Hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging strategy

334-339

price increase due to OPEC decisions and the reduced investments in oil extraction

OPEC decision and reduced refinery

investments C3, C4

OPEC, market situation refineries

339-345

fracking lowers the price situation,

suppliers produce when it is worth it Fracking C3 US as exporter

348-357

supplier side is too low, suppliers

disappeared or consolidated supply demand balance C1

inbalance in supply and demand of jet fuel

357-362

uncertainty of suppliers, for instance Russia, where the price setting is not

entirely clear jet fuel price uncertainty C1 jet fuel price volatility

362-372

IATA to support and represent interests of all airlines in case of economic harm

to the industry IATA as industry support C8 IATA as support function

374-381

government adding additional charges without ensuring the infrastructure, united

against the taxes government taxation C8 additional taxation

Question 7

385-392

adequate infrastructure, enough stored jet fuel at the airport for 3-4 days, good competition between oil companies, reduction of trading, enough bio jet fuel production to use it commercially

improved infrastructure, fair competition, bio jet fuel availability, less

hedging C2,C7,C5

commercialization, market inequality, importance of infrastructure, hedging strategy

394-395;

397

stable competition between refineries

and therefore stable product fair competition C7 market inequality

81 Interview 2:

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 1 2-5

volatility of jet fuel price is a critical issue for the last years, also for the future

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

5-10

network planning difficult with volatility due to the profitability of routes, might be unprofitable at a high price

uncertainty in network

planning C7 network planning

10-14 prices used to be stable

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility 16-17

volatility of jet fuel price is a critical issue

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

24-29

unchangable geopolitical factors, introduction of taxes and fees might influence the market

geopolitical factors

influence jet fuel price C8 additional taxation

31-35; 37

new taxes, make it difficult to compete if competitors do not have the same

supplements government taxation C8 additional taxation

Question 2 41-47

reduce volatility, try to have stable prices, around 500 to 700 dollars per ton

jet fuel price volatility is

a critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

49-54

today's level is realistic for a stable price, exporting countries like Russia and Saudia Arabia need the current level

jet fuel price increase or

stagnant C1 jet fuel price volatility

54-58

shale gas in the US will increase production when prices get too high, therefore possibly stable future

Fracking influences jet

fuel price C3 US as exporter

58-61

to introduce bio jet properly, higher jet fuel prices are needed

bio jet fuel introduction

needs higher prices C2 commercialization

64-75

bio jet is more of a marketing project right now, bio fuel for the transportation sector is developing and invested in, bio jet is very limited, bio jet market needs to be increased

bio jet fuel not sufficient

for commercial usage C2 technical availability

78-83

price is a factor, economic situation of airlines in Europe not well, jet fuel costs about 4-5 times more, no standardized source for bio jet yet

bio jet fuel not sufficient

for commercial usage C2 commercialization

84-93

price is too high so far, it is a test phase and costs are still to high, production needs to increase and a longterm feedstock needs to be found

bio jet fuel too high and

not commercialized C2 commercialization

82

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 3

96-107

geopolitical factors lead to an uncertainty right now, also governmental regulations, differing taxes and regulations will give disadvantages to airlines

geopolitical factors influence jet fuel price,

government taxation C8 additional taxation 107-114

US oil will stabilized price, volatility will still be an issue

Fracking influences jet

fuel price C3 US as exporter

114-119

Europe airlines hedge, costly and could also cause bankruptcy in case of wrong hedging decisions, US market does not

hedge hedging to reduce risk C7 importance of hedging

122-130

high volatility needs hedging to adapt to price level, every airline has their own hedging strategy, wrong hedging strategy

has high consequences hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging strategy Question 4

134-154

Fuel saving programme to reduce the fuel cost as much as possible, unit costs have dropped over time, now fuel costs makes up a high part of the total cost structure, IT programmes to improve fuelling and flight routes

fuel efficiency investment to reduce jet fuel costs C6

impact of price on jet fuel efficiency

156; 158-

161 saving fuel is a high priority for the future

jet fuel price volatility is a critical issue C6

impact of price on jet fuel efficiency

Question 5

165-174

shale gas in the US has reduced jet fuel price, lates OPEC decisions try to increase jet fuel price again, reduced refinery capacity in Europe has a negative impact

Fracking influences jet fuel price, OPEC,

refinery change C3, C4

US as exporter, OPEC, market situation refineries

177-187

refineries are the best income for an oil company, European refineries shut down, increase of refineries abroadn, therefore more import and thus increases in price

decline of refineries in Europe, more import C4

market situation refineries Question 6

190-199

get competitive prices on bio fuel as soon as possible, initiatives for bio jet needs to be started, no competitive one on the market so far. Increase of taxes are expected to introduce bio jet

bio jet fuel introduction needs higher prices, not

commercialized yet C2 commercialization

200-214

government is setting up taxes, try to get bio jet in the market, discussions but no initiatives, work on the UN Plan, but bio jet needs to be introduced

government taxation, bio

jet fuel introduction C8,C2,C6

additional taxation, commercialization, jet fuel and its environmental impact

219-227

Global standards and restrictions as otherwise disadvantages are created

need for international

standards C7 market inequality

Question 7

235-245

bio fuel market is the most important, best way to reduce induced taxes and environmental taxes, investments are costly and not possible to do by oneself, oil companies are struggling as well

bio jet fuel future is essential, government

taxation, refineries C2,C8,C4

commercialization, additional taxation, market situation refineries 247-248

neither buyer nor seller has the financial capabilities

missing financial

capabilities C1,C7 financing

83 Interview 3:

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 1

2-10

jet fuel price a critical issue, price volatility and geopolitical factors play a role, high impact on profit

jet fuel volatility is a

critical issue C1 jet fuel price volatility

12-19

hedging programmes are critical for the future, to lay off risk but risky itself, tough

competition hedging to reduce risk C7

importance of hedging, competitiveness

22-28

geopolitical factors have an influence on price, news can also affect the price, governmental impact is high

geopolitical factors influence price

C8,C7,C3, C1

additional taxation, inbalance in supply and demand, price influence political factors, artificial restriction 31-33; 35-

36

unbalanced supply can lead to huge price differences

Supply and demand balance affected C1

inbalance in supply and demand, jet fuel price volatility

Question 2

39-46

balance of supply and demand is important, price need to assure existence of oil companies, competition is strong

oil companies with difficulties, supply

demand balance affected C1

inequal supply and demand

48-52

fair competition as a desirable outcome, no disadvantages for airlines due to governmental regulations and support

fair competition,

government taxation C7,C8

competitiveness, additional taxation 54-56 fair competition through strategizing fair competition C7 competitiveness Question 3

60-62 jet fuel price is dependent on crude

dependent on strategy decisions of refineries and oil companies to

produce jet fuel C4 production of jet fuel

65-68

big oil companies withdraw the market and close refineries, more dependent on imports

dependent on strategy decisions of refineries and oil companies to produce jet fuel C4

market situation refineries

84

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 4

74-85

hedging programme for all airlines, prices differ due to volume and credit worthiness, way to be competitive, innovative tendering also supports

competitiveness hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging strategy

88-99

efficiency is implemented by all airlines, to reduce operating costs, weight of the aircraft, fuelling, flight routes, engine

fuel efficiency

programmes C6

impact of price on fuel efficiency

102-104

operations has a constant look on efficiency

fuel efficiency

programmes C6

fuel efficiency programme Question 5

107-120

US Fracking is an important development in the past, changed price situation in the market, fuel-efficient engine, bio fuel is a development but to costly at the moment

Fracking, fuel efficiency, bio jet fuel needs higher

market prices C3, C6, C2

US as exporter, impact of price on fuel efficiency, commercialization Question 6

123-132

no alternative to jet fuel at the moment, not enough availablity of bio fuel

bio jet fuel is not

commercialized yet C2 commercialization Question 7

136-147

standardization of jet fuel handling, which could save money and be more efficient, cost-based pricing, without interference of geopolitical factors, no trading on oil, supply demand balance

infrastructure improvement, jet fuel price volatility is a critical factor, geopolitical factors, hedging to reduce risk,

supply demand balance C5,C1,C7

importance of infrastructure, jet fuel price volatility, price influence political factors, importance of hedging, inbalance in supply and demand

150-154 Europe is dependent on imports

closure of refineries, dependent on strategy of oil companies and

refineries C4 market situation refineries

85 Interview 4:

Line Paraphrase Generalization Category Coding

Question 1

3-15

jet fuel is a critical issue, due to volatility, difficult to plan and forecast, affected by external factors like geopolitics

jet fuel volatility is a critical issue, geopoliticial factors

affect price C1, C3

jet fuel price volatility, price influence political factors

18-26

OPEC decisions, shale oil in the US, demand supply balance are affected, airline cannot influence factors

OPEC, Fracking, demand supply balance,

geopolitical factors

influence price C3, C1

OPEC, US as exporter, inbalance in supply and demand, price influence political factors Question 2

29-40

low prices but stable at the same time would be desirable, fuel efficiency programmes which reduce fuel usage

fuel efficiency

programmes, stable price

desirable C6, C1

impact of price on fuel efficiency, jet fuel price volatility, fuel efficiency programme

Question 3

43-52

OPEC influences supply which leads to price volatility, hedging is needed to take out risk

geopolitical factors, OPEC, jet fuel price volatility is a critical issue, hedging to reduce

risk C3,C7,C1

OPEC, hedging to reduce risk, jet fuel price volatility, artificial restriction 55-61

rolling hedging strategy, to secure prices

on the market and reduce the volatility hedging to reduce risk C7 hedging strategy Question 4

64-90

hedging to secure, also work on fuel efficiency programmes like flight routes and weight, trying to reduce service costs to transfer from refinery to aircraft

hedging to reduce risk, fuel efficiency programme, fuel

infrastructure costs C7,C5,C6

hedging strategy, infrastructure costs, fuel efficiency programme Question 5

93-94; 97- 106

OPEC undecisiveness influences the jet fuel price, shale oil in the US, economic and geopolitical factors have an influence, oversupply

geopolitical factors, OPEC, fracking, demand

supply balance C3,C1

OPEC, price influence political factors, US as exporter, artificial restriction

110-116

Reseller which are on the market, flexible, sell jet fuel for competitive prices

oil and refineries strategy, new market

player reseller C5 reseller as supplier

Question 6

128-143

create synergies by buying fuel together with other airlines, joint procurement

joint procurement, jet fuel

price C1

impact on

competitiveness, cost structure part Question 7

147-155;

157

low prices but still profitable for the oil companies, stability is also key

fair competition, jet fuel price volatility is a critical issue, supply

demand balance C1

jet fuel price volatility, market competitiveness, inbalance in supply and demand

No documento Impacts of Jet Fuel Prices and Availability (páginas 74-86)

Documentos relacionados