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João Nuno Pinheiro Proença Costa - 33977

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Master’s degree in Finance from the Nova School of Business and Economics.

Work project carried out under the supervision of: Professor Miguel Pita

05-01-2020

How can Fintech

serve the unbanked in Sub-Saharan

Africa?:

Sub-Saharan Africa: Land of opportunities for

Fintech

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2

H o w c a n F i nte c h s e r ve t h e u n b a n ke d i n A f r i c a ?

Fintech can leverage the widespread smartphone adoption to offer financial services in Africa.

However, governments must reduce barriers to improve financial inclusion through economic digitalization.

How is the Fintech market developing and what do we expect for the future?

• The market gained traction circa 2005 and the United States of America (USA) are it’s biggest geography

• It is expected to triple in size and we believe there will be a survival of the fittest phase, with players already financed and with positive cash-flows in the forefront

How is Fintech shaping the financial industry business models?

• Fintech complements banks’ strengths by meeting new digital customer preferences • Synergies between incumbents and new players can lower the cost to serve the unbanked

What are the opportunities for Fintech in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)?

• Sub-Saharan Africa is a land of opportunities for Fintech where it can have a positive impact in financial inclusion

• Only a restricted lot of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have the required resources to make Fintechs thrive in the near future

How is Fintech creating value in SSA?

• Mobile network operators's (MNOs) large customer base allows them to lead the transition from informal finance to formal financial services • Network effects accelerate financial inclusion: financial services finance technology and technology can deliver financial services faster

Challenges and Recommendations

• Countries would benefit if government focused on strengthening education, improving infrastructures, regulations and creating conditions for investment • Fintechs would gain from focusing on customer-product fit and building partnerships, while improving country knowledge and decision making

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3

Executive Summary

3.1. Fintech Market in Sub-Saharan Africa

• The African Fintech market is still small in comparison with the rest of the world

• Nigeria, South Africa and Kenya have a major share of Sub-Saharan Fintech transactions volume, in a market dominated by digital payments

3.2. The Unbanked in Sub-Saharan Africa

• Financial development and financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa remain low, with almost 70% of the population being unbanked

• Sub-Saharan Africa lags behind the rest of the world in terms of internet penetration and technological readiness; However, there are differences throughout the region

3.3. Analysis of Fintech Enablers in Sub-Saharan Africa

• To enable and foster Fintech firms, countries must be prepared in four core attributes: demand, technology, talent, capital and policy

• Overall, Nigeria and Kenya provide the most fertile ground to FinTech firms’ prosperity - an underserved market to target and a favorable legal framework

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T h e A f ri can F inte ch m arket is st i ll s m all i n co m p arison w i t h t h e re st o f t h e wo rl d

Source: FinTech - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast». 2019. Statista. Accessed December. https://www.statista.com/outlook/295/100/fintech/worldwide. | «Population > World - Worldometers». 2019. Accessed December. https://www.worldometers.info/population/world/. 4 1723 1015 854 394 50 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

America Australia & Oceania

Europe Asia Africa

Transaction Value in € per capita (2018)

37. Africa sits at the bottom of the world in Fintech usage with under € 50 of transactions volume in 2018.

38. While SSA represents 17.5% of the world’s population, it only accounts for a 1.7% share of the total transaction value.

1368 43 638 1813 65 3926 17.5% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

America Australia & Oceania

Europe Asia Africa Total

Transaction Value in billion € (2018) Percentage of total population

The figures above express potential transaction volumes and not corporate

revenue.

Africa has the lowest amount of users per 1000 inhabitants, and the lowest

transaction value per user, resulting in the lowest transaction value per capita.

Africa’s share of world’s fintech market is well below its share of the world’s

population.

• This is a hint that, while Fintech has been gathering attention in the region, it is still in an early stage in comparison with its peer continents

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N ige ria, S o u t h A f ri ca an d Ke nya h ave a m aj o r s h are o f t h e S u b - S ah aran F i nte c h

t ran s ac ti ons vo lu m e , in a m arket d o m in ate d by d ig i tal p ay m e nt s

3 . 1 F I N T E C H M A R K E T I N S U B - S A H A R A N A F R I C A ( 1 / 2 )

Source: FinTech - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast». 2019. Statista. Accessed December. https://www.statista.com/outlook/295/100/fintech/worldwide. 5 39. The Fintech landscape in Africa is heavily dominated by Digital Payments,

accounting for 98.3% of the total transaction value in 2018.

40. Nigeria, South Africa and Kenya represent more than 33% of Africa’s Fintech market and more than 50% of Sub-Saharan African’s FinTech market.

98.3% 1.7%

37.2%

Digital Payments are dominant within the African fintech space.

Digital Commerce account for almost the entirety of Digital Payments transactions,

leaving only a small fraction to Mobile POS Payments.

African Fintech market is highly concentrated around three major economies – Nigeria, South Africa and Kenya.

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G l o b a l l y, a b o u t 1 . 7 b i l l i o n a d u l t s r e m a i n u n b a n k e d — 3 5 0 m i l l i o n o f t h e s e

l i v e i n S u b - S a h a r a n A f r i c a

1The unbanked are defined by “the people without access to an account (by themselves or together with someone else) at a bank or another type of financial institution or report personally using a mobile money service in the last 12 months”

Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial Inclusion and the Fintech Revolutionhttps://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0. | Sub-Saharan Africa | Data». 2019. Accessed December. https://data.worldbank.org/region/sub-saharan-africa.

6

The share of adults with access to an account as of 2017 was 69%, an increase of 7 percentual points from 2014, translated in 515 million.

• The vast majority of account owners have an account at a bank, a microfinance, institution, or another type of regulated financial institution.

Out of 590 million adults in SSA, c. 345 million remain unbanked - this represents almost 70% of the SSA’s population.

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Wo m e n an d t h e p o o re st p e o p le w it h in an e co n o my are o ve rre p re s e nte d am o n g t h e

u n b an ke d , b u t t h e p atte rn varie s am o n g e co n o m ie s

3 . 2 . T H E U N B A N K E D I N S U B - S A H A R A N A F R I C A ( 2 / 5 )

Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial Inclusion and the Fintech Revolution. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0. 7 China 13% India 11% Indonesia 6% Pakistan 6% Nigeria 4% Bangladesh 3% Mexico 3% Rest of World 54%

Adults without an account by economy (%), 2017

42. There is wide variation in account ownership across geographies, genders and levels of income

Women 56% Men

44%

Adults without an account by gender (%), 2017

56% of all unbanked adults are women. About 50% of unbanked adults come from the poorest 40% of households within their economy, the other half

from the richest 60%.

Q1 27% Q2 23% Q3 20% Q4 17% Q5 13%

Adults without an account by within-economy income quintile (%), 2017

Almost 50% of all unbanked live in just seven

economies. China and India are the most

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7.7% 4.2% 0.6% 6.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2011 2014 2017 Un b an ked (% of p op u la tion w it h ag e 15 +) 8

• Despite the improvement of financial development indicators, such as the ratios of domestic credit to private sector and broad money (as % of GDP) have improved over the last ten years, countries in SSA still have an underdeveloped financial system compared to

the rest of the world.

F in anc ial d eve lo p me nt an d f i n an c ial i n c l usi on i n S u b - S ah aran A f ri ca re m ai n l o w, wi t h

al m o st 7 0 % o f t h e p o p u lati on b e in g u n b an ke d

Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial Inclusion and the Fintech Revolution.. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0. | «Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP) | Data». 20. Accessed December. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS. | «Broad money (% of GDP) | Data». 2019. Accessed December. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FM.LBL.BMNY.GD.ZS.

• Although the unbanked decreased over the six-year period to 2017, their

proportion in SSA is still close to the low-income countries’ average.

51.5 105.2 144.5 0 50 100 150 200 D om es tic c red it t o p riv at e sect or (% of GD P) 45.6 66.3 128.2 0 50 100 150 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 B roa d mo n ey (% of GD P)

43. Low-income people represent the biggest share of unbanked in SSA 44. Credit to private sector and broad money in SSA is close to low-income countries’ average

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S u b - S ah aran Af rica lag s b e h in d t h e re st o f t h e wo rld in i nte rn et p e n et rat i on an d

te c h n olo g ical re ad in e s s. H o weve r, t h e re are d if fe re n c e s t h ro ug h out t h e re g i o n

3 . 2 . T H E U N B A N K E D I N S U B - S A H A R A N A F R I C A ( 4 / 5 )

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Most Sub-Saharan African countries have a low score on technological readiness. This poses an obstacle as a FinTech disruption requires technological infrastructure and

internet penetration to be successful.

The existence of a leapfrog in financial services on the back of Fintech is contingent on the existence of multiple technological requirements. As of now, only Nigeria, Kenya and

South Africa seem to have sufficient population base with access to internet and mobile devices to sustain such revolution.

45. Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa stand out as the most technologically ready for a Fintech revolution, although Ghana follows closely behind.

Kenya

Nigeria South Africa

Cameroon Ethiopia Ghana Mozambique Senegal Tanzania 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 In ter n et p en et rat io n (% of p op u lat io n )

Technological readiness 2017 (scale 0-7)

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S SA’s F i nte ch lan d s cap e i s l e d by 3 h u bs (S o u t h A f ri ca, Ke nya an d N i ge ri a) , h av i n g c .

5 0 % o f t h e re g i o n ’s G D P. T h e s e co u l d b e t h e i n c u bator fo r S SA’s F i nte ch revo l u t io n

Source: «FinTechs in Sub-Saharan Africa An overview of market developments and investment opportunities». 2019. EY. | «GDP (current US$) - Sub-Saharan Africa | Data». 2020. Accessed January. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=ZG.

10 SOUTH AFRICA

Largest SSA Fintech hub

Cape Town and Johannesburg are the home

to c. 30% of SSA’s Fintech firms

• It has a well-developed financial system. Financial services are mainly provided by financial institutions, with fintechs acting

mainly as coadjutants in the value chain

KENYA

Second largest Fintech hub

Home to around 20% of SSA’s Fintech businesses, with Nairobi hosting more than 50 FinTech firms

Fintechs tend to be the provider of financial services, with a strong focus on the payments segment.

NIGERIA

Third largest Fintech hub in SSA

Most fintechs firms are based in Lagos

• Like Kenya, the Nigerian Fintech sector is

dominated by the payments segment

Kenya 5.2% Nigeria 23.4% South Africa 21.7% Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa

49.8%

GDP (current US$) in Sub-Saharan Africa (% of region total GDP)

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Demand Technology Talent Capital Policy 3 . 3 F I N T E C H E N A B L E R S ( 1 / 9 )

Source: «FinTechs in Sub-Saharan Africa An overview of market developments and investment opportunities». 2019. EY. 11

To e n ab le an d fo ste r F i n Te ch f irm s i n S u b - S ah aran Af ri ca, co u nt ri e s m u st b e p re p are d

in f i ve co re att rib ute s: d e m an d , te c h n olog y, tal e nt , cap i tal an d p o l i c y

• Governments and regulators are becoming more aware of Fintech’s virtues

• There are still few government programs, business and investment incentives, tax benefits and regulatory sandboxes for innovative Fintech firms

• Investments in fintechs have increased meaningfully over the last 5 years

• The funds invested in the region are negligible in comparison with the developed world and are overly concentrated

• Young and growing labor pool, but largely technically unprepared.

• The limited capacity of attracting and retaining talent can pose serious obstacles to FinTech

• Low technological readiness and internet penetration is an obstacle to Fintech propagation within the region

• Mobile cellular subscription is relatively high

• SSA’s considerable amount of unbanked inhabitants and the lack of a financial services network drives demand for an alternative solution that can improve financial inclusion

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9.2 16.9 66.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Au to m ate d te ller m ach in es (ATM s) (per 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 ad u lts)

Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018.. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial Inclusion and the Fintech Revolution. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0. | «Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed January. http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ.

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47. Nigeria has the biggest market to explore – 106.9 million people, of which 64.5 (c. 60%) do not have access to a financial

account.

48. South Africa has a more developed financial services network in place compared to the other two. Kenya and Nigeria, with an underdeveloped banking system, have a stronger need for Fintech services.

N ige ria’s s u bstantial am o u nt o f u n b an ke d in h ab itants an d lac k o f co m p etiti on m ake s

it a d e s i rab le m arket fo r f i nte c hs to p u rs u e

5.5 12.4 64.5 24.4 28.0 42.4 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0

Kenya South Africa Nigeria

P eo p le (in millio n )

Unbanked (with age 15+) Banked (with age 15+)

18.4%

60.3%

There is an opportunity for Fintech firms to target this underserved segment of the market and contribute to financial inclusion in this space

• Kenya and South Africa, with c. 18% and 31% of unbanked population, also have considerable demand for financial services and Fintechs can benefit from addressing this gap

5.0 4.3 10.1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Co m m ercial b an k b ran ches ( p er 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 ad u lts) 60.3

%

30.8

%

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K e n y a ’s u n b a n k e d t e n d t o r e p o r t t h e c o s t o f f i n a n c i a l s e r v i c e s a n d d i s t a n c e

t o b a n k b r a n c h e s a s t h e r e a s o n f o r n o t h a v i n g a n a c c o u n t

3 . 4 F I N T E C H E N A B L E R S – D E M A N D ( 3 / 8 )

Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial Inclusion and the Fintech Revolution.. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0. 13

Fintech can provide financial services to underserved people that report financial institutions being “too expensive” and commercial branches being “too far away”.

Kenya unbanked population, having the largest percentage of people reporting these reasons for not having an account, could benefit the most from Fintech’s penetration.

64.5% 18.5% 18.2% 15.2% 13.5% 5.0% 2.4% 1.7% Insufficient funds Financial institutions are too far

away

Lack of necessary documentation Someone in the family has an

account

Financial services are too expensive Lack of trust in financial

institutions Religious reasons No need for financial services

ONLY

Nigeria

81.0% 40.4% 33.4% 29.5% 22.0% 12.2% 3.7% 1.8% Insufficient funds Financial services are too

expensive Financial institutions are too far

away

Lack of necessary documentation Lack of trust in financial

institutions Someone in the family has an

account

Religious reasons No need for financial services

ONLY

Kenya

56.7% 37.7% 31.3% 27.7% 26.7% 21.9% 9.7% 1.3%

Lack of trust in financial institutions Someone in the family has an

account

Lack of necessary documentation Financial institutions are too far

away

Religious reasons

Insufficient funds Financial services are too

expensive No need for financial services

ONLY

South Africa

49. Reasons for not having an account at a financial institution

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Source: «Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed January. http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ. 14 50. South Africa leads the way in technological readiness, also having the highest percentage of internet users and mobile subscriptions.

However, both Kenya and Nigeria seem to have sufficient technological infrastructure to sustain a fintech revolution.

58.6 26.2 21.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 M ob ile b roa d b an d su b sc rip tion s (% of p op u la tion ) 142.4 81.3 81.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 M ob ile cellu lar su b sc rip tion s (pe r 10 0 p eo p le) 4.6 3.7 3.0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9t h p illar Techn olo gic al read in ess

Te c h n o l o g y - w i s e , S o u t h A f r i c a i s t h e r e a d i e s t f o r F i n t e c h ’s e v o l u t i o n , w i t h a

t e c h n o l o g i c a l i n f r a s t r u c t u r e m o r e a b l e t o s u s t a i n i t

• Mobile broadband subscriptions are a requirement to make use of the full range of Fintech products and

services.

Kenya and Nigeria are lagging in this department and rely

on more primitive Fintech forms

Mobile cellular subscription penetration is gradually progressing to 100%.

Despite this, smartphone penetration in Africa is still

sub-par in comsub-parison with the rest of the world, which

compromises the implementation of Fintech's more recent developments

The technological readiness pillar measures the ability to

adopt and leverage existing technologies of a given country.

Nigeria’s lower score may suggest more difficulties in

promoting access and increasing usage of new financial technologies.

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K e n y a s t a n d s o u t w i t h a d i f f e r e n t i a t e d t a l e n t p o o l w h i l e b e i n g m o r e

h a b i l i t a t e d t o r e t a i n a n d a t t r a c t t a l e n t

3 . 4 F I N T E C H E N A B L E R S - T A L E N T ( 5 / 8 )

Source: «Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed January. http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ. | Materu, Peter Nicolas. 2007. Higher Education Quality Assurance in Sub-Saharan Africa: Status, Challenges, Opportunities, and Promising Practices. World Bank Working Papers. The World Bank. doi:10.1596/978-0-8213-7272-2.

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51. Kenya has the best education system and management schools compared to its peers. Nigeria and South Africa’s education system quality falls behind

52. Despite being the most developed economy out of the three, South Africa struggles to attract and retain talent. Oppositely, Kenya has the best capacity to both

attract and retain talent.

The quality of management schools and the quality of the education system is an appropriate proxy of the overall skills and training in a country’s workforce.

In particular, Fintech companies with innovative business models and disruptive technology, require highly trained staff with a focus on management and technology fields.

0 1 2 3 4 5 2014 2016 2018 Q u alit y of t h e ed u ca tion s ys tem (1 -7) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Qua lit y of man ag eme n t sc h oo ls (1 -7) 0 1 2 3 4 5 C ou n try c ap ac it y to re tain t ale n t (1 -7) 0 1 2 3 4 5 2014 2016 2018 C ou n try cap acit y to at tr act t ale n t (1 -7)

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Source: FinTech Global. 2019. “Payments & Remittances deals drive FinTech investment in Africa to $850m since 2014” | «Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed December.

http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ. | «Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed January. http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ 16

Rest of Africa 32% Nigeria 34% South Africa 34%

Breakup of total FinTech funding for 2016-17 Rest of Africa 27% Nigeria 28% South Africa 22% Kenya 23%

FinTech deals in Africa by country, 2014 - H1 2019 (as a % of number of deals)

142 Fintech deals occurred in Africa since 2014, corresponding to a

total of US$850 million that was invested in Africa since 2014.

Out of these, 63 took place in 2018, representing an enormous leap from the previous years.

260 63 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2015 2016 2017 2018 N u mb er of D ea ls Total Fu n d in g (U S$ m) Total Funding ($m) Deals

F i n t e c h f u n d i n g a n d d e a l a c t i v i t y h a v e b e e n i n c r e a s i n g i n S S A , w i t h K e n y a ,

S o u t h A f r i c a a n d N i g e r i a c o l l e c t i n g a c o n s i d e r a b l e p o r t i o n o f t h e f u n d s

Almost 75% of the cash flows invested went into Nigerian, Kenyan and South African firms

Despite having the lowest venture capital (VC) availability, Nigeria still manages to capture a major stake in Africa’s Fintech investment.

53. Investment in fintechs in Sub-Saharan Africa have increased significantly since 2015

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Country Special investment incentive schemes

Financial regulators and

policy-makers receptiveness Regulatory Sandboxes

Nigeria Kenya South Africa

3 . 4 F I N T E C H E N A B L E R S - P O L I C Y ( 7 / 8 )

Source: Didenko, Anton. 2018. «Regulating FinTech: Lessons from Africa». SSRN Electronic Journal. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3135604 | «International Comparative Legal Guides». 2019. Text. International Comparative Legal Guides International Business Reports. Accessed January. https://iclg.com/practice-areas/fintech-laws-and-regulations.

17 Neutral Negative Positive Absence of Uniform Approach to Defining FinTech

•There are several definitions of Fintech that originate

ambiguity in the application of the law

Absence of Centralized Approach to FinTech Regulation

•Fintech ventures fall under

different regulatory statutes, driving up compliance requirements Absence of Single Regulatory Policy on FinTech

•Lack of a single set of regulatory principles

•Regulation is approved on an

ad-hoc basis

Fintech regulation in Sub-Saharan Africa faces many challenges that are common to most of the countries within the region. Regulation, that often lags behind innovation, has exposed different shortcomings:

Nevertheless, there are country-specific legal framework particularities that may fuel Fintechs inception and development:

N i g e r i a h a s a l e g a l s y s t e m t h a t p r o m o t e s f i n t e c h s ’ i n c e p t i o n a n d g r o w t h

t h r o u g h i n v e s t m e n t i n c e n t i v e s c h e m e s a n d r e g u l a t o r y s a n d b o x e s

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O ve rall , N i ge ria an d Ke nya p ro v ide t h e m o st fe rt i l e g ro u n d to F i nte ch f i rm s ’

p ro s p e rity - an u n d e rs e r ve d m arket to target an d a favo rab l e le gal f ram ewo rk

18 SOUTH AFRICA

Demand The existence of a developed financial services network, with enough bank branches and ATM’s coverage to serve the population, drives Fintech demand down.

Technology The most technologically developed country among the group, with the highest number of mobile telephone and broadband subscriptions and technological readiness

Talent Although management schools are almost on par with Kenya’s, the education system’s lack of quality and the inability to attract and retain the best, more educated and

brighter people diminishes the operational feasibility for fintechs.

Policy The existence of some investment incentive schemes (not Fintech-specific) and the financial regulators and policy-makers’ receptiveness to new Fintech businesses are

positive for fintechs’ growth. However, the lack of proper regulatory sandboxes may challenge the implementation of more disruptive ideas.

Capital Responsible for 22% of Fintech deals over the last five years and 34% of Fintech funding during 2016-2017. There is venture capital availability.

NIGERIA

Demand Nigeria’s’ considerable amount of unbanked people (c. 4% of the world’s unbanked population) and the lack of competition makes it a desirable market for fintechs

Technology Nigeria has the lowest technological readiness of the group, which may pose a challenge to fintechs’ success.

Talent Nigeria management schools' quality falls short when compared to its peers and so does the ability to retain talent.

Policy The existence of special investment incentive schemes and regulatory sandboxes and the financial regulators and policy-maker’s receptiveness to innovative Fintech ideas

makes it a good legal environment for FinTech to prosper.

Capital There have been a great number of deals during recent years and Nigerian fintechs collected roughly 33% of the total funding in the SSA space. However, venture capital

availability is the lowest of the group.

KENYA

Demand Mobile payments success story has addressed most of the unbanked problem, leaving only c. 18% of the population without access to an account and decreasing

demand-Technology The country’s technology should be able to accommodate a Fintech disruption.

Talent Kenya has the best education system of the group and the best ability to attract and retain talent.

Policy The Financial regulators and policy-makers’ receptiveness to Fintech and the existence of regulatory sandboxes may favor fintechs’ success in this geography. However, the inexistence of special investment incentive schemes sets it back. Capital Venture capital availability is the highest of the group and a significant portion of fintech deals in the SSA occurred in Kenya.

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How is the Fintech market developing and what do we expect for the future?

• The market gained traction circa 2005 and the United States of America (USA) are it’s biggest geography

• It is expected to triple in size and we believe there will be a survival of the fittest phase, with players already financed and with positive cash-flows in the forefront

How is Fintech shaping the financial industry business models?

• Fintech complements banks’ strengths by meeting new digital customer preferences • Synergies between incumbents and new players can lower the cost to serve the unbanked

What are the opportunities for Fintech in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)?

• Sub-Saharan Africa is a land of opportunities for Fintech where it can have a positive impact in financial inclusion

• Only a restricted lot of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have the required resources to make Fintechs thrive in the near future

How is Fintech creating value in SSA?

• Mobile network operators's (MNOs) large customer base allows them to lead the transition from informal finance to formal financial services • Network effects accelerate financial inclusion: financial services finance technology and technology can deliver financial services faster

Challenges and Recommendations

• Countries would benefit if government focused on strengthening education, improving infrastructures, regulations and creating conditions for investment • Fintechs would gain from focusing on customer-product fit and building partnerships, while improving country knowledge and decision making

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20 Sources: Fintech specific interviews

C o u n t r i e s w o u l d b e n e f i t i f g o v e r n m e n t f o c u s e d o n s t r e n g t h e n i n g e d u c a t i o n ,

i m p r o v i n g i n f r a s t r u c t u r e s , r e g u l a t i o n s a n d c r e a t i n g c o n d i t i o n s f o r i n v e s t m e n t

Education: Lack of financial and digital

literacy

Infrastructures: Limited internet access and reliance on traditional USSD

communication

Regulation: non-uniform, hindering

digital economy, with MNOs being subject

to considerably more scrutiny than their competitors and some Fintech segments being highly unregulated

• Investment: Not enough venture capital

investment and market dominance by few

players

Challenges

G

o

ve

rn

men

ts

• Strengthen the financial education of populations by facilitating the creation of education centers

“(…) include the masses and educate them by creating awareness regarding finance and how technology can

make huge strides at addressing poverty" Gareth Liddell, Head of Delivery of BNRY in South Africa

Improve financial and technological infrastructures: incentivise service providers to deliver the widest

possible “internet broadband and mobile coverage” and reduction of smartphone’s cost of acquisition

The Government’s approach should promote the digital economy, and thus create a uniform and specific

regulatory framework for all fintech products

“(…) clarifying the regulatory framework regarding consumer protection and financial liability and facilitating

the establishment of tech clusters.” João Gaspar Marques, Member of the Board of Advisors at the Africa Fintech

Summit

• Governments should create and increase incentives to venture capital to foment competition and efficiency

“Providing tax benefits during the start-ups’ first years (…) is also of paramount importance.” João Gaspar

Marques, Member of the Board of Advisors at the Africa Fintech Summit

Recommendations

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21

F i n t e c h s w o u l d g a i n f r o m f o c u s i n g o n c u s t o m e r - p r o d u c t f i t , o n b u i l d i n g

p a r t n e r s h i p s , w h i l e i m p r o v i n g c o u n t r y k n o w l e d g e a n d d e c i s i o n m a k i n g

5 . 1 C H A L L E N G E S A N D R E C O M E N D A T I O N S ( 2 / 4 )

Sources: Fintech specific interviews

Partnerships: differences in the

organizational structure between fintechs

and traditional institutions

Country knowledge: lack of

geography-specific knowledge regarding African

countries

• Product: Lack of customer-product fit, lack of focus on customers’ demand and over-focusing on profits

• Management decisions: Sometimes decisions are made based on success stories in other countries, and not in the specific country

Challenges

Comp

anies

Focus on synergies which might help banks reducing costs and fintechs gaining scale

“(…) find partnerships with other companies that share your goals and can help you achieve them” João Gaspar

Marques, Member of the Board of Advisors at the Africa Fintech SummitHire country-specific experts

Focus on the real necessities of customers while having the flexibility to change when customer demands

shift

“(…) be transparent and adaptable and mostly, listen to your user’s feedback” João Gaspar Marques, Member of

the Board of Advisors at the Africa Fintech Summit

• Country-specific study and focus, not considering Africa as one cultural identity but multicultural

“business decisions need to be made within the context of the country the solution will apply to (…) the African market cannot be addressed with a cut and paste solution” Gareth Liddell, Head of Delivery of BNRY in South

Africa

(22)

W e m a y c o n c l u d e t h a t F i n t e c h s w h i c h p a r t n e r w i t h e x i s t i n g f i n a n c i a l

i n s t i t u t i o n s h a v e a h i g h e r c h a n c e o f t h r i v i n g

22 Sources: Fintech specific interviews

Better Product suitability

“Fintechs that partner with local financial institutions I believe have a much greater chance of

success. I would recommend finding a country specific partner that can have some influence in

terms of making the product suitable for their market and share insights into how the market

adopts certain solutions.”

Gareth Liddell, Head of Delivery of BNRY in South Africa

Greater security and exposure

“There is certainly a lot to benefit from building multi-level partnerships (….) a fintech start-up that

is given enough operational freedom while securing financial backing from an established

institution can benefit from greater security, exposure, and market outreach”

João Gaspar Marques, Member of the Board of Advisors at the Africa Fintech Summit

Reduce costs and improve quality

“(…) some Financial institutions have the advantage of having a license that other Fintechs don't have, as

well as experience. Yes l believe it would be an

advantage and they will have a higher chance of thriving as they can also share costs/overheads to

improve the quality of service and get more profits.”

Ashley Chengeto Rusike, Head of Payment Relations of Mukuru in South Africa

(23)

W h i l e o u r c o n c l u s i o n s p r o v i d e t h e f o u n d a t i o n s t o g o v e r n m e n t a n d c o m p a n i e s ’

a c t i o n p l a n s , t h e s e s h o u l d b e t a i l o r e d t o m e e t c o u n t r y - l e v e l s p e c i f i c n e e d s

Sources: Fintech specific interviews

5 . 1 C H A L L E N G E S A N D R E C C O M E N D A T I O N S ( 4 / 4 )

We answered our initial question about how

Fintech may help to solve the unbanked issue

through the aforementioned conclusions

However, SSA is a diverse region that

requires flexibility from Fintech companies

to adapt to its specific and local needs, thus

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24

1.

FinTech - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast». 2019. Statista. Accessed December.

https://www.statista.com/outlook/295/100/fintech/worldwide.

2.

«Population > World - Worldometers». 2019. Accessed December.

https://www.worldometers.info/population/world/

.

3.

Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, Saniya Ansar, and Jake Hess. 2018. The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring Financial

Inclusion and the Fintech Revolution. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0.

4.

«Sub-Saharan Africa | Data». 2019. Accessed December.

https://data.worldbank.org/region/sub-saharan-africa

.

5.

«Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP) | Data». 20. Accessed December.

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS

.

6.

«Broad money (% of GDP) | Data». 2019. Accessed December.

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FM.LBL.BMNY.GD.ZS

.

7.

Amadou N. R. Sy, Rodolfo Maino, Alexander Massara, Hector Perez-Saiz, and Preya Sharma. 2016. FinTech in Sub-Saharan African Countries: A Game

Changer? International Monetary Fund, African Department, No. 19/04

8.

«FinTechs in Sub-Saharan Africa An overview of market developments and investment opportunities». 2019. EY.

9.

«Global Competitiveness Index 2017 2018». 2019. Global Competitiveness Index 2017-2018. Accessed January.

http://wef.ch/2wa0AjJ

.

10. Buckley, Ross P. and Webster, Sarah, Fintech in Developing Countries: Charting New Customer Journeys (June 1, 2016). Journal of Financial

Transformation, Vol. 44, Forthcoming; UNSW Law Research Paper No. 2016-73. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2850091

11. Materu, Peter Nicolas. 2007. Higher Education Quality Assurance in Sub-Saharan Africa: Status, Challenges, Opportunities, and Promising Practices.

World Bank Working Papers. The World Bank. doi:10.1596/978-0-8213-7272-2.

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R e f e r e n c e s – S u b - S a h a r a n A f r i c a : L a n d o f O p p o r t u n i t i e s f o r F i n t e c h

25

13. Didenko, Anton. 2018. «Regulating FinTech: Lessons from Africa». SSRN Electronic Journal. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3135604 |

14. «International Comparative Legal Guides». 2019. Text. International Comparative Legal Guides International Business Reports. Accessed January.

https://iclg.com/practice-areas/fintech-laws-and-regulations.

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Q u e s t i o n n a i r e u s e d i n t h e i n t e r v i e w s

1. What internal factors related to companies will have the biggest impact on financial inclusion and financial

performance of fintechs which are serving the unbanked and underbanked?

2. Do you believe that fintechs that partner with existing financial institutions have a higher chance of thriving? Why?

3. Which recommendations would you make to Fintech firms?

4. How does the market/environment affect the Fintech landscape in Sub Saharan Africa, and what other factors may

have an impact?

5. Which recommendations you would give to governments to enhance the potential of Fintech?

6. And the most important question, do you think Fintech can reduce poverty? How?

Referências

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