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The amount of late gadolinium enhancement outperforms current guideline-recommended criteria in the identification of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy at risk of sudden cardiac death

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Original

article

The

value

of

cardiac

magnetic

resonance

and

distribution

of

late

gadolinium

enhancement

for

risk

stratification

of

sudden

cardiac

death

in

patients

with

hypertrophic

cardiomyopathy

Mariusz

Klopotowski

(MD,

PhD)

a,

*

,

Krzysztof

Kukula

(MD,

PhD)

a

,

Lukasz

A.

Malek

(MD,

PhD)

a,b

,

Mateusz

Spiewak

(MD,

PhD)

b,c

,

Magdalena

Polanska-Skrzypczyk

(MD)

a

,

Jacek

Jamiolkowski

(MD,

PhD)

d

,

Maciej

Dabrowski

(MD,

PhD)

a

,

Rafal

Baranowski

(MD,

PhD)

e

,

Anna

Klisiewicz

(MD,

PhD)

f

,

Mariusz

Kusmierczyk

(MD,

PhD)

g

,

Anna

Jasinska

(MD)

a

,

Ewelina

Jarmus

(MD)

a

,

Mariusz

Kruk

(MD,

PhD)

c

,

Witold

Ruzyllo

(MD,

PhD)

c

,

Adam

Witkowski

(MD,

PhD)

a

,

Lidia

Chojnowska

(MD,

PhD)

a

a

DepartmentofInterventionalCardiologyandAngiology,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland

b

MagneticResonanceUnit,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland

cDepartmentofCoronaryDiseaseandStructuralHeartDiseases,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland dPublicHealthDepartment,MedicalUniversityofBialystok,Bialystok,Poland

eDepartmentofCardiacArrhythmias,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland f

DepartmentofCongenitalHeartDiseases,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland

g

DepartmentofCardiacSurgeryandTransplantation,InstituteofCardiology,Warsaw,Poland

ARTICLE INFO Articlehistory:

Received2February2015 Receivedinrevisedform9July2015 Accepted27July2015

Availableonline9September2015 Keywords:

Hypertrophiccardiomyopathy Suddencardiacdeath Cardiacmagneticresonance Lategadoliniumenhancement Imagingbiomarker

ABSTRACT

Background: Thepresence of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

(HCM)isassociatedwithworseclinicaloutcomeandtheextentofLGEpredictstheincreasedriskof

suddencardiacdeath(SCD).LimiteddataexistregardingthedistributionofLGE.Weattemptedtoverify

whetherthepresenceofLGEoutsidetheinterventricularinsertionpointscarriesadditionalriskfor

patientswithHCM.

Methods:Inthisprospectivestudy,328patientswithHCM,whounderwentcardiacmagneticresonance

(CMR)wereenrolled.FivemajorriskfactorsforSCDwereassessedinallpatients.Themedianfollow-up

was37months.

Results:LGEwasdetectedin226(68.9%)patients.In70(21.3%)patientsitwaspresentonlyatthe

interventricularinsertionpoints–LGE(+)group,whilein156(47.6%)itwasnotedinotherlocations–

LGE(++)group.PrimaryendpointdefinedasSCDorappropriateimplantablecardioverter-defibrillator

interventionoccurredin14(4.3%)patients,oneinLGE(+)and13inLGE(++).Inmultivariableanalysis

includingfivetraditionalriskfactorsandleftventricularejectionfraction<50%,onlythepresenceofLGE

outsidetheinsertionpointswasasignificantpredictorofSCD/abortedSCD(HR10.01,95%CI1.21–83.86,

p=0.033).Theperformanceofthemultivariablesuddencardiacdeathriskmodelwasimprovedbythe

additionofLGE(++)tothetraditionalriskfactors(likelihoodratiop=0.005).TheKaplan–Meiercurves

showedbetterevent-freesurvivalintheLGE( )andLGE(+)patientgroupscomparedtotheLGE(++)group.

Conclusions: InHCMpatients,presenceofLGEoutsideinterventricularinsertionpointsisassociated

withincreasedriskofsuddencardiacdeathoritsequivalentaswellasoverallmortality.Cardiacfibrosis

asasubstrateforSCDinHCMmaybeidentifiedonCMRandserveasanimagingbiomarkerofincreased

risk.

ß2016PublishedbyElsevierLtdonbehalfofJapaneseCollegeofCardiology.

* Correspondingauthorat:DepartmentofInterventionalCardiologyandAngiology,Alpejska42,04-628Warsaw,Poland.Tel.:+48223434272;fax:+48226133819. E-mailaddress:mklopotowski@ikard.pl(M.Klopotowski).

ContentslistsavailableatScienceDirect

Journal

of

Cardiology

j our na l ho me pa g e : w ww . e l se v i e r . com / l oca t e / j j cc

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjcc.2015.07.020

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Introduction

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is one of the most frequentlyoccurringgeneticdisordersoftheheartmuscle[1].It istypicallydefinedbythepresenceofincreasedleftventricular (LV) wall thickness that is not solely explained by abnormal loadingconditions[2,3].Inthepastyears,HCMwasregardedasa rarediseasewithseriousprognosis[4]. Numerousreportshave shown,however,thatitismuchmorefrequentandcharacterized byvariableoutcome[5].Themajorityofpatientshavenear-normal life span without special treatment requirements [6]. Average mortalityinHCMpatientsisaround1%peryear.Ontheotherhand insome,oftenasymptomatic,patientstheriskofsuddencardiac death(SCD)maybesignificantlygreater[7,8].Alot ofresearch overthepastdecadeshasgoneintoeffortaimedatelucidatingthis groupanddefiningriskfactorsassociatedwithincreasedmortality

[9–13]. As most SCD episodes in HCM are due to ventricular

fibrillation (VF), the most effective way of reducing increased mortalityassociatedwithhigh-riskHCMisimplantingthepatient withanimplantablecardioverter-defibrillator(ICD)[14].Thisis recommended for secondary SCD prevention. Less obvious is selectingthepatientsforprimaryprevention,asICDimplantation is not free from risk of complications, patient discomfort, psychologicalburden,andcosts[15].Previousresearchhasshown thatthepresenceofatleastoneoftheso-calledlargeriskfactorsof SCD in HCM should lead to considering ICD implantation

[2,16].Thenegativepredictivevalueofthisstrategyisexcellent,

butthepositivepredictivevaluepoor.Ineffect,thevastmajorityof patientsimplantedwithICDwillneverneedashock.Inapaper analyzing2190patients withICDimplantedforSCDprevention 14% of patients received appropriate lifesaving shocks; the frequencyofinappropriateshockswas20%,whilethecomplication ratereached15%[15].

In the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Guidelines published recently the authors update the decision-making processpostulating theuseof a novel risk calculator[17].The clinicalandriskfactorsrepresentedinthisnovel riskmodelare thosethataregenerallyrecognized:age,LVwallthickness, non-sustainedventriculartachycardia(nsVT), familyhistory ofSCD, syncope,leftatrialdiameter,leftventricularoutflowtract(LVOT) obstruction. The risk factor left out from the formula is the inappropriateexercisebloodpressureresponse.Itseemsagreat attempt at simplifying the decision-making process, but this empirical risk model is based on a large multicenter, but retrospectiveanalysis[18].

Twostudies publishedrecentlyshowthattheextentof late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)studyinHCMpatientsmaybeanindependentpredictorof SCDbutpreviousstudiesdidnotanalyzeallfivelargeriskfactorsin conjunction with LGE assessment [19,20]. The new guidelines acknowledgethevalueofCMR,butatthesametime,duetolimited data,donotsupporttheuseofgadoliniumcontrast-enhancedCMR inSCDriskassessment[17].

Theaimofthisstudywastoelucidatetheprognosticvalueof LGEalongwithfullstandardSCDriskassessmentinprospectively analyzedunselectedHCMpatients.Specifically,weattemptedto verifywhetherthepresenceofLGE outsidetheinterventricular insertionpointscarriesadditionalriskforpatientswithHCM. Methods

Studypopulation

Includedinthestudywere328consecutiveHCMpatientswith no contraindicationsto CMR,followed at a single center – the InstituteofCardiologyinWarsaw,overtheyears2008–2013.CMR

imaging was supported financially by a grant from the Polish Ministryof Scienceand Higher Education.HCM wasdiagnosed according to standard criteria published in clinical guidelines. Fromthisgroupweexcludedpatients withconcomitantfactors thatmayhaveinducedsignificantmyocardialfibrosisorscarring. Thesewerepatientswithknownpreviousmyocardialinfarction, previous alcoholseptal ablation,and myocarditis.Patientswith diagnosed Fabry disease and Noonan syndrome were also excluded.CMRimagesofpatientswhoduetorenalimpairment hadnogadolinium contrastgivenandofthosewithincomplete studiesdue toclaustrophobiaorarrhythmiawerenot analyzed either. The study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee, with written informed consent obtained from all patients agreeing to the use of their medical information for researchpurposes.Majorriskfactorsweredefinedatbaselineas: (1)familyhistoryofSCD,i.e.oneormorecasesofSCDamongfirst degreerelativesundertheageof40years(irrespectiveofHCM diagnosis);oneormoreSCD/abortedSCDatanyageamong first-degreerelativesdiagnosedwithHCM;oneormorecasesofSCD/ aborted SCD among second-degree relatives under the age of 50years andif previously diagnosed with HCM; (2) syncope; historyofotherwiseunexplainedsyncopeatanytimeinthepast; (3)extreme hypertrophyoftheLVmuscle(30mmormore)as assessed by echocardiography; (4) abnormal exercise blood pressure response: increase in systolic blood pressure less than 20mmHg from baseline topeak exerciseor fall by over 10mmHgatpeakexercise;(5)nsVTon24-helectrocardiogram (ECG)Holtermonitoringdiagnosedwhenanepisodeofatleast threeconsecutiveventricular beatsover120beatsperminute, lastinglessthan30s,wasnoted.Allpatientsunderfollow-uphad atleastonecardiopulmonaryorstandardexercisetestperformed (except twowithclear symptomaticLVOTobstruction)andat leastone24-hHolterECG.AnnsVTepisodeinanyHolterECGwas sufficienttoincludethisriskfactor.Leftventricularwallthickness andLVOTobstructiongradientweremeasuredby echocardiog-raphyaccordingtotheguidelines.Standardorcardiopulmonary treadmillexercisetestswereperformedusingthemodifiedBruce protocol.

CMRacquisitionandimageanalysis

AllCMRstudieswereperformedona1.5Tscanner(Avanto, Siemens, Erlangen, Germany) as previously described [21]. In brief,ECG-gatedbreath-holdsteadystatefreeprecession(SSFP) cine images were acquired in the LV long axis (2-, 3- and 4-chamberviews)andshortaxis,coveringbothventriclesfromthe base to the apex. LV mass (LVM), LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), LV end-systolic volume (LVESV), LV stroke volume (LVSV), and LV ejection fraction (LVEF) were calculated with theuseofthededicatedsoftware(Mass6.2.1;Medis,Leiden,the Netherlands)onthebasisofmanualdelineationofepicardialand endocardialcontours in end-diastoleand end-systole.Volume andmassparameterswereindexedfor bodysurfacearea.The acquisition of LGE images was performed 10–15min after intravenous administration of gadobutrol (Gadovist, Bayer, Berlin,Germany)withtheinversiontimechoseninordertonull normalmyocardium.ThepresenceofLGEwasdividedintothree categories:(1)LGE( )–noneLGE;(2)LGE(+)–LGElocalizedin therightventricle-leftventricleinsertionpointsonly;(3)LGE(++) outside the insertion points (with or withoutinsertion points involvement)(Fig.1).

Studyendpointsandfollow-up

TheprimaryendpointofthestudywasSCDoritsequivalent (abortedSCD)intheformofresuscitatedventricularfibrillation

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(VF)orhemodynamicallyunstablesustainedventricular tachycar-dia(VT),or appropriatelifesavingICD intervention.There were two composite secondary endpoints:(1) primary endpointand cardiovasculardeath;(2)primaryendpointanddeathofanycause. SCDwasdefinedasunexpecteddeatheitherwithin1hofcardiac symptoms or in a patient who previously had a relatively uneventfulclinicalcourse.AbortedSCDwasdiagnosedinpatients who received an appropriate ICD discharge for ventricular arrhythmia or had a non-fatal episode of VF or spontaneous sustainedventriculartachycardia(VT)(>30sinduration)causing hemodynamiccompromiseand/orrequiringcardioversion.

The date and cause of death were determined using a combination of death certificates and communication with patients’ family and hospital records. Final follow-up was performedin Julyand August2014.Thestart offollow-up was defined as the date of initial CMR evaluation. Patients were censoredatthetimeoftheir lastclinicalfollow-up.Allpatients weredirectlycontactedat3-to12-monthintervalsduring follow-up.Nopatientwaslosttofollow-up.

Statisticalanalysis

Thepatientpopulationisdescribedusingmediansandquartiles withrespecttoquantitativevariables.Subgroupsofpatientswere comparedwithnon-parametricKruskal–Wallistestfollowedby posthoc Dwass–Steel–Critchlow–Fligner test formultiple com-parisons.Countsandpercentageswereusedtodescribecategorical variables.ExactFisher–Freeman–Haltontestor

x

2testandtestfor twoproportionswithBonferroniadjustmentformultiple compar-isonswereusedtoassessrelationshipsbetweenthesevariablesor endpointsand LGE.Kaplan–Meier survivalcurves wereused to visuallydescribecumulativeeventsofpatientscategorizedbyLGE. MultivariableCoxproportionalhazardmodelwasusedtoanalyze associations of five major conventional risk factors with SCD/ abortedSCD.Assumptionofproportionalhazardwascheckedby visually assessingshape ofKaplan–Meier curves.To investigate additional predictive value of LGE two separate multivariable modelswereformulated(withandwithoutLGEassessment).The fit of these models was compared using likelihood-ratio test. Differences between the sensitivities and specificities of two diagnosticapproaches[singlemajorfactororincombinationwith LGE (++)] were calculated as described previously [22]. The additionalvalueofLGEin predictingSCD/abortedSCDrisk was calculatedusingareaunderthereceiveroperatingcharacteristic curves. Statistical analyses were performed with IBM SPSS Statistics package (IBM Corp. Released 2011, IBM SPSS for Windows,Version20.0,IBM,Armonk,NY,USA).p-Valuessmaller than0.05wereconsideredstatisticallysignificant.Allprovided p-valuesrelatetotwo-tailedtests.

Results

Studypopulation

The baseline demographic and clinical characteristicsof the studypopulationaresummarizedinTables1and2.Themedian duration of follow-up was 37 months (IQR 24–48 months) amountingto1048patient-years.Themedianageatstudyentry was45years.Morethanhalfofthepatientsweremale(58.0%)and themajoritywereminimallysymptomatic.PatientswithoutLGE wereclassifiedas theLGE ( )group.LGEwasdetected in 226 (68.9%)patients.In70(21.3%)ofpatientsitwaspresentonlyatthe interventricular insertion points [LGE(+) group], while in 156 (47.6%)itwasnotedinotherlocations,eithersolelyorapartfrom insertion points[LGE(++)group].PatientswithLGEweremore likelytohavemassivehypertrophy(LVwallthickness30mm), nsVT, and abnormal blood pressure response during exercise (ABPR)atbaseline,wereolder,wereonaverageinhigherNewYork Heart Association (NYHA) class, had higher N-terminal prohor-mone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) serum concentra-tions, and more oftensuffered fromatrial fibrillation.LGE (++) patientshadthickerinterventricularseptumthanLGE(+)patients. TheproportionofpatientswithnsVTandmassiveleftventricular hypertrophy(30mm)wassignificantly higherintheLGE(++) groupthaninLGE(+)andLGE( )group(p<0.05),butsimilarin the LGE (+) and LGE ( )groups. In addition,there were more patients with LVOT gradient >30mmHg in the LGE (+) group comparedtotheLGE(++)group(p<0.05).

CMRfindings

TheCMRdataarepresentedinTable1.LGE(+)andLGE(++) patientsshowedmorepronouncedLVhypertrophythanLGE( ) patients.

Theresultsofclinicalfollow-up

AllprimarystudyendpointsoccurredintheLGE(+)andLGE (++)groups.NoneoccurredintheLGE( )group.Duringfollow-up 14 (4.27%)out of328patientsexperiencedaprimaryendpoint. Therewere4suddendeathsand10appropriateICDinterventions. OnlyonepatientoutofthesewasintheLGE(+)group.Asummary of primary endpointsis presented inTable 3. Asfor secondary endpoints,twopatientsdiedofthrombo-emboliccomplicationsin thecourseofAF[1inLGE(+)and1inLGE(++)group].Twopatients died of heart failure. One had LVOT obstruction and severe pulmonaryhypertension[LGE(+)],whileintheotherHCMevolved to end-stagecongestive heart failure[LGE(++)]. Three patients diedofcomplicationsofoncologicsurgery[1LGE(+),2LGE(++)].

Fig.1.RepresentativepatternsofLGEdistributioninHCMpatientsidentifiedbyCMR.Leftventricularshort-axisimagesobtainedbyCMRfromthreeHCMpatientspresenting diverselocationsofLGE:(A)withoutLGE,(B)LGEatrightventricularinsertionintotheanteriorseptum,LGE(+),and(C)LGEintheanteriorventricularseptumandatright ventricularinsertionpoint,LGE(++).LGE,lategadoliniumenhancement;HCM,hypertrophiccardiomyopathy;CMR,cardiacmagneticresonance.

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Onepatientdiedinamotoraccident[LGE(+)].Neitherprimarynor secondaryendpointsoccurredintheLGE( )group.Thedataare summarizedinTable4.

In univariable analysis, the independent predictors of the primaryendpointoccurrencewerethepresenceofnsVT,massive LVhypertrophy(atleast30mm),and twoparametersacquired withCMR:LGE(++)andLVEF<50%(Table5).

In multivariateanalysiscalculated usingonlythefiveclassic major risk factors the independent predictors of SCD or its equivalent were the presence of nsVT and LV hypertrophy

(Table 5). When two CMR-derived predictors, LGE (++) and

LVEF<50%, were included in the two-way analysis, the only independentSCDpredictorthatremainedsignificantwasLGE(++). Next,wecomparedtwoprimaryendpointpredictionmodels,one consistingof traditional riskfactorsonly and theother supple-mentedbyLGE(++)inaddition.ThemodeltakingintoaccountLGE (++)wassignificantlymoreprecise[log-likelihoodp=0.005,HRfor LGE (++) 10.45, 95% CI 1.26–86.4, p=0.029]. However, no prediction improvement was noted when adding any LGE or CMR-derivedLVEF<50%instead.

Table1

Baselinedemographic,clinical,andcardiovascularmagneticresonancedataaccordingtoLGEin328HCMpatients. Allpatients n=328(100%) LGE( ) n=102(31.1%) LGE(+) n=70(21.3%) LGE(++) n=156(47.6%) p-Value MedianFU(month) 37[24–48] 36[24–48] 45[30–48] 38[24–48] 0.146 Medianage(years) 45[29–58] 34[24–55] 49[37–60] 47[34–57] 0.003*

LVwallthickness(mm) 20[17–25] 18[14–20] 20.5[18–25] 22[20–27] <0.001** NT-proBNP(pg/ml) 732[240–1516] 206[75–862] 938[477–1532] 1026[420–1533] <0.001*** Malesex(n) 192 58 37 97 0.387 LVEF<50%(n) 11 0 1 10 0.001 Hypertension(n) 43 8 11 24 0.154 NYHAclass <0.001 I 63 22 11 30 II 149 29 28 92 III 43 9 21 13 IV 0 0 0 0 CMRparameter EDV(ml) 162[133–190] 166[133–191] 157[124–191] 161[133–191] 0.629 EDV/BSA(ml/m2 ) 84[73–95] 86[74–95] 84[72–94] 84[74–94] 0.845 ESV(ml) 51[37–66] 52[38–67] 49[34–60] 49[37–64] 0.358 ESV/BSA(ml/m2 ) 27[19–32] 27[22–33] 26[19–33] 27[19–32] 0.402 SV(ml) 109[90–127] 110[90–129] 110[89–128] 109[91–124] 0.905 SV/BSA(ml/m2 ) 56[50–64] 57[51–64] 57[51–67] 56[50–63] 0.975 LVEF(%) 69[63–75] 68[63–73] 70[64–75] 68[63–75] 0.384 LVmass(g) 167[128–222] 151[116–206] 171[132–242] 179[134–224] 0.018**** LVmass/BSA(g/m2 ) 87[67–114] 77[61–105] 93[71–128] 90[71–114] 0.003*****

* LGE( )vs.LGE(+)p=0.009,LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.011,LGE(+)vs.LGE(++)p=0.656. ** LGE( )vs.LGE(+)p=0.001,LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.001,LGE(+)vs.LGE(++)p=0.044. ***

LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.001,LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.001,LGE(+)vs.LGE(++)p=0.986.

****

LGE( )vs.LGE(+)p=0.093,LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.019,LGE(+)vs.LGE(++)p=0.998.

*****

LGE( )vs.LGE(+)p=0.018,LGE( )vs.LGE(++)p=0.007,LGE(+)vs.LGE(++)p=0.812.

Dataareexpressedasmedianandinterquartilerangeornumbers.FU,follow-up;LGE,lategadoliniumenhancement;LV,leftventricle;EF,ejectionfraction;NYHA,New YorkHeartAssociation;NT-proBNP,N-terminalprohormonebrainnatriureticpeptide;CMR,cardiacmagneticresonance;EDV,enddiastolicvolume;BSA,bodysurface area;ESV,endsystolicvolume;SV,strokevolume.

Table2

Riskfactorsforsuddencardiacdeathandtreatmentof328hypertrophiccardiomyopathypatients. Allpatients n=328(100%) LGE( ) n=102(31.1%) LGE(+) n=70(21.3%) LGE(++) n=156(47.6%) p-Value

MajorriskfactorsforSCD LVwallthickness 30mm(n) 34(10.4%) 1 3 30 <0.001 Syncope(n) 42(12.8%) 10 9 23 0.521 FHSCD(n) 68(20.7%) 16 15 37 0.29 ABPR(n) 48(14.6%) 2 10 36 <0.001 nsVT(n) 120(36.6%) 14 18 120 <0.001

MinorriskfactorsforSCD

Atrialfibrillation(n) 62(18.9%) 9 18 35 0.007 LVOTG>30mmHg(n) 111(33.8%) 34 32 45 0.048 Treatment ICD(n) 100(30.5%) 11 21 68 <0.001 Beta-blockers(n) 262(79.9%) 61 63 138 <0.001 Calcium-blockers(n) 15(4.6%) 6 2 7 0.697 ACE-inhibitors,ARB(n) 85(25.9%) 17 21 47 0.053 Spironolactone(n) 27(8.2%) 3 7 17 0.047 Amiodarone(n) 31(9.5%) 3 5 23 0.004

LGE,lategadoliniumenhancement;SCD,suddencardiacdeath;LV,leftventricle;FHSCD,familyhistoryofsuddencardiacdeath;ABPR,abnormalbloodpressureresponse duringexercise;nsVT,non-sustainedventriculartachycardiaonHoltermonitoring;LVOTG,leftventricularoutflowtractgradient;ICD,implantablecardioverter defibrillator;ACE,angiotensin-convertingenzyme;ARB,angiotensinreceptorblocker.

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When combining LGE (++) with any of the traditional risk factors,thespecificityincreasedsignificantlyfornsVT(p<0.001), familyhistoryofSCD(p<0.001),andhistoryofsyncope(p<0.01) withnodeteriorationofsensitivity.Nosignificantimprovement was noted for extreme LV hypertrophy (at least 30mm) (p=0.134). These data, accuracy, positive predictivevalue, and negativepredictivevaluearesummarizedinTable6.

TheKaplan–Meiercurvesshowbetterevent-freesurvivalinthe LGE( )andLGE(+)patientgroupscomparedtotheLGE(++)group (Fig.2).

Whenthefivetraditionalmajorriskfactorsweresupplemented byLGE(++),theareaunderthecurve(AUC)ofreceiveroperating characteristic(ROC)increasedfrom0.738(95%CI0.641–0.835)to 0.786(95%CI0.697–0.874).

Discussion

ThemainfindingofthisstudyisthatthepresenceofLGEinCMR beyond the interventricular insertion points is an independent predictorofSCDoritsequivalents(primarystudyendpoint)inthe analyzedgroupof HCM patients.LGE positivepatients are also morelikelytodeveloponeofthesecondaryendpoints(composite of SCD or equivalent and CV mortality; composite of SCD or equivalentandtotalmortality).

Ithaslongbeenknownthatcardiomyocytedisarrayandfibrosis arethepathophysiologicalmechanismsunderlyingtheriskofSCD inHCM[4].Whileitisdifficulttoassesstheextentofdisarray,CMR withgadoliniumisasensitivetoolfortheassessmentoftheextent offibrosis,correlatingwellwiththeextentofLGE[23–25].Inview ofthis,theresultsweobtainedmaynotbesurprising.Previous research, althoughgenerallysupportingtheprognosticvalueof LGEinHCM,yieldedpromisingbutinconclusivedata.Hence,the evaluationofLGEisnotadvocatedintheSCDriskassessmentin

thenewclinicalguidelines[17].Inametaanalysistherewasonlya trendtowardLGEpredictingtheriskofSCDinHCM[26].However, despitedoubtsandtechnicaldifferencesinassessingtheextentof LGE,therearedatasupportingtheuseofLGEassessedbyCMRasa predictorofSCDinHCMpatients[19,20].

First,thereisagroupoffourstudiesonwhichthe aforemen-tioned metaanalysisis based. In the studyby Maron etal. the annual cardiovascular event ratewashigher in the LGEgroup, althoughtherewerenodifferencesintheextentofLGE[27].Bruder etal.showedthatLGEwasanindependentpredictorofgeneraland cardiovascularmortality[28].Inagroupof217patientsO’Hanlon etal.demonstratedthat63%ofthisgrouphadfibrosisonCMRand itcorrelatedwiththeoccurrenceofprimarycompositeoutcomeof cardiovascular death, unplanned cardiovascular hospital stay, sustained ventriculartachycardiaorventricular fibrillation,and appropriateICD discharge[25].Rubinshteinetal. ina groupof 424patients,outofwhom8experiencedSCDorappropriateICD discharge,showedthatall8hadLGE[29].Six-yearsurvivalwas betterin patients withoutLGE compared topatients withLGE. Furthermore, Hen and colleagues demonstrated significantly higher annual cardiovascular events ratein 345 HCM patients withlategadoliniumenhancementonCMRandthepresenceof LGE wasoneof theindependent predictors ofworseprognosis

[30].Second,therearenewerstudieslookingmorecloselyintothe extent of LGE. Recent research of Chan et al. (1293 patients, 7centers)andIsmailetal.(711patients,singlecenter)havealso proven that the extent of LGE is a strong predictor of SCD

[19,20].However,inthesecondofthesestudiestheeffectofLGE

waseliminatedafteradjustingforLVEF[19].

Apossibledrawbackofmostofthesestudieswaslackoffullrisk stratification,evaluatingallknownSCDriskfactorsinthewhole groupunderfollow-up.Ingeneral,ourresultsareconsistentwith previousobservations[19,20,29].Thepatientgroupwassimilar.

Table3

Characteristicsof14patientsexperiencingprimaryendpoint. Pts. Sex Age (years) Max.wall thickness(mm) LVmass (g/m2) LGE LVOTG (mmHg)

EF(%) AF Riskfactors Event

1 M 13 20 58 ++ – 66 ABPR Suddendeath

2 F 58 19 125 + 60 69 ABPR Suddendeath

3 M 58 16 79 ++ – 66 Syncope,nsVT Suddendeath

4 M 48 34 148 ++ – 68 IVS30mm Suddendeath

6 M 50 35 93 ++ – 69 nsVT,IVS30mm VF/ICDdischarge 7 M 55 31 129 ++ 60 47 + nsVT,IVS30mm VF/ICDdischarge

8 M 62 22 142 ++ 85 63 + nsVT VT/ICDdischarge

9 M 19 32 114 ++ – 73 IVS30mm VF/ICDdischarge 10 M 44 23 142 ++ – 35 FHSCD,nsVT VF/ICDdischarge 11 M 57 25 123 ++ – 72 FHSCD,nsVT VT/ICDdischarge

12 M 54 22 132 ++ – 71 + nsVT VF/ICDdischarge

13 F 73 20 49 ++ – 60 FHSCD,nsVT,syncope VT/ICDdischarge

14 F 64 21 65 ++ – 75 nsVT VT/ATPpacing

LV,leftventricle;LGE,lategadoliniumenhancement;LVOTG,leftventricularoutflowtractgradient;EF,ejectionfraction;AF,atrialfibrillation;ABPR,abnormalblood pressureresponseduringexercise;nsVT,non-sustainedventriculartachycardiaonHoltermonitoring;IVS,interventricularseptum;VF,ventricularfibrillation;ICD, implantablecardioverterdefibrillator;VT,ventriculartachycardia;FHSCD,familyhistoryofsuddencardiacdeath;ATP,antitachycardiapacing.

Table4

Patients’outcomesaccordingtothepresenceandlocationofLGE.

Event Allpatients

n=328(100) LGE( ) n=102 LGE(+) n=70 LGE(++) n=156 p-Value*

SuddencardiacdeathandabortedSCD 14 0 1 13 0.001 SuddencardiacdeathandabortedSCDandcardiovascularmortality 18 0 3 15 0.001 SuddencardiacdeathandabortedSCDandoverallmortality 22 0 5 17 0.001

*

Chi-squaretestfortrend.

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ThepresenceofLGEatrightventricle(RV)insertionpointsinour studywasnotedin21%ofpatients.Thisvariedbetween7.5%and 28% in previous works [19,25,29]. LGE was observed more frequentlyincases withlarge hypertrophy,nsVT,higher NYHA class, or atrial fibrillation. We also showed that larger LGE correlated with higher NT-proBNP. As in previous studies, the presenceofLGEwasassociatedwithincreasedfrequencyof non-sustained ventricular tachycardia on ambulatory Holter ECG

[24,31,32]. Our results may additionally indicate that nsVT is

morefrequentlyseeninpatientswithLGElocatedbeyondtheRV insertionpoints.Increasingthepracticalimplicationsofthiswork isthefactthatallpatientshadfullSCDriskstratificationperformed with respect to the five classic risk factors. We have shown thatLGEbeyondtheRVinsertionpointsisanindependent risk factorofSCDoritsequivalents.Therewerenoeventsinthegroup without LGE, while only one occurred in the group with LGE

limited to the interventricular insertion points. An interesting resultobtainedinthisstudyistheobservationthatincaseofthe presence of just one classic risk factor, which was particularly evidentfornsVT,identifyingLGEbeyondinsertionpointsallows for better identification of patients that will actually benefit fromICD implantation. Considering recent European guidelines andnewriskcalculator,onemayspeculatethatatleastincaseof patientswithcalculatedintermediateSCDrisk,CMRmayhelpto decidewhethertoimplantICD,especiallyifthepatientfallsinto our LGE (++) group, meaning the presence of LGE outside RV insertion points [17]. Fibrosis limited to insertion points is generallyconsideredlowriskandisnotHCMspecific[33,34].It hasbeenseeninotherpathologiesandmaysimplybesecondaryto overloadconditions[35,36].

Asconfirmedbythisworkonecanreasonablyassumethatno LGEissafeforthepatient;itspresencesolelyattheinsertionpoints probablycarriesnotmuchhigherrisk.Ontheotherhand,inthe workofRubinshtein therewereendpoints alsoin thegroup of patientswithLGElimitedtotheinsertionpoints[29].Itisalsoonly aguessthatinmanypatientsLGEmayincreaseovertime.Whenis thetimetorepeatCMR?

Futureresearchshouldfocusonprotocolstandardizationand precisionofLGEassessment,asnotonlytheextent,butalsothe location of LGE seems relevant. A risk score should likely be developedtakingintotheaccountthepresenceofLGE,itsextent, andlocation.

In our group of patients ABPR brought no further relevant information.Itmaybethatthisriskfactorisonlyimportantina youngerHCMpopulation.Theonlyadolescentpatientinourgroup whoexperiencedSCDhadoneclassicriskfactor–ABPR,butalso had LGE beyond RV insertion points. Risk stratification and decision-making regarding ICD implantation are much more difficultinyoungHCMpatients[5,17,37].Themedianageinour group was 45 years and LGE is less pronounced in younger patients.However,inastudyinvolving71childrenwithHCMall adverseeventsoccurredinthosewithLGE[38].IntheworkofChan etal.low-riskpatientsonclassicriskevaluationwhoexperienced eventsalsohadLGE[20].Similarly,alleventsinourstudyoccurred inthegroupofLGEpatients.

Studylimitations

Mostofthehighestriskpatientswerenotincludedastheywere previously implanted with an ICD, which precluded CMR. LGE

Table5

Predictorsofsuddencardiacdeathorabortedsuddencardiacdeathinunivariate andmultivariateanalyses.

HR 95%CI p-Value Univariateanalysis LVwallthickness30mm 3.46 1.08–11.01 0.036 Syncope 1.79 0.50–6.41 0.373 FHSCD 2.25 0.75–6.72 0.166 ABPR 0.99 0.22–4.41 0.986 nsVT 3.88 1.21–12.40 0.022 LGE(++) 14.35 1.88–109.7 0.010 LVEF<50% 4.93 1.10–22.22 0.037 Multivariateanalysis

Fiveconventionalmajorriskfactors

LVwallthickness30mm 3.65 1.08–12.39 0.038 Syncope 1.81 0.46–7.10 0.395 FHSCD 2.14 0.66–6.88 0.204 ABPR 0.89 0.19–4.12 0.876 nsVT 3.29 1.01–10.69 0.048 AfteradjustmentforLGE(++)andEF<50%

LVwallthickness30mm 2.14 0.63–7.37 0.225 Syncope 2.20 0.57–8.62 0.254 FHSCD 2.30 0.73–7.25 0.153 ABPR 0.52 0.10–2.41 0.384 nsVT 2.00 0.53–6.14 0.347 LGE(++) 10.01 1.21–83.86 0.033 LVEF<50% 2.47 0.51–2.48 0.262 HR,hazardratio;CI,confidenceinterval;LV,leftventricle;ABPR,abnormal bloodpressure responseduring exercise;FHSCD,family historyofsudden cardiacdeath;nsVT,non-sustainedventriculartachycardiaonHolter monitor-ing;LGE,lategadoliniumenhancement;EF,ejectionfraction.

Table6

Specificity,sensitivity,accuracy,negativeandpositivepredictivevalueofmajorrisk factorsaloneorwhencombiningLGE(++).

Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) Accuracy (%) nsVT 71.4 65.0 8.3 98.1 65.2 nsVTwithLGE(++) 71.4 75.2 11.4 98.3 75.0 Syncope 21.4 87.6 7.1 96.2 84.8 SyncopewithLGE(++) 21.4 93.6 13.0 96.4 90.5 ABPR 14.3 85.3 4.2 95.7 82.2 ABPRwithLGE(++) 7.1 88.9 2.8 95.5 85.3 FHSCD 35.7 79.9 7.4 96.5 78.0 FHSCDwithLGE(++) 35.7 89.8 13.5 96.9 87.5 LVWT30mm 28.6 90.4 11.8 96.6 87.8 LVWT30mmwith LGE(++) 28.6 91.7 13.3 96.6 89.0 PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; LGE, late gadolinium enhancement;nsVT, non-sustainedventricular tachycardia on Holtermonitoring;ABPR,abnormalbloodpressureresponseduringexercise; FHSCD,familyhistoryofsuddencardiacdeath;LV,leftventricle;WT,wall thickness.

Fig.2.LGEandclinicaloutcome.Kaplan–Meiercurvepresentingsurvivalfreeof suddencardiacdeathorappropriateICDdischargeinpatientswithhypertrophic cardiomyopathy in relation to presence and location of late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance. LGE, late gadolinium enhancement;ICD,implantablecardioverterdefibrillator.

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analysiswasqualitative,assessingthepresenceofLGEatinsertion pointandbeyond,butnotitspreciseextent.Ontheotherhand,this simplifiedtheassessmentandreducedvariability.Astherewere noeventsintheLGE( )groupandjustoneintheLGE(+),wecould notperformavalidmultivariableCoxregressionanalysis.Also,this wasacomparativelymodestsamplefromasingletertiarycenter withonly14primaryendpointsoccurringoverall.Thesub-analysis assessing the outcome of patients with LGE outside insertion points only was not performed. Our definitions of several risk factorswerealsoalittledifferent.Weadjudicatedasariskfactor SCDin young, second-degree relativeswithdiagnosed HCM,as wellassyncopeoccurringmorethan5yearsinthepast.Thiscould influenceanalysis.

Conclusions

Cardiac fibrosis is a crucial substrate for life-threatening ventriculararrhythmiainHCM,andmaybeevaluatedonmagnetic resonance. This study confirms the value of CMR and LGE assessmentinpredictingtheriskofSCDinHCMpatients.Italso showsthatthelocationofLGEmaybeofparamountimportance.The novelparadigmofriskevaluationinHCMbasedontheidentification of biomarkers for the substrate for SCD has the potential to significantly improve currentmodels or SCDrisk assessmentin HCMpatients.Despiterobustpathophysiologicalbackgroundand significant results of the current study, the occurrence of just 14primaryendpointsmayinfluencethesignificanceoftheresults. Therefore,moreresearchisneededtoconfirmthesefindingsinlarge multicenterprospectiveobservations.

Funding

ThisresearchwassupportedbythePolishMinistryofScience andHigherEducationNN402381938.

Conflictofinterest

Theauthorsdeclarethatthereisnoconflictofinterest. Acknowledgments

Theauthorsaregratefultothestaffofthemagneticresonance unit for their excellent support and Joanna Wasowska and AgnieszkaWasniowskawhoassistedwithdatacollection. References

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