www.bjorl.org
Brazilian
Journal
of
OTORHINOLARYNGOLOGY
ORIGINAL
ARTICLE
The
first
postoperative-stimulated
serum
thyroglobulin
is
a
prognostic
factor
for
thyroid
microcarcinomas
夽
Isabela
de
Oliveira
Amui
a,
José
Vicente
Tagliarini
b,
Emanuel
C.
Castilho
b,
Mariângela
de
Alencar
Marques
c,
Yoshio
Kiy
d,
José
Eduardo
Corrente
e,
Gláucia
M.F.S.
Mazeto
a,∗aUniversidadeEstadualPaulista‘‘JúliodeMesquitaFilho’’(Unesp),FaculdadedeMedicinadeBotucatu,Departamentode
MedicinaInterna,Botucatu,SP,Brazil
bUniversidadeEstadualPaulista‘‘JúliodeMesquitaFilho’’(Unesp),FaculdadedeMedicinadeBotucatu,Departamentode
Oftalmologia,OtorrinolaringologiaeCirurgiadeCabec¸aePescoc¸o,Botucatu,SP,Brazil
cUniversidadeEstadualPaulista‘‘JúliodeMesquitaFilho’’(Unesp),FaculdadedeMedicinadeBotucatu,Departamentode
Patologia,Botucatu,SP,Brazil
dUniversidadeEstadualPaulista‘‘JúliodeMesquitaFilho’’(Unesp),FaculdadedeMedicinadeBotucatu,Departamentode
Doenc¸asTropicaiseDiagnósticoporImagem,Botucatu,SP,Brazil
eUniversidadeEstadualPaulista‘‘JúliodeMesquitaFilho’’(Unesp),InstitutodeBiociências,DepartamentodeBioestatística,
Botucatu,SP,Brazil
Received27July2017;accepted7October2017 Availableonline31October2017
KEYWORDS Biologicalmarkers; Clinicalevolution; Prognosis; Thyroglobulin; Thyroidneoplasms Abstract
Introduction:Endogenous thyroid-stimulating hormone-stimulated thyroglobulin collected aftertotalthyroidectomyisausefulpredictorofbetterprognosisinpatientswithdifferentiated thyroidcarcinomasingeneral,butstudieswithmicrocarcinomasarescarce.
Objective: Toassesswhetherthefirstpostoperativestimulatedthyroglobulinmeasurementis aprognosticfactorinpatientswithmicrocarcinoma.
Methods:Themedicaldataof150differentiatedthyroidcarcinomapatientswerestudied ret-rospectively,and54(36%)caseswithmicrocarcinomawereselected.Thefirstpostoperative stimulatedthyroglobulin(1ststimulatedthyroglobulin),measuredafterthyroidectomy,initial presentationdata,andmicrocarcinomastreatmentwereassessedregardingoutcome.Worse prognosiswasdefinedasneoplasmpersistence/recurrence.
Results:Persistence/recurrence occurred in 27.8% ofthe cases. These patients were iden-tified according to the following parameters: receiving more than one 131iodine dose
(100% vs. 0%; p<0.0001); accumulated 131iodine dose (232.14±99.09 vs. 144±33.61mCi;
夽 Pleasecitethisarticleas:AmuiIO,TagliariniJV,CastilhoEC,MarquesMA,KiyY,CorrenteJE,etal.Thefirstpostoperative-stimulated
serumthyroglobulinisaprognosticfactorforthyroidmicrocarcinomas.BrazJOtorhinolaryngol.2019;85:37---42.
∗Correspondingauthor.
E-mail:gmazeto@fmb.unesp.br(G.M.Mazeto).
PeerReviewundertheresponsibilityofAssociac¸ãoBrasileiradeOtorrinolaringologiaeCirurgiaCérvico-Facial.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bjorl.2017.10.005
1808-8694/©2017Associac¸˜aoBrasileiradeOtorrinolaringologiaeCirurgiaC´ervico-Facial.PublishedbyElsevierEditoraLtda.Thisisanopen accessarticleundertheCCBYlicense(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
p<0.0001);presentedactivediseaseinthelastassessment(53.3%vs.0%;p<0.0001); follow-uptime(103.07±61.27vs.66.85±70.14months;p=0.019);and1ststimulatedthyroglobulin (19.01±44.18 vs. 2.19±2.54ng/dL; p<0.0001). After multivariate logisticregression, only the 1stSTg[oddsratio=1.242; 95% confidenceinterval:1.022---1.509; p=0.029] and follow-uptime(oddsratio=1.027;95%confidenceinterval:1.007---1.048;p=0.007)wereindependent predictorsofriskofpersistence/recurrence.Thecutoffpointof1.6ng/dLforthe1ststimulated thyroglobulinwassignificantlyassociatedwithdiseasepersistence/recurrence[areaunderthe curve=0.713(p=0.019)].
Conclusion:The first stimulated thyroglobulin predicted disease persistence/recurrence in patientswithmicrocarcinoma.
© 2017 Associac¸˜ao Brasileira de Otorrinolaringologia e Cirurgia C´ervico-Facial. Published by Elsevier Editora Ltda. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
PALAVRAS-CHAVE
Marcadores biológicos; Evoluc¸ãoclínica; Prognóstico; Tireoglobulina; Neoplasiasda tireoide
Aprimeiradosagemséricadetireoglobulinaestimuladapós-operatóriaéumfator prognósticoparaosmicrocarcinomasdatireoide
Resumo
Introduc¸ão: A tireoglobulina estimulada pelohormônio tireoestimulanteendógeno coletada apóstireoidectomiatotaléumpreditorútildemelhorprognósticoempacientescom carcino-masdiferenciadosdetireoideemgeral,masosestudoscommicrocarcinomassãoescassos. Objetivo:Avaliarseaprimeiramedidapós-operatóriadetireoglobulinaestimuladaéumfator prognósticoempacientescommicrocarcinoma.
Método: Osdadosclínicosde150pacientescomcarcinomadiferenciadodetireoideforam estu-dadosretrospectivamentee54(36%)casoscommicrocarcinomaforamselecionados.Aprimeira dosagemdetireoglobulinaestimulada(1aTgE)pós-operatória,medidaapósatireoidectomia,
osdadosdaapresentac¸ãoinicialetratamentodomicrocarcinomaforamavaliadosquantoao resultado.Opiorprognósticofoidefinidocomoapersistência/recorrênciadaneoplasia. Resultados: Apersistência/recorrênciaocorreuem27,8%doscasos.Essespacientesforam iden-tificados de acordocomos seguintes parâmetros: receberam mais de umadose de iodo131
(100% vs. 0%; p<0,0001); dose acumulada de iodo131 (232,14±99,09 vs. 144±33,61 mCi;
p<0,0001); apresentou doenc¸a ativa naúltimaavaliac¸ão(53,3% vs. 0%; p<0,0001); tempo deseguimento(103,07±61,27vs.66,85±70,14meses;p=0,019);e1aTgE(19,01±44,18vs. 2,19±2,54ng/dL;p<0,0001). Apósaregressãologísticamultivariada, apenasa1aTgE[odds ratio=1.242;intervalodeconfianc¸ade95%:1,022-1,509;p=0,029]etempo deseguimento (oddsratio=1,027; intervalode confianc¸ade 95%:1,007-1,048; p=0,007)foram preditores independentesderiscodepersistência/recorrência.Opontodecortede1,6ng/dLparaa1aTgE foisignificativamenteassociadoàpersistência/recidivadadoenc¸a[áreaabaixodacurva=0,713 (p=0,019)].
Conclusão:A1adosagemséricadetireoglobulinaestimuladapreviuapersistência/recorrência dadoenc¸aempacientescommicrocarcinoma.
© 2017 Associac¸˜ao Brasileira de Otorrinolaringologia e Cirurgia C´ervico-Facial. Publicado por Elsevier Editora Ltda. Este ´e um artigo Open Access sob uma licenc¸a CC BY (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Introduction
The incidence of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTCs) has been growing significantly,1 especially because of
higher microcarcinoma (TMC) frequency.2,3 Although TMC
are generally associated with excellent prognosis,4 some
patientshave moreaggressive tumors,resulting inhigher rates of persistency/recurrence and activedisease in the long-term follow-up.5 Thus, many TMC-related clinical,
histopathological, and molecular parameterswith varying complexities and costs have been assessed in the search
for markers that can predict higher aggressiveness and worse prognosis.6 Nevertheless, these parameters vary
fromonestudytoanother,andthefactorsassociatedwith worseprognosishavenotyetbeencompletelyestablished, preventingconsensusonthemosteffectiveTMCtreatment approach. Largertumors,multifocality,andcapsular inva-sion have been associated with lymph node metastasis,7
while younger age, multifocality, subcapsular location, extrathyroidal extension, intraglandular tumor fibrosis, and BRAF mutation have been associated with higher recurrence.8,9
In thiscontext, asingleserumthyroid-stimulating hor-mone (TSH)-stimulated thyroglobulin (STg) measurement aftertotalthyroidectomy hasbeen useful forpredicting a betterprognosis inDTC patients.10 Yetstudies thatassess
thisparameterspecificallyinpatientswithTMCarescarce. ThisstudyassessedwhetherthefirstpostoperativeSTg mea-surementisaprognosticfactorinTMCpatients.
Methods
This retrospective study assessed the clinical course of TMC patients and compared the first postoperative STg (1stSTg), and many other clinical, laboratory, and ther-apeutic parameters of patients with and without tumor persistence/recurrenceafter initial treatment. This study wasapprovedbytheResearchEthicsCommitteeofthe insti-tutioninwhichitwasconducted(protocoln◦4288-2012).
Patients
The medicaldata of 150 latepostoperative DTC patients wereassessed.Thepatientswerebeingfollowedinan out-patient clinic of thyroid neoplasms of a tertiary hospital inBrazil. Fifty-four(36%) TMCpatients submittedtototal thyroidectomy(TT)between1994and2010wereselected. Thesepatientsdidnothaveotherthyroidneoplasms,were not positive for antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb), had postoperative follow-up of at least 24 months, and were takinglevothyroxine.
The service’s treatment/follow-up protocol of DTC patients atthe timethecases wereenrolledin thestudy consisted of TT, followed by diagnostic whole-body scan (WBS),andserumendogenousTSH-stimulatedthyroglobulin (1stSTg)measurementthreemonthsafterTT.Thepatients then receivedanablative/therapeutic doseof radioactive iodine (TDI) followed by confirmatory WBS 5 days later. One year after TDI, STg and TSH were measured, and a neck ultrasound (US) was performed. Clinical and labo-ratory assessments were performed each 4 or 6 months, whichincludeddosingofserumTSH,freethyroxine(FT4), TgAb, and thyroglobulin (Tg). Neck US and chest X-ray were performed annually, and other imaging tests [chest computedtomography(CT),abdominalUS,neckand medi-astinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), new WBS and positronemissiontomography(PET-CT)]orcytohistological testswererequesteduponsuspicionofactivedisease.
TMCsweredefinedastumorsobservedinthe histopatho-logical analysiswithlargestdiameterof1.0cmorsmaller andhistologicaldiagnosisofpapillarycarcinoma(PC), fol-licularcarcinoma(FC),orHürthlecellcarcinoma.11
Studyparameters
The main variable of interest was the 1stSTg. Neverthe-less, the general characteristics of the patients, initial presentation of the neoplasm, treatment, and disease outcome were alsoassessed. Cases with and without dis-ease persistence/recurrencewere compared withregards to these parameters to determine possible predictors of theoutcomepersistence/recurrence.Patientswereinitially
characterizedby gender, ageat the timeof surgery, self-reported race, and initial disease presentation, which considered thefollowing: tumor characteristics andstage [risk of recurrence (LATS) and mortality (TNM)],12,13 first
postoperative WBS (WBS was considered positive if any uptakeinanysegmentwasdetected byscintigraphy),and percentage of 131Iodine (131I) uptake. Treatment-related aspectswerealsoassessed,suchasneckdissectionduring TT, number of 131I doses,and total accumulated dose (in mCi).
Diseaseoutcomewasassessedmainlyaccordingtotumor persistenceor recurrence.The followingwere also evalu-ated: patient’s condition in the last assessment, whether withor without active disease;disease-free survival time (inmonths);andfollow-uptime(inmonths).Disease persis-tenceorrecurrencewasdefinedasSTg≥2ng/mL,oractive diseaseevidencedbyimagingtestsorbiopsyoneyearafter theinitialtreatment(TTandWBS).14,15Activetumorinthe
lastassessmentwasdefinedasdeathcausedbythetumoror presenceofthesamecriteriausedfordefiningpersistence orrecurrence.
FT4, TSH, and Tg were determined by chemi-luminescence(DPC, Los Angeles, CA, USA) at the clinical laboratoryofHospitaldasClínicas---FaculdadedeMedicina deBotucatu. The referencevalues for FT4 andTSH were 0.80---1.90ng/dL and 0.40---4.0IU/mL, respectively, while thoseforTgwere0.83---68.0ng/mL.Tganalyticaland func-tionalsensitivitieswere0.2ng/mLand0.9ng/mL(forvalues higherthan2ng/mL),respectively.
Statisticalanalyses
The variablesunderwentunivariate analysisin relation to tumorpersistenceor recurrence.Only agehadsymmetric distribution,soitwasassessedbytheStudent’st-test.The othernumericalvariables(means±standarddeviations,SD) wereadjustedbythegeneralizedlinearmodelwithagamma distribution (asymmetric). The qualitative variables (per-centages)were assessedby theFisher’sexact test.Later, multivariate logistic regression was performed with the univariate analysis variables with p≤0.15. The response variablewastumorpersistenceorrecurrence.Thevariables wereselectedbythestepwisemethod.
A receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve was constructedforthe1stSTgtoestablishthecutoffand deter-minethemarker’ssensitivityandspecificitytopredicttumor persistenceorrecurrence.Thesignificancelevelwassetat 5%(p<0.05).
Results
Table 1 shows the patients’ general data. Five patients (9.3%) had recurrence and 15 (27.8%) had persis-tence/recurrence,ofwhich8(53.3%)stillpresentedactive diseaseinthelastmedicalassessment.Distantmetastases ordeathsduringthefollow-upperioddidnotoccur.
The group with disease persistence/recurrence had higher 1stSTg level (p<0.0001), accumulated 131iodine dose(p<0.0001),follow-uptime(p=0.019),percentageof patientswhoreceivedtwoor more131Idoses(p<0.0001),
Table1 Clinicalandhistopathologicaldataofpatients. Generaldata
Female,n(%)a 48(88.9)
Whitereportedcolor,n(%)a 53(98.2)
Age(years)b 46.30±13.58
Follow-up(months)b 76.91±69.19
Totalthyroidectomy,n(%)a
Onestage 33(61.1)
Twostages 21(38.9)
Lymphnodedissection,n(%)a 16(29.6)
Histologicalsubtypes,n(%)a Papillarycarcinoma Classic 41(75.9) Follicularvariant 8(14.8) Sclerosing 1(1.8) Mucinous 1(1.8) Columnarcells 1(1.8) Oncocyticcells 1(1.8) Follicular 1(1.8) Tumorsize(cm)b 0.61±0.30 Multifocality,n(%)a 20(37.0) Bilaterality,n(%)b 15(27.8) Tumorcapsule,n(%)a Complete 13(24.1) Incomplete 8(14.8) Absent 33(61.1)
Lymphnodemetastases,n (%)a 7(13) TNMstaging,n(%)a I 44(81.5) III 1(1.8) IV 9(16.7)
1stwholebodyscanpositive, n(%)a
51(94.4) 1stThyroglobulinstimulated
(ng/dL)b
6.72±23.6 Numberofdosesof131Iodine,n(%)a
0 1(1.9)
1 44(81.5)
2 8(14.8)
3 1(1.9)
Iodineuptake(%)b 1.51±1.65
Cumulativedoseof131Iodine (mCi)b
167.79±69.84
Recurrence,n(%)a 5(9.3)
Persistence/recurrence,n(%)a 15(27.8)
Activediseaseinthelast medicalevaluation,n(%)a
8(14.8) Disease-freesurvival
(months)b
42.06±65.03
cm,centimeters;mCi,milicuries;n,number;ng/dL,nanograms per decilitre; %, percentage; TNM, tumor-node-metastases, stagingsystem of the American Joint Commissionon Cancer (AJCC).13
aFrequenciesandpercentagesforcategoricalvariables. b Mean±standarddeviation.
andpercentageof patientswithactivediseasein thelast assessment(p<0.0001)(Table2).
In multivariate logistic regression, 1stSTg [odds ratio (OR)=1.242; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.022---1.509;
p=0.029] and follow-up time (OR=1.027; 95% CI: 1.007---1.048; p=0.007) were independent predictors ofriskofDTCpersistence/recurrence.
BasedontheROCcurve,the1stSTgcutoffof1.6ng/dL was associated witha sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 60% (areaunderthe curve=0.713; p=0.019) for tumor persistence/recurrence(Fig.1).Mostpatients(71.4%)with 1stSTglevelequal toor greaterthan 1.6ng/dLhad tumor persistence/recurrence, and most cases (60.5%) with STg levelbelow1.6ng/dLdidnot(Fig.2).
Discussion
Serum STg determination after TT and before 131I abla-tion,hereincalled1stSTg,couldhelptopredicttheinitial response to therapy and DTC prognosis.10,16,17 However,
most studiesassess DTCin generalanddonot investigate the 1stSTg specifically in patients with TMC. This study foundthat1stSTgcanbeanindependentpredictorof car-cinomapersistence/recurrencealsoforthesetumors.This marker remainedsignificant even whenassessed together with other parameters frequently associated with TMC prognosis.8,9,18---20
An important topicof discussion is the optimal 1stSTg cutoff for the prognosis. For DTCs in general, levels between20and30ng/mLhavebeenassociatedwithhigher sensitivity and specificity for predicting disease persis-tence/recurrence,whilelevels<1---2ng/mLwouldbestrong predictors of remission.4 In a recent meta-analysis with
almost 4000 patients, Webb et al. found high negative predictive valuefor disease-freestatuswhen pre-ablation serum Tg was below 10ng/mL.10 However, the exact Tg
levels required to prognosticate DTCs in general or TMCs havenotbeenestablishedastheydependonmanyfactors, suchasTSHlevel,16 assaysensitivity,andamount of
resid-ualtissue,amongothers.4Thecutofffoundbythepresent
studyforTMC(1.6ng/dL)wasmuchlowerthanthecutoffs mentioned earlier,with70%sensitivityand60% specificity topredictdiseasepersistence/recurrence.Thisfindingmay be explained by many reasons. First, considering that all thestudypatientsunderwentTT,andthe131Iuptakeafter surgery and before ablation was relatively low, we infer that theremainingcervical tissuemust havebeen scanty, whichcouldatleastpartlyexplainthelowercutoffs. More-over,sinceTgtendstoreachitsnadiraroundthreetofour weeksafterTT,4itcouldhavecontinuedtodecreaseafter
this initial period.15 Hence, since we assessed STg about
threemonthsaftersurgery,thislongerintervalcouldhave contributedtothelowercutoffs.
Althoughtherateof TMCrecurrenceis nothigh, espe-ciallyinpatientssubmittedtoTT,21itisnotnegligible.The
study rates of disease persistence/recurrence and active disease in the last assessment were almost 30% and 15%, respectively. Therefore, we believe that the therapeutic approachshouldbeindividualized,andthatSTgcouldbeone oftheparametersincluded inthisindividualization.Based onthisstudyresults,inpatientswithnegativeTgAb,aSTg
Table 2 Comparative analysisa of clinical and histopathological data between patients with and without cancer
persistence/recurrence.
Generaldata Persistence/recurrenceofthedisease p
Non=39(72.2%) Yes n=15(27.8%)
Age(years) 44.87±13.19 50.00±14.32 0.217
Female,n(%) 36(92.3) 12(80.0) 0.197
Totalthyroidectomyintwostages,n(%) 15(38.5) 6(40.0) 0.917
Lymphnodedissection,n(%) 10(25.6) 6(40.0) 0.301
Tumorsize(cm) 0.63±0.29 0.57±0.33 0.618
Multifocality,n(%) 15(38.5) 5(33.3) 0.727
Bilaterality,n(%) 11(28.2) 4(26.7) 0.946
Classicpapillarycarcinoma,n(%) 31(79.5) 10(66.7) 0.324
Encapsulatedtumor,n(%) 8(20.5) 5(33.3) 0.324
Invasionoftumorcapsule,n(%) 4(10.3) 3(20.0) 0.306
Lymphnodemetastases,n(%) 5(12.8) 2(13.3) 0.960
Contralaterallymphnodemetastases,n(%) 2(5.1) 2(13.3) 0.147
TNMIII/IV,n(%) 8(20.5) 2(13.3) 0.543
1stthyroglobulinstimulated(ng/dL) 2.19±2.54 19.01±44.18 <0.0001
131Iodineuptake(%) 1.57±1.65 1.36±1.45 0.687
1stwholebodyscanpositive,n(%) 36(92.3) 15(100.0) 0.269
Cumulativedoseof131Iodine(mCi) 144.08±33.61 232.14±99.09 <0.0001
Follow-up(months) 66.85±70.14 103.07±61.27 0.019
Twoormoredosesof131Iodine,n(%) 0(0.0) 9(60.0) <0.0001
Disease-freesurvival(months) 39.44±69.56 48.87±52.97 0.116
Activediseaseinthelastevaluation,n(%) 0(0.0) 8(53.3) <0.0001
cm,centimeters;mCi,milicuries;n,number;ng/dL,nanogramsperdecilitre;%,percentage.
a Univariateanalysisofcategoricalvariables(nand%;Fisher’sexacttest)andnumerical[mean±standarddeviation;Student’sttest
forageandadjustmentforgeneralizedlinearmodelwithgammadistribution(asymmetrically),fortheothervariables]forthepresence ofpersistenceand/orrecurrenceofcancer.Significance:p<0.05.Thevariableswithp≤0.15intheunivariateanalysiswereevaluated subsequentlybythemultivariateanalysis.
ROC Curve 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1 - Specificity Sensitivity
Figure1 Receiver-operatingcharacteristiccurve(ROC)ofthe first stimulated thyroglobulin [cutoff=1.6ng/dL (area under the curve: 0.713; p=0.019)] as predictor of cancer persis-tence/recurrence.
levelbelow2ng/dL,measuredinthefirstthreemonthsafter TTandbeforeeventualtherapeutic131Idose,indicatesgood prognosisinTMCpatients.
The limitations of thisstudy couldhaveinfluenced the resultsandinclude:itsretrospectivecharacter,themodest samplesize,thevarioushistologicsubtypesincluded(some ofthemwithworseprognosis),theinabilitytoclassifythe cases according toinitial disease presentation (incidental
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 < 1.60 > 1.60 1st stimulated thyroglobulin (ng/dL) P ersistence/Recurrence (%) p=0.041
Figure 2 Persistence/recurrence of the tumor in relation tothefirst stimulatedthyroglobulin (smaller orgreater than 1.60ng/dL).Chi-squaretest.Significance:p<0.05.
ornon-incidentalTMC),22,23andtheinitialtreatmentofthe
patients(totalthyroidectomyandtherapeuticdoseof131I), whichhasnotbeencurrentlyindicatedforTMC.4
Neverthe-less,thisstudy’s meritis bringingtolight the importance of measuring STg after thyroidectomy to prognosticate TMC.
Conclusion
The first postoperative STg measurement was capable of predictingTMCpersistence/recurrence.Otherstudieswith largersample sizes anddifferentdesignsarenecessary to confirmtheseresults.
Conflicts
of
interest
Theauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest.
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