ESTRATÉGIA
em
Volatilidade:
Os desafios são inesperados e/ou instáveis e talvez de duração indeterminada
mas não é necessariamente difícil de entender.
Incerteza:
Ausência de previsibilidade - apenas depois do ocorrido é possível determinar
as causas e consequências do fato.
Complexidade:
A situação possui diversas variáveis interconectadas - dados estão disponíveis
mas o volume e a natureza das forças envolvidas pode ultrapassar a
capacidade dos processos estabelecidos.
Ambiguidade:
Relação causa-efeito confusa e sem precedentes históricos.
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Beginning of the public manifestations against corruption (specially related to world cup and olympics). More than 1.3 MM in the streets in a single day Bankruptcy group X, one of the biggest private groups of the country (Eike Batista) First arrestments of Mensalão operation Beginning of Lava Jato operation (the biggest operation coordinated by FP and Public Ministery against public/private corruption)
crisis
World Cup 7 x 1 Rousseff’s reelection First fiscal adjustments “Fiscal Pedaling”: Public accounts manipulation to cover country’s fiscal déficit Brazil lost S&P’s investment grade (BBB-to BB+) Beginning of Rousseff’s Impeachment process Zika virus Microcefalia BRL/USD = 4 Mariana’s Disaster -Samarco Dengue Epidemic Eike Batista, Sergio Cabral and Eduardo Cunha got arrested by Lava Jato operation Rousseff’s ImpeachmentFiscal déficit affecting most of brazilian states, causing problems to pay public workers and sustain health and safety expenses
PEC 241 approval. First real practical measure to hold back the fiscal déficit Rio’s
Olympics
Municipal elections
Temer got accused by J&F (one of the largest private holdings in the country) for being obstructing the Lava Jato operation
Ex president Lula was convicted by the Lava Jato operation Temer’s Impeachment process (acquitted) End of the worst water crisis in the last 80 years
