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Two-Stage Stochastic Programs with Mixed

Probabilities

Paul Bosch

Alejandro Jofr´

e

udiger Schultz

Abstract—We extend the traditional two-stage lin-ear stochastic program by probabilistic constraints imposed in the second stage. This adds nonlinear-ity such that basic arguments for analyzing the struc-ture of linear two-stage stochastic programs have to be rethought from the very beginning. We iden-tify assumptions under which the problem is struc-turally sound and behaves stable under perturbations of probability measures.

Keywords: Stochastic programming, two-stage models, stability analysis

1

Introduction

This is an extended abstract of a recently published paper in SIAM Journal on Optimization, Vol. 18, No.3, see [6]. Motivated by the study of stochastic programming prob-lems coming from planing and operational management decisions in power generation companies, in [6], was introduced the following parametric family of mixed-probability stochastic programs

P(µ, λ) min{cT

x+

Z

Rs

Q(z−Ax, λ)µ(dz) : x∈C}

(1) where (µ, λ)∈∆×Λ and

Q(t, λ) := minqTy

s.t W y=t y≥0

λ(Hj(y))≥pj, j = 1, . . . , d.

(2)

Here Hj, j= 1, . . . , d, are set-valued mappings fromRm

to Rr with closed graph, and p

j, j = 1, . . . , d, are

pre-designed probability levels. If P(Rs), P(Rr) denote the

sets of all Borel probability measures on Rs and Rr, re-spectively, we assume that ∆,Λ are subsets of P(Rs),

P(Rr). Moreover,C is a closed subset ofRm¯, and all

re-maining vectors and matrices have suitable dimensions.

Facultad de Ingenier´ıa, Universidad Diego Portales, Ave.

Ej´ercito 441, 5to. piso, Santiago, Chile Email: [email protected]

Centro de Modelamiento Matem´atico, Universidad de

Chile, Ave. Blanco Encalada, Santiago, Chile, Email: [email protected]

Department of Mathematics, University of

Duisburg-Essen, Lotharstr. 65, D-47048 Duisburg, Germany, Email: [email protected]

This model was introduced for the first time, by the au-thor in his thesis of doctoral degree, see [4] or [5] chapter 4, altogether with Professors Alejandro Jofr´e and R¨udiger Schultz.

The modelP(µ, λ) extends the traditional two-stage lin-ear stochastic program introducing some probabilistic constraints λ(Hj(y)) ≥ pj, j = 1, . . . , d in the second

stage of the problem. These types of constraints add nonlinearities to the problem so that basic arguments to analyze the basic well-posedness ofP(µ, λ) had to be rethought from the very beginning, see our work in [6].

References

[1] Bank, B., Guddat, J., Klatte, D., Kummer, B., and Tammer, K., Non-linear Parametric Optimization, Akademie-Verlag, Berlin, 1982.

[2] Billingsley, P.,Convergence of Probability Measures, Wiley, New York, 1968.

[3] Billingsley, P.,Probability and Measure, Second Edi-tion, Wiley, New York, 1986.

[4] Bosch, P., Sensibilidad y Dualidad en Optimizaci´on y Control Optimal con Incertidumbre, Dr. Thesis, Universidad de Chile, 2003.

[5] Bosch, P., Sensibilit´e et Dualit´e en Optimisation et contrˆole optimal avec incertitude, Docteur en Math-ematiques, Universite de Bourgogne, France, 2003. [6] Bosch, P., Jofr´e A. and Schultz R., Two-Stage

Stochastic Programs with mixed Probabilities,”

SIAM J. Optim., Vol. 18, No. 3, (2007) pp. 778-788. [7] Kibzun, A.I. and Kan, Y.S.,Stochastic Programming Problems with Probability and Quantile Functions, Wiley-Interscience Serie in Systems and Optimiza-tion, 1996.

[8] Pr´ekopa, A.,Stochastic Programming, Kluwer Aca-demic Publishers, Dordrecht, 1995.

[9] Schultz, R., Some aspects of stability in stochastic programming,” Annals of Operations Research 100 (2000), pp. 55-84.

Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering 2008 Vol III WCE 2008, July 2 - 4, 2008, London, U.K.

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