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www.jped.com.br

ORIGINAL

ARTICLE

Detecting

congenital

hypothyroidism

with

newborn

screening:

the

relevance

of

thyroid-stimulating

hormone

cutoff

values

Stela

Maris

Silvestrin

a,∗

,

Claudio

Leone

b

,

Cléa

Rodrigues

Leone

c

aUniversidadeFederaldeMatoGrosso(UFMT),FaculdadedeMedicina,DepartamentodePediatria,Cuiabá,MT,Brazil bUniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),FaculdadedeSaúdePública,DepartamentodeSaúdeMaterno-Infantil,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil cUniversidadedeSãoPaulo(USP),FaculdadedeMedicina,DepartamentodePediatria,SãoPaulo,SP,Brazil

Received16February2016;accepted4July2016 Availableonline23December2016

KEYWORDS

Congenital hypothyroidism; Newbornscreening; Neonatalscreening; Thyrotropin

Abstract

Objectives: Toassesstheprevalenceofcongenitalhypothyroidismandtheabilityofvarious neonatalthyroid-stimulatinghormone(TSHneo)cutoffvaluestodetectthisdisease.

Methods: Thiscohortstudywasbasedontheretrospectivecollectionofinformationavailable fromtheReferenceServicefor NewbornScreeningdatabase foralllivebirthsfromJanuary 1,2010,toDecember31,2012,assessedusingtheNewbornScreeningProgramofaBrazilian state,Brazil.Theinfantsweredividedintotwogroups:I---Control:infantswithnormal new-bornscreeningtestsandII---Study:infantswithcongenitalhypothyroidism.Analysisincluded comparingtheTSHneolevelsfrombothgroups.Areceiveroperatingcharacteristic(ROC)curve wasconstructedtoassesstheTSHneocutoffvalues.

Results: UsingaTSHneo cutoffvalueof5.0␮IU/mL,50outof111,705screenedinfantshad

diagnosisofcongenitalhypothyroidism(prevalence1:2234livebirths).TheROCcurveshowed thatTSHneovalueof5.03␮IU/mLhad100%sensitivityandthegreatestassociatedspecificity

(93.7%).Theareaunderthecurvewas0.9898(p<0.0001).

Conclusions: TheROCcurveconfirmedthattheTSHneocutoffvalueof5.0␮IU/mLadoptedby

theNewbornScreeningProgramofaBrazilian statewasthemostappropriatefor detecting congenitalhypothyroidismandmostlikelyexplainsthehighprevalencethatwasfound. ©2017SociedadeBrasileiradePediatria.PublishedbyElsevierEditoraLtda.Thisisanopen accessarticleundertheCCBY-NC-NDlicense(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ 4.0/).

Pleasecitethisarticleas:SilvestrinSM,LeoneC,LeoneCR.Detectingcongenitalhypothyroidismwithnewbornscreening:therelevance

ofthyroid-stimulatinghormonecutoffvalues.JPediatr(RioJ).2017;93:274---80.

Correspondingauthor.

E-mail:[email protected](S.M.Silvestrin). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jped.2016.07.006

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PALAVRAS-CHAVE

Hipotireoidismo congênito; Triagemde recém-nascidos; Triagemneonatal; Tirotropina

Detecc¸ãodehipotireoidismocongênitopelatriagemneonatal:arelevância dosvaloresdecortedehormônioestimulantedatireoide

Resumo

Objetivos: Avaliaraprevalênciadohipotireoidismocongênitoeacapacidadedeváriosvalores decortedohormônioestimulantedatireoidedeneonatos(TSHneo)paradetectaressadoenc¸a.

Métodos: Este estudo de coorte teve como base a coleta retrospectiva de informac¸ões disponíveisnobancodedadosdoServic¸odeReferênciaemTriagemNeonataldetodosos nasci-dosvivosde1◦dejaneirode2010a31dedezembrode2012,avaliadosnoProgramadeTriagem

Neonatal deum estadobrasileiro.Osneonatos foramdivididos emdoisgrupos: I---Controle: neonatoscomtestesdetriagemneonatalnormaiseII---Estudo:neonatoscomhipotireoidismo congênito.Aanáliseincluiuacomparac¸ãoentreosníveisdeTSHneodosdoisgrupos.Umacurva dopoderdiscriminantedoteste(ROC)foicriadaparaavaliarosdiferentesvaloresdecortede TSHneo.

Resultados: UtilizandoumvalordecortedeTSHneode5,0␮IU/mL,50dos111.705neonatos

examinadosforamdiagnosticadoscomhipotireoidismocongênito(prevalênciade1:2.234 nasci-dosvivos).AcurvaROCmostrouqueovalordoTSHneode5,03␮IU/mLpossuíasensibilidade

de 100% e a maior especificidade relacionada (93,7%). A área abaixo da curva foi 0,9898 (p<0,0001).

Conclusões: A curvaROCconfirmouqueovalorde cortedeTSHneode5,0␮IU/mLadotado

peloProgramadeTriagemNeonataldeumestadobrasileirofoiomaisadequadonadetecc¸ão dohipotireoidismocongênitoeprovavelmenteexplicaaaltaprevalênciaconstatada.

©2017SociedadeBrasileiradePediatria.PublicadoporElsevierEditoraLtda.Este ´eumartigo OpenAccesssobumalicenc¸aCCBY-NC-ND(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4. 0/).

Introduction

Congenital hypothyroidism (CH) is a common pediatric endocrinedisorder1,2thatcancausementalretardation.3,4

The importanceof early diagnosis andtreatment, to pre-ventirreparablebraindamage4,5andgrowthretardation,3,6

justifiedtheestablishmentofnewbornscreeningprograms (NSPs)forthedetectionofCH.4,7TheseNSPsprovedtobe

significantlycost-effectivetosocietyatlarge.8,9

Measuringtheconcentrationofthyroid-stimulating hor-mone(TSH)isconsideredthebestscreeningteststrategyfor detectingprimaryCH4becauseitexhibitshighsensitivity4,10

andaccuracy.11However,CHdetectiondependsdirectlyon

the neonatal TSH (TSHneo) cutoff value,4,12 which varies

amongdifferentNSPs13,14andmayhaveaninfluenceonthe

recallrate.13 Accordingtoavailable evidence,many cases

ofCHwouldgoundetectediftheTSHneocutoffvaluewas increased.9,15Ontheotherhand,reducingthecutoffvalue

requirespriorjudiciousassessment ofthelaboratorywork quality15andcoststothescreeningprogram.4,9Thecriteria

usedforchoosingtheTSHneocutofffordetectingCHshould beadaptedtothetargetdiseasedefinition.4

Some programs worldwide have loweredthe screening test cutoffs5,7 in order to increase the sensitivity of the

assay5andtotake changesinitsmethodology.16 In

accor-dance withthat, cutoff values closeto 10.0␮IU/mL2,8 or

aslow as5.0␮IU/mL3,17 or 4.5␮IU/mL18 are usedin

sev-eralNSPsworldwide toimprovethedetection ofchildren atrisk.

The prevalence of CH in Brazil is approximately one caseper2500livebirths;regionalvariationhasbeennoted

and according to the 2010 Brazilian Health Ministry rec-ommendations, a TSH value higher than 15.0␮IU/mL per immunometricassayshouldbeconsideredpositive.19

Becausethe efficiencyof any NSPdependson its abil-itytocoverthe largest possiblepopulation and todetect thelargestnumberofcases,obtainingreliableTSHvalues isnecessary tomaximizethedetectionofCHcases. How-ever, the lack of agreement on TSH cutoff values in the literaturemakesthis taskdifficult. SinceNovember2009, theTSHneovalue of5.0␮IU/mLhasbeen thecutoffpoint adopted by the NSP in Mato Grosso (MT), Brazil. Conse-quently,thepresentstudyaimedtoassesstheCHdetection abilityofseveralTSHneocutoffvaluesandtheireffectson thecurrentscreeningprogram.

Methods

Studydesignandpopulation

Thiswasatransversalstudynestedinacohortstudy,based onretrospective informationcollected fromthe database oftheReferenceService for NewbornScreening (RSNS)of MTforalllivebirths,2010---2012,thatwereassessedbythe NSP-MT.Datawerealsocollectedfromtheclinicalrecords ofallindividualswithallformsofCH.

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childthatwasincludedinthestudygroup,therewerefive newborninfants withnormal NSTsincluded in thecontrol group.

The children inGroup I wereadmitted totheprogram immediatelybeforethecorrespondingGroupIIcases;they wereborninthesamemonthandhadbirthweight≥2500g. TheseinfantshadtheNSTsamplescollectedwhentheywere 2---6 days old. Potential participants were excluded from GroupIwhentheNSTsampleremainedatthecollectionsite formorethan30daysorthetestdatawereincomplete.

InfantswithconfirmedCHandbirthweight≥2500g com-prisedGroupII,regardlessofthedateofnewbornscreening collection.Theageatcollection’stimeofNSTwasunpaired betweenthetwogroups. Infantswhose NSTsampleswere collectedat24hafterbirthorwhohadcomorbiditiesand/or medicationusethatwerelikelytointerferewiththe labo-ratoryresultswereexcluded.

According tothis NSP’s guidelines, it is recommended thatthe collectionofthe blood sample is takenby punc-turingtheheelwhentheinfantis3---5daysold;onedropof bloodiscollectedonfilterpaper(Schleicher&Schuell,903) andsenttothelaboratoryatMT’sRSNSforbloodspotTSH concentrationmeasurement.

TheTSHneocutoffvaluewasestablishedas5.0␮IU/mL. Values equal to or lower than 5.0␮IU/mL were consid-ered normal, values between 5.0 and 15.0␮IU/mL were reassessedby collectinga newsample, and valueshigher than 15.0␮IU/mL were referred to confirm the diagno-sis.ThosewithTSHneoconcentrationsover5.0␮IU/mL on repeatsamplingwerealsoreferredtotheRSNSforfurther assessment.

The prevalenceofCHwascalculatedastheproportion oflivebirthswithaconfirmeddiagnosisperyearrelativeto thenumberoflivebirthsthatunderwentaNSTthatsame year.Thenumberoftestsperformedduringthestudyperiod wasobtainedfromtheRSNS,andthenumberoflivebirths in the corresponding periodwas obtained from the State Secretary of Health of MT and the Department of Infor-mationTechnology of the Brazilian UnifiedHealth System (DATASUS).

Therewerenorequirements forthe freeandinformed consentbecausetherehasbeen nochangeinmedical pro-cedure,noadditionalbloodsampleswereobtained,andthe participantswerenotidentified,aswellasbecausethiswas achartreview study andtheauthorizationtoconsult the medical records was provided by the clinical director of thehospital.The study wasapprovedbyHuman Research EthicsCommitteesofJúlioMüllerUniversityHospital, Fed-eralUniversityofMatoGrosso,onOctober13,2010,under No.940/CEP-HUJM/2010 and the Commissionfor Analysis ofResearchProjects[ComissãoparaAnálisedeProjetosde Pesquisa(CAPPesq)],ClinicalDirector’sOffice,Clinical Hos-pital,School ofMedicine, UniversityofSãoPaulo, onJuly 19,2011,underNo.307/11.

Biochemicalmethods

The blood spot TSH concentration was measured using a time-resolvedimmunofluorometricassaywithAutoDELFIA® (Perkin Elmer®, Turku, Finland). For cases with values above the established cutoff of 5.0␮IU/mL, a second

assay was performed, and the reported results corre-spond to the mean of both measurements. According to themethod’ssensitivity,thehighestdetectable concentra-tion was 250.00␮IU/mL; higher values were reported as >250.00␮IU/mLandconsideredas251.00␮IU/mLfor anal-ysis.

To ensure the uniformity and equivalence of the results, the milli-international units per liter (mIU/L) were expressed as micro-international units per milliliter (␮IU/mL). A chemiluminescent assay (ADVIA Centaur® XP ImmunoassaySystem,Siemens,Germany)formeasurement of serum TSH concentrations (␮IU/mL) was used and the resultswereinterpretedaccordingtothereferencevalues perage,i.e.,upto25.000␮IU/mLatthefirstweekoflife and,from0.800to6.000␮IU/mLfrom2ndweekuntil11th months of life. The serumfree T4 concentration (ng/dL) wasmeasuredusingthechemiluminescencemethod(ADVIA Centaur® XPImmunoassaySystem---Siemens),andthe ref-erencevaluevariedfrom0.70to1.80ng/dLforadultsand childrenaccordingtothereferencevaluesgivenbythe sup-portinglaboratory.

Statisticalanalysis

BasedondiseaseprevalencedataprovidedbytheNSP-MT, ˛=0.05 andˇ=0.20(80% power);assuming anareaunder the ROC curve of 90% and a confidence interval (CI) of 70---100%,thesamplesizewasinitiallycalculatedas45 con-firmedcasesofCH.Thisnumberwasreachedintheperiod chosenforthisstudyand,afterapplicationoftheexclusion criteria,44childrenwereanalyzedwithaconfirmed diagno-sisofCH(studygroup).Therewere220infantswithnormal NSTincludedincontrolgroup.

InadditiontotheinfantsincludedinGroupIandGroup II, toconstruct theROC curve, infants withfalse-positive results were alsoincluded (n=24), as well asfiveinfants withanormalNSTforeachfalse-positiveresult(n=120).

Thesensitivity,specificity,positiveandnegative predic-tive value, and likelihood ratio corresponding to various TSHneovalueswerethencalculatedusingMicrosoft® Excel (Microsoft®,version2007,USA)andStata®(StataCorp.2011. Stata Statistical Software: version 12, USA). Continuous dataareshownasmeasuresofcentraltendency(meanand median)anddispersion(standarddeviation---SD,minimum and maximum). To analyzethe relationship between con-centrationsof bothserumTSHandTSHneo,theSpearman correlation test was used. The binomial z-test was used tocompare multiple proportions. To comparethe TSHneo between groups, the non-parametric Mann---Whitney test wasused.Thesignificancelevelwasestablishedasp<0.05.

Results

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100 80 60 40 20 0 0.14-0.5 17.27 25.91 35.45 10.91 6.82 3.64 6.82 11.36 9.09 61.36

Normal Congenital hypothyroidism 11.36 0.5-1.0 1.0-2.0 2.0-3.0 3.0-4.0 4.0-5.0 TSHneo levels (µlU/mL)

F requency , % 5.0-7.0 7.0-9.0 9.0-15.0 15.0-20.0 >20.0

Figure 1 Distributionof thepercentage frequency accord-ingtoneonatalthyroid-stimulatinghormone(TSHneo)levelsin GroupI(n=220)andthefirstTSHneotestinGroupII(n=44)for infantsassessedusingtheNewbornScreeningProgram,stateof MatoGrosso,Brazil,2010---2012.

and it ranged from 10.07 to >150.00␮IU/mL. The mean (SD)and median of serumfree T4 value were 0.70ng/dL (SD=0.39)and0.62ng/dL,respectively,ranging from0.11 to1.44ng/dL.

Fig. 1depicts thedistribution of theTSHneo valuesin GroupsIandII.TheresultsshowthattheTSHneovaluesof 78.63%oftheinfantswithanormalNSTrangedfrom0.14to 2.0␮IU/mL,whilethevaluesoftheremaining21.37%ranged from2.0to5.0␮IU/mL.AmongtheinfantswithCH,the ini-tialTSHneovalueswerehigherthan9.0␮IU/mLin81.81% of the cases; the vast majority of the infants had values higher than 20.0␮IU/mL. The proportion of false-positive casesdetectedwiththeTSHneocutoffof5.0␮IU/mL corre-spondedtoaproportionof0.02%.

The mean TSHneo value of the infants with a nor-mal NST was 1.40␮IU/mL (SD=1.2; ranging from 0.14 to 4.70␮IU/mL). The median TSHneo values differed signifi-cantlybetweenGroupsI(1.15␮IU/mL)andII(26.55␮IU/mL) (p<0.001).

Fig.2depictstheresultsoftheconfirmatorytests(serum TSHandfreeT4).

The ROC curve constructed with the TSHneo values of Groups I and II is depicted in Fig. 3.20 A TSHneo

value of 5.03␮IU/mL exhibited the highest specificity

100 80 60 40 20 0 10.0-15.0 13.95 2.33 83.72 18.6 37.21 13.95 25.58 4.65 15.0-20.0

≥20.0 ≤0.35 0.35-0.70 0.70-1.00 Levels F requency , % 1.00-1.40 ≥1.40

Serum TSH (µIU/mL) Free T4 (ng/dL)

Figure2 Distributionofthepercentagefrequencyaccording tothe serum thyroid-stimulating hormone(TSH) andfree T4 levelsoftheinfants(n=43)inGroupIIwhowereassessedusing theNewbornScreeningProgram,stateofMatoGrosso,Brazil, 2010---2012. 100 80 60 40 20 0

0 20 40 60

100 - specificity

Area under ROC curve (AUC) Standard errora

95% confidence intervalb Z statistic

P=Significance level (area=0.5) Youden’s J index

Associated criterionc

[Sensitivity (100) and Specificity (93.68)] Optimal criteriond,e

[Sensitivity (95.45) and Specificity (96.43)] Sample size

Variable classification

With congenital hypothyroidism (1) Without congenital hypothyroidism (0) Frequency of disease, %

0.989885 0.00365 0.974645 to 0.997163 134.177 <0.0001 0.9368 >5.03 >6.33 408 44 364 10.8 Infants with hypothyroidism

Sensitivity

80 100

Figure3 Receiver operatingcharacteristic (ROC) curve for theneonatal thyroid-stimulating hormone(TSHneo) levels of infants without and with a confirmed diagnosis of congeni-talhypothyroidism,NewbornScreeningProgram,stateofMato Grosso,Brazil,2010---2012.

aHanley&McNeil,201982.

bBinomialexact.

cGreaterspecificityforasensitivityof100%.

dHighersensitivityandspecificityassociatedandabove95%.

eTakingintoaccountdiseaseprevalenceandestimatedcosts:

costfalsepositive:1;costfalsenegative:1;costtruepositive: 0;costtruenegative:0.

(96.68%;95%CI=90.7---96.0)for a sensitivityof100% (95% CI=92.0---100.0). A cutoff value of 6.33␮IU/mL exhib-ited the best combination of sensitivity (95.45%; 95% CI=84.5---99.4)andspecificity(96.45%;95%CI=94.0---98.1). Table1describestheCHprevalenceaccordingto differ-entTSHneocutoffvalues.Theprevalencedecreased consis-tentlyastheTSHneocutoffvalueincreased(p<0.001).

Discussion

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Table1 Percentagedistributionaccordingtotheneonatalthyroid-stimulatinghormone(TSHneo)cutoffvalue andthe esti-matedCHprevalenceofthe44infantsinGroupII,NewbornScreeningProgram,stateofMatoGrosso,Brazil,2010---2012.

TSHneo(␮IU/mL) Congenitalhypothyroidism(CH) Estimatedprevalenceb p-Valuec

Withdiagnosis Withoutdiagnosis Totala

n % n % n

>5.0 44 100 0

---44

1:2539

--->10.0 36 81.82 8 18.18 1:3103 <0.001

>15.0 31 70.45 13 29.55 1:3603 <0.001

>20.0 27 61.36 17 38.64 1:4137 <0.001

aNumberofCHcasesdetectedduringthestudyperiod.

b Basedonthenumberofneonatalscreeningtests(NSTs)performedduringthethree-yearperiod=111,705tests.

c Binomialz-test.

assessed using the NSP-MT. The results showed that the prevalence of CH increased over time as the adopted TSHneocutoffvaluedecreased.TheTSHneocutoffvalueof 5.0␮IU/mL proved tobethemost effective for detecting CHintheinvestigatedpopulation.

A total of 50 cases of CH were detected during the study period. The corresponding prevalence (1:2234) was fourtimeshigherthantheprevalencefoundbyStranieriand Takano21 atthesameNSPin2003---2004,whichwas1:9448

live births using the TSHneo cutoff value of 15.0␮IU/mL by enzymatic-colorimetric assay. The difference in CH prevalenceamongneonatalscreeningservicesthatuse dif-ferentlaboratory methods for detection is present in the literature.22 Using a similar laboratory method, Mengreli

et al.8 found an increased prevalence of permanent CH

(1:1749 vs. 1:3384) when different TSHneo cutoff values wereused.

Studies conducted in the United States showed that changes in the TSHneo cutoff value13 could result in an

increase in CH prevalence. Therefore, the data reported herestronglyindicatethatthe changein theTSHneo cut-offvalueislikelythemainfactorthatcausedtheincrease inCHprevalenceintheNSPsofMT.

TheaverageofTSHneoconcentrationinBrazilianinfants from the state of Sergipe at age 2 to 6 days old was 1.33±1.08␮IU/mL,23 i.e., similarto the TSHneo

concen-trationin thepresent study (1.40±1.02␮IU/mL). Despite thehighaveragetemperaturein thestateofMT,seasonal variationsandeffectsassociatedwithsamplestorageatthe collectionsitedonotseemtohaveinfluencedtheTSH val-uesin the present study,assamplesthat werestored for morethan30dayswerenotincludedintheanalysis.

TheTSHneovaluewashigherthan20.0␮IU/mLin61.36% of theinfants with CHin the present study,with amean of 93.97±98.15␮IU/mL. These findings agree with those reportedbyRamalhoetal.,23whofoundvalueshigherthan

19.70␮IU/mLin62.5%ofinfantswithCH.

TheefficiencyofanyNSPdependsofthechoiceofthe cutoff values, which should have a high sensitivity while maintainingspecificity.Increasingthecutoffvalueincreases itssensitivity, but therewill alsobe an increase in false-positiveresults.24

In the present study, the TSHneo cutoff value of 5.0␮IU/mLdetected50casesofCHfromwhichmanywould nothavebeendetectedusinghigherTSHcutoffvalues.The

better abilitytodetect CHcasesmight indicatethe diag-nostic power of lower TSH cutoff levels and reflect the structuring ofthe local NSP.Botleret al.25 analyzed

vari-ousTSHcutoffvaluesfor detectingCHandfound42cases usingacutoffvalueof≥20.0␮IU/mLin2005,but165cases were found in 2007 when the cutoff value was reduced to ≥10.0␮IU/mL. Korada et al.6 found 120 infants using

a TSHneocutoffvalue of 6.0␮IU/mL, unlikethe study by Ramalhoet al.,23 where eightcases of CHwere detected

withcutoffof5.2␮IU/mL.

In the present study, the TSHneo cutoff value of 10.2␮IU/mL,withsensitivityof81.82%(95%CI:67.3---91.8) and specificityof 98.08%(95% CI:96.1---99.2), wouldhave failedtodetectapproximately18%ofthescreenedinfants whorequiredfurtherdiagnosticinvestigation.Inthestudy byTuetal.,26thesensitivityoftheTSHneocutoffpointof

10.0␮IU/mLusingtheDELFIAmethod(immunoassaysystem for routinescreeninganddiagnosticprograms)wasbetter (98.93%) than the sensitivity found in the present study; however,thespecificity(99.48%)wassimilarinbothstudies. Here,withaTSHcutoffvalueof15.5␮IU/mL,almost30.0% oftheCHcaseswouldbemissedbecauseofthelow sensitiv-ityofthetest(68.18%;95%CI:52.4---81.4).However,healthy infantswithvaluesbelow10.2␮IU/mLor15.5␮IU/mLwould becorrectlyidentifiedashealthyin98.0%ofthecases.

Theoddsof findinghealthy infantswithTSHneovalues of 30.8␮IU/mL were zero because of the high specificity (100%;95%CI:99.0---100)andverylowsensitivity(47.73%, 95%CI:32.5---63.3)ofthatcutoffvalue,which wouldhave failedtodetectmorethan50%oftheinfantsatactualrisk ofdisease.

Thatshortcoming notwithstanding, because of its pos-itive predictive value of 100%, TSHneo values above 30.8␮IU/mL reliably indicated the need for treatment beforetheconfirmatorytestresultswereavailable,as dis-easewasconfirmedinalloftheinfantswhoexhibitedvalues above that level. According to Léger et al.,4 when the

TSHneovaluesareabove≥40.0␮IU/mL,itisrecommended tostarttreatmentafteragoodvenoussampleisobtained, withoutwaitingfortheconfirmatorytestresult.

Inthepresent study,TSHneo cutoffvaluesof15.0 and 20.0␮IU/mL would have failed to detect 30% and 40%, respectively,ofthescreenedinfantswhorequired confirma-tionofdisease.Baroneetal.18foundthatin24.4%ofinfants

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theirvaluesvariedfrom4.5to5.4␮IU/mL.Inthepresent study,6.82%oftheinfantswithCHexhibitedTSHneovalues from5.0to7.0␮IU/mL.

This analysis was based on a TSH cutoff value of 5.0␮IU/mL,theaccuracyofwhichisshownbytheROCcurve (areaunderthecurve=98.98%)andp<0.0001.Inaddition, thatcutoffvalueexhibited100%sensitivityand93.68% asso-ciatedspecificity.Consideringtheequivalentresultforthese two measures, the Youden index of 0.9368 has indicated thatthechoiceofTSHneocutoffvalueismostlikelytobe correct,asitwasassociatedwiththelowestproportionof misclassification.

Oneofthelimitationsofthisstudyisthenon-inclusionof childrenwhounderwentscreeningbyprivateandcontracted healthcaresystem,andevenasmallproportionwhodidnot performtheexam.However,itmustbestressedthatalllive birthsinthepublichealthcaresystemwhounderwentNST wereincluded. The other limitationis relatedtothe fact thatsomeinfantshavenotyetbeenreassessedfor identify-ingthetransientformofCHbecausetheyareunder3years old.

The results obtained suggest that in the population of infantsscreenedfor CHusingtheNSP-MT,thelowTSHneo cutoff value adopted may have contributed to the high prevalence of the disease found. This study shows that the current threshold of TSHneo at the NSP-MT in terms ofcost-effectivenessisthemostadequatecutoffpointfor thedetectionofCH;itwasabletodetect allcasesofCH, includingthosemilderformsofthedisease.However,this protocol increased the occurrence of false-positive tests that wereassociated withincreased psychological effects onparentalanxiety.Thisproportionoffalse-positivescould bealimitationtotheTSHneocutoffof5.0␮IU/mL,butas it corresponded tosuchasmall proportion(0.02%),it did notcontributetotheincreasedcostsoftheprogram.The possibilityofdetectingthelargestpossiblenumberofcases ofthediseasejustifiedtheadoptionofthiscutoff.

Unfortunately,whetherornottheadditionalmildcases ofCHdetectedinthiswayareassociatedwithadecrease in cognitive performance is not known and, therefore, whetheror nottheyneed tobescreened,ensuring signif-icantincrease inthecostofrecall,is controversialat the present. According to Léger et al.,4 the aim of a

neona-talscreening shouldbetodetectallformsofprimaryCH, especiallythemoresevere.Besidesthat,furtherstudiesare needed toassessthecost-effectivenessof adoptinglower cutoffofTSHneoforthestateprogram.

Conflicts

of

interest

Theauthorsdeclarenoconflictsofinterest.

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Imagem

Fig. 1 depicts the distribution of the TSHneo values in Groups I and II. The results show that the TSHneo values of 78.63% of the infants with a normal NST ranged from 0.14 to 2.0 ␮IU/mL, while the values of the remaining 21.37% ranged from 2.0 to 5.0 ␮IU/
Table 1 Percentage distribution according to the neonatal thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSHneo) cutoff value and the esti- esti-mated CH prevalence of the 44 infants in Group II, Newborn Screening Program, state of Mato Grosso, Brazil, 2010---2012.

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