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ALGORITHM DEVELOPMENT FOR WATER QUALITY PREDICTION SYSTEM ALONG INDUSTRIAL OUTFALL RIVER STRETCH USING MODELING AND COMPUTER SIMULATION

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ALGORITHM DEVELOPMENT FOR

WATER QUALITY PREDICTION

SYSTEM ALONG INDUSTRIAL

OUTFALL RIVER STRETCH USING

MODELING AND COMPUTER

SIMULATION

ANAND MOHAN

Assistant Professor

NSHM Knowledge Campus, Durgapur

M. SUNDARARAJAN

Scientist

Central Institute of Mining and Fuel Research (CIMFR), Dhanbad

Abstract

The paper presents an algorithm for developing river quality prediction system. The algorithm duly incorporates the velocity variation along the cross sectional area of the river system. The algorithm also takes the dimensional variation along the river stretches. The settling velocity of the settle able bio-flocculated particulate matters has been duly considered while simulating the water quality dispersion along the river stretch. The algorithm contains five parts including user authentication module, velocity estimation module, flow rate computation module, water quality predictive module and presentation module. The application of algorithm will be useful for environmentalists for devising suitable mitigative measures for protecting river eco-environment.

Keywords:Modeling and Simulation, River Quality Management, Water Pollution Predictive Algorithm

Introduction

Most of the Industries are responsible for polluting the environment, particularly the nearby river systems by continuous discharge of the industrial effluents. Such Industries are always located on or nearby the bank of rivers. The river water is being utilized for various purposes such as drinking, bathing, agriculture and industrial use. A good river quality management should ensure the quality of river water at any point along with river stretch [1-5]. Most of the modeling software, which are being imported, is quite costly. Further, some of the effective software has many limitations. These models have been developed with many assumptions with the aim to simplify the governing equations into the standard form of differential equations, which can easily be solved through analytical methods [6, 7]. These models assume the velocity over the cross section of the river system as constant. The assumption of constant velocity over the cross section would cause significant difference in the measure of flow rate and the predicted water quality data would possess less accuracy []. Therefore, it is very much warranted to study on the dispersion characteristics of pollutant species along multi-wastewater-outfall river system has to be considered in order to develop an indigenous and effective algorithm for water quality prediction, which would lead for designing suitable predictive system for better river quality management using appropriate mathematical models for simulating the water quality along the river stretch.

Methodology

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Practically, it may not be possible to account all the parameters of the real world that influence the system. However, the more we incorporate the influencing parameters while deriving the governing equation; we can derive a best model whose results would approximately project the real world. System analysis over the transport phenomena of a dynamic river system blended with multi-wastewater-outfalls was carried out in order to design an algorithm that leads to the development of river quality predictive system for the prediction of both conservative and non-conservative parameters along the multi-industrial-wastewater-outfall river stretch, duly incorporating suitable mathematical tools for interpolating the velocity variation over the cross section of the river system for estimating the accurate and rational flow rates, which is the most important parameter in river quality prediction [8, 9]. Therefore appropriate models would be selected after a detailed survey on the existing models in the application of river quality prediction. The various steps, techniques and tools of system analysis, would be adopted. Based on the nature of adopted mathematical models for the proposed research work, an algorithm has been designed, which would help a software engineer concern with environmental pollution to development of River Quality Management Information System (RQM Infosys).

Development of Algorithm

Part A: User Authentication Module:

(To use this software an authorized user is allowed. This module verifies that the user who wants to access the software must enter authenticated username and password)

1. Input: UserName 2. Input: Password

3. If UserName = <User Data Base. Username> then (a) If Password = <User Data Base. Password> then

(a.1) Grant access of RQM Infosys main module (a.2) else prompt to enter valid password GOTO step 2 (b) else initialize counter to 0 (cnt = 0 )

(b.1) prompt to enter valid user name GOTO step 1 (b.2) increase cnt by 1 (cnt =cnt+1)

(b.2.1) if cnt > 3 then exit

Part B: Velocity Estimation Module:

(This module helps the user to estimate maximum velocity corresponding to the co-ordinate where maximum depth occurs over the cross section of the river system)

1. Input: Distance to the point where the velocity measured from the bank of the river (ay) 2. Input: Distance to the bank of the river from the point where maximum velocity occurs (ao) 3. Input: Stream velocity measured (v)

4. Input: maximum depth of the river (D)

5. Estimate maximum velocity at top layer of river where maximum depth occurs Vo = v *ay2/(ao2-ay2)

Part C: Flow Rate Computation Module:

(This module helps the user to compute total accurate and rational flow rate of the river water over the cross section)

1. Prompt then read the data to be processed. (D= Depth of River; ao = Positive side of the river width in respect of x axis; bo = Negative side of the river width in respect of x axis; Vm = Maximum Velocity at top layer of river)

2. Divide the cross sectional area in the positive direction of x-axis into finite number of small distinct square elements with dimensions x, y.

The number of partitions in the width of surface layer is (n = (bo– ao ) / x) The number of layers with thickness y in the cross section is (m = D / y) 3. Initialize counter to 0 (y=0; x=0; F=0)

4. While (y <= m) do

a. Calculate ay = |± a0(1-y/D)½| b. While (x <= ay) do

(b.1) Calculate the Average velocity of cross sectional area for layer between the depth D =(m-1)

y and D = my.

(b.1.1) At left-top corner point: v(x, y)= [vm(0,0)(1-y/D)-(x/ay)2]

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(b.1.3) At left-bottom corner point: v(x, y-y)= [vm(0,0)(1-(y-y)/D)-(x/ay)2]

(b.1.4) At right-bottom corner point: v(x+x, y-y)= [vm(0,0)(1-(y-y)/D)-((x+x)/ay)2] (b.1.5) Calculate Average Velocity v= [v(x,y)+v(x+x,y)+v(x,y-y)+v(x+x,y-y)]/4

(b.2) Calculate Average Flow rate: f= v* x*y and add it to the previous flow rate (F = F + f) and save the calculated data.

(b.3) increment x GOTO step 4b 5. Increment y GOTO step 4.

6. Computation of Coss Sectional Area: (6.1) comp1=D(ao – bo)

(6.2) comp2= D(ao + bo) *(ao2 –bo2) / 2ao bo (6.3) comp3= D*(ao3 –bo3) / 3ao bo (6.4) CSA= comp1 + comp2 + comp3

7. If a0 = bo then

(7.1) Total Flow rate of cross section of river Q= 2*F GOTO step 8 (7.2) Else, Q1=F and repeat the step 4 set ay = by = |± b0(1-y/D)½| , Q=Q1+F

Part D. Water Quality Prediction Module:

(This module takes the flow rate value from the previous module (Part C) and helps the user for predicting the conservative as well as non-conservative water quality parameter along the river stretches that the user desires)

1. Input: Length of a unit distance (in meter); u

2. Input: Maximum Velocity at Ref. Point; Pat-A . Step5 . vo 3. Input: Upstream river flow at Ref. Point; Part C.Step 7 . Q: 4. Input: Cross Sectional Area at Ref. Point; Part C.Step (6.4).CSA 5. Input: No. of outfalls; n

6. Input: Up to what distance you would like to predict the water quality from the last outfall point; x dist

7. Initialize counter to 0 (i=0;d=0) 8. While (i <= n) do

(8.1) Input: Code of the outfall station; S$(i) (8.2) Enter River Dimensions for (i+1)th Stretch:

(8.2.1) Input: right x-coordinate; a(i) (8.2.1) Input: left x-coordinate; b(i) (8.2.1) Input: maximum average depth; D(i) (8.3) Input: Distance to the previous outfall; x(i) (8.4) Assign z(i) = x(i): z(i) = d + z(i)

(8.5) Input: Critical mixing distance; m(i)

(8.6) Input: Percentage of settle able bio-flocculated particulate matters; bfp(i) (8.7) Input: Settling velocity of settle able bio-flocculated particulate matters; sv(i) (8.8) Input: Settling coefficient of settle able bio-flocculated particulate matters; sc(i) (8.9) Input: Dispersion coefficient of water quality parameter; k(i)

(8.10) Input: Quantity of water pumped out from river; w(i)

(8.11) Input: Concentration of the parameter in the river water just before outfall point (i+1); a(i) (8.12) Input: Concentration of the parameter in the outfall just before the mixing point; b(i) (8.13) If i = 0 then calculate; p(i) = Q – w(i)

(8.14) else p(i) = r(i-1) - w(i)

(8.15) Assign r(i) = p(i) + q(i); Q(i) = r(i)

(8.16) Calculate the concentration of the parameter just after the critical mixing point; c(i) = [p(i)*a(i)+q(i)*b(i)]/ [p(i) +q(i)]

(8.17) Computation of Cross Sectional Area: (8.17.1) comp1=D(a(i) – b(i))

(8.17.2) comp2= D(a(i) + b(i)) *(a(i)2 –b(i)2) / 2a(i) b(i) (8.17.3) comp3= D*(a(i)3 –b(i)3) / 3a(i) b(i)

(8.17.4) CSA(i)= comp1 + comp2 + comp3 (8.18) Computation of River Velocity at (i+1)th Stretch

(8.17.1) rv(i) = (CSA/CSA(i)) *(Q(i)/Q)* vo (8.19) Assign: Q = Q(i)

(8.20) Increment i= i + 1

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11. Initialize counter to 0(i=0; j=0; z=0) 12. While z <= z(stretch)) do

(12.1) Compute Section-A

(12.2) Assign: z = CINT(z(stretch - 1) + i)

(12.3) Calculate: if x>=0, then v(x,y,z)=rv(i)*[(1-y/D(i)) – (x/a(i))2] Goto Step (12.5) (12.4) Else: v(x, y, z) = rv(i)*[(1-y/D(i)) – (x/b(i))2]

(12.5) Comp1= sv(i)*(1/exp(sc(i))*v(x, y, z)) / D(i) (12.6) Comp2 = z / v(x,y,z)

(12.7) Compute: c(z) = [bfp(i)*c(i)*v(x,y,z) / rv(i)]*(1-comp1*comp2) (12.8) Store z*u, c(z)

(12.9) Increment i = i + 1: z = z+1

13. Input “Whether you would like to continue prediction (Y/N)?”; Ans$ (13.1) Verify: If Ans$ = “y” or “Y” then Goto Step 9 Else Step (13.2) (13.2) Verify: If Ans$ = “n’ or “N”, then Goto Step (13.4)

(13.3) Else “Syntax error!, please enter again”; Goto Step 13 (13.4) Display “Successfully Prediction has been completed! Part E. Presentation Module:

(This module takes the predicted data from the previous module (Part D) and helps the user for plotting the water quality parameters against the river stretches)

(1) Input: z*u, c(z) from stored data (2) Draw x coordinate with context of z*u (3) Draw y coordinate with context of c(z) (4) While not EOF z*u do

(4.1) x= stored data field Z*u (4.2) y = stored data field c(z)

(4.2) draw line with pixel coordinates of x and y

Discussion

Most of the modeling software, which is being imported, is comparatively costlier. More so, some of the effective software have much limitations. A survey shows that the output from such predictive models on transport phenomena of the river system are rarely matching with real time monitoring data, especially in the river system blended with multi-industrial outfalls. These models have been developed with many assumptions with the aim to simplify the governing equations into the standard form of differential equations, which easily could be solved through analytical methods. These models assume the velocity over the cross section of the river system is constant. The assumption of constant velocity over the cross section will cause significant difference in the measure of flow rate. Moreover, these models assume one-dimensional flow, which cannot present the three dimensional scenarios of pollutant-dispersion. As a result, it is also necessary to develop an effective and appropriate model.So far the development of river quality models are concern, due attention has been given to the models of entire river basins. Under the assumption that a regional water authority exists, models have been constructed for the most economical location of treatment plants and their required efficiencies. The earlier models considered in essence only the degree of treatment as a variable, whereas the later models also include effluent charges, storing of wastewater in lagoons, and artificial stream aeration [10]. Newer models consider the effects of low flow augmentation from reservoirs and the problems of heat discharges [11]. A research program has been carried out to study the prediction of stream re-aeration rates of Chattanooga in Tennessee Valley Authority [12]. An attempt has been made to develop predictive models to study the pollution and natural purification of the Ohio River through simple model. The model has been developed based on fundamental truth that the concentration of the non-conservative water quality parameter at time't'is directly proportional to the rate of change in the initial concentration [13]. This model is famous even today, as an axiomatic water quality prediction model. The most rapid assimilation of biological oxygen demand (BOD) in Ganga and Yamuna river has been studied through prediction modeling [14]. The measure of BOD contributed by bio-flocculated particulate matters has been accounted in this study. The model has been derived taking the settling velocity of the settleable bio-flocculated particulate matters.

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Conclusion

The intensity of the problems caused by the coal washeries or any other coal based industries with respect to water quality parameters can be systematically studied through the present algorithm to quantify the environmental damages in and around the industrial complexes. The water quality prediction model may be useful to estimate the exact pollution load in the river system. The modules will be effective for point-to-point water quality prediction along the river stretches blended with numbers of industrial and domestic wastewater outfalls, and results would be very much useful for the best river quality management program in order to ensure the quality of river water for various intended use like bathing, drinking, fish culture, agriculture and industrial use along the downstream of the river system. The modules may be useful for the environmental protection agency to audit the intensity of the problems created by the different industries that are in operation along the river system. The application of the algorithm may help to device suitable control measures to sustain the environmental quality by implementing suitable environmental management plans.

References

[1] Ghose, M.K. and Kumar, A. (1993) Impact of Surface Water due to Discharge of Coal Washery Effluent and Dispersion Profile of Pollutants in Damodar River, Asian Environment, pp.32-40.

[2] Upton, C, (1968) Optimal Taxing of Water Pollution, Water Resources Res., 4(5).

[3] Deininger, R. A. (1965) Water Quality: Management - the Planning of Economically Optimal Control Systems, Proc. of the lst Annual Meeting of the Am. Water Res. Assoc.

[4] Loucks, B. P. and W. R. Lynn. (1966) Probabilistic Models for Predicting Stream Quality, Water Resources Res., 2(3).

[5] Anderson, M. W. and H. J. Day. (1968) Regional Management of Water Quality - A Systems Approach , J. Water Pollut. Cont. Fed., 40(10)

[6] Deininger, R. A. and D. P. Loucks. (1970) Systems Approaches to Problems of Water Pollution Control, Proc. Annual Meeting, Am. Assoc. for the Advance. of Science, Chicago, Illinois.

[7] Thayer, R. and R. G. Krutchkoff, (1967).Stochastic Model for BOD and DO in Streams, J. San. Eng. Div., ASCE, 93(SA3).

[8] Sundararajan, M. et al (2002) Role of IT In River Quality Management and Application of RQM Infosys for Water Quality Prediction Studies, National Seminar on Mine ventilation, Safety and Environment, Organized by CMRI, Dhanbad, Pp.623-634.

[9] Sundararajan, M. et al (2002) Impact of Coal Preparation Plants On Nearby Fluvial Systems and Assessment Through Mathematical Modeling And Computer Simulation, International Conference on challanges in Coal & Mineral Benefeciation, Organized at I.S.M, Dhanbad, Pp.303-310.

[10] Goodman, A. S. and W. E. Dobbins (1966) Mathematical Model for Water Pollution Control Studies, J. San. Eng. Div., Proc. Am. Soc. of Civil Eng., 92(5A6).

[11] Berthouex, P. M. and L. B. Polkowski. (1970) Optimum waste treatment plant design under uncertainty, J. Water Pollut. Cont. Fed., 42(9).

[12] Grantham, G. R.,(1970) Model for Flow Augmentation Analysis - an Overview, J. San. Eng. Div., ASCE, 96(SA5), Proc. Paper 7578. [13] Wunderlich, W. O. (1972) Heat and Mass Transfer Between a Water Surface and the Atmosphere Water Resources Research

Laboratory Report No. 14, Report No. 0-6803, Tennessee Valley Authority Norris.

[14] Streeter, M.W and Phelps, E.E. (1925) A Study of the pollution and Natural Purification of the Ohio River, U.S.Public Health Service Eulletin, pp.146.

[15] Bhargava, D.S. (1989) Most Rapid BOD Assimilation in Ganga and Yamuna, Jl. Env. Engg, American Society of Civil Engineers, vol.109, no.1, pp.pp.194-196.

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