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log(A)
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, & + + P # .
P
(n+n ).(n+n )=
Π1 Π2
Ψ2 Ψ1
$# Π1 (n.n)
=
0 π 0 0 0
0 0 π 0 0 **
* *** *** * ** *** ***
0 0 0 *** ***
0 0 0 0 π
0 0 0 0 π
Π2 (n.n )
=
1−π 0 0 0 0
1−π 0 0 0 0 **
* *** *** * ** *** ***
1−π 0 0 *** ***
1−π 0 0 0 0
1−π 0 0 0 0
Ψ1 (n .n )
=
0 ψ 0 0 0
0 0 ψ 0 0 **
* *** *** * ** *** ***
0 0 0 *** ***
0 0 0 0 ψ
0 0 0 0 ψ
Ψ2 (n .n)
=
1−ψ 0 0 0 0
1−ψ 0 0 0 0 **
* *** *** * ** *** ***
1−ψ 0 0 *** ***
1−ψ 0 0 0 0
1−ψ 0 0 0 0
*
# # l # & & # % % + & h (1−π) #
& & % # # % % . & l π* # $ $ ψ #
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l # # # ' # & & ) '
i, j ∈ {0,1}$# i # + & # # j # # # '
< p > p∈ {l1, ..., ln, h1, ..., hn }*
& # & & ) # & & ) *
xk
i $ #k∈ {b, n} i∈ {0,1} # # '
$# # k & ) $# i* G # /
xb=B xn0+xn1 = (1−B) !"
< (xki, yij<p>km ) i∈ {0,1} k, m∈ {b, n} #
+ $ * ,# + $ & ) % # # # #
$ # - * ,# % & $ & ) & ) $ #
-0< # & %# H # & ) $ & &
# & ) $ % & # & ) & # $ # $
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FE # % & & ) & & ) & ) $ $
# # *
E # # # $# & ) * ; # %
# % *
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< # % $ & & + *
9 % $ $ # # # # & # )
%*
. . $ + +
vk
i<p> # . $ # k$# & % p i*
,# + & & )
−ybmj<l>+β πvb<l′>+ (1−π)vb<h > ≥ 0 "
−ybmj<h>+β ψvb<h′>+ (1−ψ)vb<l > ≥ 0, D"
l∈ {l1, ..., ln} h∈ {h1, ..., hn} l′ % # $ & l h′ % # # %# &
h (m, j)∈ {(b, ),(n,0),(n,1)}*
,# %# '# " D" & # # %# & # & )
% * ,# & # & ) & & *
$ & # & $ # * # % $ # & )
- & # # #
) $ % # + & # # # # # * #
& - & ) #
# # # *
# & ) # % % $# # * ,# .
# 2
ul(yikn1<l>) +β πv0n<l′>+ (1−π)v0n<h > ≥ β πvn1<l′>+ (1−π)vn1<h > 3"
uh(ykni1<h>) +β ψv0n<h′>+ (1−ψ)vn0<l > ≥ β ψv1n<h′>+ (1−ψ)v1n<l > 4"
ul(ybn0<l>) +β πv0n<l′>+ (1−π)v0n<h > ≥ β πvn0<l′>+ (1−π)vn0<h > 0"
uh(ybn0<h>) +β ψv0n<h′>+ (1−ψ)vn0<l > ≥ β ψv0n<h′>+ (1−ψ)v0n<l > F"
l∈ {l1, ..., ln} h∈ {h1, ..., hn} l′ % # $ & l h′ % # # %# &
h (k, i)∈ {(b, ),(n,0)}*
,# . # & ) # % % $# #
−y1nmj<l>+β πv1n<l′>+ (1−π)v1n<h > ≥ β πv1n<l′>+ (1−π)v1n<h > 2"
−y1nmj<h>+β ψv1n<h′>+ (1−ψ)v1n<l > ≥ β ψv1n<h′>+ (1−ψ)vn1<l > ("
−y0nmj<l>+β πv1n<l′>+ (1−π)v1n<h > ≥ β πv0n<l′>+ (1−π)v0n<h > ! "
−y0nmj<h>+β ψv1n<h′>+ (1−ψ)v1n<l > ≥ β ψv0n<h′>+ (1−ψ)vn0<l > , !!"
l∈ {l1, ..., ln} h∈ {h1, ..., hn} l′ % # $ & l h′ % # # %# &
h (m, j)∈ {(b, ),(n,1)}*
$ # & ) * < &
2" (" & ) $# $ # %
*
,# # # = $ 1 # = $ 1
2 3" 4" & % $# 0" F" # ybn
<l> ybn<h>≥
# * * & $ # (/
xn0 xb+xn1 =xn1 xb+xn0 ! "
9 (1),
xn0 =xn1 =(1−B)
2 !D"
,# # $ $ $ /
vn0<l> = x
b .
Sul y
bn
0<l> +
xb .
S −y
nb
0<l> +
xn
1 S (−y
nn
01<l>) +
+β x
b+xn
1
S πv
n
1<l′>+ (1−π)vn1<h > + 1−
xb+xn
1
S πv
n
0<l′>+ (1−π)vn0<h > !3"
vn1<l> = x
b
Sul y
bn
1<l> +
xn0 S ul(y
nn
01<l>) +
+β x
b+xn
0
S πv
n
0<l′>+ (1−π)vn0<h > + 1−
xb+xn
0
S πv
n
1<l′>+ (1−π)vn1<h > !4"
vb<l> = x
b
Sul y
bb ..<l> +
xn
0 S ul y
nb
0<l> +
xb .
S −y
bb <l> +
xn
0
S −y
bn
0<l> +
+x
n
1
S −y
bn
1<l> +β πvb<l′>+ (1−π)vb<h > , !0"
l∈ {l1, ..., ln} l′ % # $ & l*
# $ # %# /
vn0<h> = x
b
Suh y
bn .0<h> +
xb
S −y
nb
0<h> +
xn1 S (−y
nn
01<h>) +
+β x
b+xn
1
S ψv
n
1<h′>+ (1−ψ)v1n<l > + 1−
xb+xn
1
S ψv
n
0<h′>+ (1−ψ)v0n<l > !F"
( # & ! " # & ) $# # %
$# # *
vn1<h> = x
b
Suh y
bn
1<h> +
xn
0 S uh(y
nn
01<h>) +
+β x
b+xn
0
S ψv
n
0<h′>+ (1−ψ)v0n<l > + 1−
xb+xn
0
S ψv
n
1<h′>+ (1−ψ)v1n<l > !2"
vb<h> = x
b
Suh y
bb <h> +
xn
0 S uh y
nb
0<h> +
xb
S −y
bb <h> +
xn
0
S −y
bn
0<h> +
+x
n
1
S −y
bn
1<h> +β ψvb<h′>+ (1−ψ)vb<l > !("
h∈ {h1, ..., hn } h′ % # $ & h*
E # % !3" !(" 3(nl+nh) .
* ,# # * < % # $ & # # &
% % *
E $ $ + # (5(nl+nh).1) y /
y= yl yh
"
yl
(5n.1)
= ybb
<l >. . . ybb<l >ybn0<l >. . . ybn0<l >ybn1<l >. . . ybn1<l >y0nb<l >. . . ynb0<l >ynn01<l >. . . y01nn<l >
′
yh
(5n .1)
= ybb
<h >. . . ybb<h >ybn0<h >. . . ybn0<h >ybn1<h >. . . ybn1<h >y0nb<h >. . . ynb0<h >y01nn<h >. . . y01nn<h >
′
*
$ # v # (3(nl+nh).1) $# # # .
. . & & /
v(y) =
vl(y)
vh(y)
=M−1Ar(y) $# !"
vl(y)
(3n.1)
= vn
0<l >. . . v0n<l > v1n<l >. . . vn1<l > vb<l >. . . vb<l >
vh(y)
(3n .1)
= vn
0<h >. . . vn0<h > vn1<h >. . . v1n<h > vb<h >. . . vb<h >
′
*
# . M
(3(n+n )x3(n+n ))=I3(n+n )−T1−T2
$#
I3(n+n ) # (3(nl+nh).3(nl+nh)) .
T1
(3(n+n )x3(n+n ))
= βS
−(xb+xn
1)Π1 (xb+xn1)Π1 0 −(xb+xn1)Π2 (xb+xn1)Π2 0
(xb+xn
0)Π1 −(xb+xn0)Π1 0 (xb+xn0)Π2 −(xb+xn0)Π2 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
−(xb+xn
1)Ψ1 (xb+xn1)Ψ1 0 −(xb+xn1)Ψ2 (xb+xn1)Ψ2 0
(xb+xn
0)Ψ1 −(xb+xn0)Ψ1 0 (xb+xn0)Ψ2 −(xb+xn0)Ψ2 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
T2
(3(n+n )x3(n+n ))
=β
I3⊗Π1 I3⊗Π2
I3⊗Ψ2 I3⊗Ψ1
# . A
(3(n+n )x10(n+n ))= 1 S
Al 0
0 Ah
, $# Al
(3n.10n)
=
0 xbI
n 0 0 0 0 0 0 xbIn xn1In
0 0 xbI
n 0 xn0In 0 0 0 0 0
xbI
n 0 0 xn0In 0 xbIn xn0In xn1In 0 0
Ah
(3n .10n )
=
0 xbI
n 0 0 0 0 0 0 xbIn xn1In
0 0 xbI
n 0 xn0In 0 0 0 0 0
xbI
n 0 0 xn0In 0 xbIn xn0In xn1In 0 0
# (10(nl+nh).1) '
-r(y) =
rl(y)
rh(y)
,
$#
rl(y)
(10n.1)
=
ul(yl)
−yl
rh(y)
(10n .1)
=
uh(yh)
−yh
$# ul uh yl yh '$ *
!
,# & . $ # &
* ,# ' %
w=
k,i,p
ϕ<p>xkivki<p> "
$# ϕ # & P (k, i)∈ {(b, ),(n,0),(n,1)} p∈ {l1, ..., ln, h1, ..., hn}*
$ "
w=ϑ′v(y) D"
$# # (1.3(nl+nh)) ϑ′ /
ϑ′ = x⊗ϕ
l x⊗ϕh
# # & & ) & ) x
(1I3)= x
n
0 xn1 xb
# ϕl
(1In)
= ϕ
<l > ϕ<l > ϕ<l >
# ϕh
(1.n )
= ϕ
<h > ϕ<h > ϕ<h > $# # $ ) # &
ϕ P*
< # $ $ # $ & !D" !3"' !("
w=
p
k,m,i,j
xk ixmj
S z y
km ij<p>
χp
3"
$# (k, m, i, j) ∈ {(b, b, , ),(b, n, ,0),(b, n, ,1),(n, b,0, ),(n, n,0,1)} p ∈ {l1, ..., ln, h1, ..., hn}
z ykm
ij<p> =u ymkji<p> −ykmij<p> χp % # β, π ψ #
= $ $# p $#
# # % + ! *
,# 3" + # & & % ' % # '
-! E #
p
# % # * w & # . #
*
, $# $ $ nl=nh= 1 # $ $ #
χl = (1−ψ) [(1−βψ) +β(1−π)]
(2−π−ψ) (1−βπ) (1−βψ)−β2(1−π) (1−ψ) 4"
χh = (1−π) [(1−βπ) +β(1−ψ)]
(2−π−ψ) (1−βπ) (1−βψ)−β2(1−π) (1−ψ) . 0"
# $ # %# $ * * π $ ψ= 1 # χl = 0 χh = 1−1β* ,#
# # # %# *
; # # # # $ $ $ * * ψ $ π= 1 # χl = 1−1β
χh = 0* ,# # # $ *
"
θ= (B, π, ψ, β)∈Θ = [0,1]3×[0,1)
" # < . <*
3" # y∗ # + '& y∗
l =
log(A)
A $# $
y∗h=log(AA ) $# # %#*
$
%
# # $ # ' @ # )
$ # π=ψ= 0 nl=nh= 1*
$# # # ) * * γl=γh=γ*
$ β % % 0.4 0.9 # $
# & # # % %# # & & )
* # % . # $# # $ & #
*
&
# $ %# # %
& ) % * $ & # $ & # %
# . *
& % # $ # nl=nh= 1 γl=γh=γ $
* ,# + $ & $ # $
*
# 3"' 0" # $ w # # /
S(1−β)w=xbxb u ybb −ybb +xbxn0 u y0nb +u ybn0 −ybn0 −y0nb +
+xbxn
1 u ybn1 −ybn1 +xn0x1n[u(y01nn)−ynn01]*
,# "' !!"/
g1=−ybb+βvb≥0
g2=−ybn0 +βvb≥0
g3=−ybn1 +βvb≥0
g4=−y0nb+β(v1n−v0n)≥0
g5=−y01nn+β(v1n−v0n)≥0
g6=ybn
!3" ' !(" /
S(1−β)vb=xb u ybb −ybb +xn
0 u ynb0 −ybn0 +xn1 −ybn1
S(1−β) +β 1 +xb (vn
1−vn0) =xb u ybn1 −u ybn0 +y0nb +xn0[u(y01nn)] +xn1[y01nn]
,# $
∂v ∂y =
x [u′(y )−1]
S(1−β)
∂v ∂y =−
x S(1−β)
∂v ∂y =−
x S(1−β)
∂v ∂y =
x u′(y )
S(1−β)
∂v ∂y = 0 ∂(v −v )
∂y = 0 ∂(v −v )
∂y =−
x u′(y )
S(1−β)+β(1+x)
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x u′(y )
S(1−β)+β(1+x )
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x S(1−β)+β(1+x )
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x u′(y )+x
S(1−β)+β(1+x )
% !" % γ = 3.0 S = 3 % % 5,782 β ∈[0.40,0.98]
B ∈ [0.01,0.98] +% " % γ = 2.5 S = 3 % % 4,998
β∈[0.48,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98]*
% ! ' % γ= 3.0 S = 3 % % 5,782
β∈[0.40,0.98] B ∈[0.01,0.98]*
% ' % γ= 2.5 S = 3 % % 4,998
β∈[0.48,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98]*
B
β B
I
A
R
C
D E
1
nonbank product ion
bank product ion f or nonbanks wit h money
bank product ion f or banks bank
product ion
bank product ion f or nonbanks wit hout money
nonbank product ion f or banks
nonbank product ion f or nonbanks
consumpt ion of t he nonbank wit hout money
0 1
% D ' % *
, & !" " # y∗ % #
*
%
< 9
B 0.50 0.02 0.02 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.02 0.10
β 0.79 0.57 0.54 0.60 0.48 0.45 0.50 0.50
ybb 100.0000 99.4516 91.3943 100.0000 100.0000 99.2092 78.9251 83.0263
ybn
0 100.0000 99.4516 91.3943 65.2353 43.9983 37.8337 78.9251 83.0263
ybn
1 100.0000 99.4516 91.3943 116.6436 111.4107 99.2092 78.9251 83.0263
ynb0 100.0000 100.1701 101.4593 65.9738 52.6100 49.9180 86.4856 76.2535
ynn
01 100.0000 100.0000 100.0139 65.9738 52.6100 49.9180 86.4856 76.2535
, & ! ' 5 B β$ #γ= 3.0 S= 3 *
%
< 9 !
B 0.50 0.02 0.02 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.02 0.02
β 0.92 0.69 0.65 0.79 0.60 0.50 0.60 0.48
ybb 100.0000 97.3767 87.5756 100.0000 100.0000 77.5280 72.3817 44.2102
ybn
0 100.0000 97.3767 87.5756 79.2592 45.2889 22.5670 72.3817 0.0000
ybn
1 100.0000 97.3767 87.5756 113.5901 113.2598 77.5280 72.3817 44.2102
ynb
0 100.0000 101.1487 102.5543 80.7831 56.9754 51.0179 83.2648 44.2102
ynn
01 100.0000 100.0000 100.0429 80.7831 56.9754 51.0179 83.2648 44.2102
, & ' 5 B β$ #γ= 2.5 S= 3 *
+ r≡yy −1 !"* % 3" #
r γ= 3.0 *
% 3 ' # r(%) γ= 3.0 S= 3 % %
5,782 β∈[0.40,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98]*
% ) $ % . $ # + '& y∗
r= 0* $ $ # β $ $ # % < $ B %
% & ) g4 g5)& + $ #
y∗* # & ) & % #
& ) $ # * * % % # & ) # % !!* <
r >0 ynb
0 =ynn01* ,# & ) & & #
% *
,# & % $ ) %β* ,# - #
% & ) g3 & & ) #
% & ) g1 & & ) #
y∗ # & )*
% < * * $ B & ) g1g2 g3)& + & ) $
# y∗* # $ $ & ) & ) )
. & ) & % # # ! * < r < 0
ynb
0 =ynn01*
,# & % 9 $ ) %β* ,# - # % 9
& ) g4& & ) # #
& ) $ # & # & ) # & ) # % !D*
% & * % ! & ) % % & & )
$ # * * g6 & & %* #
!" J '% H % *
' (
# $ # ' @ # )
$ # π=ψ= 0 nl=nh = 1* ,# # )
* * γl> γh*
!!E # ∂ v −v ∂y
y y∗
∂ v −v ∂y
y y∗
< ∂ v −v
∂y
y y∗
> & )$ ) % & ) *
! E # ∂v
∂y y y∗
∂v ∂y
y y∗
> *
!DE # ∂ v −v
∂y
y y
> *
# 3"' 0" # $ w # # /
S(1−β)w= 12
p∈{l,h}
xbxb u
p ybb<p> −ybb<p> +
+xbxn
0 up y0nb<p> +up ybn0<p> −ybn0<p>−ynb0<p> +
+xbxn
1 up ybn1<p> −ybn1<p> +x0nxn1 up ynn01<p> −ynn01<p> *
,# "' !!"/
g1=−ybb<l>+βvb<h>≥0
g2=−ybn0<l>+βvb<h>≥0
g3=−ybn1<l>+βvb<h>≥0
g4=−y0nb<l>+β vn1<h>−vn0<h> ≥0
g5=−ynn01<l>+β v1n<h>−v0n<h> ≥0
g6=ybn0<l>≥0
g7=−ybb<h>+βvb<l>≥0
g8=−ybn0<h>+βvb<l>≥0
g9=−ybn1<h>+βvb<l>≥0
g10=−ynb0<h>+β vn1<l>−v0n<l> ≥0
g11=−y01nn<h>+β vn1<l>−vn0<l> ≥0
g12=ybn0<h>≥0
!3" ' !(" /
S(1−β2)vb
<p>=xb up ybb<p> −ybb<p> +xn0 up y0nb<p> −ybn0<p> +xn1 −ybn1<p> +
+β xb u
p′ ybb<p′> −ybb<p′> +xn0 up′ y0nb<p′> −ybn0<p′> +xn1 −ybn1<p′>
S 1−λ2β2 vn
1<p>−v0n<p> =xb up ybn1<p> −up ybn0<p> +y0nb<p> +xn0 up y01nn<p> +xn1 ynn01<p> +
λβ xb u
p′ ybn1<p′> −up′ ybn0<p′> +y0nb<p′> +xn0 up′ y01nn<p′> +xn1 ynn01<p′>
$# λ= 1−1+Sx p, p′∈ {l, h} p=p′*
∂v ∂y =
x [u′(y )−1]
S(1−β )
∂v
∂y =− x S(1−β )
∂v
∂y =− x S(1−β )
∂v ∂y =
x u′(y )
S(1−β )
∂v
∂y = 0 ∂v ′
∂y =β
x[u′(y )−1]
S(1−β )
∂v ′
∂y =−β x S(1−β )
∂v ′
∂y =−β x S(1−β )
∂v ′
∂y =β
x u′(y )
S(1−β )
∂v ′
∂y = 0
,# & )
∂(v −v )
∂y = 0
∂(v −v )
∂y =−
x u′(y )
S(1−λ β )
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x u′(y )
S(1−λ β )
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x S(1−λ β )
∂(v −v )
∂y =
x u′(y )+x
S(1−λ β )
∂(v ′ −v ′ )
∂y = 0
∂(v ′ −v ′ )
∂y =−λβ
x u′(y )
S(1−λ β )
∂(v ′ −v ′ )
∂y =λβ
x u′(y )
S(1−λ β )
∂(v ′ −v ′ )
∂y =λβ
x S(1−λ β )
∂(v ′ −v ′ )
∂y =λβ
x u′(y )+x
S(1−λ β )
% 4" % γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3 % % 4,661 β∈[0.40,0.98]
B ∈[0.20,0.98]*
% 4 ' % γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3 % %
4,661 β∈[0.40,0.98] B∈[0.20,0.98]*
+% 0" $ # $ # $# * ,# # # +%
# % # +% *
high low
B β
I
Ch
0 1
Cl1 Cl2
Dh
Eh
Dl
El
% 0 ' % *
, & D" # yl∗ y∗h %
%
B 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
β 0.95 0.87 0.82 0.70 0.58 0.53 0.50 0.45
ybb
<l> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 88.9072
ybb
<h> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 94.9716 84.6871 69.8548
ybn
0<l> 100.0000 97.0189 93.9973 71.4410 50.6976 42.0257 36.7862 27.5739
ybn
0<h> 100.0000 98.4830 97.1475 75.1305 53.4247 42.1545 35.0419 23.2037
ybn
1<l> 100.0000 102.7363 105.0849 115.1518 118.6979 117.3722 109.4564 88.9072
ybn
1<h> 100.0000 101.4616 102.6626 115.2193 115.5372 94.9716 84.6871 69.8548
ynb0<l> 100.0000 102.9811 106.0027 84.1184 66.7842 60.9185 58.2567 54.9445
ynb
0<h> 100.0000 90.5658 82.1723 63.1603 50.4756 46.6139 44.6148 41.6981
ynn
01<l> 100.0000 105.7174 110.3580 84.1184 66.7842 60.9185 58.2567 54.9445
ynn
01<h> 100.0000 90.5658 82.1723 63.1603 50.4756 46.6139 44.6148 41.6981
, & D ' 5 B β$ #γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S = 3 *
$ + $ # %# r<l> ≡ yy −1
r<h>≡ yy −1* % F" 2" # r<l> r<h> #
% % 5,782 β∈[0.40,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98]*
% F ' # rl (%) γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3 % %
5,782 β∈[0.40,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98] $ # *
% 2 ' # rh (%) γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3 % %
5,782 β∈[0.40,0.98] B∈[0.01,0.98] $ # *
$ $ $ $# # # % # $# & )
& + *
% ) $ % . $ # + '& y∗
l y∗h
$ # %# * r<l>= y
∗
y∗ −1 r<h>= y
∗
y∗−1*
# %# (g10 g11) & + * # $ & )
& # !3 & ) # y∗
l $ !4* <
r<l>$ & r<h> *
,# $ & % $ ) %β* g5
& g4 g5& * # & )
& & # % *
% & ) & # $ % / g9 g7 g3
g1*
,# . $ & # % $# # $# $
& *
!3
E # ∂ v∂y −v
y y∗
∂ v −v
∂y
y y∗
∂ v −v
∂y
∗
∂ v −v
∂y
∗
<
∂ v −v
∂y
y y∗
∂ v −v
∂y
y y∗
> & )$ ) % & ) *
!4E # ∂ v −v ∂y
∂ v −v
∂y > $ ) % & ) *
"
)
"
# # $ # ' @ # )
$ # *
# . $ $ # % % # % # # .
& * # # $ $ % π ψ∈ {0.01,0.25,0.50,0.75,0.99}
# *
*
) . # % % + & .
L(y, )) =ϑ′v(y)−1 c)
′J(g(y)) F"
$# # (5(nl+nh).1) y % & " # (3(nl+nh).1) .
& . . & & v(y) =M−1Ar(y)
$# # (1.6(nl+nh)) % % )′ j(g(y)) # .
/
j(g(y))
(6(n+n ).1)
=
e−cg (y)−1
e−cg (y)−1
** *
e−cg (y)−1
# (6(nl+nh).1) g(y) =e(y) +βF v(y) $# # # J )H #
" D" 0" F" ! " !!" $#
e(y) =
el(y)
eh(y)
el(y)
(6n.1)
=
−yl
− − −
ybn
0<l >
** *
ybn
0<l >
eh(y)
(6n .1)
=
−yh
− − −
ybn
0<h >
** *
ybn
0<h >
# (6(nl+nh).3(nl+nh)) .F
F = Fl Fh / Fl
(6n.3(n+n ))
=
0 0 Π1 0 0 Π2
0 0 Π1 0 0 Π2
0 0 Π1 0 0 Π2
−Π1 Π1 0 −Π2 Π2 0
−Π1 Π1 0 −Π2 Π2 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
Fh
(6n .3(n+n ))
=
0 0 Ψ2 0 0 Ψ1
0 0 Ψ2 0 0 Ψ1
0 0 Ψ2 0 0 Ψ1
−Ψ2 Ψ2 0 −Ψ1 Ψ1 0
−Ψ2 Ψ2 0 −Ψ1 Ψ1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
*
< c >0 & *
9 ) !0 # %
# %)' $ # . % & /
)(jm+1)=)(jm)e−˜cg 1≤j ≤6(nl+nh)
$# (m) m' # *
!09 )
5 # % % ) y & $ # # c ˜c
# & % !F E $ '& # # $ ) $ *
G & % 21" 27" $ % /
L(y, )) =ϑ′M−1Ar(y)−1 c)
′j(g(y))
- % $ # y′ /
[L(y, ))]
(1I5(n+n ))
=ϑ′M−1A [r(y)]−1 c)
′ [j(g(y))] 2"
$# & # # !2/
[j(g(y))]
(6(n+n )I5(n+n ))
= [j(g)] [g(y)] /
[j(g)]
(6(n+n )I6(n+n ))
=−c
e−cg 0
**
* * ** ***
0 e−cg
[g(y)]
(6(n+n )I5(n+n ))
= [e(y)] +βF M−1A [r(y)]
8 % 2" - % % $ # y′ # L/
[L(y, ))]
(5(n+n )I5(n+n ))
= I5(n+n )⊗ϑ′M−1A [r(y)]−
1
c I5(n+n )⊗)
′ [j(g(y))]
$# & # # !(/
[j(g(y))]
(30(n+n )I5(n+n ))
= I6(n+n )⊗ [g(y)] [j(g)] [g(y)] +
+ [j(g)]⊗I5(n+n ) [g(y)]
[j(g)]
(36(n+n ) I6(n+n ))
=c2
e−cg .ε
1 0
**
* * ** ***
0 e−cg .ε6(n+n )
$# εj #
!F,# & # # # π, ψ, n
l, nh, S, β B* 9
@ %c c c ym % * * $# E $ @ % *
!2 % E ) !(22 (!*
6(nl+nh) $# # # 1 # j # $#
[g(y)]
(30(n+n ) I5(n+n ))
=β(I5(n+n )⊗F M−1A) [r(y)]*
,# m # # # yopt & % # /
H L(y(m), )(m)) y(m+1)−y(m) =D L(y(m), )(m)) ′. ("
< $ % ( ! G & # %
& ' = %' & D*
# $ # B % % # 3
(29) + & 4 D L(y(m), )(m)) H L(y(m), )(m))
% ;; "*
, # + % +% (" ! " # [j(g(y))]
[j(g(y))] *
% ( ' [j(g(y))] nl=nh= 2*
E # # + e y # e nl nh I nl nh .*
! 5 3 !*F 6 F* *
G 02 G5< F4 # G (
G 5 K & 9K<G G <K<5< >"
D # % ' = %' + # . # *
3,# & $ ) E ( *
4,# & $ ) )
. *
% ! ' [j(g(y))] nl=nh= 2*
"
# & # $ ) $ #
nl = nh = 1 # * * S = 3
B = 0.50 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 % π ψ∈ {0.01,0.25,0.50,0.75,0.99}*
$ + $ $# $ # %# r<l,h>≡
y
y −1
$ $# $ $ r<l,l>≡ y
y −1* # $ $ +
# %# $# $ $ r<h,l> ≡ y
y −1
# %# $# $ # %# r<h,h>≡ y
y −1*
, & 3" # yl∗ y∗h % #
$# # ) 0 * * π+ψ= 1*
π 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ψ 0.99 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.01
ybb
<l> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000
ybb<h> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000
ybn
0<l> 82.8749 86.9911 91.7414 96.6209 99.9006
ybn0<h> 79.4499 84.3894 90.0896 95.9451 99.8807
ybn
1<l> 111.2575 109.3332 106.6134 103.0678 100.0991
ybn
1<h> 113.5089 111.1998 107.9361 103.6814 100.1189
ynb
0<l> 110.8154 107.0639 104.2583 102.7023 100.0994
ynb
0<h> 80.6555 77.9250 75.8830 74.7505 74.1719
ynn
01<l> 110.8154 107.0639 104.2583 102.7023 100.1985
ynn
01<h> 80.6555 77.9250 75.8830 74.7505 74.1719
, & 3 ' 5 B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl=nh= 1.
, & 4" & 3"*
< $# # ) & ) & %
$ * * # *
π 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ψ 0.99 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.01
r<l,h> 0.40 2.12 2.26 0.36 −1.77
r<l,l> 0.40 2.12 2.26 0.36 0.00
r<h,l> 40.73 42.70 42.24 38.70 37.42
r<h,h> 40.73 42.70 42.24 38.70 34.98
, & 4 ' L" B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl=nh= 1.
, & 0" # yl∗ y∗h % #
$# & P # +. ϕ= [ 0.5 0.5 ]* * * π=ψ*
π 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ψ 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ybb
<l> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000
ybb<h> 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000 100.0000
ybn
0<l> 89.3783 90.1835 91.7414 95.0001 99.7770
ybn0<h> 92.7732 91.8701 90.0896 86.0945 79.4354
ybn
1<l> 108.0425 107.5736 106.6134 104.3468 100.2215
ybn
1<h> 106.1187 106.7534 107.9361 110.2986 113.5151
ynb
0<l> 102.4802 103.1965 104.2583 104.9999 100.2230
ynb
0<h> 76.6543 76.2870 75.8830 76.0764 80.4265
ynn
01<l> 102.4802 103.1965 104.2583 105.4163 100.4445
ynn
01<h> 76.6543 76.2870 75.8830 76.0764 80.4265
, & 0 ' 5 B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S = 3
$ #nl=nh= 1.
, & F" & 0"*
< $# # ) $ $
# * * # *
,# # % $ # K !(( " + % * K F
$# # $ $ % * # #' '
% ' ) - # - & # * G
# # % # & % " % & )
PL=
κ 1−κ
1−κ κ
# $ #
/
# . * $ #
. % % # ' $ $ & % #
& ' 2 * * * G 3 % # #
# ) * ,# # & $# #
# $# $ # # - $ & % *
5 # # ) # ) $# # $ & # & $ & *H
π 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ψ 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
r<l,h> 2.59 2.63 2.26 −0.17 −9.30
r<l,l> 5.43 4.24 2.26 −0.62 0.00
r<h,l> 42.27 42.13 42.24 44.33 55.62
r<h,h> 38.44 39.94 42.24 44.98 41.14
, & F ' L" B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl=nh= 1.
)
# $ ) $ # #
# # * * S= 3 B= 0.50 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 %
π ψ∈ {0.01,0.25,0.50,0.75,0.99}*
$ + + & $(l1)$# $ & # %#(hn)
r<l ,h > ≡ y
y −1 n∈ {1,2, ..., nh} & $(ln)$#
$ # & $(ln−1) r<l ,l − >≡
y y
−
−1 n∈ {2, ..., nl}*
# $ $ + + & # %#(h1)$# $ &
$(ln) r<h ,l >≡ y
y −1 n∈ {1,2, ..., nl} & # %#(hn)$#
$ # & # %#(hn−1) r<h ,h − >≡
y y
−
−1 n∈ {2, ..., nh}*
# & ) % nl = 1 nh = 5 # - % &
# %# *
, & 2" # y∗l y∗h % #
2,# & . # # % % %*
$# π # +. 0.25 $ # - ψ*
π 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
ψ 0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
ybn
0<l > 91.4708 90.2941 88.8965 87.3057 85.5310
ybn
0<h > 94.2444 93.5642 92.7975 91.9647 91.0638
ybn
0<h > 88.1996 87.7610 87.3263 86.9003 86.4430
ybn
0<h > 83.2700 83.2417 83.3153 83.4521 83.5582
ybn
0<h > 79.3573 79.8537 80.5160 81.2475 81.9055
ybn
0<h > 76.3030 76.8538 77.6150 78.4635 79.2305
ybn
1<l > 106.7855 107.5078 108.3146 109.1711 110.0561
ybn1<h > 105.0306 105.5424 106.1014 106.6880 107.2998
ybn
1<h > 109.1006 109.3584 109.6096 109.8516 110.1070
ybn
1<h > 111.7605 111.7744 111.7383 111.6709 111.6184
ybn
1<h > 113.5484 113.3354 113.0452 112.7165 112.4132
ybn1<h > 114.7801 114.5676 114.2672 113.9226 113.6022
ynb
0<l >=y01nn<l > 102.3762 102.8740 103.5312 104.3139 105.1536
ynb
0<h >=y01nn<h > 76.2533 76.4963 76.8750 77.3598 77.8711
ynb
0<h >=y01nn<h > 76.2653 76.8155 77.5358 78.3601 79.1794
ynb
0<h >=y01nn<h > 76.2753 77.0651 78.0226 79.0596 80.0583
ynb
0<h >=y01nn<h > 76.2835 77.2634 78.4022 79.6000 80.7371
ynb
0<h >=y01nn<h > 76.2835 77.2634 78.4022 79.6000 80.7371
, & 2 ' 5 B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S = 3
$ #nl= 1 nh= 5 π= 0.25.< & $ & ) 100.0000*
% !!" # $ & ) # %# & 2"*
% # π ψ*
< +% !!" $ # # ( # %#
(< $ $ # $# $ ) n
ψ* # % # & & # % + $ * * #
ψ # % *
# $# ψ−→1 & # %# r<h , > 40.61%.
,# # $# # %#* ,# & . & " #
& *
Interest rates in period state high
40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
(%
)
0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
r
h1,l1 r h2,h1r
h3,h2r
h4,h3r
h5,h4r
h5,h5% !! ' 6 # L" B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl= 1 nh= 5 π= 0.25 ψ∈ {0.01,0.25,0.50,0.75,0.99}*
E $ ) nl= 5 nh= 1 # - % & $*
% ! " # $ & ) $ #
$# ψ # +. ψ = 0.25 $ # - π* $ %
$# # # $# $* ,# & . & !"
# & *
Interest rates in period state low
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
(%
)
0.01 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.99
r
l1,h1r
l2,l1r
l3,l2r
l4,l3r
l5,l4r
l5,l5% ! ' 6 # L" B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl= 5 nh= 1 ψ= 0.25 π∈ {0.01,0.25,0.50,0.75,0.99}*
,# & $ $ # %# = # # $# # %# & )@
& # & # % % * * & ) $ ' ) %*
; # # # $# $ & )@ & )$ ' ) %*
$ ) nl= 5 nh= 10 $# & $
& $# # % D *
$ % > > !" $ + . #
* K y<p> P<p> # % % p*
# # % /
S y<p>=xbxbybb<p>+xbxn0ybn0<p>+xbx1nybn1<p>+xn0xby0nb<p>+xn0xn1y01nn<p>
p∈ {l1, ..., ln, h1, ..., hn }*
) P<p> & # = 1 Y<p> &
y<p>* , $ %# # & % $# * ,#
S Y<p>=xbxb+xbxn0+xbx1n+xn0xb+xn0xn1 =B+( 1−B )
4 .
D $ n
< $ # %# %# # - +% !D" !3" $# +% !4"
!0" # $ # . & # $ # %# $# # ) *
Total output in period state low
0.0342 0.0343 0.0344 0.0345 0.0346
y<l1> y<l2> y<l3> y<l4> y<l5>
π = 0.25 ; ψ = 0.75 π = 0.50 ; ψ = 0.50 π = 0.75 ; ψ = 0.25
% !D ' 6 # B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl= 5 nh= 10$# # ) *
Total output in period state high
0.0431 0.0432 0.0433 0.0434 0.0435 0.0436 0.0437 0.0438 0.0439 0.0440 0.0441
y<h1> y<h2> y<h3> y<h4> y<h5> y<h6> y<h7> y<h8> y<h9> y<h10>
π = 0.25 ; ψ = 0.75 π = 0.50 ; ψ = 0.50 π = 0.75 ; ψ = 0.25
% !3 ' 6 # B= 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S= 3
$ #nl= 5 nh= 10$# # ) *
Price index in period state low
0.0663 0.0664 0.0665 0.0666 0.0667 0.0668 0.0669 0.0670
P<l1> P<l2> P<l3> P<l4> P<l5>
π = 0.25 ; ψ = 0.75 π = 0.50 ; ψ = 0.50 π = 0.75 ; ψ = 0.25
% !4 ' 6 # . B = 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S = 3
$ #nl= 5 nh= 10$# # ) *
Price index in period state high
0.0520 0.0521 0.0522 0.0523 0.0524 0.0525 0.0526 0.0527 0.0528 0.0529 0.0530 0.0531
P<h1> P<h2> P<h3> P<h4> P<h5> P<h6> P<h7> P<h8> P<h9> P<h10>
π = 0.25 ; ψ = 0.75 π = 0.50 ; ψ = 0.50 π = 0.75 ; ψ = 0.25
% !0 ' 6 # . B = 0.5 β= 0.79 γl= 3.0 γh= 2.5 S = 3
$ #nl= 5 nh= 10$# # ) *
< . % * ,# $
> > !" $# % & # ) *
< # % # & $ % # #
+
#
%
# # $ % # ' @ " - # * ,# %
$ & ) # # & ) # & $ $ - & ) %
* # & ) ) & ) $ # * * % $ *
,# # +
% $ # # % *
# & ) % # # & ) #
. # % $ # # & ) # & ) % & *
,# # & ) % # % % # . # % %
& $ # % $# * 6 & )
$ # & ) # *
G & & ) % & & % #
# & # # *
,# & ) # & $ .' * * *
,# $ % ' % & ykm
ij ∈ ℜ+ $#
# 'k m∈ {R & ) "G % & ) " n & ) "}$# k # +
# # l # # # ' # &
% & ) 'i, j∈ {, R} & ) 'i, j∈ {0, G, R}$# i # + &
# # j # # # *
xk
i $ #k∈ {R, G, n} i∈ {, R}$# k=G i∈ {0, G, R}$# k=n #
# ' $# # k % & )
& ) $# i* G # /
xR=BR xG+xGR=B−BR xn0+xnG+xnR= (1−B) D "
0≤BR≤B≤1*
G % #
% & & $ / % ' % & $ & ) #
. # % # $ # # % #
% # & # % * < & ) # #
& ) & # & )* < & ) # # & )
# - * < & ) & ) # & ) # $# #
# & ) * < % & ) & ) # % % $# # #
& ) & ) # % $# # # & )
# # & ) # * < % & ) $ # % & )* #
# # # $ # # * % & )
& ) # # * & ) $
# & ) # & ) % * # % # % # *
,# & + * .
. $ + + vk
i # .
$ # k$# & % i*
,# + & % & ) $ # /
−yGG+βvG ≥ 0 D!"
−yGGR +βvRG ≥ 0 D "
−yGR+βvRG ≥ 0 DD"
−yGnG +βvG ≥ 0 D3"
−yGnR +βvRG ≥ 0 D4"
,# . & % & ) $ # /
−yGGR +βvRG ≥ 0 D0"
−yGGRR+βvRG ≥ 0 DF"
,# . & & ) /
−yRGR +βvR ≥ 0 D("
−yRR+βvR ≥ 0 3 "
−yRnR +βvR ≥ 0 3!"
,# %# '# D!" ' 3!" & # # %# & # & )
% *
# & ) # % % $# # * ,# .
#
u(ynn0G) +βv0n ≥ βvnG 3 "
u yGn
G +βv0n ≥ βvnG 3D"
u yRGGn +βv0n ≥ βvnG 33"
u(ynn0R) +βv0n ≥ βvnR 34"
u(yGRnn) +βvnG ≥ βvnR 30"
u yGnR +βvnG ≥ βvnR 3F"
u yRnR +βv0n ≥ βvnR 32"
,# . # & ) # % % $# #
−ynn0G+βvnG ≥ βvn0 3("
−y0nnR+βvnR ≥ βvn0 4 "
−ynG0 +βvnG ≥ βvn0 4!"
−ynG0R +βvnG ≥ βvn0 4 "
−y0nR+βvnR ≥ βvn0 4D"
−yGRnn +βvnR ≥ βvnG 43"
−yGRnG+βvnR ≥ βvnG 44"
−yGnR+βvnR ≥ βvnG 40"
$ # & ) * < & ) $#
$ # % *
,# # # = $ 0 G # = $
0 G & ) # = $ R # = $ R
% & ) * */
xnG[B−BR] +xnRBR = xn0B 4F"
xn0[B−BR] +xGxnR = xnG B+xGR 42"
xG[BR+xnR] = xGR[xnG+BR] 4("
D " 4F"' 4(" $# # %
. 9*
,# # $ $ /
v0n = x
n G
S (−y
nn
0G) +
xn R
S (−y
nn
0R) +
xG
S −y
nG
0 +
xG R
S −y
nG
0R +
xR
S −y
nR
0 +
+β x
n
G+xG+xGR
S v
n G+
xn R+xR
S v
n
R+ 1−
xn
G+xG+xGR+xnR+xR
S v
n
vGn = x
n
0 S u(y
nn
0G) +
xG
S u y
Gn G +
xG R
S u y
Gn RG +
xn R
S (−y
nn GR) +
xG R
S −y
nG GR +
xR
S −y
nR G +
+β x
n
0+xG+xGR
S v
n
0 + xn
R+xGR+xR
S v
n
R+ 1−
xn
0 +xG+ 2xGR+xnR+xR
S v
n G 0!"
vRn = x
n
0 S u(y
nn
0R) +
xnG S u(y
nn GR) +
xG
S u y
Gn R +
xR
S u y
Rn R +
+β x
n
0 +xR
S v
n
0 + xn
G+xG
S v
n
G+ 1−
xn
0+xR+xnG+xG
S v
n
R 0 "
vG = x
n
0
S u y
nG
0 +
xG
S u y
GG +xGR
S u y
GG R +
+x
n G
S −y
Gn G +
xn R
S −y
Gn R +
xG
S −y
GG +xGR
S −y
GG R +
xR
S −y
GR +
+β x
n
R+xGR+xR
S v
G
R+ 1−
xn
R+xGR+xR
S v
G 0D"
vRG = x
n
0
S u y
nG
0R +
xn G
S u y
nG GR +
xG
S u y
GG R +
xG R
S u y
GG RR +
xR
S u y
RG R +
+x
n G
S −y
Gn RG +
xG
S −y
GG R +
xG R
S −y
GG RR +
+β x
n
G+xG+xR
S v
G+ 1−xnG+xG+xR
S v
G
R 03"
vR = x
n
0
S u y
nR
0 +
xn G
S u y
nR G +
xG
S u y
GR +xR
S u y
RR +
+x
n R
S −y
Rn R +
xR
S −y
RR +xGR
S −y
RG
R +βvR 04"
E # % 0 " 04" 6 .
* ,# # * < % # $ & # # &
% % *
,# & . $ # &
& # % * ,# ' %
w=
k,i
xkivki 00"
$# (k, i)∈ {(n,0),(n, G),(n, R),(G, ),(G, R),(R, )}
< # $ $ # $ & !D" !3"' !("
w=
k,m,i,j
xk ixmj
S(1−β)z y
km
ij 0F"
$# (k, m, i, j)∈ {(n, n,0, G), . . . ,(R, G, , R)} z ykm
ij =u ymkji −ykmij *
w & # . # *
"
θ= (B, BR, β)∈Θ =
[0,1]2×[0,1)
" # < . *
0F" # y∗ # + '& # # z′(y∗) = 0*
$ % # $ # $# & + '& *
,# & # $# # % % % $ & C #
# & $ # $*
G & ) # .' & $ % & ) & .' # % #
& - # B # & ) % * ; # $ & ) B #
% & ) % *
,# $ # & ) % & $ / & ) B #
% & ) % # % - # % & - * * RA(B, BR)<0 $#
RA(B, BR)≡vR−
xGvG+xG RvRG
xG+xG R
# # B # & ) % # % - # & - * *
RA(B, BR)>0*
< & & $# RA(B, BR) = 0*
" ! " #
$ % B ∈ (0,1) & 0 < B < B˜ ≃ 0.12405 u(yy∗∗) <
B+1 2B
2
lim
B →0 RA(B, BR)>0 Blim→B−
RA(B, BR)<0
$ % B ∈ (0,1) & 0.12405 ≃ B < B <˜ 1 u(yy∗∗) >
B+1 2B
2
lim
B →0 RA(B, BR)<0 Blim→B−
RA(B, BR)>0
" # < . *
% !F"' " # % # %
-& B = 0.1 B = 0.6* +% !F" !2" $ %
& & & ) B = 0.1 β = 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36
S = 3 & & [ xn0 = 0.3049, xnG= 0.1547, xRn= 0.4403, xG= 0.0140, xGR= 0.0334, xR= 0.0526
yjimk=y∗,∀(k, m, i, j)∈ {(n, n,0, G), . . . ,(R, G, , R)} ]*
% !F ' 6 # % -(RA)
B= 0.1 β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S = 3 BR∈[0,0.1]*
% !2 ' 6 # &
B= 0.1 β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S = 3 BR∈[0,0.1]*
# +% !(" " $ % & & & )
B = 0.6 β = 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S = 3 &
& [ xn
0 = 0.1342, xnG= 0.0826, xnR= 0.1833, xG= 0.1296, xGR= 0.1631, xR= 0.3074
ymk
ji =y∗,∀(k, m, i, j)∈ {(n, n,0, G), . . . ,(R, G, , R)} ]*
% !( ' 6 # % -(RA)
% ' 6 # &
B= 0.1 β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S = 3 BR∈[0,0.6]*
+% !" # # M=xn
G+xnR+xGR - #
& ) B # % % # & ) Br∈[0, B]*
% ! '6 # # BR∈[0, B]
β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S= 3*
ρG= x
x +x ρ G R=
x
x +x * - % 02" $ # BR /
∂RA(B, BR)
∂BR
= ∂v
R
∂BR −
ρG∂v
G
∂BR
+ρGR∂v
G R
∂BR
+ ∂ρ
G
∂BR
vG+ ∂ρ
G R
∂BR
vGR 0("
G ∂B∂ρ =−∂B∂ρ
∂RA(B, BR)
∂BR
= ∂v
R
∂BR −
ρG∂v
G
∂BR
+ρGR∂v
G R
∂BR
+ ∂ρ
G R
∂BR
vRG−vG F "
& ) $# % & ) ) * # B %# & )
# $ * ,# & ) % & # % & ) %
# & & ) * * & ) $ # * 5 # & +
# % * * # $ & $ % & ) % %
& ) * ,# . # D * #
& ) # %# '# F " ∂RA∂B(B,B ) <0 # &
& * # . *
# B % %# # & + # % % % & ) $ - $#
# & ) % * ,# . # D * < #
& ) # %# '# F " % ∂RA∂B(B,B ) >0 # &
& * ; # $ $ # . *
,# . # & & * # # .
- # % $ ' # % & ) % *
E # +% !(" $ & & * # % & )
$ % $ # * ; # # # #
& ) $ % . % & ) %
# *
$# # $ & & & & ) %
$# # & & # . # $ # *
% *
E $ $ # . & & & & *
" % B ∈(0,1) & β∈ (0,1) u(yy∗∗) &
" # vn
R> vGn> v0n>0 vR>0 vRG> vG>0
" # < . *
" + % B ∈(0,1) & β∈(0,1) & 3< u(yy∗∗)
'
" # B → 0 β → 1 3 < u(yy∗∗) # . & & & ) &
3 vn
R > vGn > vn0 >0 vR >0* vGR > vG >0 & + '& * ;
& + '& B+1 2B
2
& % & D RA(B,0+) > 0
RA(B, B−)<0*
" , % B∈(0,1) β∈(0,1) u(yy∗∗) & "
# vn
R> vGn> v0n>0 vR>0 vRG> vG >0
" # < . *
" - % B ∈ (0,1) β ∈(0,1) & 3< u(yy∗∗)
'
" # B → 1 β → 1 3 < u(yy∗∗) # . & & & ) &
0 vn
R > vGn > vn0 > 0 vR > 0* vGR > vG > 0 & + '& *
; & + '& B+1
2B
2
% 1 & D RA(B,0+) < 0
RA(B, B−)>0*
. 6 $ & # $# % & ) % *
< # % # $ B $ # %# = & #
& $ $ # "* $#
# % # & $ # % & &B * <
* % "' 3" # * +% "
D" # . $ $# +% 3"
# . ) $ *
% ' 6 # w BR∈[0, B−Bg]$ #Bg+.
% D ' 6 # w Bg∈[0, B−BR]$ #BR +.
β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S= 3*
% 3 ' 6 # w B $ β= 0.98 u(yy∗∗) = 6.36 S= 3*
,
*
%
,# ' # % & # # % %
* ,# # & # # % & # &
% * $ #
% % & # # & #
# + * < # #
& # & # # & +
5 * # %
$# # & # # * G
B # # & # % %
# & # . # % # * < #
$ & # # # $ # . # % *
, & !(2 " # & !(2 " # % %
# % # # # $ &
# # ) # & *
,# ' # % # * , #
# # . & # ' ' . # %
$ # $ # * ,# # # = #
# . # % # * ,#
# # $ %* G # $ )
% & # $ & #
% # * > ) %# !(2(" # &
& % # # & # &
# * G ) % %
& & ) $ % % # % ) *
< & + & % " # . # %
* ,# - % % - %
% & # & $ # # % & %
& $ # G # M *
,# # ) % % #
% % " . *
> ) %# !(2(" # # # #
# & & * ,# ' # % #
& % % & * # .
$ & $ # # ' # % # # - # % %
# % 5# ' & # K !(F "
) % & $ $# . > )
!((D"* # % # ' *
< # %# > ) %# !(2(" $# # # #
% C # & , & *
# %# # # > ) ' %# & # #
+. & # #
# * $ # # # $ &
% % *D! > # ) !((2" &
# + # - & % # % #
> ) %# # # # # #
. & & ) $ % $ # & & * ,# # $ # $# # & &
# # % % % % % $#
# # # % % # % > ) %# *
- , !(((" + # > ) %#
& % # # #
% & & ) % # * G & %
D!,# # # & & % % & $ % %
& $ # # % *
% % & # , # $ # &
& $ # . # C # %#*
!(((" # % #
& ) % , * ,# !(((" (
# # & # # # & $ # - * ,# (
# $ # # # % & #
$ # * ; % % # & ) % %
% # " & ) % G #" # # %# $ #
* #
A # # %# $ A $ & - ' %
# ' A
,# # & ( # & & %# $ * ,#
# B ∈(0,1) # # "
& ) * ,# # # # 1−B * ,#
# & # $
% * # + & ) % #
& * & # '
* # & ) # # )
# > ) %# * & #
' * ,# ( # #
& # * ,# # $ # ' & $ #
% # & )
# ) % & # % # *
,# ' & + # & & ) % &
, !(((" & # # $ * ,# ' &
$ # # % # $# # #
# %# # > ) ' %# # B &
$ #
' # % * ,# $ # # )
' # # # # % & ) %
% * ,# # ' % # ( $ $ #
& ) % # # & % !(2D" # & *
,# > # ) !((2" !((("
-% % # % & #
& # # & ) % # ( , !(((" % *
# & ) $ # # # & # $ ) # ) %
. * ,# % & & ) ,
!(((" & # % & ) & $ # . & %
$ & # & & * 9 # & )
(* 9 ) ( % $ ) % # * #
- & ( ) # # ' &
# # $# # & *
# # $ # ( $ B $ * $ ) # $# # $
& ) % $ # - . &
& * # ) # # ( & & ) #
$ # - $ # $ ) # . & , & !(2 "
% % * + # # $ # #
%% % & ) B $ # # # % & ( < # %# #
& ( B # . $ ) B
& # %# B . % # * 9
$ B & % # # & ) & # % /
% $ ) # % & # *
,# # & $ B # & + & ) & $ - # $
. $# # # % & ) $ ) *
# %# %# # # % $ ) $ # &
# & & # $ & % # $# # #
# $ & & & *
,# B + # $ # #
' # # ' % # ( # %
# $ # & ) & $ & % #
# $ %% % # ) * + #
* " % # # # & ) %
% # & $ # # & $#
& $# # & & ( # %% % "* "
# # # # & & ) # )
& ) - # %# & ) *
,# . $# & ) & * K ) % $ +
# $ # # # % # & # # %# '
# $ # $ ) * " # " " $
+ # # # # * ,# & )
# %# & .' & & )
# * K ) # . " $ & #
# ' % $# # #
.' $ # %# # .' C * " " " )
% # # #
% . # * & #
# $# ) $ # & # % & $# #
$ #
N!O ;* < , , * J5
% ' # % *H M 5 8 ! F 4
; * !(((" ( ('(34*
N O ;* E * J ; <
. # % *H M 9 ) % 8 * D! E *D < % !((( 5 "*
NDO ;**J,# *H * *
N3O P* J,# % & & ) % *H * !*
N4O % * 5# * & %* J9 ) *H M
5 (! M !(2D" 3 !'!(*
N0O 6 %& % * “ # G G# > $ <& %'5 < # *”
< % # * !((!*
NFO > 9 M # > E * J; 5 K
-? # % *H M ,# ! 2 D" !F' 44*
N2O > ) E & # %# * J; . # % *H M 5
8 *(F E *3 < % !(2(" ( F'43*
N(O > # ) E E * J; < $ # ') %
E *H M ,# 2! < % !((2" F '2(*
N! O K K % K * . ' / * M !(2!*
N!!O % M * E ) * ) 0 1 2
3 * M # Q G !((3*
N! O > E & # > ) <) # ) * J, $ ,#
*H $ G 8 * 0 E * < !((D" 2D'D F*
N!DO M * **J< $# # ; *H * !*
N!3O 5 * G <* , ) ) ,* 8 % 9 5* *4 $
-- ' 3 * & % ? 5 !((0*
N!4O P*4 $ 56 ' * & % ? 5 !(((*
N!0O & * K M *J . # E *H M ,# 3 E *
< !(F " ! D'! 3*
N!FO & * K M *“K *”M ,# 8 *4 E * <
!(( "*
N!2O G ) E K* & * K M **$ ) 3 0 *